Posted on 09/23/2004 4:23:36 PM PDT by moni241999
Hurricane JEANNE
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000 WTNT32 KNHC 232042 TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM AST THU SEP 23 2004
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.3 WEST OR ABOUT 915 MILES...1470 KM...WEST OF THE AZORES.
KARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 30 MPH...48 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 430 MILES...695 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...35.7 N... 43.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 30 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 965 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
I sure would like to find a complete track of Ivan.
So would I...That one is not giving up.
Turn south Karl! You can still hit France.
| Tropical Storm Ivan System Track (2004) | ||||||||
| Advisory # |
Advisory Date (UTC) |
Name (UTC) |
Position | Direction |
Speed (kts) |
Pressure (mb) |
Winds (kts) |
|
| Lat | Lon | |||||||
| 1 | 2100 THU SEP 02 | Tropical Depression Nine |
9.7N | 29.1W | W | 17 | 1009 | 25 |
| 2 | 0300 FRI SEP 03 | Tropical Depression Nine |
9.8N | 29.4W | W | 14 | 1009 | 25 |
| 3 | 0900 FRI SEP 03 | Tropical Storm Ivan |
10N | 30.7W | W | 14 | 1005 | 35 |
| 4 | 1500 FRI SEP 03 | Tropical Storm Ivan |
9.6N | 32.9W | W | 16 | 1003 | 40 |
| 5 | 2100 FRI SEP 03 | Tropical Storm Ivan |
8.9N | 34.6W | WSW | 17 | 1000 | 45 |
| 6 | 0300 SAT SEP 04 | Tropical Storm Ivan |
9.1N | 35.8W | W | 15 | 999 | 45 |
| 7 | 0900 SAT SEP 04 | Tropical Storm Ivan |
9N | 37.4W | W | 16 | 997 | 50 |
| 8 | 1500 SAT SEP 04 | Tropical Storm Ivan |
8.9N | 38.9W | W | 16 | 997 | 50 |
| 9 | 2100 SAT SEP 04 | Tropical Storm Ivan |
9.1N | 40.8W | W | 17 | 994 | 50 |
| 10 | 0300 SUN SEP 05 | Tropical Storm Ivan |
9.4N | 42.2W | W | 16 | 991 | 60 |
| 11 | 0900 SUN SEP 05 | Category 1 Hurricane Ivan |
9.7N | 44.3W | W | 18 | 987 | 65 |
| 12 | 1500 SUN SEP 05 | Category 1 Hurricane Ivan |
9.9N | 46W | W | 18 | 980 | 75 |
| 13 | 1700 SUN SEP 05 | Category 3 Hurricane Ivan |
10.1N | 46.6W | W | 18 | 960 | 100 |
| 14 | 2100 SUN SEP 05 | Category 3 Hurricane Ivan |
10.4N | 47.7W | WNW | 18 | 950 | 110 |
| 15 | 0300 MON SEP 06 | Category 4 Hurricane Ivan |
10.8N | 49.4W | WNW | 18 | 948 | 115 |
| 16 | 0900 MON SEP 06 | Category 3 Hurricane Ivan |
10.8N | 51.6W | W | 20 | 951 | 110 |
| 17 | 1500 MON SEP 06 | Category 3 Hurricane Ivan |
11.2N | 53.4W | W | 19 | 955 | 110 |
| 18 | 2100 MON SEP 06 | Category 2 Hurricane Ivan |
11.6N | 55.3W | WNW | 19 | 968 | 90 |
| 19 | 0300 TUE SEP 07 | Category 2 Hurricane Ivan |
11.2N | 57.2W | W | 18 | 963 | 90 |
| 20 | 0900 TUE SEP 07 | Category 2 Hurricane Ivan |
11.4N | 58.5W | W | 16 | 965 | 95 |
| 21 | 1500 TUE SEP 07 | Category 3 Hurricane Ivan |
11.8N | 60.2W | W | 16 | 963 | 100 |
| 22 | 2100 TUE SEP 07 | Category 3 Hurricane Ivan |
12N | 62W | W | 16 | 956 | 105 |
| 23 | 0300 WED SEP 08 | Category 4 Hurricane Ivan |
12.1N | 63.3W | W | 15 | 950 | 115 |
| 24 | 0900 WED SEP 08 | Category 4 Hurricane Ivan |
12.4N | 64.8W | W | 14 | 946 | 120 |
| 25 | 1500 WED SEP 08 | Category 4 Hurricane Ivan |
12.7N | 66.2W | WNW | 0 | 0 | |
| 26 | 2100 WED SEP 08 | Category 4 Hurricane Ivan |
13.4N | 67.7W | WNW | 15 | 947 | 120 |
| 27 | 0300 THU SEP 09 | Category 4 Hurricane Ivan |
13.6N | 69.1W | WNW | 15 | 938 | 125 |
| 28 | 0900 THU SEP 09 | Category 5 Hurricane Ivan |
13.9N | 70W | WNW | 13 | 922 | 140 |
| 29 | 1500 THU SEP 09 | Category 5 Hurricane Ivan |
14.5N | 71.4W | WNW | 13 | 920 | 140 |
| 30 | 2100 THU SEP 09 | Category 4 Hurricane Ivan |
15N | 72.5W | WNW | 13 | 921 | 130 |
| 31 | 0300 FRI SEP 10 | Category 4 Hurricane Ivan |
15.5N | 73.3W | WNW | 11 | 923 | 130 |
| 32 | 0900 FRI SEP 10 | Category 4 Hurricane Ivan |
15.9N | 74.2W | W NW | 11 | 930 | 125 |
| 33 | 1500 FRI SEP 10 | Category 4 Hurricane Ivan |
16.5N | 75.1W | WNW | 10 | 934 | 125 |
| 34 | 2100 FRI SEP 10 | Category 4 Hurricane Ivan |
17N | 76.2W | WNW | 11 | 937 | 120 |
| 35 | 0300 SAT SEP 11 | Category 4 Hurricane Ivan |
17.6N | 76.9W | WNW | 9 | 926 | 130 |
| 36 | 0900 SAT SEP 11 | Category 4 Hurricane Ivan |
17.5N | 78W | WNW | 9 | 923 | 130 |
| 37 | 1500 SAT SEP 11 | Category 4 Hurricane Ivan |
17.9N | 78.7W | WNW | 7 | 925 | 125 |
| 38 | 2100 SAT SEP 11 | Category 5 Hurricane Ivan |
18.2N | 79.3W | WNW | 8 | 914 | 145 |
| 39 | 0300 SUN SEP 12 | Category 5 Hurricane Ivan |
18.3N | 80W | WNW | 7 | 910 | 145 |
| 40 | 0900 SUN SEP 12 | Category 5 Hurricane Ivan |
18.6N | 80.8W | WNW | 8 | 918 | 135 |
| 41 | 1500 SUN SEP 12 | Category 5 Hurricane Ivan |
19N | 81.5W | WNW | 8 | 919 | 135 |
| 42 | 2100 SUN SEP 12 | Category 4 Hurricane Ivan |
19.3N | 82.5W | WNW | 9 | 916 | 130 |
| 43 | 0300 MON SEP 13 | Category 5 Hurricane Ivan |
19.7N | 83.2W | WNW | 8 | 917 | 140 |
| 44 | 0900 MON SEP 13 | Category 5 Hurricane Ivan |
20.2N | 83.9W | WNW | 8 | 920 | 140 |
| 45 | 1500 MON SEP 13 | Category 5 Hurricane Ivan |
20.6N | 84.4W | NW | 7 | 915 | 140 |
| 46 | 2100 MON SEP 13 | Category 5 Hurricane Ivan |
21.3N | 84.9W | NNW | 8 | 912 | 140 |
| 47 | 0300 TUE SEP 14 | Category 5 Hurricane Ivan |
22N | 85.4W | NW | 8 | 914 | 140 |
| 48 | 0900 TUE SEP 14 | Category 5 Hurricane Ivan |
22.6N | 86W | NW | 8 | 924 | 140 |
| 49 | 1500 TUE SEP 14 | Category 4 Hurricane Ivan |
23.4N | 86.2W | NNW | 7 | 932 | 120 |
| 50 | 2100 TUE SEP 14 | Category 4 Hurricane Ivan |
24.2N | 86.6W | NNW | 8 | 929 | 120 |
| 51 | 0300 WED SEP 15 | Category 4 Hurricane Ivan |
25.1N | 87.2W | NNW | 10 | 932 | 120 |
| 52 | 0900 WED SEP 15 | Category 4 Hurricane Ivan |
26.1N | 87.8W | NNW | 10 | 938 | 120 |
| 53 | 1500 WED SEP 15 | Category 4 Hurricane Ivan |
27.3N | 88W | N | 11 | 939 | 115 |
| 54 | 2100 WED SEP 15 | Category 4 Hurricane Ivan |
28.4N | 88.3W | N | 12 | 933 | 115 |
| 55 | 0300 THU SEP 16 | Category 4 Hurricane Ivan |
29.3N | 88.1W | N | 10 | 933 | 115 |
| 56 | 0900 THU SEP 16 | Category 3 Hurricane Ivan |
30.9N | 87.7W | N | 12 | 947 | 100 |
| 57 | 1500 THU SEP 16 | Category 1 Hurricane Ivan |
32N | 87.5W | N | 12 | 970 | 65 |
| 58 | 2100 THU SEP 16 | Tropical Storm Ivan |
33.1N | 87W | NNE | 12 | 980 | 50 |
| 59 | 0300 FRI SEP 17 | Tropical Depression Ivan |
34.3N | 86.2W | NNE | 12 | 986 | 30 |
| 60 | 0900 FRI SEP 17 | Tropical Depression Ivan |
34.9N | 84.9W | NE | 9 | 994 | 17 |
| 61 | 1500 FRI SEP 17 | Tropical Depression Ivan |
35.8N | 83.1W | ENE | 16 | 998 | 17 |
| 62 | 2100 FRI SEP 17 | Tropical Depression Ivan |
36.5N | 81.5W | ENE | 17 | 999 | 17 |
| 63 | 0300 SAT SEP 18 | Tropical Depression Ivan |
37.5N | 79.4W | ENE | 17 | 1000 | 17 |
| 64 | 0900 SAT SEP 18 | Tropical Depression Ivan |
37.9N | 77.5W | ENE | 13 | 998 | 13 |
| 65 | 1500 SAT SEP 18 | Tropical Depression Ivan |
38.9N | 75.8W | NE | 17 | 1000 | 13 |
| 66 | 2100 SAT SEP 18 | Remnant Ivan | 37.2N | 75.2W | ESE | 13 | 1002 | 13 |
| 67 | 2300 WED SEP 22 | Tropical Depression Ivan |
26.9N | 89.3W | WNW | 12 | 1008 | 30 |
| 68 | 0300 THU SEP 23 | Tropical Storm Ivan |
27.4N | 90W | WNW | 11 | 1007 | 35 |
| 69 | 0900 THU SEP 23 | Tropical Storm Ivan |
28.2N | 91.6W | WNW | 13 | 1007 | 35 |
| 70 | 1500 THU SEP 23 | Tropical Storm Ivan |
29.2N | 92.7W | NW | 13 | 999 | 50 |
| 71 | 2100 THU SEP 23 | Tropical Storm Ivan |
29.4N | 93W | NW | 7 | 1003 | 40 |
"Turn south Karl! You can still hit France."
LOL Now that was funny!
Jeanne didn't come through. It's the one that killed up to 2,000 people in Haiti then went north, missing FL. Now it's looping back. Ivan is the one that went THROUGH the country, back to the Atlantic and came through again. It passed over us here in Orlando a few days ago and dropped a bunch of water and is in the Gulf now headed for TX/LA. Unbelievable. Jeanne will be our 4th hurricane/tropical storm in Orlando in, what, 8, 9 weeks? This is ridiculous. We still haven't cleaned up the debris from Charley.
Where is the "Not this sh*t again" graphic when you need it....
(sigh) Maybe in 2010.
That's a must with Ivan..
Hurricane Jeanne Intermediate Advisory Number 41a
Statement as of 8:00 PM EDT on September 23, 2004
...Jeanne moving little...should begin to move westward tonight or
Friday...
a Hurricane Watch is in effect for the northwest Bahamas. A
Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible in
the watch area within 36 hours.
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the central Bahamas...
including Cat Island...the Exumas...Long Island...Rum Cay...and
San Salvador.
Interests on the Florida Peninsula should closely monitor the
progress of Jeanne.
At 8 PM EDT...0000z..the eye of Hurricane Jeanne was located
near latitude 26.0 north...longitude 70.4 west or about 420
miles... 675 km...east of great abaco island.
Jeanne has been moving little during the past couple of hours.
However...the hurricane should begin to move toward the west at a
slightly faster forward speed later tonight or Friday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph...165 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours...
and Jeanne could become a major hurricane on Friday.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles... 75 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 140 miles...220 km.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 966 mb...28.53 inches.
Dangerous surf and rip currents...caused by large swells generated
by Hurricane Jeanne...are possible along the southeastern U.S.
Coast and the northwest and central Bahamas for the next few days.
Repeating the 8 PM EDT position...26.0 N... 70.4 W. Movement nearly
stationary. Maximum sustained winds...105 mph. Minimum central
pressure... 966 mb.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
11 PM EDT.
Forecaster Avila
"I'm getting tired of lame mid-Atlantic hurricanes. I want storm warnings for my name sake. I want specials on the Weather Channel. I want a Fox News Alert.
(sigh) Maybe in 2010."
Just think if your wish came true I'd make you a T-shirt. So wish really really hard! LOL
IsIs is my Akita's name. Hurricane Isis was out there last week. Don't get showed up by a dog! LOL
Where'd the Ivan map go?
(It's going back towards Lousiana today!)
Thanks
Bump for later....(I hope!)
I seriously hope all our FL Freepers are on top of this. This storm will rapidly intensify and will also speed up. It's moving west, and there's not much to stop it.
IMO, this will be a CAT 3 storm hitting the eastern FL coast (probably between Palm Beach and Ft. Pierce), and will be worse than Frances.
I hope no one has let their guard down.
- You exhibit a slight twitch when introduced to anyone with the first names of Charley, Frances or Ivan.
- Your freezer never has more than $20 worth of food in it any given time.
- You're looking at paint swatches for the plywood on your windows, to accent the house color.
- You think of your hall closet/safer room as "cozy".
- Your pool is more accurately described as "framed in" than "screened in".
- Your freezer in the garage now only has homemade ice in it.
- You no longer worry about relatives visiting during the summer months.
- You too haven't heard back from the insurance adjuster.
- You now understand what that little "2% hurricane deductible" phrase really means.
- You're putting a collage together on your driveway of roof shingles from your neighborhood.
- You were once proud of your 16" electric chain saw.
- Your Street has more than 3 "NO WAKE" signs posted.
- You now own 5 large ice chests.
- Your parrot can now say" hammered, pounded and hunker down".
- You recognize people in line at the free ice, gas and plywood locations.
- You stop what you're doing and clap and wave when you see a convoy of power company trucks come down your street.
- You're depressed when they don't stop.
- You have the personal cell phone numbers of the managers for: plywood, roofing supplies and generators at Home Depot on your speed dialer.
- You've spent more than $20 on "Tall white kitchen bags" to make your own sand bags.
- You're considering upgrading your 16" to a 20" chainsaw.
- You know what "Bar chain oil" is.
- You're thinking of getting your wife the hardhat with the ear protector and face shield for Christmas.
- You now think the $6000 whole house generator seems reasonable.
- You look forward to discussions about the merits of "cubed, block and dry ice".
- Your therapist refers to your condition as "generator envy".
- You fight the urge to put on your winter coat and wool cap and parade around in front of your picture window, when you finally get power and your neighbor across the street, with the noisy generator doesn't get electricity.
And finally, you might be a Floridian if -
- You ask your sister up north to start saving the Sunday Real Estate classifieds!
Thanx! My personal favorite!
That was great! Unfortunately most of those are all too true for us down here. Keep us in your prayers everyone - here we go again!
Prayers do change things. I want to say thanks to everyone that is remembering us Floridians in your prayers. To all you Floridans, keep safe through Jeanne too. Not to much longer before hurricane season is over YYYEEHHHH
Yeah Right! The season is just getting going real good and lasts "at Least to November 30th"! hmmmm! my calendar says September 24th,Yeah! we're in great shape, better hang on to your wallet dudes and dolls after this season there won't be much left anywhere and remember the Tax Man Cometh!
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