Skip to comments.OH Update: Jay Cost (This Should Just About Do It)
Posted on 11/02/2004 8:58:59 PM PST by LS
Bush nets 20,000 votes in Butler County, Cincinnati Suburb.
Bush nets 856 in NE Wayne County. Bush still up 1.7% in NE Ohio...waiting on more Cuyahoga.
Bush nets 1990 in Marion County, West Central
West Ohio...Bush nets 2,900 votes in Darke County.
Central Ohio...reports my Hawkeye, [JAY MEANS "BUCKEYE"] "Good news for Bush. Bush up significantly in the following counties: Clark +5 (big county) Greene +3 (big county) Ross +2.6 (med county) Down BIGTIME in Coshocton (9% down) but it's a really SMALL county. All of the other 16 counties in my group, Bush is doing better by about 1-3%. But these are smaller counties (but every vote counts). Maybe down by a fraction of a point in a couple small counties."
Bush holding his own in Dayton and Columbus, reports another Hawkeye [BUCKEYE]: "Bush's percentage increase is about 1%. With 60% in Franklin (Columbus), Bush is ahead 50-49.5 -- he lost it 48-47 in 2000. With 73% in Montgomery (Dayton), Kerry is ahead 50-49 -- in 2000, Gore won it by 50-48."
LS.. fingers crossed.
Could you go and panic on only one thread?
Dayton is tough for Kerry to win by a huge margin with Wright Patterson Air Force Base in Dayton ...
You are spamming every thread with that comment...... stop the doom and gloom.
You nedd to chill out dear...you are spamming threads with fear and loathing.
Hope you're right. I'll feel a lot better when more of the vote is counted and it shows Bush with still a solid lead. When is Fox going to give Flordia to Bush?!
Calm- Wisconsin back to Bush!
You post that on every thread. Have a drink, have a few drinks and relax. Bush will win, count on it. BTW, welcome to freerepublic!
It's okay .... she's praying for Bush. It's all good!
It's over if Bush gets Ohio !
Stop posting this in every freaking thread.
Bush's lead has grown from 130,000 to 152,000 in a few short % of precincts reporting.
According to the Ohio SecState site, Bush is now 30000 votes down (53-47) in Franklin county, with 93% reporting.
LOL. Thank you for that.
Professor, how d'ya think Cayahoga will "net" out?
PLUS, the majority of three of the four most conservatice counties in the state have yet to report in - Hamilton, Clermont and Warren (Greater Cincinnati).
Where is it showing Wisconsin back to Bush? Drudge still shows it leaning Kerry.
I agree, bro! Get that chick some ludes or something.
Relax Ohio is the key.
I did the math, extrapolated remaining outstanding votes and assumed the trend stays steady
I come up with :
Bush: 2.214 mm
Kerry: 2.168 mm
Others, check my math.
Why on NBC did they just say that people in OH are still voting? I've been trying to NOT watch tv lest I get an ulcer.
Would you please stop posting this on every freaking thread?
You da man (or lady ...)!!
I know you cannot say from my name but it is... sister... :-)
Don't know, don't care. The action is in the south. I'm a Vince Lombardi guy: Don't care what their D is, only care about running MY play. My play is the south puts this away.
If they can't win BIG in Montgomery, it's over.
I am worried about Cuyahoga - look at these numbers:
It has only 741/1437 precints in!
Bush is going for Ohio.
I am continuing to analyze by county. Cuyahoga was Kerry's only hope. It cannot pull him ahead. Kerry people say Athens can pull him ahead but it cannot provide more than 4000 additional votes-- still not enough.
It is looking great for Bush to win Ohio.
So far, Bush is performing better in Ohio this year than in the 2000 election.
Yeah, it's been stuck at 52% but jumped to 67%. Bush now leads by 119,000 in Ohio, and I see 55,000 more votes to Kerry based on Cuyahoga and Summitt County projections, still leaving a nice padding of a 64,000 lead for Bush.
Apologies. Looks like we're gonna pull it out, yes? Hope and pray, hope and pray.
Man, sir. Or madame.
If you project out the existing vote in Cuyahoga from the 741 precincts which are 2 to 1 for Kerry, Kerry gains 225,000 votes. Bush gains 130,000 votes. This is not enough to change Bush's lead.
They would finish
2.069 million for Bush
2.028 million for Kerry
Kerry loses. Realize, that this is by counting ONLY Cuyahoga-- the most democratic and most populous Ohio county. Most of Ohio's 88 counties are strong Bush country.
It was all riding on Cuyahoga.
I think Kerry gets 80-85k in cuya - not 50
hopefully it is not enough either way......
"Cuyahoga was Kerry's only hope."
Kerry: "Help me Obi-Wan Cuyahoga-i, you're my last hope."
C3P0: "I suggest you let the Bushies win."
One word: Ohio!
PRESIDENT AND VICE-PRESIDENT
(With 1068 of 1458 precincts counted)
GEORGE W. BUSH/DICK CHENEY 173713
JOHN F. KERRY/JOHN EDWARDS 315986
I hope you're right. The tradesports investors agree; both OH and the whole enchilada are close to 85.
Do they use the chad voting system in this county?
Lockhart is claiming Dems are blowing the doors off in cayahoga county....
PRESIDENT AND VICE-PRESIDENT
Vote for 1 (With 1152 of 1458 precincts counted)
GEORGE W. BUSH/DICK CHENEY 179301
JOHN F. KERRY/JOHN EDWARDS 342637
Jeez. How long does it take some of these states' precincts to report?
Dems are blowing the doors off Cuyahoga-- almost 2 to 1.
Nonetheless, there is not enough unreported votes for them to topple Bush's lead. A Columbus Dispatch article quoted a dem operative saying they would win Cuyahoga by 300,000 over Bush. They are nowhere near that number.
There needs to be some very unusual precincts in the remainder of Cuyahoga-- more for kerry than 2 to 1. My understanding is that the more powerful precincts for Kerry have already turned in results, outlying precincts-- mroe for Bush-- are now turning in.
The fact that a Kerry team member moments ago said Athen country proves a Kerry win demonstrates their desperation. Athens county could not possibly turn the Bush advantage.