Posted on 10/27/2004 6:26:06 PM PDT by KMC1
Depending on the turnout (wink, wink), I am beginning to believe that Kerry will conclude one of the most miserable campaigns for President ever by losing in states he "shouldn't" be early on election night.
Today a new poll showed again that President Bush is dead even with Senator Kerry in New Jersey. This is unbelievable. Al Gore walked away with New Jersey early in the evening in 2000. But if Kerry loses it my prediction is for Bush to almost run the board.
The reasons why Kerry is doing badly in New Jersey is partly not his own doing but his party's. New Jersey has the most corrupt state government in the entire Union. The Democrats are in control of everything - and as could be expected - everything is a mess. Governor McGreevey named his gay lover to the position of "Homeland Security Advisor", the man wasn't even a U.S. Citizen, nor could he even get the clearance needed to attend Federal security briefings. And this is happening in the second most impacted state following 9/11.
BUT weren't those "boys nights out" fun...
The Democratic corruption has left a bad taste, but voters in New Jersey are also realizing that they don't have any state-wide elected officials that they really had a voice in putting there. McGreevey is stepping aside and an "appointed" Governor will run the state for 18 months. One of the Senators bought his way to the Senate. The other was a bait and switch for New Jersey voters.
Look for a voter's rebellion...sick of the corruption, New Jersey voters will choose President Bush as their choice, even some out of protest.
With the 16 electoral votes that go with it, New Jersey will significantly change the electoral college count. And if it goes BUSH early on Tuesday night - a state that BUSH spent almost no money in, Kerry can kiss the White House goodbye.
When you add to the New Jersey equation the fact that Kerry is trailing in Hawaii - which was an 18% win for Gore in 2000 - those combined 20 electoral votes are as big as Ohio. (Another state that President Bush is leading in...)
And Bush still has a half a case of Whoop A$$ left.
I like it,fingers crossed
And this will add to the pile of horse pucky that the major news networks know what they're doing by calling the election close!
Kerry's staff must be $hitting their collective pants now. If he (Kerry)was defending the Alamo, the east wall was just breached... (my sincere apologies to all the son's and daughters of Texas liberty).
Dayum I need to up the prozac.
Well, this is a happy article!!!
Given McGreevey's sexual preferences I'd say this is an accurate statement....
Most of the battleground states are in the Eastern Time Zone (plus a few like New Jersey that shouldn't be in play for Bush, but somehow still are). We have Florida (except the panhandle, of course), Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and we should know what has happened in Maine and New Hampshire, all before most of the rest of the nation is home to see the results on the tube.
New York could even be surprisingly close, but should go to Kerry. If Bush wins even half of these, and Republican senatorial candidates in the Carolinas, Georgia, and Florida are cruising, it might be over for Kerry much earlier than anyone suspects. I know Florida could run late as last time, when the Democratic bastions in South Florida wait to turn in vote totals, so they know how many votes they need to manufacture, but it may be out of their reach.
An hour later that evening will have Iowa, Wisconsin, and Minnesota done. If the late (after work) voters there hear that Bush is winning states in the Eastern Time Zone that he shouldn't, then we could pick up some late undecideds who "just want to vote for the winner", which could tip all those states to Bush. If that happens, everything west of the Central Time Zone will be academic.
KERRY IS TRAILING HAWAII??? LOLOL
Even more noteworthy than New Jersey is Hawaii. Hawaii sort of exists in a vacuum-- there's no advertising dollars spent there, no get out the vote drives, and nobody is campaigning there. I wonder what people see and hear in Hawaii that makes a 20 point Kerry lead evaporate that the rest of the country is supposedly missing. It makes you wonder how close things really are or aren't. Not that I'm getting complacent...
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Union workers in Atlantic City have been picketing (they are on strike) since October 1, so I imagine they are a little more concerned about the new replacements coming in for their jobs than getting some rich New Englander to the Oval Office.
I believe Hawaii might be the most tell-tale sign I've seen, not to mention MINNESOTA BABY!
I might run for president just to make frequent campaign appearances in Hawaii...
I would have loved for Bush to campaign deep in the heart of Kerry bases in cities such as Boston, Chicago, Seattle, and L.A. on the final leg of his campaign. Really drive some nails into Kerry's coffin by holding rallies downtown smack dab in the middle of these socialist paradises. Unfortunately, he's coming to Green Bay, WI on Saturday(for the thousandth time) again to speak to the choir. Bush could have finished with a bang and demoralized the Kerry campaign.
You really need to reformat this article into type that is easily readable. Tiny blue type doesn't work for us bifocal types.
We're always hearing how Bush is having trouble defending some of the states he carried in 2000, especially Ohio and Florida. What's not being emphasized by the MSM is the large number of Gore states that Kerry is having troubles in such as Iowa, Wisconsin, New Mexico, and New Jersey and Hawaii. When New Jersey goes for Bush I can't wait to see the look on the faces of Brokaw, Jennings, and especially that jerk Rather when they have to announce it.
even if kerry wins, remember that you survived eight years of xxxlinton, ... only 3 legislators(senators) have ever been elected and the last one was jfk... plus kerry's going up against an incumbent, a strong one unlike 41... i predict a romp, but that's just me
It wasn't just Cipel who was used and abused, it was the entire state when Cipel was chosen to be the homeland security liason.
Nah, it would have backfired on the President. There would have been a lot of protests and the people who wanted to see him would have been beaten down by union thugs and other assorted Kerry groupies. Better to just play it safe and rally the base.
I see your point, however...
Don't just chew your fingernails. Call the 72 hour or 96 hour task force and walk precincts this weekend. Take tuesday off work and poll watch. You can make a difference and it's a lot more fun than worrying :)
In the history of the US there has never been 2 close elections next to each other. We always think everything is new, but it isn't.
...though my preference would be for W to win by one electoral vote again, just to honk off the left in a HUGE way
If I am not mistaken, they have a republican governor and it seems Inouye and Shinseki have been silent.
Sounds like good news!
Just keep gettin' the word out. The truth will tell.
...mebbe I can get some sleep when this is over...
If you guys in NJ don't elect Bret Schundler for Governor, then you might as well secede to North Korea.
I believe he will be spending his last day of campaigning in Detroit and Youngstown.
Those far enough behind enemy lines fer ya...???
Right -- you apologize if we received this message in error. Nice try maggiefluffs -- nice try.
Go W!!! George W. is the man!!
They do have a Republican governor, and she is very popular!!
Apology accepted. ;-)
Kerry's numbers are headed for an historic crash. This final bit of campaign-coordinated news with the NY Times is the last Al Qa'Qaa out of Kerry's mouth that America will put up with. This is brazen anti-American propoganda and it has no place in Presidential politics.
Notice too that the Bush campaign worked hard to register Amish people to vote........and they are totally supporting Dubya in both PA and Ohio.
Boy if that doesn't make you think of Longshanks son and his "High Counsel, who was trained in all the arts of war and military tactics", who Longshanks threw out the window in Braveheart.
Military presence in Hawaii -- big naval base there.
Funny!
I have been like a yo-yo for a month. First I'm elated; then I'm down. I become very optomistic hearing about such things believed too impossible to be true such as winning New Jersey but then I have to listen to MSM talking about 'dead even.' I read about the elections at night, I read it on FR, I read it in the newspapers, and I am spending far too much time at work reading about it.
It shouldn't even BE this close. Dems just hate W and the attitude remains, 'anyone but Bush', especially in this state (WV).
Now I'm reading about the Dem teams of 10,000 lawyers ready to be dispatched to contest elections wherever needed throughout the country.
We have 'no excuse' early voting here on Saturday: Do I go, or do I fear my ballot will be tampered with?, and wait until Tuesday? Do terrorists 'hit' on Tuesday, thus preventing my voting?
I just want the next 6 days to pass QUICKLY!
Rush!
He mentioned yesterday he OWNS Hawaii
How graphic! What a mental image!
I'll watch for it!
I second that emotion. Best idea I have heard in a long while.
I think New Jersey closes the polls at something like 8pm est. I say this because I always recall it being one of the first states to report. I may be wrong and it is 9pm, but hey let's hear it from someone who knows. If this news of Bush taking NJ comes in at 8pm, we will have a big LOL all night long. It has been difficult to take all this coverage parotting this same notion from the same angle. they just multiplyeach other without a dime's worth of differnece. FOX seems afraid to differ with the MSM anymore. They have really become pussycats.
"Those far enough behind enemy lines fer ya...???"
Works for me...Dim cities both!
That would be a sweet side benefit if the president wins in a landslide that buries the media. I like it.
I dont know about America, but it surely is the last thing I can take from that jackass. I simply could not put up with hearing himfor 4 years.
I sure hope America feels the same way.
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