Gallup Poll Internal Data [Bush leads 52-46 LV; 49-48 RV]

Gallup News Service ^ | October 25, 2004

[RWR8189]

LATEST SNAPSHOT

% GEORGE W. BUSH	51
% JOHN KERRY	46
% RALPH NADER	1
Oct 22 - 24, 2004 Based on Likely Voters
View complete trend

[RWR8189]

Likely Voters:

Date	% George W. Bush	% John Kerry
2004 Oct 22-24	52	46
2004 Oct 14-16	52	44
2004 Oct 9-10	48	50

Registered Voters:

Date	% George W. Bush	% John Kerry
2004 Oct 22-24	49	48
2004 Oct 14-16	50	46
2004 Oct 9-10	48	48

Likely Voters:

Date	% George W. Bush	% John Kerry	% Ralph Nader
2004 Oct 22-24	51	46	1
2004 Oct 14-16	52	44	1
2004 Oct 9-10	48	49	1

Registered Voters:

Date	% George W. Bush	% John Kerry	% Ralph Nader
2004 Oct 22-24	49	47	1
2004 Oct 14-16	49	46	1
2004 Oct 9-10	48	48	1

 

Demographics -- Bush vs. Kerry Based on Registered Voters

	Oct 22-24		Oct 14-16		Oct 9-10		Oct 1-3
	Kerry	Bush	Kerry	Bush	Kerry	Bush	Kerry	Bush
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Total	48	49	46	50	48	48	48	49
Gender
Men	44	54	40	56	44	53	45	54
Women	51	45	51	44	52	43	51	45
Race
Whites	42	55	40	56	41	55	43	54
Non-whites	70	26	69	23	74	20	68	29
Age
18-49	47	51	45	51	47	48	47	50
50-64	48	48	46	50	48	49	46	52
65+	49	44	48	45	50	48	52	43
Region
East	55	43	54	42	55	42	54	42
Midwest	49	46	44	50	43	52	58	39
South	40	56	41	56	45	51	37	61
West	49	49	47	49	50	46	47	51
Education
Post-graduate	55	44	54	42	61	36	62	37
College graduate	44	55	35	63	47	51	44	54
Some college	45	52	43	52	44	51	43	55
High school or less	48	47	49	46	46	50	48	48
Income
$75,000 or more	40	58	43	55	41	55	50	48
$50,000-$74,999	45	53	39	60	39	58	38	61
$30,000-$49,999	49	47	47	48	51	47	46	52
Less than $30,000	56	39	54	39	59	36	58	35
Ideology
Conservative	25	73	19	79	24	73	23	75
Moderate	57	39	54	39	54	43	57	40
Liberal	90	8	85	11	84	10	81	14
Partisanship
Republicans	5	94	9	89	6	92	3	94
Independents	49	44	48	45	50	42	54	40
Democrats	88	9	85	11	90	8	89	10

Demographics -- Bush vs. Kerry vs. Nader Based on Registered Voters

	October 22-24			October 14-16			October 9-10
	Kerry	Bush	Nader	Kerry	Bush	Nader	Kerry	Bush	Nader
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Total	47	49	1	46	49	1	48	48	1
Gender
Men	43	54	1	40	54	2	43	53	2
Women	50	44	1	50	44	1	51	43	2
Race
Whites	41	55	1	40	56	1	40	55	2
Non-whites	69	26	1	67	21	4	74	19	2
Age
18-49	47	51	1	45	50	2	46	47	2
50-64	47	48	2	45	49	2	47	49	1
65+	49	44	*	48	44	1	50	47	1
Region
East	55	42	*	54	41	1	54	40	3
Midwest	49	46	*	44	49	1	41	53	1
South	39	55	2	40	56	1	45	50	2
West	47	49	2	45	48	3	5	46	--
Education
Post-graduate	55	44	*	53	41	2	59	36	2
College graduate	44	55	*	35	62	1	47	51	1
Some college	44	52	1	43	52	1	44	49	2
High school or less	47	46	2	48	44	2	45	50	2
Income
$75,000 or more	40	58	*	42	55	1	40	55	2
$50,000-$74,999	45	53	--	38	60	1	39	57	1
$30,000-$49,999	49	47	1	47	47	2	50	46	3
Less than $30,000	55	39	3	54	37	2	59	35	*
Ideology
Conservative	25	73	*	19	79	*	24	72	1
Moderate	56	39	1	54	38	2	53	42	3
Liberal	88	8	2	85	9	3	83	10	2
Partisanship
Republicans	5	93	1	9	89	*	6	92	*
Independents	47	44	2	47	42	5	49	40	4
Democrats	88	9	--	85	11	--	89	8	1

 

Key State Breakdown

Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?

Based on National Adults

	Approve	Disapprove	No opinion
	%	%	%
National Approval Rating	51	46	3
Bush (Red) States
2004 Oct 22-24	59	38	3
2004 Oct 14-16	64	34	2
2004 Oct 11-14	55	42	3
Gore (Blue) States
2004 Oct 22-24	46	51	3
2004 Oct 14-16	41	58	1
2004 Oct 11-14	42	56	2
Up For Grab States
2004 Oct 22-24	46	51	3
2004 Oct 14-16	48	50	2
2004 Oct 11-14	48	48	4

 

As of today, do you lean more toward – [ROTATED: Kerry, the Democrat (or) Bush, the Republican]?

Based on Registered Voters

	Kerry	Bush	Neither (vol.)	Other (vol.)	No opinion
	%	%	%	%	%
Bush (Red) States
2004 Oct 22-24	40	57	*	*	3
2004 Oct 14-16	34	62	2	--	2
2004 Oct 9-10	41	55	2	--	2
Gore (Blue) States
2004 Oct 22-24	53	44	1	--	2
2004 Oct 14-16	59	38	*	*	3
2004 Oct 9-10	53	44	1	--	2
Up For Grab States
2004 Oct 22-24	49	47	2	*	2
2004 Oct 14-16	47	47	1	--	5
2004 Oct 9-10	50	45	2	1	3

[RWR8189]

Gallup Ping

FReepmail me if you want to be on or off the list.

[TheBigB]

Huh? Is Bush at 51 or 52?

[RWR8189]

ping

[aft_lizard]

your title is wrong, although its better than another wrong title seen here earlier

[RWR8189]

Go ZOT yourself.

[kcrackel]

Goodbye Troll...

[RWR8189]

How is my title wrong?

[AmericanMade1776]

[TheBigB]

Can I get a ZOT! ZOT!

[RWR8189]

51 with Nader, 52 without Nader.

[fortheDeclaration]

Latest MSM spin, Bush is only getting stronger in his own states.

Bush is starting to pull away from Kerry and it will translate to a large electoral college win.

[Hazzardgate]

Go away DUmmy

[Capt. Jake]

Sore Loserman? Is that you?

[AmericanMade1776]

I can tell by your cries Contemplation, that you are a Liberal soreloser...waaaaaaaaawaaaaaaaaaaaaa!

[Nataku X]

(Troll's remarks copied and pasted here because I know I hate it when I see a deleted post and have no idea what was said)

Jim Robinson and most of the FREE REPUBLIC klan are clearly on the fringe of humankind, thank goodness. No concern for human well-being, except their own. Many comments are bigoted, wimpy, and whiny, suggesting poor souls living in hidden pockets around the country. You guys are just like the Ku Klux Klan - oh so strong when talking up a storm in their own gang, but wimpy when it comes to standing up on their own, without the integrity nor intelligence to engage a challenging discussion. All you Free Republic hounds will see, as soon as Jim Robinson, who edits this website of anything bothersome to his blinded view, sees this email, he will rapidly block any further correspondence - can't take the challenge, can't stand the heat !!! So, if you viewpoints had any merit, what's the problem with some opposing views ? Obviously, that might muck up the flow, the self-righteous pandering. Just like Bush, who only allows pre-screened public to his chat groups, so he can't be challenged with any tough, unexpected questions. And when he was confronted with harder questions, as in Debates especially #1 & 2, he messed up, looked confused, annoyed, unable to handle it. Then he complains over 10 times in Debate #3 that 'being President is a hard job' - well daah, what did you expect? What do we expect? I challenge anyone out there in 'Free Repulic' land to enter any discussion with opposed viewpoints, and have to use the tools of fact and knowledge, rather than innuendo. As for Bush vs. Kerry, I challenge anyone of you to match the respected high-caliber minds endorsing Kerry compared to those supporting Bush ( try this, do Google search for terms: Nobel laureates science + economics or law officers or teachers + Bush + Kerry : YOU TOO will discover that all those groups, with global respect for accomplishment and intellect, support Kerry overwhelmingly !!!! I wonder if any of the 'Free Republic' audience is bright enough, and open-minded enough to recognize such facts. I suspect there are a few ... who may be reluctant to post on webpage due to baseless remarks......

NX's response: I'm sorry... I know that constipation can be a *itch.

[slowhand520]

3 way it is 51%. 2 way 52%

[AZamericonnie]

So, if you viewpoints had any merit, what's the problem with some opposing views ?

Did you read the sign on the door that says "Conservative Forum". If you're lonley go back to DU. I'm sure someone there will talk to you.

[stockpirate]

Gallup PING...

Soory but we missed the Troll.

[KJacob]

Your rant sounds like someone that knows they are losing.

[The Iceman Cometh]

If you were smart enough, which is clearly not the case, you would have provided your email address (contact information) so that a free-flowing exchange of debate and ideas could take place. However, since you are unable or unwilling to do that simple task, I guess we won't be able to do that.

As for your statement regarding intellectuals supporting Kerry, I am sure you could find many intellectuals that supported Hitler. Would you like to try another worthless point?

[AndyTheBear]

You guys are just like the Ku Klux Klan

Your comparing us to Senator Bryd (D)?!?

[Just Lori]

Idiot alert!

[68-69TonkinGulfYachtClub]

Spread the word on the internet!

Post on internet boards AND e-mails!

Please remember the 58,000 + Names on the Wall on Nov 2

Please watch this video

Thank You

http://kerrylied.com/otherdocs/flash.htm

Kerry's Dishonorable Discharge

http://federalistpatriot.us/current/

"...As many Vietnam veterans who served their nation with dignity and honor will recall,
Jimmy Carter's first official act as president was the signing
Executive Order 11967
http://www.archives.gov/federal_register/codification/executive_order/11967.html
and Presidential Proclamation 4483
http://www.usdoj.gov/pardon/carter_proclamation.htm

--less than an hour after his inauguration on 21 January 1977. EO 11967 and Presidential Proclamation 4483
provided general amnesty for draft evaders, war protesters and other offenders of that era.

Its corresponding, and equally dubious, DoD directive took effect in March of 1977,

expanding that amnesty to include separation from military service by other than honorable discharges.

The DoD specified an appeal procedure whereby discharges could be reviewed on an individual basis
to determine whether the status of a particular discharge could be revised..."


The whole 42:09 Stolen Honor online FREE right now! E-mail it NOW!

http://www.buttondepress.com/BostonManifesto/stolenhonor.wmv

Stolen Honor nails Kerry and the VVAW
and how they lied at Winter Soldier.
And how Kerry lied to the US Senate in 1971
And how Kerry and his pack of liars caused our POW's to suffer!

Kerry and the DNC cannot stop
EVERYONE on the internet from seeing this!

http://www.buttondepress.com/BostonManifesto/stolenhonor.wmv

E-mail the FREE 3:52 clip to everyone NOW!

Windows Media Player Broadband

http://www.videopa.com/kerry/excerpt3.asx

Windows Media Player Dial Up

http://www.videopa.com/kerry/excerpt3_low.asx

RealPlayer

http://www.videopa.com/kerry/excerpt3.ram

Click Here for
All the Latest Swift Boat Vets Ad!
http://www.swiftvets.com/

Click Here for
All the Swift Boat Vets Ads!
View for FREE!
http://www2.swiftvets.com/index.php?topic=Ads

"Liar!Liar!Liar!Creepy Liar!" Video
of Democrat losing it on MSNBC!
Lawrence O'Donnell screamed Liar! for 20 minutes!
And attacked John O'Neil
This is just a 3:28 sample of his attack.
PS O'Donnell never served in the military
BUT "knows" all about it?
What a loser!
http://64.91.230.181/~recycler/videos/windbag.WMV

Free online version of
John Kerry and the VVAW
"The New Soldier"
Banned by the DNC!
You can read it online right now.
http://ejsmithweb.com/fr/newsoldier/

The Swiftvets news conference on C-SPAN can be found here.
AND other valuable Video and Audio links.
http://www.peteandrews.net/media.htm

Tick, Tick, Tick, Tick

[Tribune7]

Kind of interesting that those with post-grads are going heavy for Kerry but those with incomes in the top two brackets are going heavy for Dubya

The value of lots of college :-)

[Terabitten]

awww, you didn't even give us time to play....

[unspun]

I think that unlike four years ago, Bush must generate some kind of new announcement or breakthrough between now and election day. At least make a paid 30 minutes speech out of it, or something....

[GmbyMan]

All you Free Republic hounds will see, as soon as Jim Robinson, who edits this website of anything bothersome to his blinded view, sees this email, he will rapidly block any further correspondence - can't take the challenge, can't stand the heat !!! So, if you viewpoints had any merit, what's the problem with some opposing views ?

Look jerk. This is a conservative website but since you ask, given the preponderance of conservative control throughout the country in the executive, legislative and in the various state houses. I think the merit of our viewpoints is consistently being justified by the American people. I also would like to point out that now that the left is finally losing it's grip on it's power, they (and presumably you) are going insane my friend. You are out of your mind. Move to France!

[aft_lizard]

Another troll for the fun of it.

[Jim Robinson]

Paragraphs are your friend. Zot.

[Kaslin]

Troll's remarks copied and pasted here because I know I hate it when I see a deleted post and have no idea what was said)

I hope it didn't take to long to get the troll zotted

[Notwithstanding]

52-46 for Bush when Nader is out of the picture.
51-46 when Nader is in the picture.

[KJacob]

51 with Nader, 52 without Nader.

Really? How does Nader take away from Bush? Either way this is better news since Nader does not appear on the ballot in a lot of states.

[Question Liberal Authority]

Paragraphs are our friends.

[CWW]

High Caliber Minds -- like Castro, Yasser Arafat, Michael Moore, Cher? Need I go on?

[Just Lori]

He's been kicked off FR. Too bad. DUmmies are fun to play with.

[Humvee]

Open-mindedness like the DU? As a Viet-Nam vet I don't like traitors like your empty suit that is running for President. By the way the CNN poll looks good today don't you think?

[Humvee]

Open-mindedness like the DU? As a Viet-Nam vet I don't like traitors like your empty suit that is running for President. By the way the CNN poll looks good today don't you think?

[AmericanMade1776]

[WoodstockCat]

I see your ZOT! and raise you two ZOTs!

[AndyTheBear]

but wimpy when it comes to standing up on their own

Like when we are generous with other people's money instead of our own? No wait...that's like the Democrats, especially John & Teressa who have hundreds of millions they never earned, and yet are demanding the rest of us pay for the causes they wish to show compassion about.

[N8VTXNinWV]

Get back under the bridge you troll!

[dougherty]

*yawn*

[backhoe]

 

[jpf]

Yeah, Ah, I'm smart enough and confident in my own judgments to not have to brainlessly bring Nobel laureates into the discussion. May be you think you should substitute their judgment for your own, but that only shows what a low self-opinion you have. So take your character witnesses and toddle on back to the playground. Don't forget to take your Howard Dean lunch box with you.

[Constantine XIII]

ZOT!

[gmeliberty]

"I challenge anyone of you to match the respected high-caliber minds endorsing Kerry compared to those supporting Bush"

Like Chairman Arafat? please continue to underestimate the president. They said the same of Reagan vs. Carter. Nobel laureates don't win wars.

[SandyInSeattle]

Having a bad day, are we?