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Kerry's final mistake
Althouse ^ | September 24, 2004 | Ann Althouse

Posted on 09/25/2004 4:52:06 PM PDT by billorites

Here's what I'd like to read about the 2004 election: an analysis of what happened written ten years from now. Anything written today is part of the events themselves. Writing today, you're caught up in the event of the moment. I feel I've been remiss in not yet posting a condemnation of the Republican's ban-the-Bible letter. Writing today, you're influenced by a hope or fear of affecting the events. And you also don't know how things will turn out. You don't know who will win the election, whether some dramatic event will occur in October, and how the war in Iraq will play out.

I try to imagine how someone looking back on the election will analyze it. If Kerry loses, one question will be, what was the turning point? Did the Swift Boat ads set the campaign on a track that led to defeat, was it Kerry's own choice to make his Vietnam service the central argument that he should be President, or was it a mass delusion--Kerry is electable--that overtook voters back in the primaries? Another question will be: When could Kerry have done something to salvage his candidacy? And: What was the final, fatal mistake?

I'm writing today, so I have all the deficiencies of a person writing today, but I have a prediction of the answer to that last question. The final, fatal mistake was criticizing and contradicting Iraqi Prime Minister Ayad Allawi when he was visiting the U.S. Kerry is in a very difficult position needing to criticize Bush's handling of the war, because the criticism itself seems damaging to the war effort. Bringing Allawi to the U.S. and linking him to the Bush campaign message was a powerful political move by Bush, but it was not a checkmate. Yet it forced Kerry into a terrible blunder. The grisly takedown has begun:
BUSH: This brave man came to our country to talk about how he's risking his life for a free Iraq, which helps America. And Sen. Kerry held a press conference and questioned Mr. Allawi's credibility. You can't lead this country if your ally in Iraq feels like you question his credibility.

CHENEY: I must say I was appalled at the complete lack of respect Sen. Kerry showed for this man of courage. Ayad Allawi is our ally. He stands beside us in the war against terror. John Kerry is trying to tear him down and to trash all the good that has been accomplished, and his words are destructive."
And the Kerry campaign is now wasting a lot of breath pointing out that it is an election year and the President's conduct of the war must be open to criticism, but what can be said of the attack on Allawi? Kerry will never dig himself out of this one, I think. And any time he makes his old favorite argument that he is much better suited for interaction with our allies, his Allawi blunder will be thrown in his face.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: kerry; kerryiraq
Wow.
1 posted on 09/25/2004 4:52:07 PM PDT by billorites
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To: billorites

I agree.

Rove will make sure Kerry doesn't get away with this.


2 posted on 09/25/2004 4:52:38 PM PDT by USA_Soccer (Try a better (free + open source) browser -> Mozilla Firefox @ mozilla.org)
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To: billorites
If Kerry loses, one question will be, what was the turning point? Did the Swift Boat ads set the campaign on a track that led to defeat, was it Kerry's own choice to make his Vietnam service the central argument that he should be President, or was it a mass delusion--Kerry is electable--that overtook voters back in the primaries?

Answer: Yes.

3 posted on 09/25/2004 4:56:02 PM PDT by Rubber Duck
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To: billorites

Please post ban the bible letter.


4 posted on 09/25/2004 4:57:35 PM PDT by pipecorp ("never know where you're going till you get there." the philosopher Insectus Harem)
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To: billorites

indeed: WOW


5 posted on 09/25/2004 4:59:14 PM PDT by King Prout (yo! sKerry: "Live by the flip, die by the flop." - Frank_Discussion)
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To: Rubber Duck; billorites
If Kerry loses, one question will be, what was the turning point? Did the Swift Boat ads set the campaign on a track that led to defeat, was it Kerry's own choice to make his Vietnam service the central argument that he should be President, or was it a mass delusion--Kerry is electable--that overtook voters back in the primaries?

Terry McCauliffe's decision to get the primaries front loaded this year. Kerry one the Iowa caucuses, because Dean was in free fall. No other candidate could catch up to Kerry after that.

6 posted on 09/25/2004 4:59:37 PM PDT by Paleo Conservative (Hey! Hey! Ho! Ho! Dan Rather's got to go!)
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To: Rubber Duck

The SwiftBoat Veterans for Truth hurt, but I think that Senator Kerry's response to Allawi's visit is more telling and damning.


7 posted on 09/25/2004 4:59:58 PM PDT by billorites (freepo ergo sum)
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To: Rubber Duck

Note how the writer poses "IF kerry looses" he does not write "Bush wins."


8 posted on 09/25/2004 5:03:30 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! NOV 2, 2004 is VETERANS DAY! VOTE!)
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To: pipecorp

Link is in the original article.


Republicans Admit Mailing Campaign Literature Saying Liberals Will Ban the Bible
By DAVID D. KIRKPATRICK

Published: September 24, 2004



The Republican Party acknowledged yesterday sending mass mailings to residents of two states warning that "liberals" seek to ban the Bible. It said the mailings were part of its effort to mobilize religious voters for President Bush.

The mailings include images of the Bible labeled "banned" and of a gay marriage proposal labeled "allowed." A mailing to Arkansas residents warns: "This will be Arkansas if you don't vote." A similar mailing was sent to West Virginians.

A liberal religious group, the Interfaith Alliance, circulated a copy of the Arkansas mailing to reporters yesterday to publicize it. "What they are doing is despicable,'' said Don Parker, a spokesman for the alliance. "They are playing on people's fears and emotions."

In an e-mail message, Christine Iverson, a spokeswoman for the Republican National Committee, confirmed that the party had sent the mailings.

"When the Massachusetts Supreme Court sanctioned same-sex marriage and people in other states realized they could be compelled to recognize those laws, same-sex marriage became an issue,'' Ms. Iverson said. "These same activist judges also want to remove the words 'under God' from the Pledge of Allegiance."


9 posted on 09/25/2004 5:04:26 PM PDT by zeebee (John Kerry- whichever way the wind blows)
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To: zeebee
Republicans Admit Mailing Campaign Literature Saying Liberals Will Ban the Bible

Well it's already happening in other countries.

10 posted on 09/25/2004 5:07:22 PM PDT by Paleo Conservative (Hey! Hey! Ho! Ho! Dan Rather's got to go!)
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To: billorites
I think the final dagger to Kerry's heart ( assuming he has one) Would be SBV or another 527 putting something together about sKerry being in defiance ( insert Kerry / Noriega photo) of Ronnie R. putting the commies out of business in central America.
11 posted on 09/25/2004 5:07:33 PM PDT by DAC22
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To: billorites
A similar mistake was made by Kerry when he sent his sister to Australia to interfere with the reelection of PM John Howard. In his desperation, he's burning bridges almost on a daily basis.
12 posted on 09/25/2004 5:08:15 PM PDT by RedWireNut
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To: zeebee

What is the alarm? They have been baning the Bible for decades.


13 posted on 09/25/2004 5:11:01 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! NOV 2, 2004 is VETERANS DAY! VOTE!)
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To: billorites

In the 60's and 70's Kerry attacked the credibility of our South Vietnames allies and urged us to abandon them.

In the 80's he attacked the credibilty of our El Salvadorian allies and the Nicaraguan contras, and voted to abandon them.

Last year he attacked the credibilty of our coalition allies calling them the "bribed and coereced".

Now he is attacking the credibility of the new Iraqi government and suggests we abandon them.

Old dog, same trick.


14 posted on 09/25/2004 5:11:07 PM PDT by Hugin
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To: Paleo Conservative
Terry McCauliffe's decision to get the primaries front loaded this year. Kerry one the Iowa caucuses, because Dean was in free fall. No other candidate could catch up to Kerry after that.

I think that contributed, yes. It turned out the Democrat voters chose a man without a message running a campaign without direction.

But even if they hadn't been front-loaded, the primaries would still have been Democrat voters chosing the candidate.

There's no way they would nominate a pro-war candidate.
15 posted on 09/25/2004 5:12:48 PM PDT by Mike Fieschko ("How dare you question my [.*$]. Did you know I served in the Clone Wars?")
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To: Hugin

Allawi KO’s Kerry
Doug Giles

September 25, 2004

http://www.townhall.com/columnists/douggiles/dg20040925.shtml

It must have been tough for Kerry to watch his Democratic buddies give Iraq's Prime Minister Allawi standing ovations as he spoke to a joint session of Congress, Wednesday. Think of the anguish JFK, too, must have gone through seeing his liberal colleagues indirectly congratulate George Bush.


16 posted on 09/25/2004 5:12:52 PM PDT by USA_Soccer (Try a better (free + open source) browser -> Mozilla Firefox @ mozilla.org)
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To: billorites
I feel I've been remiss in not yet posting a condemnation of the Republican's ban-the-Bible letter. Writing today, you're influenced by a hope or fear of affecting the events. And you also don't know how things will turn out. You don't know who will win the election, whether some dramatic event will occur in October, and how the war in Iraq will play out.

Left wingers are a lot more likely to BAN THE BIBLE than the scare tactic results the democrats use against blacks and seniors
17 posted on 09/25/2004 5:13:58 PM PDT by uncbob
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To: Paleo Conservative
No other candidate could catch up to Kerry after that.

Errm, that's "ketchup."

18 posted on 09/25/2004 5:14:35 PM PDT by Fester Chugabrew
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To: USA_Soccer

Would anyone have pictures of Dems applauding Allawi while the Lurch looks on?


19 posted on 09/25/2004 5:14:39 PM PDT by USA_Soccer (Try a better (free + open source) browser -> Mozilla Firefox @ mozilla.org)
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To: RedWireNut

Here is the irony, Kerry is burning bridges so he can go and ask the French for help and the french have already burned that bridge in front of him.


BTW all Dr. Strange love on TCM.


20 posted on 09/25/2004 5:16:16 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! NOV 2, 2004 is VETERANS DAY! VOTE!)
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To: longtermmemmory
Note how the writer poses "IF kerry looses" he does not write "Bush wins."

She's not a Bush supporter, so much as disappointed / realistic about Kerry.

I looked at her blog and see that she lives a few houses away from where I lived when at University of Wisconsin.
21 posted on 09/25/2004 5:17:05 PM PDT by Mike Fieschko ("How dare you question my [.*$]. Did you know I served in the Clone Wars?")
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To: USA_Soccer
</p align=center>
22 posted on 09/25/2004 5:17:47 PM PDT by USA_Soccer (Try a better (free + open source) browser -> Mozilla Firefox @ mozilla.org)
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To: billorites

Kerry insulted a visiting dignitary, not just any head of state, probably the most brave person in Iraq today.....this insult told me one thing...Kerry's plans for Iraq...he plans to withdraw...he publically insulted a man who he may have to deal with..


23 posted on 09/25/2004 5:19:06 PM PDT by mystery-ak (Mr Kerry, how did we ever get along without you?)
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To: Fester Chugabrew

You can't get anything past Freepers.


24 posted on 09/25/2004 5:20:04 PM PDT by Paleo Conservative (Hey! Hey! Ho! Ho! Dan Rather's got to go!)
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To: Mike Fieschko
he lives a few houses away from where I lived

Should've typed 'a few blocks'. I was on Breese Terrace.
25 posted on 09/25/2004 5:21:29 PM PDT by Mike Fieschko ("How dare you question my [.*$]. Did you know I served in the Clone Wars?")
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Comment #26 Removed by Moderator

To: billorites
Kerry's final mistake

Don't be ridiculous!

He still has LOTS of mistakes to make.

27 posted on 09/25/2004 5:23:15 PM PDT by IMRight ("Eye" See BS)
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To: USA_Soccer; billorites
Funny bumper sticker!

I actually saw it on a car a couple of weeks ago before I found it on www.notfondakerry.com

28 posted on 09/25/2004 5:24:02 PM PDT by Paleo Conservative (Hey! Hey! Ho! Ho! Dan Rather's got to go!)
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To: USA_Soccer
Would anyone have pictures of Dems applauding Allawi while the Lurch looks on?

No one will have a picture. Lurch didn't attend; he was in Ohio.

29 posted on 09/25/2004 5:24:48 PM PDT by Miss Marple
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To: Paleo Conservative

I think you should have put the picture of the bumper sticker up. So what if a few people get offended . . . :)


30 posted on 09/25/2004 5:25:33 PM PDT by wagglebee (Benedict Arnold was for American independence before he was against it.)
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To: Fester Chugabrew

I should have anticipated your reply.


31 posted on 09/25/2004 5:25:35 PM PDT by Paleo Conservative (Hey! Hey! Ho! Ho! Dan Rather's got to go!)
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To: wagglebee; billorites; USA_Soccer
I think you should have put the picture of the bumper sticker up. So what if a few people get offended . . . :)


32 posted on 09/25/2004 5:27:13 PM PDT by Paleo Conservative (Hey! Hey! Ho! Ho! Dan Rather's got to go!)
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To: Hugin
[ In the 60's and 70's Kerry attacked the credibility of our South Vietnames allies and urged us to abandon them. In the 80's he attacked the credibilty of our El Salvadorian allies and the Nicaraguan contras, and voted to abandon them. Last year he attacked the credibilty of our coalition allies calling them the "bribed and coereced". Now he is attacking the credibility of the new Iraqi government and suggests we abandon them. Old dog, same trick. ]

Exactly... Kerry is what democrats think "patriotism" "IS". Just being a democrat is evidence that you have a social disease..... else you would be a neo-con, still with same disease but infecting republicans...

33 posted on 09/25/2004 5:29:44 PM PDT by hosepipe (This propaganda has been edited to include some fully orbed hyperbole....)
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To: billorites

Definitely. Kerry's attack on Allawi was the worst thing he's said since his vicious 1971 slandering of the US military. IMO the Pres. and VP were too restrained in their criticism of Kerry's comments.


34 posted on 09/25/2004 5:30:10 PM PDT by Graymatter (Reload Bush/Cheney 2004)
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To: USA_Soccer

Kerry was AWOL from the Senate...again...on the day Allawi addressed the Congress. Edwards was not in attendance either. Perhaps they were having their hair 'done'.
Democrats know how to prioritize.

Best Regards,
Julyman16


35 posted on 09/25/2004 5:31:56 PM PDT by Julyman16
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To: longtermmemmory
What is the alarm? They have been baning the Bible for decades.

Liberals have banned the Bible?

How can the Bible be banned and yet still be the best selling Book?

Sure, there are the thought police who want to ban certain things stated in the Bible from being broadcast on TV etc as hate-speech (the anti-gay passages for example)as we see in Canada.

But many Christians are Democrats and to say they want to ban the Bible in campaign literature is a really stupid move. It sounds hysterical.

36 posted on 09/25/2004 5:35:09 PM PDT by Jorge
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To: Paleo Conservative
Kerry one the Iowa caucuses,

Did you perhaps mean to write "won"?

37 posted on 09/25/2004 5:46:09 PM PDT by sionnsar (Cbs: Tune in. Turn on. Ignore doubt | Iran Azadi | Traditional Anglicans: trad-anglican.faithweb.com)
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To: sionnsar
Yes.

Well at least it passed the spell checker.

38 posted on 09/25/2004 5:47:48 PM PDT by Paleo Conservative (Hey! Hey! Ho! Ho! Dan Rather's got to go!)
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To: billorites

john 'f'riggin kerry was doomed from the day the klintons selected him to be the 2004 loser.

Hillary could NOT allow a dem to win since were that to happen, she might not be on the ticket until 2012.

And that is waaaay to late.

She looks like an open can of Spam now and 8 years from now, she is likely to look like an 8 year old open can of Spam!


39 posted on 09/25/2004 5:59:45 PM PDT by lawdude (Liberalism: A failure every time it is tried!)
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To: Mike Fieschko
"There's no way they would nominate a pro-war candidate."

They didn't need to. If the dems had nominated Sam Nunn to pick one of several possible names out of the hat, the election would be over.

40 posted on 09/25/2004 6:02:11 PM PDT by David
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To: All
Two things that Kerry has done win my award for fatal mistakes:

1) Kerry announced what he said was a "secret plan" to call up more Reservist and Guard units after the election if he wins. This behavior is completely unpresidential because if violates the strategic war plan secrecy of a sitting president. What kind of would-be president would blab to the enemy what the current president plans to do in the future regarding war plans? This proves Kerry is not fit to be Commander In Chief.

2) Kerry is basing a good deal of his Iraq criticism of President Bush upon a so-called "dismal" CIA report about prospects regarding the Iraq situation. Was this CIA report de-classified? Aren't most CIA reports confidential and classified? If this report WAS classified, what kind of would-be president would use that information as political fodder? If someone knows whether this report was de-classified, please correct me.
41 posted on 09/25/2004 6:39:12 PM PDT by AaronInCarolina
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To: USA_Soccer

"Rove will make sure Kerry doesn't get away with this."

IMHO, if I was directing the debates for Bush I would make sure that Bush does NOT tone down his almost certain rightous indignation at the trashing of a gutsy man, and the disrespect Kerry has shown to the allies we have on the ground in Iraq.

Kerry has set himself up for Bush to eviscerate him. If Bush takes the gloves off, Kerry is trapped...he either looks even wussier than he already is, or he appears nasty, mean and petty. Bush can attack Kerry on these items, and tie it into Kerry's dangerous flip flops on Iraq, and not appear mean himself because he is defending the honor of another man and our allies.

Bush's question to Kerry....you have shown extreme disrespect to a courageous man and to our allies in Iraq, just what allies do you intend to utilize in YOUR nebulous plan for Iraq. Are the people of Iraq and their interim leader not entitled to your respect?


42 posted on 09/25/2004 6:52:17 PM PDT by Dat Mon (clever tagline under construction)
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To: longtermmemmory

I have no idea why people are posting things from the blog of my mildly insane ex-law professor.


43 posted on 09/25/2004 6:54:41 PM PDT by July 4th (You need to click "Abstimmen")
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To: Dat Mon
This flap over Alawi is a figure of the end game for both sides.

Kerry has read the polls and concluded he cannot win after the Swift Boat Veterans had stripped him naked and revealed him not to be a hero but an opportunist. Nothing he attempted predicated upon this false image would be accepted by the American people. Hence, Kerry has moved to new ground. If he is to be labeled as a anti war candidate, he might as well harvest the left wing support there and motivate the base.

In addition, Kerry knows he can count on the media to carry him as long as this election is Vietnam redux. So Kerry must paint Iraq as a quagmire and the press will amplify the message.

So, Kerry attacks Alawi as part of a hopeless cause. Bush counterattacks that Kerry is undermining the war. Thanks to the Swifties Bush can credibly make this argument without serious backlash.

As long as the debate is not whether Iraq is a quagmire but whether Kerry is undermining the war, or even whether Bush is unfair in the criticism, Kerry loses. This will be the pattern for the next six weeks with Kerry looking to break out of this stalemate before it is too late. Expect him to try something dramatic to make this case in the first debate which is the only debate about foreign policy. If Kerry cannot change the dynamic in the first debate, he has no other real opportunity and must pray for an intervening event, like Madrid, which will determine the election.

Look also for the press to try to bust Kerry out of this box, probably with the quagmire argument. They thought they had another prison scandal with the Guard duty business but that might have been their last chance.

44 posted on 09/26/2004 2:00:43 AM PDT by nathanbedford
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To: Rubber Duck

When Kerry loses, what was the turning point?
When he came out at the DNC, saluted, and said, John Kerry reporting for duty. IMO it was over at that moment.


45 posted on 09/26/2004 2:10:11 AM PDT by PJBlogger (Revenge of the PajamaBloggers....coming soon to a screen near you)
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To: billorites

If Bush were paying Kerry to lose, he would be getting his money's worth several times over.


46 posted on 09/26/2004 2:10:31 AM PDT by EaglesUpForever
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