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Kerry Hasn't Secured Blue Swing States, Say Polls
The Philadelphia Inquirer ^ | October 21, 2004 | Steven Thomma

Posted on 10/23/2004 9:45:20 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued

Less than two weeks before Election Day, Kerry held a statistically insignificant 1 percentage-point lead in three of the key battleground states carried by Democrat Al Gore in 2000, was tied in a fourth, and trailed President Bush in three others. All were within the poll's margin of error

(Excerpt) Read more at philly.com ...


TOPICS: Announcements; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bluestates; election2004; gwbush; johnfnkerry; polls; swingstates

1 posted on 10/23/2004 9:45:21 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
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To: Kuksool; JohnnyZ; AuH2ORepublican; fieldmarshaldj; William Creel; Impy; zbigreddogz; ...

PING!


2 posted on 10/23/2004 9:50:07 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
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To: Clintonfatigued
Ouch!! That's gonna leave a mark (or two...)

the infowarrior

3 posted on 10/23/2004 9:51:14 PM PDT by infowarrior (TANSTAAFL)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Yea, Kerry's schedule indicates he's in places he shouldn't be this close to the election. If Hawaii and Michigan are in play, my goodness, you know Kerry's in trouble.


4 posted on 10/23/2004 9:51:59 PM PDT by conservativepoet
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To: Clintonfatigued

If Kerry is losing in Minnesota, New Mexico, and Iowa, we win WITHOUT Ohio. That said I think we'll still win Ohio as well, but this article gives light to the fact that Kerry's ship is sinking fast.


5 posted on 10/23/2004 9:52:28 PM PDT by RockinRight (Bush's rallies look like World Series games. Kerry's rallies look like Little League games.)
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To: conservativepoet

Is Hawaii really in play?


6 posted on 10/23/2004 9:53:11 PM PDT by bucephalus (Will no rid me of this meddlesome BBC?)
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To: Clintonfatigued

If Bush takes Michigan or Pennsylvania it's all over.


7 posted on 10/23/2004 9:53:14 PM PDT by wagglebee (Benedict Arnold was for American independence before he was against it.)
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To: conservativepoet

You mean like dragging Clinton off his death bed to campaign for him Philly? Yeah, something like that.


8 posted on 10/23/2004 9:53:31 PM PDT by mabelkitty (W is the Peoples' President ; Kerry is the Elite Establishment's President)
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To: wagglebee

The first blue state flipped to red and Kerry will release his hounds and protestors.
Only I don't think the anchors will break from their show to film it.


9 posted on 10/23/2004 9:54:28 PM PDT by mabelkitty (W is the Peoples' President ; Kerry is the Elite Establishment's President)
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To: mabelkitty
You mean like dragging Clinton off his death bed to campaign for him Philly?

You always have to drag Bill from bed.

10 posted on 10/23/2004 9:55:08 PM PDT by mykroar ("Pearl Harbor" sucked . . . .and I miss you.//Freedom costs a buck-oh-five.)
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To: bucephalus

go to http:www.realclearpolitics.com. A honolulu paper says it is :)


11 posted on 10/23/2004 9:59:35 PM PDT by merry10
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To: bucephalus

Surprisingly yes, it has Dems. worrying about it in that state.


12 posted on 10/23/2004 10:00:02 PM PDT by conservativepoet
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To: merry10

Thanks for the help.


13 posted on 10/23/2004 10:00:50 PM PDT by conservativepoet
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To: Clintonfatigued

Praying for a land slide win for dubya.


14 posted on 10/23/2004 10:01:09 PM PDT by Dustbunny (The only good terrorist is a dead terrorist)
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To: bucephalus

Yes! Per Honolulu Advertiser Bush is up l point with l2% undecided


15 posted on 10/23/2004 10:01:51 PM PDT by rushmom
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To: rushmom

actually isn't it closer to two points? Like 1.87 or something?


16 posted on 10/23/2004 10:08:10 PM PDT by watsonfellow
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To: RockinRight; conservativepoet

While Kerry is nearly even in the national polls, that showing is inflated by large margins in the mega-states of California, New York, and Illinois. His support is not as widely distributed as Bush's is.


17 posted on 10/23/2004 10:10:00 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
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To: watsonfellow

Don't remember the exact numbers.


18 posted on 10/23/2004 10:11:07 PM PDT by rushmom
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To: mykroar

You mean like dragging Clinton off his death bed to campaign for him Philly?
You always have to drag Bill from bed.


ROFLMAO, I am SO glad I finished my diet coke before reading that.


19 posted on 10/23/2004 10:23:44 PM PDT by baseballmom (You Know Where I Stand - GW Bush - 9/2/04 We're standing with you, Mr. President)
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To: Clintonfatigued
"The economy is suffering. There are a tremendous number of job losses," said Joan Bailey, 57, a teacher in Rochester Hills, Mich., who supports Kerry. "I disagreed totally with the tax cuts."

So the tax cuts are responsible for the loss of manufacturing jobs in Michigan, huh? I had no idea that the government owned these companies and I live here. I better sign up for Joan Bailey's economic class.

20 posted on 10/23/2004 10:42:41 PM PDT by Dolphy (It's not a plan, it's an echo)
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To: wagglebee
If Bush takes Michigan or Pennsylvania it's all over.

What's all over? The election?
Whether or not he takes them November 2nd, the election will be over that day. And regardless of whether or not Bush wins them, he will win the election. That is not in question. It's not as if we're running from behind here.

Or do you mean the Democrat party will be over?
I think that would be a bit premature, though a nice thought nonetheless.

Or do you just mean the Democrat's monopoly on the black bote would be over?
Let's hope they should come around to the party of Lincoln rather than the party of pandering.

Or do you mean Kerry's career will be over?
If no Republican challenges him for his senate seat like last time it won't be. Even though Kerry could only manage 72% of the vote as the only candidate on the ticket.

Or do you mean the Democrat's attempts to steal the election through the courts?
Even a 50 state sweep wouldn't stop them from trying. In fact, it would only mean that it dragged on in the courts even longer.
21 posted on 10/23/2004 10:55:53 PM PDT by counterpunch (The CouNTeRPuNcH Collection - www.counterpunch.us)
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To: bucephalus
Here's the link to the latest on Hawaii.
22 posted on 10/23/2004 11:05:42 PM PDT by Terp (Retired living in Philippines were the Mountains meet the Sea in the Land of Smiles)
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To: infowarrior

I posted the same thing last night from the Lexington Kentucky newspaper.. different article but same conclusion


23 posted on 10/23/2004 11:06:08 PM PDT by GeronL (FREE KERRY'S SCARY bumper sticker .......... http://www.kerrysscary.com/bumper_sticker.php)
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To: conservativepoet
Yea, Kerry's schedule indicates he's in places he shouldn't be this close to the election. If Hawaii and Michigan are in play, my goodness, you know Kerry's in trouble.

Yeah, but on the other hand, I'm worried about W's seemingly shaky standing in OH and FL.

24 posted on 10/23/2004 11:32:18 PM PDT by gop_gene
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To: wagglebee

Carl Cameron, Fox News Reporter covering Kerry, said yesterday "if Kerry loses Pennsylvania, Minnesota OR Iowa, he's toast".

The last poll I have seen has Kerry up 1 in PA, Bush up 6 in Iowa and in MN, I have seen a poll with Bush up 2 and one with Kerry up 2.

Ohio is all over the place and the last poll I've seen in FL has Bush up.

But, the polls do not figure the MASSIVE FRAUD going on. And I mean MASSIVE. George Will has a column about it in a column. I don't know if it is in Saturday's or Sunday's Washington Post, but you can probably link to it on the Drudge Report.


25 posted on 10/24/2004 12:20:13 AM PDT by nightowl
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To: nightowl

Kerry pulled out of wv over a week ago and canceled a visit. Then two days ago his team put $ 200,000 for ads. I think they didn't want to look like they had given up, plus the ads bleed over into other states like ohio.


26 posted on 10/24/2004 2:09:24 AM PDT by wvbushman (George Bush MUST WIN!!)
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To: Clintonfatigued

This is a huge sign of the Left Wing Media beginning to distance themselves from the Monsuier. I know Philly and this rag must have held their nose to write this


27 posted on 10/24/2004 3:58:42 AM PDT by CT CONSERVATIVE (NOT FAIR-That's Dan's Story to Break!!!)
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To: counterpunch

well said. Perspective is key now


28 posted on 10/24/2004 3:59:59 AM PDT by CT CONSERVATIVE (NOT FAIR-That's Dan's Story to Break!!!)
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To: mykroar

Naughty, naughty. Besides, they say men who've had heart operations become a tad cautious about engaging in sex.


29 posted on 10/24/2004 4:02:30 AM PDT by hershey
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To: RockinRight

I heard on "The Heartland" that Mason Dixon was going to release an updated poll of Ohio showing Bush down by 1.

Hopefully that does not come to pass.


30 posted on 10/24/2004 4:03:43 AM PDT by lt.america (Captain was already taken)
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To: Clintonfatigued

MSM inflating Kerry's poll numbers. Pretty soon we'll be told not to bother voting -- they'll select the President for us.


31 posted on 10/24/2004 4:03:56 AM PDT by hershey
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To: nightowl
Election Integrity At Stake ~ George F. Will Washington [Com]Post

.

32 posted on 10/24/2004 4:11:50 AM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: nightowl

Now that Hawaii is in play, I'm going to have to stay up even later on election night to see the results there. Hawaii is very expensive. I went to the Maui island there once and paid a lot of money. The macadamia nuts were at least cheaper than what I pay for them over here. But everything else was more money.


33 posted on 10/24/2004 4:16:30 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (Slam-A-Lamma...Ding Dong! (Red Sox Win The Pennant!))
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To: bucephalus

Your tagline is hysterical. Thanks for the laff.


34 posted on 10/24/2004 7:38:33 AM PDT by NaughtiusMaximus (I'd RATHER Vote Republican)
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To: hershey
Considering what happened in the Oval Office, I somehow doubt Billy's ever been cautious about sex.

:o)

35 posted on 10/24/2004 8:47:37 AM PDT by mykroar ("Pearl Harbor" sucked . . . .and I miss you.//Freedom costs a buck-oh-five.)
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To: RockinRight
we win WITHOUT Ohio.

Yep.

The old rule, that Republicans need Ohio to win the White House, might be broken in the same way the Red Sox broke the old "rule" that said, "no team comes back after losing the first 3 post-season games."

36 posted on 10/25/2004 10:14:07 AM PDT by syriacus (VANESSA Kerry would probably say she's glad her father didn't destroy her for stem cell research.)
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To: syriacus

I do hope W wins Ohio, because I live there and can't stomach my state voting for Kerry.

However, it's nice to know we have several backup scenarios involving Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, New Mexico, and possibly PA, NJ and Hawaii.


37 posted on 10/25/2004 10:27:23 AM PDT by RockinRight (Bush's rallies look like World Series games. Kerry's rallies look like Little League games.)
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