KERRY-California, New York, Oregon, Washington, Hawaii, Illinois, Minnesota, Maine, Vermont, New Jersey, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Massachusetts, Delaware, Maryland, DC.
TOSS-UPS- Iowa, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida.
52 electoral votes are up for grabs while KERRY has 205 in his pocket.
I'd put Michigan in Kerry's column. I didn't see New Mexico on your list but I put than in Kerry's column as well. Then if Bush takes Iowa and Florida (which I think he will) the other toss ups don't matter. I think that adds up to 271.
Has Michigan actually flipped that convincingly to Bush?
Indianapolis is not a state.