Posted on 10/29/2004 10:58:12 PM PDT by ambrose
I HEAR [KJL]
Zogby's latest will have Kerry up one nationwide, but Bush not doing bad in most battlegrounds, save for Florida (Florida where Bush internals are giving Bushies confidence).
Then whatever he calls what he thinks he is doing, it isn't polling.
The sad thing is this tape allows him to save himself..He can say OH,I WAS RIGHT BUT OSAMA CHANGED THINGS AT LAST MINUTE
I think you are reading too much into what Zogby says. He could have been talking about independents, or difference between R and D, etc. I don't think you could do assume a simple set of numbers to get 49%. For example, you average 48, 49, 50. You can have a wildly different set of numbers like 60, 45, 45 to get 49%. So if 60 rolls off, then the tracking numbers change by a big amount.
But I agree with you that Zogby is full of shit. I think we should all throw out Zogby's #'s, and concentrate on reall polls like Gallup and Battleground #'s.
I second this motion. :) It is fun -- sort of (maybe I just need to get a life) -- to monitor these daily polls, but the truth is that when Gallup is away, the mice will play.
Sounds like a personality test.
I'm starting to look at Zogby the same way I look at USED toilet paper...covered with poop at swirling off down the sewer!
"and", not "at"
As I recall, most of the sentiment on FR at the time was that Zogby was in the know on Dems' planned voter fraud.
I hope that with this election, Zogby has to close up shop and sell Persian rugs. The only poll I take seriously is Gallup, and you'll notice that they are very quiet the past few days. I think they will be pretty conservative in their final tally, no matter how they call it.
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