Bush 51 - Kerry 46

ABC Poll | October 4, 2004

[blackie]

The DNC, DU, Move-on, etc, sent out blast emails to all Dims to call, email and vote in all polls ~ they submitted the phone numbers, email addys and other ways to communicate.

It will GWB in a landslide if work hard for his re-election.

Be Ever Vigilant!

[Bombard]

This is the poll that Rush referenced toward the end of his show today.

[Petronski]

I grant thee . . . . Snausages!

[BoBToMatoE]

I thought it was a "NEW RACE" and a "DEAD HEAT." HAHAAHHHA!

This is what I thought was going to happen. This is what almost ALWAYS happens during debates. Kerry got a small boost out of the debate. The MSM is doing nothing more than trying to create some sort of momentum of sKerry.

Its time to buckle down guys and donate to the RNC and lets finish this.

[teletech]

I told you that fourteen seconds earlier! ;O)

OK, you get a YEEEEEEEEEEEHAWWWWWW!! :)

[Ravi]

This article makes mention of the supposed surge in registration and includes many of these people in their samples. It did not change the overall horserace. Bush still ahead by 5 with RV and LV. Go Dubya!

[Caipirabob]

MY-TFine news/post.

Thank you!!!

[MMkennedy]

HOW slow the dinosaur media is. FOX, as much as I love em, is just about to air yet another segment on how "Bush's lead in the polls has disappeared." They should really hire someone to monitor FR.

[reformedliberal]

The Kool-Aide voters also annoyed the media, big time. (G)

[bigjoesaddle]

Why does Newsweek get away with, ELECTION AFTER ELECTION, doing biased polls?

[VadeRetro]

So, despite the fond hopes of the "image is everything" people, relatively FEW debate viewers just look at the pictures and don't listen to the words! Kerry sways the deaf vote!?

[Cosmo]

Not sure what Petronski requires, but my Jack Russell knows that, at my utterance of the now legendary "Snausages!" refrin, that he need only get up on his hind legs and spin around a couple of times.

Not sure if you're up for all that, but I extend the offer nonetheless

[Zack Nguyen]

Why thank you!

[MichelleWSC]

I have a Jack Russell too!! They are the smartest most energetic dogs I've ever seen.

[MNJohnnie]

OH OH, Troll even MORE bad news.

[plushaye]

ABC Poll: What they don't tell you in the spin so you have to pull out of the data they post:

Kerry is viewed less favorably now than on July 25 (47%-49%)
Bush has about the same favorability as in July (53%-54%)
Kerry gained 1 POINT between this poll and pre-debate (LV 45% -> 46%)
Bush lost NO points between this poll and last (LV 51%)
Bush lost NO points with his job approval rating (53%)

Bush has same enthusiasm among his supporters as he had on August 1 (57% - down from 65%). Now Kerry has a 50% enthusiasm among supporters (up from 42%) but DOWN from 59% on August 1.

Bush still trusted 52% to 41% to lead on Iraq - unchanged from pre-debate. Bush still trusted 54% to 38% - unchanged from pre-debate - to lead on terrorism. Iraq and terrorism now beat the economy as top issues voters are worried about. 52% to 40% say Kerry does NOT have a clear plan on Iraq OR terrorism.

Bush
- stronger leader - 58% to 37% unchanged from pre-debate
- more honest - 50% to 39% unchanged from pre-debate
- make country more secure - 52% to 40% unchanged
- better qualified as CiC - 52% to 43%

- women for Bush -> TIE
- men for Bush -> 12 point lead
- independents for Bush -> TIE

Bottomline: internals for Kerry are really bad. There has been some slip for Bush and some gain for Kerry but these are not winning internals for Kerry!

[blackie]

Not as much as we annoy Dan Rather and his sycophants. :):)

Be Ever Vigilant!

[Petronski]

I JUST CRIBBED THESE RASMUSSEN RESULTS FROM duMMYLAND:

The 5 key battleground states have some mixed and curious results. Remember, these are 7 day rolling averages, so more than half the data is still pre-debate.

Florida, Bush 51%-47% (This is a 2 point Kerry gain from yesterday, and the fifth day in a row Bush has led.)

Michigan, Tie 46% (This represents identical numbers for the fifth day in a row)

Minnesota, Kerry 48%-46% (This is unchanged from yesterday and is 6 days in a row that Kerry has led here by either 1 or 2 points)

Ohio, Bush 48%-45% (This is the curious result to me. Bush did not gain, but Kerry dropped 2 points from yesterday, which is a Bush net of 2 points)

Pennsylvania, Bush 48%-46% (This is also a strange result. All I can think of is that large Kerry gains 7 and 8 days ago have left the poll, but one would think the huge debate bounce would kick in)

[BushisTheMan]

This poll was conducted by telephone Oct. 1-3 among a random national sample of 1,807 adults, including 1,470 registered voters and 1,169 likely voters. The results have a three-point error margin for the likely voter sample. ABC News and The Washington Post are sharing data collection for this tracking poll, then independently applying their own models to arrive at likely voter estimates.

Can anyone explain this? 1,807 adults sampled Including 1,470 registered voters 1,169 likely voters

Doesn't this make 2,639 voters sampled?

[ken5050]

I only take as gospel the Newsweek poll..