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Kerry’s Dilemma Or, how to lose an election
National Review Online ^ | October 22, 2004 | Victor Davis Hanson

Posted on 10/23/2004 3:22:15 PM PDT by kcar

I thought John Kerry clearly won the first debate, lost the second, and did worse in the third. Most Americans, however, apparently disagreed, since many polls showed that respondents thought Kerry won all three. We hear of mayhem daily in Iraq; news on the economic front is mixed; and an entire host of surrogates has defamed George Bush in a manner not seen in decades during a political campaign. Why, then, does Kerry gain little traction, trail in most polls, and perhaps even start to slip further? After all, he is a hard campaigner, has a razor-sharp memory, speaks well, looks statesmanlike at times, raises lots of money, and has a mobilized base working hard for his election.

(Excerpt) Read more at victorhanson.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: debates; firstdebate; kerry; seconddebate; thirddebate; vdh

1 posted on 10/23/2004 3:22:15 PM PDT by kcar
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To: kcar

Well I excerpted the second paragraph rather than the first. Sorry all.


2 posted on 10/23/2004 3:26:39 PM PDT by kcar (theUNsucks.com)
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To: kcar

3 posted on 10/23/2004 3:32:16 PM PDT by etradervic (GLOBAL TEST? Kerry can't even pass the SMELL TEST.)
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To: kcar

Because he is a sack of monkey sh!t?


4 posted on 10/23/2004 3:34:07 PM PDT by RightthinkinAmerican (Is the Republican attack machine an assault weapon?)
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To: kcar

Hanson hits all the cylinders!


5 posted on 10/23/2004 3:34:41 PM PDT by Rocko
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To: kcar
Most Americans, however, apparently disagreed, since many polls showed that respondents thought Kerry won all three.

Hanson had it right but the polls were spammed by the DNC.

6 posted on 10/23/2004 3:37:24 PM PDT by facedown (Armed in the Heartland)
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To: Rocko
I don't want to feel confident at this point, but Hanson is calling the play as I feel it is turning.

Go W!

7 posted on 10/23/2004 3:37:34 PM PDT by Thebaddog (Dawgs for Bush!)
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To: Rocko

Yes six reasons are well-put, and his optimism is reassuring.


8 posted on 10/23/2004 3:37:46 PM PDT by kcar (theUNsucks.com)
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To: kcar

9 posted on 10/23/2004 3:39:41 PM PDT by armymarinemom (Children and kids don't wear wings or blood stripes.)
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To: RightthinkinAmerican
Why, then, does Kerry gain little traction, trail in most polls, and perhaps even start to slip further?

Because he is a sack of monkey sh!t?

Bingo. Next question?

10 posted on 10/23/2004 3:40:56 PM PDT by paul51 (11 September 2001 - Never forget)
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To: kcar

Victor Davis Hanson - once again, right on the money.


11 posted on 10/23/2004 3:42:32 PM PDT by islander-11 (Save Nantucket - Vote Republican!!!)
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To: kcar
Why, then, does Kerry gain little traction, trail in most polls, and perhaps even start to slip further?

Because he is a PHONEY!

12 posted on 10/23/2004 3:46:45 PM PDT by Don Corleone (Leave the gun..take the cannoli)
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To: kcar

There is no rule to excerpt the first paragraph.

I, personally, like to excerpt a few lines and paragraphs that convey the points, picking them anywhere from the beginning, middle or end of the article, or all of the above, a line here, a line there.

I find that sometimes that is the best way to convey the message of the article.


13 posted on 10/23/2004 3:49:08 PM PDT by FairOpinion (GET OUT THE VOTE. ENSURE A BUSH/CHENEY WIN.)
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To: kcar

"Putin wants Bush, while Arafat prefers Kerry — and that is all we need to know."

Exactly!


14 posted on 10/23/2004 3:50:13 PM PDT by FairOpinion (GET OUT THE VOTE. ENSURE A BUSH/CHENEY WIN.)
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To: kcar
After all, he is a hard campaigner, has a razor-sharp memory

BWAAAAAAHAHAHA!

He can't even remember what his position from the day before.

15 posted on 10/23/2004 3:50:54 PM PDT by Terriergal ("Woe to you...Blind guides, who strain out a gnat and swallow a camel!"Matthew 23:23a,24)
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To: kcar
After all, he is a hard campaigner, has a razor-sharp memory

BWAAAAAAHAHAHA!

He can't even remember his position from the day before.

16 posted on 10/23/2004 3:51:00 PM PDT by Terriergal ("Woe to you...Blind guides, who strain out a gnat and swallow a camel!"Matthew 23:23a,24)
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To: kcar

He is giving some pretty good reasons!


17 posted on 10/23/2004 3:51:24 PM PDT by FairOpinion (GET OUT THE VOTE. ENSURE A BUSH/CHENEY WIN.)
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To: kcar

"Kerry’s Dilemma Or, how to lose an election"

KERRY HAS NO RIGHT TO BE RUNNING FOR POTUS, AS A MATTER OF FACT, HE SHOULD BE DOING TIME IN PRISON (OR THE STOCKADE).


18 posted on 10/23/2004 3:56:48 PM PDT by Gucho
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To: islander-11
Hanson is a rising star. But he is wrong about one thing. When the Dems lose, they will not acknowledge the folly of their ways. They will blame GOP "dirty tricks."
19 posted on 10/23/2004 3:56:58 PM PDT by etradervic (GLOBAL TEST? Kerry can't even pass the SMELL TEST.)
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To: Don Corleone
Because he is a PHONEY!

His photo opportunities that showcase hunting vests or windsurfing look forced, and they lack the natural ease of George Bush on the stump, twanging with his sleeves rolled up.

20 posted on 10/23/2004 4:05:39 PM PDT by mcar
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To: facedown

You are correct.

What Hansen didn't know was that FR was not voting - on purpose. When the polls reached 70-30 for Kerry - many pundits just threw them away. However, the next day the MSM presented the polls as about 50-50 with Kerry having a slight edge - which was what they wanted the public to believe.

It doesn't matter what deceptions they try - the dems have already deceived themselves into believing Kerry won - but the people of America know who won. That's what Hansen doesn't get.

Hansen is also wrong - Kerry does not have an mobilized base working for him - he has his wife's or Hillary's 527 organizations (37-39% of the dem base) - and Kerry does not have a "razor sharp mind" - if he did - he would never flip-flop every hour on the same issue.


21 posted on 10/23/2004 4:13:29 PM PDT by CyberAnt (Election 2004: This election is for the SOUL OF AMERICA)
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To: CyberAnt

Oh, beleive it folks. Kerrys momentum is gaining BIGTIME.
By next weekend, his momentum slide may take him into the 39% - 38% category!!


22 posted on 10/23/2004 6:44:29 PM PDT by libs_kma (USA: The land of the Free....Because of the Brave!)
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To: kcar
Because he's a phony!!!!..any one that doesnt see that should be buying chances on the Brooklyn Bridge!....100 chances for a $1...mail (cash only) to Po box 333...all respondents will receive a $110 cash bonus just for entering.....send bank and checking account # along with the $1 to expedite pay off (all family members are eligible...enter as many times a u wish)...
23 posted on 10/23/2004 6:46:16 PM PDT by M-cubed
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To: Thebaddog

I am not confident at all. Things look good from where we sit now, but I am sure the DemonCRAPS have not played their last card yet.

If I had to guess, I would say that they are hoping that electorial fraud and outright voter intimidation will give them the edge they need in the battleground states where their strumtruppen are the most radical, but one thing's sure.

It ain't over yet and it is not yet time to be popping any champagne corks.


24 posted on 10/23/2004 6:49:25 PM PDT by Ronin (When the fox gnaws....SMILE!)
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To: libs_kma

"the 39% - 38% category"

That's just about where he ought to be.

The Bush-haters register at 37-39% of the dem party.


25 posted on 10/23/2004 6:51:43 PM PDT by CyberAnt (Election 2004: This election is for the SOUL OF AMERICA)
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To: kcar
Thus while Kerry does well in debates, he in some sense does not do well, since Americans feel he is either their smug professor or cranky grandfather, peeved that he had to descend from Olympus to impart knowledge to the less gifted.

LMAO...

26 posted on 10/23/2004 6:57:04 PM PDT by Fruitbat
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To: CyberAnt
...and Kerry does not have a "razor sharp mind"...

Agreed. He'd be bleeding from his eyes and ears by now.

27 posted on 10/23/2004 7:22:15 PM PDT by facedown (Armed in the Heartland)
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To: islander-11

Victor Davis Hanson - once again, right on the money.

You're right. This guy is a real no-nonsense, red-meat conservative. The best one to come along in years. His books about ancient Greece are fine, too.


28 posted on 10/23/2004 10:59:07 PM PDT by bucephalus (Coattails! Coattails! Coattails!)
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To: Ronin
The reason for my cautious optimism is that the RCP map has Iowa for Bush. If that holds up, there should be more white states going red than blue.
29 posted on 10/24/2004 4:25:47 AM PDT by Thebaddog (Dawgs for Bush!)
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