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Bin Laden Videotape Shakes Up Campaigns
iWon News ^ | October 30, 2004 | Mary Dalrymple, Calvin Woodward and Deb Riechmann

Posted on 10/30/2004 1:45:28 AM PDT by The Loan Arranger

COLUMBUS, Ohio (AP) - Osama bin Laden's sudden reappearance on videotape sent President Bush and Democrat John Kerry into a sharp final round of argument over which one can defeat terrorism and make Americans safe, the transcendent questions of the campaign.

The presidential candidates responded with reflexive gestures of unity to the sight of America's deadly foe on video, but those were swallowed up in the lunge for advantage in the campaign's closing days.

Kerry declared, "I can run a more effective war on terror" and revived his charges that Bush was responsible for letting bin Laden slip away. The president, speaking to thousands in Columbus on Friday night, shot back: "My opponent continues to say things he knows are not true." He said, "It's especially shameful in light of the new tape from America's enemy."

(Excerpt) Read more at apnews1.iwon.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Florida; US: Ohio; US: Wisconsin; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: arnold; binladen; bush; kerry; obl; tn; tommyfranks; torabora; wot
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'Fleshing out' the candidates reactions to the Osama videotape. This is going to give the president a 3-5 point boost by Monday, wait and see...
1 posted on 10/30/2004 1:45:30 AM PDT by The Loan Arranger
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To: The Loan Arranger

I know why Osama released this video. He has to quell a division in his organization. There's a power struggle and he needed this video out to thumb his nose at Bush, in order to try and solidify his base.

Osama is dead if he can't convince whoever is harboring him that he still retains control of Al Qaeda. Without Al Qaeda, Osama is useless... even as a figure head he'd be useless.

If Bush wins, Osama is screwed, and very likely he'll be handed over to us or silently killed. If Kerry wins, Osama wins and we'll probably see quick and rapid cleaning house in Al Qaeda of a few top leaders who thought they could take over with Osama out of the way.

This is a diabolical game of realpolitik and Osama is in trouble. He only has the card of fear to play, and he's got one hell of a bluffing face.


2 posted on 10/30/2004 1:51:02 AM PDT by coconutt2000 (NO MORE PEACE FOR OIL!!! DOWN WITH TYRANTS, TERRORISTS, AND TIMIDCRATS!!!! (3-T's For World Peace))
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To: coconutt2000

Plus if Kerry loses, it clears the decks for Hillary in '08.


3 posted on 10/30/2004 2:07:39 AM PDT by Question Liberal Authority (How do you ask a goose to be the last goose to die for the Kerry campaign?)
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To: coconutt2000
Re #2

Good points.

4 posted on 10/30/2004 2:11:15 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster
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To: coconutt2000

BUMP!

Do you think the video released by the Californi-jihadi poofter two days earlier forced his hand?


5 posted on 10/30/2004 2:39:33 AM PDT by Barlowmaker
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To: Barlowmaker

Very likely. Are we seeing the struggle within the Empire of Jihad playing out in primetime TeeVee?? Hollywood must be jealous, how can they compete with this?


6 posted on 10/30/2004 2:52:46 AM PDT by iopscusa (El Vaquero)
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To: The Loan Arranger

"This is going to give the president a 3-5 point boost by Monday"


Maybe- maybe not- but the fact that three years ago Bush said he wanted OBL dead or alive will be picked up by Kerry and hammered home by his minions and in tv ads.

OBL dead would have been more preferable...I think his tv appearence will have an unstable effect on the electorate.


7 posted on 10/30/2004 2:54:26 AM PDT by i_am_right_of_center
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To: i_am_right_of_center

I wouldn't be surprised if whoever has OBL kills him. Right now he's a leader. He'd be so much more effective as a marytyr.

I shudder at the thought.


8 posted on 10/30/2004 3:10:23 AM PDT by HushTX
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To: The Loan Arranger
If anything, it will galvanize BUSH's base more to GOTV with more drive and enthusiasm.
For Kerrys base, I think they know, that BUSH's base will be more driven to go out and vote, and they know in their minds now, that KERRYS chances are getting more slim by the moment, and they weren't to enthusiastic for him in the first place ( only the delusional are voting for him now ). I think, they are having second thoughts before they cast their votes ( no matter how much they hate BUSH, they are wondering, " CAN KERRY REALLY BE BETTER AT KEEPING US SAFE THAN BUSH ? ). Fear can sometimes override emotions of hate, and fear can cause you to focus on the matter at hand .
9 posted on 10/30/2004 3:32:58 AM PDT by Prophet in the Wilderess
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To: The Loan Arranger

Kerry belongs on Gilligans Island.......


10 posted on 10/30/2004 3:33:59 AM PDT by Stateline
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To: The Loan Arranger
"My opponent continues to say things he knows are not true."

Two points:

1: G.W.B. continues his use of "my opponent" instead of speaking his name. It's a brilliant strategy of subliminal non-recogonition.

2: A lesson to us all on how to call someone a liar without saying the word.

11 posted on 10/30/2004 3:34:41 AM PDT by QwertyKPH
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To: Prophet in the Wilderess

OBL again misjudges the American People.He thought 9/11 would scare us.He was dead wrong.He thinks he will scare us before election day.He is wrong again.He just might have provided the impetus for the George Bush landside.


12 posted on 10/30/2004 3:57:53 AM PDT by ardara
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To: The Loan Arranger
Here it is in a synopsis:

Bin Laden gave a present to the Bush campaign.

13 posted on 10/30/2004 4:18:17 AM PDT by SkyPilot
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To: coconutt2000
If Bush wins, Osama is screwed, and very likely he'll be handed over to us or silently killed. If Kerry wins, Osama wins and we'll probably see quick and rapid cleaning house in Al Qaeda of a few top leaders who thought they could take over with Osama out of the way.

You're right. Middle Eastern leaders who acted on the "death" of Osama, are the ones quaking now. Wanna be competing terrorist leaders are also on the potential chopping block.

If Kerry wins the shift to Osama will be quick, undoable, and complete. Extreme actions will be used to show loyalty. The shift quickens movement to the new perceived winning side. Consolidation of true believes will be brutal. After consolidation, the changes will be permanent.

Knowing the way the wind blows in totalitarian societies, is a survival requirement. Traditions of "it's meant to be" come out of this harsh environment -- reinforcing the messianic qualities of the twisted messenger.


14 posted on 10/30/2004 4:19:35 AM PDT by GOPJ (If 260 National Guard vets said Bush was an incompetent liar, the MSM would cover it. BiGTime)
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To: ardara

Unlike the SPANISH in their elections , for OSAMA ( THE EAGLE HAS LANDED ) on your head OSAMA.


15 posted on 10/30/2004 4:23:23 AM PDT by Prophet in the Wilderess
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To: SkyPilot

You're right SkyPilot.After seeing that video yesterday, there is no way the American public is going to change presidents with Osama still alive.You don't change quarterbacks in the middle of a play.


16 posted on 10/30/2004 4:23:26 AM PDT by quack
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To: QwertyKPH

Thanks for pointing this out. Our President is a great man and American.


17 posted on 10/30/2004 4:35:04 AM PDT by Coldwater Creek
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To: ardara

Thanks for the postive words. No doom and gloom here.


18 posted on 10/30/2004 4:36:23 AM PDT by Coldwater Creek
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To: coconutt2000; GOPJ

Very good analyses from both of you.


19 posted on 10/30/2004 4:43:15 AM PDT by livius
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To: iopscusa

I'm too superstitious to say anything more. If you know what I mean! Regards!


20 posted on 10/30/2004 5:02:46 AM PDT by Barlowmaker
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