Posted on 10/15/2004 11:41:32 AM PDT by Jeff Head
I think this election is perhaps not quite as close as the 2000 election. But I think Kerry is much more devious. He'll probably declare victory even before the networks announce a winner.
Several small things are in our favor this time around that could add up to make all the difference:
Veterans are energized.
Gun owners that sat out 2000 are coming out for the President. (George Will said that there are 4MM NRA members.)
"Security Moms" that might have gone for Democrats in the past over social issues are voting for Bush.
I think women in general have their eyes on Laura and Theresa and so long as Laura remains Laura, there will be a boost for the President over the last election.
I think Christians in general will be stronger for the President this time around. Kerry isn't nearly as good at faking a Christian spirit as Bill was. Moreover, he does that weird bow with pressed hands in church that makes him disinegnuous as heck.
But it will all be for naught if folks don't vote.
Please, people, just show up and vote on November 2! Bush isn't 5 points ahead, he's 5 points BEHIND! (I'm factoring for 'RAT CHEATING!)
Because it likely does.
My Dad taught me to work like everything depends on you and to pray like everyhting depends on God in Heaven...because it does.
Arnold is heading for Ohio to campaign for the President
Even Cher couldn't draw a crowd for sKerry at a moveon.org bash according to Drudge.
That, and the fact that Unfit for Commad was #1 on the NYT for so long are very encouraging indicators.
I like the way you think, Jeff.
I believe it could even be higher. I'd love to see Bush get 350 or 400!
Idaho will be overwhelmingly Bush...by 30+ points. No surprizes here.
I can't understand why people continue to say that Iowa will go to Kerry! I am an Iowan. Bush lost Iowa very narrowly last time when he was un unknown quantity. He will NOT lose it again. Iowans love incumbents, Bush is an Iowa kind of guy, Kerry is definitely NOT an Iowa kind of guy. Bush will take Iowa, and it won't be all that close, either. There! I said it! So there!
I sure like looking at this map!
I'm hoping even more of it is true blue American, like 350 to 400 EVs.
I'm still undecided. I'm leaning towards Bush. How much longer do I have to send in my absentee ballot?
Take your time! ;-)
Now that I think about it, it would have been much funnier if I had said I was leaning towards Kerry. I wish I could re-edit it! LOL!
I had hoped that more people would be turned away from Kerry due to his own anti-American activities, due to OBL in effect supporting him that week, and because his last attempt at Bush over the weapons dump was proven so patently false.
What happened was that the GOP energized its base to a much, much greater degree than the DNC...and they energized their own base as well.
In short...my predictions were, sadly, too optimistic.
Now, we have got to keep pluggin' and getting ready for 2006 and 2008.
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