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NATIONAL POLL REPORTS ALMOST TWO-THIRDS OF AMERICANS BELIEVE PRESIDENT BUSH WILL BE RE-ELECTED!
P.R. Newswire ^ | 10/6/04

Posted on 10/06/2004 8:28:09 AM PDT by areafiftyone

On Media: CNN and Fox News Lead as Favorites

FAIRFIELD, Conn., Oct. 5 /PRNewswire/ -- A national poll released today by the Sacred Heart University Polling Institute indicates that despite who they plan to support on November 2, 2004, 69.9% believe President Bush will be re- elected, while 21.6% believe Senator Kerry will win.

The Election Today:
In an "election held today," President Bush would defeat Senator Kerry 48.4% to 43.3% among likely voters. Another 2.3% would support Ralph Nader, 5.3% remained undecided and 0.7% refused.

Surrogates:
Respondents were asked if they were aware of twenty different Bush and Kerry surrogate campaigners, such as U.S. Senator John McCain, former Vice President Al Gore, film maker Michael Moore, and radio/TV host Sean Hannity. Aware respondents were asked if they had a favorable or unfavorable impression of each.

The overall average favorable rating for the ten Bush campaign surrogates was 61.3% while the overall average favorable rating for the ten Kerry campaign surrogates was 51.2%.

The 2008 Presidential Election:
If the 2008 Presidential election "were held today," 50.8% of registered voters would expect to support U.S. Senator John McCain (R), and 36.7% would expect to support U.S. Senator Hillary Clinton (D). Some 8.6% are undecided and 0.8% refused.

If the Republican nominee was former New York City Mayor Rudy Guiliani, 55.0% would expect to support the former Mayor while 35.6% would expect to support U.S. Senator Hillary Clinton, the Democrat.

On Media & Politics:
Both CNN and Fox News appear be leading as favorites -- 26.6% and 22.4% -- when respondents anticipated who they plan to turn to for election 2004 coverage and reporting. These cable networks were followed by ABC News (11.7%), NBC News (10.5%), Local News (9.5%), PBS News (7.4%), CBS News (7.1%), MSNBC News (3.7%), CNBC (0.7%), and CBN (0.4%).

Only 13.0% suggest they believe "all" or "most" of media news reporting. Another 60.0% suggest they believe only "some," while 25.2% indicated they believe "little" or "none" of media reporting.

A large majority of survey respondents, 83.9%, suggest they strongly (51.2%) or somewhat agree (32.7%) that the news media have their own political and policy positions and attempt to influence public opinion.

One quarter of all respondents, 26.8%, suggest news media journalists are mostly moderate while 13.9% suggest they are mostly conservative and 40.1% indicated they are mostly liberal. Some, 19.2% were unsure.

A National Sales Tax:
Just one third of respondents, 35.4% strongly or somewhat support a move in Congress to scrap the Internal Revenue Service in favor of a new national sales tax. Another 44.1% are opposed. And 20.4% are unsure.

For full poll results or for further comment, contact Funda Alp at 203-685-6691.

The Sacred Heart University Polling Institute completed 1003 interviews nationwide. Phone interviews were conducted September 27 - October 2, 2004. The sample was proportional to population contribution in all 50 states. The sample of 1003 completed telephone interviews represents a margin for error of +/- 3.0% at a 95% confidence level.

Sacred Heart University is the first Catholic university in the United States to be led and staffed by lay people and the second-largest Catholic university in New England. Located in Fairfield, Connecticut, SHU has experienced twofold enrollment growth during the past ten years due to its outstanding academic programs in business, education, the liberal arts and the health sciences. Visit us online: http://www.sacredheart.edu


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2004; fourmoreyears; gwb2004; kewl; polls
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1 posted on 10/06/2004 8:28:09 AM PDT by areafiftyone
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To: areafiftyone; marblehead17

Interesting numbers, indeed.


2 posted on 10/06/2004 8:30:23 AM PDT by Darth Reagan (your lazy butts are in this too)
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To: areafiftyone
NATIONAL POLL REPORTS ALMOST TWO-THIRDS OF AMERICANS BELIEVE PRESIDENT BUSH WILL BE RE-ELECTED!

A national poll released today by the Sacred Heart University Polling Institute indicates that despite who they plan to support on November 2, 2004, 69.9% believe President Bush will be re- elected

Meanwhile, 70% of all Americans, or nearly half, need remedial math courses.

3 posted on 10/06/2004 8:30:39 AM PDT by TheBigB (I < heart > Sam McPherson!)
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To: Darth Reagan

The whole poll is interesting. Different to say the least!


4 posted on 10/06/2004 8:31:04 AM PDT by areafiftyone (Democrats = the hamster is dead but the wheel is still spinning)
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To: areafiftyone

Sounds like the school polled a lot of Republicans.

Not that there's anything wrong with that!

But the number for the prez are really big.


5 posted on 10/06/2004 8:31:23 AM PDT by RexBeach (Before God makes you greedy, he makes you stupid.)
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To: areafiftyone

Isn't 69.9 almost 3/4?


6 posted on 10/06/2004 8:31:56 AM PDT by The Hollywood Conservative
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To: The Hollywood Conservative

Less than three fourths really but not too much less!


7 posted on 10/06/2004 8:33:14 AM PDT by areafiftyone (Democrats = the hamster is dead but the wheel is still spinning)
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To: areafiftyone
Change it to Almost 3/4 and it will be more correct. Anyway, people tend not to vote for a loser (Kerry) if they know this info going into the voting booth.
8 posted on 10/06/2004 8:33:29 AM PDT by frog_jerk_2004
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To: RexBeach

Well they are Connecticut based and Connecticut is a very liberal state and is going totally for Kerry.


9 posted on 10/06/2004 8:33:55 AM PDT by areafiftyone (Democrats = the hamster is dead but the wheel is still spinning)
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To: areafiftyone
Only 13.0% suggest they believe "all" or "most" of media news reporting. Another 60.0% suggest they believe only "some," while 25.2% indicated they believe "little" or "none" of media reporting.

For further clarification go to the reporting by the mediots of last night's trip to the Woodshed....er tie!

Pray for W and Our Troops

10 posted on 10/06/2004 8:35:45 AM PDT by bray (Swifties Rock!!)
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To: areafiftyone

My husband's theory all along has been that no matter what some of these Dems tell the pollster (i.e. they identify their party as Dem and then feel obligated to say they're voting for Kerry), in the secret of the voting booth, they'll vote for a known (Bush) versus an unknown (Kerry).

That premise would account for these numbers.


11 posted on 10/06/2004 8:37:05 AM PDT by dawn53
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To: areafiftyone

It's only the media who doesn't get it.


12 posted on 10/06/2004 8:37:38 AM PDT by freeperfromnj
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To: areafiftyone
They didn't take into MASSIVE Dem. voter fraud in inner cities in pivotal states.

There still is a heck of alot of trouble ahead.

13 posted on 10/06/2004 8:38:57 AM PDT by beyond the sea (ab9usa4uandme)
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To: areafiftyone

Bush Bounce to the Top!

BBTTT!


14 posted on 10/06/2004 8:39:41 AM PDT by Salvation (†With God all things are possible.†)
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Comment #15 Removed by Moderator

To: The Hollywood Conservative
Isn't 69.9 almost 3/4?

Uh no offense -- but no.
3/4 is .75, so the 69.9 is 'closer' to 2/3 (.66667) but it's actually 7/10 (.70) when you 'round up' and drop the .9 decimal.

You did know this, right?

(again, NO offense)

16 posted on 10/06/2004 8:40:42 AM PDT by Condor51 (May God have mercy upon my enemies, I won't. -- Gen G. Patton Jr)
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To: areafiftyone

If you listen past the B.S. and talking points of most Democrats, you get the feeling they believe Pres. Bush will win too. It's just a matter of percentages, a big win would be devastating.


17 posted on 10/06/2004 8:40:59 AM PDT by BonnieJ
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To: Condor51

but 69.9 DEFINITELY wouldn't be "almost" 2/3s... It would be "more than 2/3ds...." So to retrain the phrase "Almost [fill in the number] think Bush will win." The logical choice would be 3/4s. No?


18 posted on 10/06/2004 8:43:18 AM PDT by The Hollywood Conservative
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To: RexBeach

No, there's a bunch of Dems who think Bush will win anyway.


19 posted on 10/06/2004 8:43:45 AM PDT by Barney Gumble (http://purveyors-of-truth.blogspot.com/)
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To: frog_jerk_2004
Anyway, people tend not to vote for a loser (Kerry) if they know this info going into the voting booth.

That is exactly right. Liberals know this because they have been pulling this trick for years. Everyone wants to be the person who voted for the winner. It even happens in the past. JFK barely won in 1960, yet everyone seems to now claimed they voted for him. Conversely, Nixon won two elections, one by a monumental landslide, but now you can't find any swing voters who voted for him when obviously they all did.

20 posted on 10/06/2004 8:44:04 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator (I am poster #48)
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