Posted on 11/02/2004 2:23:29 PM PST by Cableguy
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Electoral Votes: |
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Bush |
213 |
|
Kerry |
311 |
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To Close To Call |
Nevada (5) |
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To Close To Call |
Colorado (9) |
Zogby International Finds: Bush at 49.4%, Kerry at 49.1%
The telephone poll of 955 likely voters was conducted (November 1-2, 2004). The MOE is +/- 3.2
Here's how we got there...
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Red State Totals (Using Current 2004 Electoral Vote Numbers):
142 |
Blue State Totals (Using Current 2004 Electoral Vote Numbers):
172 |
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2000 |
2004 |
Bush Electoral Votes |
Kerry Electoral Votes |
|
|
%Margin |
%Margin |
|
|
|
Arizona (10)* |
Bush + 6.28% |
Bush 6% |
10 |
- |
|
Arkansas (6)* |
Bush + 5.44% |
Bush 3% |
6 |
- |
|
Colorado (9) |
Bush + 8.36% |
To Close To Call |
- |
- |
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Florida (27) |
Bush + 0.01% |
Kerry .1% |
- |
27 |
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Iowa (7) |
Gore + 0.31% |
Kerry 5% |
- |
7 |
|
Michigan (17) |
Gore + 5.13% |
Kerry 6% |
- |
17 |
|
Minnesota (10) |
Gore + 2.4% |
Kerry 6% |
- |
10 |
|
Missouri (11)* |
Bush + 3.34% |
Bush 3% |
11 |
- |
|
Nevada (5) |
Bush + 3.55% |
To Close To Call |
- |
- |
|
New Hampshire (4) * |
Bush + 1.27% |
Kerry 5% |
- |
4 |
|
New Mexico (5) |
Gore + 0.06% |
Kerry 3% |
- |
5 |
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North Carolina (15)* |
Bush + 12.83% |
Bush 3% |
15 |
- |
|
Oregon (7)* |
Gore + 0.44% |
Kerry 10% |
- |
7 |
|
Ohio (20) |
Bush + 3.51% |
Bush 2% |
- |
20 |
|
Pennsylvania (21) |
Gore + 4.17% |
Trending Kerry |
- |
21 |
|
Tennessee (11)* |
Bush + 3.86% |
Bush 4% |
11 |
- |
| Virginia (13)* |
Bush + 7.00%
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Bush
|
13
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-
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Washington (11)* |
Gore + 5.58% |
Kerry 11% |
- |
11 |
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West Virginia (5)* |
Bush + 6.32% |
Bush 4% |
5 |
- |
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Wisconsin (10) |
Gore + 0.22% |
Kerry 6% |
- |
10 |
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Battleground State Totals
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71
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139
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Current Grand Total:
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213
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311
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* States denoted with an asterisk were polled online in Zogby Interactive surveys.(as of Nov. 2, 2004 5:00pm)
FL 0.1% Kerry? ZOGBY must have scored some good weed.
Maybe tomorrow morning he can release his final, final, final polling results.
I would like to point out to everybody that we are making EXACTLY the same mistake we made 4 years ago as per florida. The panhandle(conservative) votes one hour later... so its NORMAL that the dem would be ahead in early exit polling. This is the same exact thing that happened in 2000!!!
Good Lord. This is about the third "FINAL" Zogby poll I have seen since yesterday.
Zogby's an idiot.
#1 I'd like some of what Zogby is smoking.
#2 At least this time, when he is WAAAY off, we won't have to listen to the soundbyte how he was "the closest pollster" for 4 more years.
THE EXIT POLL NUMBERS DO NOT INCLUDE EARLY VOTING, WHICH IN MOST BATTLEGROUND STATES FAVORED BUSH! THIS PUTS THINGS IN CONTEXT.
NOTICE THAT HE'S GIVING OHIO TO KERRY WITH A 2% BUSH LEAD.
yeah - I LOVED that one! He's lost it!
tagging for a good laugh tomorrow.
I just want to announce that tomotrrow morning I will be releasing my final state by state numbers.
Can I be John Zogby?
I'm so sick of polls and especially Zogby. If Kerry wins, and I still don't think he will, it will not be with 311 EV.
Somebody must have punched the Egg Zog.
The Dems couldn't count on the MSM to get their propaganda out after the 2000 fiasco. Voila! Psy-ops conducted over the internet without accountability.
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Florida (27) |
Bush + 0.01% |
Kerry .1% |
- |
27 |
|
Ohio (20) |
Bush + 3.51% |
Bush 2% |
- |
20 |
So much for objectivity...
Zogby=Arab......what else do ya need to know?
And doing the same thing in FL? Hugh Hewitt's been hearing a different picture with Catholics and Hispanics coming out for Bush. Either Zogby or Hugh is right. I'll take Hugh.
I don't like this at all. We need to GOTV in FL and PENN in the last hour.
Duh, that makes good sense, duh! :-)
I noticed he gave Virginia to Bush...but did NOT list by what percent.
Probably a big percent, and since Zogby earlier said VA was a tossup he's hiding it. doesn't want to evidence his own wild variables.
Zog must really want to totally discredit himself for ever.
Zog is all over the place today.
I voted for John Zogby before I voted against him.
John Fraud Kerry
GOP internals suggest numbers as strong as I mentioned this morning, but the media is not reporting those. Were it any other day, the Media would be ignoring Drudge, but they are feeding him these heavily weighted exit polls which favor Kerry, while completely ignoring any evidence to the contrary.
This is not an accident.
The Media is trying to create the conditions for Kerry to claim victory, then fight in court any conflicting numbers. WE MUST IGNORE EXIT POLLING AND GET OUT THERE AND VOTE, PEOPLE.
If he's right except for Florida and Ohio, and we take Colo...269-269.
They've been voting in the panhandle all day.
Yeah, right - Bush wins the popular and loses the EV - another Zogby wet dream......
Take heart Fellow Freepers...even if the unthinkable occurs I see a silver lining in a Bush defeat. Remember when Clinton was elected? Two years later a complete turnover of both the House and Senate occurred. I predict a repudiation two years down the road similiar to what (former California) Gov. Gray Davis experienced for "President Kerry" should he be elected!
Zogby will still be getting this election wrong NEXT week. His polling is apparently done by Salvador Dali.
And there goes Zogby's reputation as a pollster, good riddance.
So Kerry gets ALL of the BG states of note??
IA, OH, FL, PN, WI, NM....
Give me a break!!!!!!!!!
"#1 I'd like some of what Zogby is smoking."
Its the same stuff that Baghdad Bob was smoking in the last days of Baghdad. Really great stuff if you like unreality.
What a friggin' joke!
Even if he's a little bit wrong....we lose. I can't believe all the polls showing Bush ahead could be so wrong....
I'm worried about Tradesports.com - it indicates Bush's numbers have crashed hard lately.
You know, I don't suppose Zogby will be out of a drop after Bush wins big, but it is comforting to know that he will be relagated to the part of the MSM that doesn't matter...ie CBS, NY Times...etc.
On the news show, the peaceful news show, the pollster sleeps tonight.
On the news show, the peaceful news show, the pollster sleeps tonight.
Wee-ooh wim-o-weh. Wim-o-weh o-wim-o-weh o-wim-o-weh
o-wim-o-weh o-wim-o-weh o-wim-o-weh o-wim-weh.
Wim-o-weh o-wim-o-weh o-wim-o-weh o-wim-o-weh
o-wim-o-weh o-wim-o-weh o-wim-weh.
Hush, my darling, don't puke, my darling, the pollster sleeps tonight.
Hush, my darling, don't puke, my darling, the pollster sleeps tonight.
Whuh whuh whuh wim-o-weh. Wee-ooh wim-o-weh wee-ooh
wim-o-weh wee-ooh wim-o-weh.
I'm not concerned with the political ramifications so much as the victory this would be for the Islamic terrorists.
I would like to point out that exit polls do not include absentee and early voting. It was reported that Bush was up by 125,000 votes going into today!
Zogby is so unworthy--he's been all over the place for the past two days. That's not "polling"--that's "following the bouncing ball"!
How come investors are not laughing?
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