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Overnight S&P 500 stock index breaks after Kerry named winner by several media instant polls
Bloomberg TV

Posted on 09/30/2004 8:17:23 PM PDT by ElRushbo

If there is any doubt what a Kerry win would mean to the investor class, you only have to look at the immediate 3 point break in the Overnight S&P 500 trade. The market broke 3 full points as soon as the media instant polls were reported showing a win for Kerry


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1 posted on 09/30/2004 8:17:24 PM PDT by ElRushbo
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To: ElRushbo

what instant polls?


2 posted on 09/30/2004 8:22:53 PM PDT by cajungirl (Jammies Up!!)
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To: ElRushbo

someone ought to call CSPAN and make people aware of what this means---


3 posted on 09/30/2004 8:23:17 PM PDT by ElRushbo (Harley Riders against Elton John)
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To: cajungirl

CBS insatnt poll declared Kerry the winner


4 posted on 09/30/2004 8:23:45 PM PDT by ElRushbo (Harley Riders against Elton John)
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To: ElRushbo

What was market response to hurricanes, or possibly iraqi oil line sabotage as a comparison?


5 posted on 09/30/2004 8:24:09 PM PDT by pipecorp ("never know where you're going till you get there." the philosopher Insectus Harem)
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To: ElRushbo

The market is usually totally dead this time of night. The media always will hide the fact that a Kerry win would trash the stock market. During the Gore Florida lawsuit frenzy, every pro-Gore news collapsed the market, and every pro-Bush news rallied it big. CNBC would sit there and say "look at this wild volitility", but would never admit to it's viewers that the market was trading off a fear of a Bush loss. The media will never tell the truth this time either.


6 posted on 09/30/2004 8:24:41 PM PDT by RandDisciple
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To: ElRushbo

Didn't the Kerry campaign say to spin, spin, spin?


7 posted on 09/30/2004 8:25:06 PM PDT by BunnySlippers ("F" Stands for FLIP-FLOP ...)
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To: ElRushbo

Was there ever any doubt?

Money will be lost everywhere, for the common good.

Are you THE ElRushbo, or do you just want to get lots of replies from the girls? :^)


8 posted on 09/30/2004 8:25:19 PM PDT by JudyinCanada
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To: ElRushbo
I was surprised by how stable the futures were during the debate. The S&P is headed down now, as you say, but I'm not sure if the timing is suspicious or not.
9 posted on 09/30/2004 8:26:53 PM PDT by steve86
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To: ElRushbo
CBS insatnt poll declared Kerry the winner

I like my news from reputable sources. What do you expect DNC-BS to say?

10 posted on 09/30/2004 8:27:37 PM PDT by Colonel_Flagg ("The Earthling has stolen the Space Modulator!" - either Marvin the Martian or Dan Rather)
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To: ElRushbo

***CBS insatnt poll declared Kerry the winner***

Was the poll forged? =P


11 posted on 09/30/2004 8:28:09 PM PDT by Zeppelin
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To: cajungirl
ABC flash poll said people think Kerry won the debate (something like 43% Kerry, 37% Bush, though I can't find the numbers online yet), but that nobody's minds were changed in terms of who they think they'll vote for. Bush is still ahead.
12 posted on 09/30/2004 8:28:18 PM PDT by Dont Mention the War (Calvinism Fever: Catch It! (Or don't. It's not like it's going to do you any good anyway...))
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To: BearWash

The S&P is headed down now, as you say, but I'm not sure if the timing is suspicious or not.

--

Its the media spin. Bush did not do as bad as the MSM is portraying it.


13 posted on 09/30/2004 8:28:49 PM PDT by BoBToMatoE
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To: ElRushbo

**CBS insatnt poll declared Kerry the winner**

And why should we believe CBS?


14 posted on 09/30/2004 8:30:04 PM PDT by Salvation (†With God all things are possible.†)
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To: ElRushbo

Instant polls are bogus because the DNC sent out mass emails today with all the URLs and talking points and URL for the votes this afternoon, telling everyone to get their votes ready to fire the minute the debate was over. No one cares about internet polls!


15 posted on 09/30/2004 8:30:05 PM PDT by Eva
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To: Dont Mention the War

Exactly, babe!! Hell, I'm for Bush but I'll admit- Kerry won the debate.....well, more like Bush handed it to him by being too passive.... I dont think many minds were changed by this


16 posted on 09/30/2004 8:34:34 PM PDT by LeftyCrusher
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To: Eva

3 points is nothing...it will take a few days to shake this thing out...and they will still have Dubya ahead. relax.


17 posted on 09/30/2004 8:34:40 PM PDT by Keith (JOHN KERRY...IN VIOLATION OF ARTICLE III SECTION 3 OF THE US CONSTITUTION)
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To: Colonel_Flagg
Or to put it more succinctly: What do you expect the
DemocRat
Nationalistic
Committee
Broadcast
Service
to say?
;^>
18 posted on 09/30/2004 8:35:14 PM PDT by TeleStraightShooter (Kerry plans to graff post-Vietnam policy on Iraq: Cut funding and let the Syrian Baathists take over)
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To: BoBToMatoE

This is not random. The market doesnt move like this at 11PM-- the market knows the debates went bad for Bush and knows Kerry may pick up a few points in the polls. A kerry win is devestating to the US economy.


19 posted on 09/30/2004 8:36:39 PM PDT by ElRushbo (Harley Riders against Elton John)
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To: ElRushbo

The markets are responding to the spin. Do not watch the polls over the next 48 hours, but the next week or so.


20 posted on 09/30/2004 8:39:11 PM PDT by BoBToMatoE
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To: ElRushbo
CBS insatnt poll declared Kerry the winner

And that was even before the debate.

21 posted on 09/30/2004 8:41:04 PM PDT by DaBroasta (Stop the hate--vote Republican)
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To: BoBToMatoE

Yep...dont worry!!....some of ya'll on here are too uppity!! Relax!

I'm turnin off the pundits, pourin me some Jack&Coke, sayin a prayer for our Great Commander-in-Chief, and havin confidence that good will prevail. :)


22 posted on 09/30/2004 8:44:10 PM PDT by LeftyCrusher
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To: ElRushbo
CBS insatnt poll declared Kerry the winner

There was a time when that might have meant something.

23 posted on 09/30/2004 8:44:46 PM PDT by Grim
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To: ElRushbo
"The market broke 3 full points as soon as the media instant polls were reported showing a win for Kerry

That is a minor change. Only 30 DJI points at most.

24 posted on 09/30/2004 8:47:11 PM PDT by shrinkermd
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To: Colonel_Flagg
I like my news from reputable sources.

Suggested motto for CBS News:

"At CBS we get our information from reliable White Horse souses."

25 posted on 09/30/2004 8:54:54 PM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: Keith

The RNC is putting out a statement on the fact that Kerry lied when he said that he never used that word. They have quotes by Kerry saying that Bush lied.


26 posted on 09/30/2004 8:58:35 PM PDT by Eva
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To: Dont Mention the War
INSTANT POLLS ARE A JOKE..HEEEELLO PEOPLE!!!!! YOU HAVE PEOPLE SITTING THERE WATCHING THE MSM SAY "KERRY WON" THEN LOW AND BEHOLD THE PHONE RINGS "WHO DO YOU THINK WON THE DEBATE"....it is ludicrous!!
27 posted on 09/30/2004 9:54:30 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: ElRushbo

Markets LOVE certainty. John Kerry reeks of uncertainty.


28 posted on 09/30/2004 9:56:04 PM PDT by Kryptonite
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To: TeleStraightShooter

I like yours better. :)


29 posted on 09/30/2004 9:56:35 PM PDT by Colonel_Flagg ("The Earthling has stolen the Space Modulator!" - either Marvin the Martian or Dan Rather)
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To: ElRushbo

Yeeeha! Good stock prices for the buying tommorrow!


30 posted on 09/30/2004 9:57:05 PM PDT by right way right
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To: grey_whiskers

Well, that would certainly explain a few things, wouldn't it?


31 posted on 09/30/2004 9:57:10 PM PDT by Colonel_Flagg ("The Earthling has stolen the Space Modulator!" - either Marvin the Martian or Dan Rather)
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To: ElRushbo
It's means if the Whitehouse switches politcal parties, the market does an el dumpo. It happens everytime around presdential election time...nothing new about that.

What is new is: this will trigger the credit bubble to implode which is weighed down by a record huge deficit. Then your going to see the el dumpo of all el dumpos and will make Black Monday look like a day at Disneyland.

So elect spendthrift taxamania Kerry and watch the economy fall into the abyss...

32 posted on 09/30/2004 10:32:13 PM PDT by Rain-maker
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To: ElRushbo

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1232070/posts?page=1,20

Kerry Lied in Debate
gop.com ^ | 9-30-04 | GOP.COM


Posted on 09/30/2004 8:23:01 PM PDT by Bronco_Buster_FweetHyagh


KERRY CLAIMS HE'S "NEVER, EVER" USED WORD "LYING" IN REFERENCE TO PRESIDENT BUSH ON IRAQ.



JIM LEHRER: "New question, Senator Kerry. Two minutes. You've repeatedly accused President Bush, not here tonight but elsewhere before, of not telling the truth about Iraq. Essentially, of lying to the American people about Iraq. Give us some examples of what you consider to be his not telling the truth."
SEN. KERRY: "Well, I've never, ever used the harshest word as you just did." (Sen. John Kerry, First Presidential Debate, Miami, FL, 9/30/04)



BUT IN DECEMBER 2003, KERRY TOLD NEW HAMPSHIRE EDITORIAL BOARD BUSH "LIED" ABOUT REASON FOR GOING TO WAR IN IRAQ. "Kerry also told a New Hampshire newspaper editorial board Friday that Bush had 'lied' about his reasons for going to war in Iraq, a word Kerry has been reluctant to use publicly for months. Yesterday he said he did not plan to use the word again." (Patrick Healy, "Kerry Camp Lowers N.H. Expectations Behind In Polls, Senator Now Seeks Spot In 'Top Two,'" The Boston Globe, 12/8/03)



AND IN SEPTEMBER 2003, KERRY SAID BUSH ADMINISTRATION "LIED" AND "MISLED." "This administration has lied to us. They have misled us. And they have broken their promises to us. The president promised to the people and the Congress that he would build an international coalition, respect the United Nations' process and only go to war as a last resort. I will tell you that from my war fighting experience, I believe there is a test for a president as to how you go to war. And that test is whether or not you can look in the eyes of parents and say to them, 'I did everything possible to avoid the loss of your son and daughter, but we had no other choice in order to protect the security of our nation,' and I know this president fails that test in Iraq." (Sen. John Kerry, Campaign Event, Claremont, NH, 9/20/03)




I think that GW and his team decided to let Kerry just go for it during the first 2/3's.

The Republicans have fact checkers vetting every answer, response and utterance that Kerry made tonight.

We will see many of those answers, responses, and utternances in hard hitting ads for our side.

This will set the stage for debates 2 and 3. If Kerry repeats himself re bad answers, responses and utterances in debate #2, he will have defeated himself with his own mouth. Kerry's responses will become great ads for GW.


33 posted on 09/30/2004 11:07:28 PM PDT by Grampa Dave (When will the ABCNNBC BS lunatic libs stop Rathering to Americans? Answer: NEVER!)
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To: ElRushbo; Remember_Salamis

The latest line on the Iwoa Electronic Market Numbers indicate a debate win for GW"

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1232235/posts

Latest IEM Electronic Market Numbers In (Bush Reverses Pre-Debate Decline, wins "Debate Day"
Iowa Electronic Market ^ | September 30th, 2004 | Remember_Salamis


Posted on 09/30/2004 10:32:18 PM PDT by Remember_Salamis

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1232235/posts


34 posted on 09/30/2004 11:11:32 PM PDT by Grampa Dave (When will the ABCNNBC BS lunatic libs stop Rathering to Americans? Answer: NEVER!)
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To: ElRushbo
A kerry win is devestating to the US economy.

But it would be a big boost to the French economy!
35 posted on 09/30/2004 11:25:07 PM PDT by mugs99 (Restore the Constitution)
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To: Grampa Dave

The market is a better reflection on the public opinion than those corrupted polls.

Money talks and b.s. walks...

Watch the Nasdaq and Dow at the open will tell you who is viewed as the victor...


36 posted on 09/30/2004 11:26:11 PM PDT by Rain-maker
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To: Rain-maker

The latest line on the Iwoa Electronic Market Numbers indicate a debate win for GW"

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1232235/posts

Latest IEM Electronic Market Numbers In (Bush Reverses Pre-Debate Decline, wins "Debate Day"
Iowa Electronic Market ^ | September 30th, 2004 | Remember_Salamis


Posted on 09/30/2004 10:32:18 PM PDT by Remember_Salamis

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1232235/posts



37 posted on 09/30/2004 11:30:20 PM PDT by Grampa Dave (When will the ABCNNBC BS lunatic libs stop Rathering to Americans? Answer: NEVER!)
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To: Eva
Instant polls are bogus because the DNC sent out mass emails today with all the URLs and talking points and URL for the votes this afternoon, telling everyone to get their votes ready to fire the minute the debate was over. No one cares about internet polls!

I hope that this is reported on Fox and others tommorrow. They need to publish the DNC marching email orders.

38 posted on 09/30/2004 11:40:50 PM PDT by Irish Eyes
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thats it then. we simply have to put up a thread to "freep" ever single poll there is.


39 posted on 09/30/2004 11:48:23 PM PDT by KneelBeforeZod (Deus Lo Volt!)
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well maybe that will drop terezas fortune down a couple billion. guess who will be sleeping in a seperate hotel room again


40 posted on 09/30/2004 11:50:19 PM PDT by KneelBeforeZod (Deus Lo Volt!)
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To: ElRushbo

Three points. That ain't much. I'm dubious about these things being connected.


41 posted on 10/01/2004 2:22:33 AM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: LeftyCrusher
Don't misunderestimate Bush's strategery in political matters. The debate was a rope a dope, with Kerry the partisan attacking Bush the statesman.
42 posted on 10/01/2004 2:32:29 AM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: shrinkermd; BoBToMatoE

that was 3 points on the S&P... in the middle of the night. thats not minor. when was last time S&P lost 3 points in the middle of the night?


43 posted on 10/01/2004 5:38:41 AM PDT by gdc61
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To: RandDisciple
The media always will hide the fact that a Kerry win would trash the stock market.

Not Fox News. A few days ago their panel all agreed that a Kerry win would be a disaster for the market.

44 posted on 10/01/2004 5:47:33 AM PDT by snopercod ("I'm so proud to be a part of this great mass deception" --Frank Zappa)
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To: ElRushbo

I was wondering about this. It will be interesting to see what happens today.


45 posted on 10/01/2004 5:54:47 AM PDT by Kenton ("Life is tough, and it's really tough when you're stupid" - Damon Runyon)
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To: ElRushbo

Fox News just had it reverse (one of the Cashin In guys was one). He said Wall Street will decide who won by it's movement.
If Wall Street goes up, the incumbent won the debate.
If Wall Street goes down, the candidate won the debate.
It makes more sense that way, as everyone knows uncertainty would bring down the market, and consistency would not.


46 posted on 10/01/2004 5:54:55 AM PDT by mabelkitty (Troll-Patrol! You've been warned.)
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To: ElRushbo

Anyone - all of us included - that declare a winner in a political debate are only communicating what they thought before the debate started. In the case of the media, we know where they stand.


47 posted on 10/01/2004 5:57:14 AM PDT by IamConservative (A man who stands for nothing will fall for anything.)
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To: gdc61

The S&P futures as of this morning (8:00 CDT) are up 4.4. The futures commonly vary more than this in a 24 hour period amd then resume close to the previous day's level.


48 posted on 10/01/2004 6:06:01 AM PDT by shrinkermd
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To: shrinkermd

so that means there was a 7+ point shift. is that normal?


49 posted on 10/01/2004 6:22:23 AM PDT by gdc61
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To: RandDisciple

Fox has been reporting time and time again that a Kerry win will be a disaster for the markets. Don't people hear this anywhere else?


50 posted on 10/01/2004 6:28:41 AM PDT by sarasota
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