Skip to comments.TIPP Tracking poll 10/15/04 Bush 47% Kerry 44, Bush 47%-43% 2 way.
Posted on 10/15/2004 9:13:31 AM PDT by slowhand520
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Kerry has no way to recoup, this is it for Kerry.
Best of all, his extra month on the $70 million now reaches crunch time. He's Out Of Money.
I'm going to give my opinion on something. If you see any poll that has Nader with more than 1% of the vote, the poll has way too many liberals in it. Or conservatives are messing with the pollsters heads.
Only slight negative is that this is unchanged from yesterday.
I'd like to see the internals of this. Looks like the 4 point spread is reliable. Good news.
The big MO is with GWB. Rasmussen shows it at 49.0 to 45.5 as of today and Zogby has it at 48 to 44. Both pollsters state that the undecideds are moving to the President.
Guess Kerry should have lied and said he loved his wife.
somewhere, somehow, Gallup is revising mathematical models and demographic algoritms to be able to show a Kerry lead pulling away before the sunday news shows... Bet Me.
Bush Bounce to the top!
There is always that 30 year-old DUI they could bring up on election eve. Oh wait, they already tried that trick.
Lets let the Mary Cheney Gaffe start snow balling and I think W will increase his lead. Everytime Dick Morris says Bush is in trouble there is always a poll that shows the opposite.
Which is typical in a Presidential election.
Kerry lost the election Wednesday night.
One thing of note on the site, the poll is a 4-day rolling average. That seems kinda high to me, 3-day seems like a good compromise to catch trends and not blip all over the map too. But this means that Bush is holding steady with some old data in there too, so he could easily gain ground when all new days roll into the poll.
"October 11-14 tracking poll was conducted with 810 likely voters."
From your lips to God's ears.
Having said that, let's be careful...we know that national polls are not accurate indicators of the state of this race. Give the tendencies of the pollsters and their clients, it would not be suprising to see the polls swing to Kerry.
What matters is what is happening in the States with GOTV and where the candidates are campaigning.
Right now, those observations favor us - the battle is being fought, primarily, in states that Gore won in 2000.
That's a sucker bet. :)
You're right on the money. I'd wager that Zogby has Kerry back in the lead by next Friday.
Looks like the markets are coming back too
I said don't get too down when we were down and now im saying dont get too up
That's 3 showing Bush leading..is that why kerry is shouting 'draft'?
It is good to see the polls moving our way; HOWEVER, let us not get over-confident. Remeber all those disgusting Democratic 527's still have a lot of money and the MSM is in sheer panic (Katie Couric is despondent) that they will try anything to prop up their puppet. I also think they the MaryGate (Mary Cheney gaffe) is hurting Kerry. Also, I have high hopes that the Swift Vets and other anti-Kerry VIetnam Vets have the final blow ready to give him the coup d'grace and send Kerry into a tailspin.
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