Larry "Wrongway" Sabato.
Posted on 10/28/2004 3:26:44 PM PDT by TBBT
Larry "Wrongway" Sabato.
I might be worrying if he said Republican sources have privately said Bush is behind in their private internals. He just said private.
Rasmussen has Bush up by 4.Like I said in another thread until Gallup,Mason Dixon,or Opinion Dynamics comes out with a new poll I will not worry too much about it.
Sabato said this about NH
What I don't understand is polls showing W behind in Ohio, which is tradionally GOP, yet even or ahead in Michigan. Both states have sufffered job losses, which the dems have tried to hang around Bush's neck.
That guy was screwed up...when he mentioned the smallest possible margin of victory he said kerri must just carry NH and Ohio...but no mention of Wisconsin, Minn, etc...
Polls have become akin to reporting the temperature every 5 minutes at 1 mile intervals; practically meaningless.
If I hear PERCENT anything much more, I think I'll go crazy. It is beyond ridiculous.
He has personal reasons to be against Bush....
Would you please enlighten us to why?
Thanks
I heard him......he scared me to DEATH......he scared Britt too!!
Sheesh! Not another Larry Sabado "what does he mean" thread.
The electoral map has become as close as the overall election. We have given it to Bush by a tiny electoral majority, but there are so many significant toss-up states that this is an estimate, rather than reality. We want to mention that it is also very possible that the winning candidate will end up capturing the lion's share of those states, and that the Electoral College will do what it did well in 1960 when John F. Kennedy won the narrowest of popular vote majorities--112,827 votes--yet topped 300 in the Electoral College by winning many toss-up states by very slim margins.
Even though we have called these states tentatively, Florida, New Mexico, Iowa, Wisconsin, Ohio, and New Hampshire appear too close to call, or, at best, states with a tiny lead to their current frontrunner. We will try again in our last update on Nov. 1 to call each and every one of the states.
The following states are closer than expected: Hawaii, Michigan, New Jersey, Arkansas, and, of course, all of the states listed above.
George Bush has a 50-50 chance of capturing one electoral vote in the second congressional district of Maine. He will lose Maine overall to Kerry, but Maine is one of two states--Nebraska being the other--that split their electoral votes by congressional district, with the two senatorial votes going to the statewide winner. Bush is doing relatively well in Maine's second congressional district, which is the more northern part of the state.
The Lead is out in Ohio - late - but out -
I can't see Ohio going for Kerry - unless the Socialist Democrats get away with the attempts at fraud -
just my opinion - but you never know how deep the brainwashing goes - especially with all the new first time voters - the numbers are big for that cat.
The Ohio polls have been all over the place - his theory depends on which poll he was looking at to show a trend for Kerry - the only poll that matters to me is the one on Nov. 2
GO BUSH
We will not waiver, we will not falter, we will not fail
God Bless President George W. Bush
I am praying that the marriage amendment will put President Bush in a landslide victory!
He specifically said this was true about New Hampshire not Ohio.
Doesn't matter what he says, as a prognosticator and an analyst he rivals the toesucker.
From the thread postings it looks like the reference was really about New Hampshire so we are getting worked up over nothing. WE NEED A BREAK!!!!!
Sabato=UVA=Liberal Bile masquerading as truth.
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