I'll be showing up in north st. louis as an election judge. I've never done it before and I am accepting any and all prayers.
Posted on 10/29/2004 10:08:38 AM PDT by Laissez-faire capitalist
BoTox ballcap
So, you too have noticed how St. Louis always turns in it's results late? Aggravates me no end.
Hey Prof - you forgot to indicate sarcasm.
I assume you meant that since East St. Louis, situated as it is on the East bank of the Mississippi River, is actually in Illinois, those 10 Million Voters could actually vote for Kerry's Electors in two states!!!
I goofed. RealClearpolitics has Missouri already in the likely win column for Bush (getting him to 232). Bush will need Florida and one of the following states to win: Minnesota, Wisc, Pa or Ohio.
That's because Ohio more often than not votes Republican, not because there are not ways of winning without it, or because a Republican winning it guarantees election.. Nixon Release 1.0 in 1960 and Dewey Release 1.0 in 1944 both won Ohio (as did Harrison in 1892), but didn't win the Presidency.
Its also true no Democrat has ever won election without the support of Kentucky. But that doesn't mean they "can't" do so. Kerry could, but won't, this year.
There are lots of these streaks or near streaks out there of states predicting the winner - look at the voting behavior since 1892 of New Mexico (missed 1976 and 2000), Delaware (missed in 1916, 1932, 1948, and 2000), Pennsylvania (not a swing state prior to 1932 - missed 1932, 1948, 1968, 2000), Kentucky (missed 1900, 1904, 1908, 1920, 1952, and 1960) Missouri (missed 1896, 1900, 1956), Ohio (missed in 1892, 1944, 1960), Florida (not a swing state prior to 1924 - missed in 1924, 1960, 1992), New Jersey (missed in 1916, 1948, 1976, 2000), and Michigan (not a swing state prior to 1932 - missed in 1940, 1948, 1968, 1976, 2000). As a whole, they are fairly predictive of election outcomes, which is why they are considered swing states.
Its rather like the habit of Hawaii only going Republican in incumbent reeelections (1972, 1984), or West Virginia since 1920 doing the same until 2000 (1924, 1928, 1956, 1972, 1984)
They are individually about as meaningful as the Redskins winning or losing their last home game determining the President.
No Democrat has ever won the presidency without carrying Kentucky either.
The black Mayor of East St. Louis, a Democrat, has endorsed Bush.
Kentucky too!
ALL signs point to a Kerry defeat.
BAD news for Dems.
And no team has won the World Series after being down 3-0 (grrr...)
"And no team has won the world series after being down 3-0"
Kerry winning the Presidency with all signs like Hawaii, Missouri, and Kentucky pointing to his defeat, would be the equivilancy of a team coming from behind 3-0 to win the world series... 3 years in a row!
Bttt.
ROTFL
and those are just the newly registered....
Nixon won Kentucky in 1960. Kennedy became President 01-20-1961.
Bump.
East St. Louis Mayor agrees to head up "Democrats for Bush" in Illinois
Ping
TRIPES!!!
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