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Bush Up By 5 in Oregon (Bush 48-Kerry 43???)
Real Clear Politics ^

Posted on 10/15/2004 1:43:52 PM PDT by Lunatic Fringe

Edited on 10/15/2004 1:53:42 PM PDT by Admin Moderator. [history]

Report in PDF format

Some other items:

Wu 58%, Ameri 36%

Measure 34 (Tillamook Forest lockup): Yes 39%, No 27%

Measure 36 (Preserve Traditional Marriage): Yes 57%, No 36%


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Oregon
KEYWORDS: battleground; kewl; polls; purplestates
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1 posted on 10/15/2004 1:43:52 PM PDT by Lunatic Fringe
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To: Jack Black

Looks like things may be turning your way!


2 posted on 10/15/2004 1:45:03 PM PDT by Jeff Head (www.dragonsfuryseries.com)
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To: Lunatic Fringe

Just wait. The Kerry dead cat bounce is over, and his freefall begins now.


3 posted on 10/15/2004 1:45:15 PM PDT by counterpunch (The CouNTeRPuNcH Collection - www.counterpunch.us)
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To: Lunatic Fringe

Unbelievable if true. Picking off even one of those left coast states would have to be considered an upset.


4 posted on 10/15/2004 1:45:30 PM PDT by chimera
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To: Lunatic Fringe

Are you kidding???????


5 posted on 10/15/2004 1:45:59 PM PDT by conservativepoet
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To: Lunatic Fringe

It was very tight in Oregon in 2000. This might be real.


6 posted on 10/15/2004 1:46:15 PM PDT by Publius
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To: Publius

It's a Riley poll....heard of them but don't know much more


7 posted on 10/15/2004 1:46:51 PM PDT by traderrob6
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To: Jeff Head

If this is true, then Patty Murray is in big trouble next door...


8 posted on 10/15/2004 1:47:13 PM PDT by ken5050
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To: Lunatic Fringe
Um...it doesn't look like the RCP average is looking that way....

Poll | Date
Sample
MoE
Bush
Kerry
Nader
Spread
RCP Average | 10/9-10/13
-
-
45.3
48.3
1.5
Kerry +3.0

What part of Kerry +3.0 was confusing?

9 posted on 10/15/2004 1:47:24 PM PDT by mattdono ("Crush the democrats, drive them before you, and hear the lamentations of the scumbags" -Big Arnie)
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To: SAMWolf

Sam?? =O


10 posted on 10/15/2004 1:47:26 PM PDT by TheBigB (OPEN YOUR EYES, Clark Kent! You belong with CHLOE!)
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To: Lunatic Fringe

ARG and SurveyUSA are skewed way left.

This seems plausible, considering that Bush's first stop after the debate was Oregon.


11 posted on 10/15/2004 1:47:38 PM PDT by Question Liberal Authority (Visualize Smaller Government)
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To: Lunatic Fringe

I find this VERY hard to believe.

But, if we win Oregon, we win the election because it would mean other liberal states would have to be close as well.


12 posted on 10/15/2004 1:48:00 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (BYPASS FORCED WEB REGISTRATION! **** http://www.bugmenot.com ****)
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To: Lunatic Fringe

Is this the Oregon that is attached to the continental part of the USA?


13 posted on 10/15/2004 1:48:28 PM PDT by VOA
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To: mattdono

It's a Riley poll just out....RCP average is a average of all polls....understand???


14 posted on 10/15/2004 1:48:39 PM PDT by traderrob6
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To: Lunatic Fringe

The poll showing W up is Riley Research. I've never even heard of them.

However, I do think Oregon is in play.


15 posted on 10/15/2004 1:48:50 PM PDT by RockinRight (John Kerry is the wrong candidate, for the wrong country, at the wrong time)
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To: Lunatic Fringe

5% MoE


16 posted on 10/15/2004 1:49:23 PM PDT by RWR8189 (Its Morning in America Again!)
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To: Lunatic Fringe
I'm not sure if this is the state of the race in Oregon, but the data from the last 24 hours shows a monumental collapse for the sKerry campaign. If it is a Bush landslide, Oregon will be one of the blue states to turn red.
17 posted on 10/15/2004 1:49:32 PM PDT by Clump
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To: mattdono

RCP is an average of the last 3 polls. The latest poll in the RCP Oregon average (Riley) has Bush up 5. The other 2 are by left-skewed organizations that produced some very inaccurate predictions in 2002 Senate races.


18 posted on 10/15/2004 1:49:40 PM PDT by Question Liberal Authority (Visualize Smaller Government)
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To: Lunatic Fringe
The polls against same sex marriage up there could make this poll accurate. Lord, I pray it is true and that we will see sKerry drop in the polls like a rock in a pond!
19 posted on 10/15/2004 1:49:43 PM PDT by Woogit
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To: Lunatic Fringe

Real Clear Politics has been, consistently, a very conservative, true-to-form web site. I'd trust him over Zogby...Hugh Hewitt has him on his show a lot.


20 posted on 10/15/2004 1:49:45 PM PDT by Brad’s Gramma (If you live in B-I-G glass houses, don't throw stones)
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