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In Israel, Bush Soundly Defeats Kerry
Center for Public Opinion ^ | October 15, 2004 | Staff

Posted on 10/16/2004 6:43:03 AM PDT by veronica

(CPOD) Oct. 15, 2004 – Many Israeli adults want George W. Bush to earn a second term as president of the United States, according to a poll by Dialog published in Haaretz. 50 per cent of respondents want the Republican incumbent to win the Nov. 2 election, while 24 per cent would choose Democratic nominee John Kerry.

In April, Bush backed the "Disengagement Plan" tabled by Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon, which calls for the redeployment of forces along new security lines, as well as changes in settlements to reduce the number of Israelis living among Palestinians. 40 per cent of respondents say their opinion about the U.S. is better than it was three years ago.

Kerry has vowed to provide "genuine resolve and direct personal involvement to ending the Israeli-Palestinian conflict."

Polling Data

Who would you prefer to win the presidential election in the United States on Nov. 2 - Republican George W. Bush or Democrat John Kerry?

George W. Bush (R) 50%

John Kerry (D) 24%

Either / Neither/ Unsure 26%

Over the past three years, would you say your opinion about the U.S. is better or worse?

Better 40%

Worse 26%

Source: Dialog / Haaretz Methodology: Telephone interviews to 522 Israeli adults, conducted on Sept. 22 and Sept. 23, 2004. Margin of error is 4.38 per cent.


TOPICS: Extended News; Foreign Affairs; Israel; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: allyisrael; bushally; defeatjihadism; jewishvote; wot
There are many Americans living in Israel who can vote in the US election. :))
1 posted on 10/16/2004 6:43:03 AM PDT by veronica
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To: veronica

I wish the American Jewish community would reflect on thier historic roots and vote sensibly.


2 posted on 10/16/2004 6:43:49 AM PDT by tomnbeverly (If John Kerry wins I guess I'll see ya in the Bread Lines)
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To: veronica

Does anybody know how these numbers compare to Bush vs Gore in 2000?


3 posted on 10/16/2004 6:45:15 AM PDT by codercpc
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To: codercpc

Are you kidding? With Joe Lieberman on the ticket? My guess is it was 3-1 for Gore in 2000.


4 posted on 10/16/2004 6:47:14 AM PDT by Dems_R_Losers (Proud to be a Reagan Alumna!)
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To: veronica

Polling also indicates that Kerry would run away with the election if it were held in France. That's all I need to know about Kerry and the French.

JFK...take a hint, move to France....they have be best whine.


5 posted on 10/16/2004 6:47:17 AM PDT by ArmedNReady (George Bush has Wood for the Democrats)
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To: codercpc

If there is any country in the world that has had security issues to deal with, it's Israel.


6 posted on 10/16/2004 6:47:27 AM PDT by austinaero
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To: codercpc

I think Bush is much more popular with Jews now than he was in 2000. In the US and in Israel.


7 posted on 10/16/2004 6:47:45 AM PDT by veronica ("Not all Muslims are terrorists, but almost all terrorists are Muslims." Abdulrahman Al-Rashed)
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To: veronica

Saw a news report the other night.

Lots of Israeli's who have dual citizenship are casting absentee ballots for Bush.

It was noted that these folks had never voted in an American election since immigrating to Israel, but felt that this time it was important.

If I'm not mistaken, Israel has one of the largest concentrations of ex-pats of any country in the world.

Here's an interesting link:

http://northernva.typepad.com/crossing_the_rubicon/2004/09/american_voters.html

And excerpt from that link:

"Both parties estimate at least a doubling in the number of people casting ballots from 2000. In that election, 14,000 Americans in Israel registered, most of whom voted.

Well over 100,000 Israeli residents are eligible to vote in the election by the parties' tallies.

If the numbers prove correct, that will put Israel among the top three - if not No. 1 - in terms of expatriate Americans participating in the contest, according to Mark Alan Zober, chairman of the Democrats Abroad in Israel"



8 posted on 10/16/2004 6:48:12 AM PDT by dawn53
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To: tomnbeverly
I wish the American Jewish community would reflect on thier historic roots and vote sensibly

All polls show that Bush will get 15%-20% more of the Jewish vote than he did in 2000. .....an election year where over 50% of Jews under 30 voted for him.

9 posted on 10/16/2004 6:48:17 AM PDT by Mr. Mojo
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To: Mr. Mojo

Good...grassroots efforts need to help sway the generation of FDR... John Kerry is the total opposite of FDR.


10 posted on 10/16/2004 6:50:37 AM PDT by tomnbeverly (If John Kerry wins I guess I'll see ya in the Bread Lines)
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Comment #11 Removed by Moderator

To: veronica
Since Bush came into office the Israelis have been quite less restrained in their dealings with terrorists.

Under Clinton there apparently was a lot of pressure keeping them from adequately dealing with the throwbacks.

I can scarcely imagine thinking Israelis wanting to see Bush out of office and someone such as Kerry in there. It would be tantamount to a death wish.
12 posted on 10/16/2004 6:54:26 AM PDT by Radix (What turns orange in Sept., is carved up in Oct., and is thrown out in Nov.?)
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Comment #13 Removed by Moderator

To: dawn53
Well over 100,000 Israeli residents are eligible to vote in the election by the parties' tallies.

It could tip the election.

14 posted on 10/16/2004 6:55:27 AM PDT by veronica ("Not all Muslims are terrorists, but almost all terrorists are Muslims." Abdulrahman Al-Rashed)
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To: Nazrat

Nazrat
Since Oct 15, 2004

Welcome to Free Republic

perfectly legal for American citizens living in Israel to vote...unlike the New Yorkers that are registered in New York and Florida and vote twice!


15 posted on 10/16/2004 7:06:52 AM PDT by dawn53
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To: veronica
God bless our President with 4more years

16 posted on 10/16/2004 7:10:13 AM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: Mr. Mojo
"an election year where over 50% of Jews under 30 voted for him."

Geez. I also bet he got the vote of 75% of male, left-handed Jews over six feet tall. So?

In the year 2000, Bush got 19% of the Jewish vote (Al Gore got 79%). I don't know and I don't care how many non-voting Jews in Israel or any other country want Bush. They don't vote.

"All polls show that Bush will get 15%-20% more of the Jewish vote than he did in 2000."

If true (which I highly doubt), that means the Jewish vote for Bush will go from 19% to 21%. Color me unimpressed.

17 posted on 10/16/2004 7:11:50 AM PDT by robertpaulsen
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To: robertpaulsen
Geez. I also bet he got the vote of 75% of male, left-handed Jews over six feet tall. So?

It shows that the younger generation of American Jews aren't nearly as brainwashed as their New Deal-era parents. That that's a GOOD thing. Or perhaps you think it isn't, and you feel uncomforable with Jews voting Republican?

Bush got 19% of the total Jewish vote last time and is expected to get over 30% this time. Try to be encouraged about the progress.

18 posted on 10/16/2004 7:18:19 AM PDT by Mr. Mojo
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To: dawn53

Good point! :)


19 posted on 10/16/2004 7:26:02 AM PDT by veronica ("Not all Muslims are terrorists, but almost all terrorists are Muslims." Abdulrahman Al-Rashed)
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To: robertpaulsen

Reagan got 40% of the Jewish vote and Bush will do at least that well. Reagan won reelection, fyi. :)


20 posted on 10/16/2004 7:28:36 AM PDT by veronica ("Not all Muslims are terrorists, but almost all terrorists are Muslims." Abdulrahman Al-Rashed)
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To: Mr. Mojo
"Bush got 19% of the total Jewish vote last time and is expected to get over 30% this time."

That's an increase of over 50%, not the "15%-20%" of your previous post. Which is it?

"Try to be encouraged about the progress."

The only progress I see is in the forecast.

21 posted on 10/16/2004 7:34:32 AM PDT by robertpaulsen
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To: robertpaulsen
It's 50%.

The only progress I see is in the forecast.

Fine, all forecasts point toward a significant increase in the Jewish vote from last election, so you should be encouraged.

22 posted on 10/16/2004 7:42:26 AM PDT by Mr. Mojo
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To: veronica
"Reagan got 40% of the Jewish vote and Bush will do at least that well."

What makes you say that? Wishful thinking?

"Washington, DC: A just-released survey demonstrates that despite a four-year effort, GOP attempts to woo the Jewish vote for President Bush have failed, with likely Jewish voters preferring Senator Kerry over President Bush by a whopping 75-22 percent margin -- essentially identical to the 76-21 percent margin by which the same respondents voted for then-Vice President Al Gore over then-Governor Bush in 2000."
-- njdc.org

23 posted on 10/16/2004 7:43:29 AM PDT by robertpaulsen
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To: Mr. Mojo
Sorry, I should have been clearer. "The only progress I see is in your forecast."
24 posted on 10/16/2004 7:45:47 AM PDT by robertpaulsen
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To: veronica

Jeez, undecided beat Kerry too!


25 posted on 10/16/2004 7:47:01 AM PDT by Republican Red (A Global Freak'n Test ???????)
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To: robertpaulsen

The projected stats you posted above differ from the ones I've seen lately. Well, we should know more come this time next month.


26 posted on 10/16/2004 7:48:48 AM PDT by Mr. Mojo
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To: robertpaulsen

Votes, shmotes, but what about those Jews pulling the strings in MSM and opening their purses to defeat Bush?


27 posted on 10/16/2004 7:49:04 AM PDT by Leo Carpathian (Vote the RATS out!!!)
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To: veronica

everybody e-mail this to jewish friends here


28 posted on 10/16/2004 7:50:44 AM PDT by rang1995
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To: Dems_R_Losers

Yep. maybe even more than that.

However, american jews living in israel tend to be way more conservative than american jews living on the east coast.

So, that margin may not be so true of the americans living in israel


29 posted on 10/16/2004 7:52:17 AM PDT by mamelukesabre
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To: rang1995

THIS Jew is voting Bush.


30 posted on 10/16/2004 7:53:20 AM PDT by whoozit
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To: Leo Carpathian
those Jews pulling the strings in MSM

Jews are excellent "string pullers", aren't they? So much power, so few people. Amazing, really. They're the cabal behind both President Bush's foreign policy AND John Kerry's election bid. < / sarc >

31 posted on 10/16/2004 7:56:54 AM PDT by Mr. Mojo
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To: robertpaulsen
The poll, performed by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research for the National Jewish Democratic Council...

A poll by a DNC-connected group.

Why are you so negative about the notion of Jews supporting Bush? FReepers who act like that are not helping Bush, they are just nattering nabobs of negativism.

32 posted on 10/16/2004 8:03:46 AM PDT by veronica ("Not all Muslims are terrorists, but almost all terrorists are Muslims." Abdulrahman Al-Rashed)
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