Skip to comments.Election 2004 - Some thoughts
Posted on 11/05/2004 8:40:07 AM PST by Jeff Head
The election is over. The only real poll was taken on November 2nd and it was not a sample. The largest numerical turnout in history spoke...Bush by 34 electoral votes (exactly what Texas is worth) and by 3.5 million votes. Although my own predictions were significantly higher for Bush, in my opinion, when it comes to traditional American values and to the foundational principles upon which this nation was founded, although he's not be the epitome of constitutional conservativism, nonetheless, the country is far better off with George W. Bush than John Kerry.
The impact of this vote on our security, on the House of Representatives, on the Senate and on Supreme Court will be significant We must continue to remain active and do all in our power to make sure that impact is a positive, constitutional one.
Here is a map of the final vote by state (using blue for the GOP and red for the DNC...much more fitting in my opinion).
Looks like Chicago and East St. Louis controlled the color of IL. LA and the Gay Area controlled the color of CA but Earl Warren and the Supremes laughingly ruled 45 years ago that "Cows Don't Vote!"
Not so much worry as vigilance. One price of liberty is enternal vigilance.
The amazing thing-look at NY and PA. The majority of the state voted for Bush!! New York City and Philadelphia basically disenfranchise the rest of those states.
I sometimes think that if every state split their EV's like Maine, that it would work even better. As we know, a popular vote alone would make the cities control flyover country. Well PA has it's own little flyover country between Pittsburgh and Philly that gets overblown by the Dems in the cities.
Plus, splitting votes would seriously lessen the impact of voter fraud in Philadelphia. Instead of turning all 21 EV's to the Democrats, it may turn 3 or 4 worst-case, unless the fraud could be placed in every precient statewide which would be difficult to do.
See post 43.
Agreed 100%. Great points...thanks.
Now we're importing the plantation on top of that!!!
You are weclome. We must continue to energize the base, and educate and reason with the general population. If we are ommitted to that, sustaining it over years, and doing so with faith...we will not lose.
"My biggest concern is the fact that over 55 million people voted for Kerry."
That is my concern also, besides his family and staff who I knew would vote for him, who are these millions of others.
I bet you are proud of Idaho!! The liberals haven't run roughshod over the likes of you yet! My Siskiyou county went 65% for Pres. Bush.....All Californians are not brain dead!!
I got to work at the polls again, just remember one thing...provisional ballots are for people who are too DUMB to register and vote legally!
However, with a Republican Controlled Senate and House, Kerry would have not been able to accomplish any of the "plans" that he liked to say he had, but never spelled out.
The first lesson learned is that Presidential candidates need to be "physically attractive." There are lots of studies that say handsom men are more sucessful. I feel that Kerry was choosen as eye-candy by some Democratic machine folks. I remember one Kerry interview where a woman introducing him said he was just so very handsome! While I want to believe that choosing a leader should be about substance, some of the american people don't feel that way and we have to realize it.
If we want to make sure that our candidate wins he should be capable of great stump speeches delivered with conviction. While difficult for Bush he was able to do this when absolutely necessary. If he had been better at the TV debates (or the media a little less stacked against him) then he would have done even better and had more of a "mandate."
A candiate doesn't need to be a war hero, actually the candidate can have criminal or huge moral mistakes in his past. People knew Clinton had a very questionable past, but still voted for him. I am not going to even talk about Kerry as I feel his......
The candidate needs to have a vision of what he wants to accomplish and needs to sell the public that he "can" implement the vision and they will benefit from it. One of the things the Contract with American, Bill Clinton, Ronald Reagan and GW Bush did was provide Americans with a vision they could believe in while they entered the election booth. We many not all have liked all aspects of the visions and some of us may have found them revolting (i.e. some of Clintons more government), but the majority of voters had a feeling they knew what they were doing. It also helps if the vision makes people feel good about themselves and/or that they are going to make life better for their children and grandchildren.
Now lets look at the County red/blue map again and think about 4 years from now. We know that the huricans in Florida have caused a lot of folks to consider leaving parts of the state. Republicans should very carefully track "who" is leaving (i.e. republicans or democrats) those key democratic counties and where the heck they are going (i.e. are they going and to red or blue counties in other states.
The next election will not be redistricted via a new census and so House seat elections could be damatically changed 2 years from now and the next presidential election could have some subtle population shifts. If the Republicans are smart and track key Counties in Florida, Ohio, and some other states, we may find real opportunities. The red/blue County map shows that wining just a few key Counties in some swing states could make a huge Electorial College Difference.
It would be worth the effort and expense by the RNC to do some demographic tracking after identifying some key Counties.
That County demographics can also help cement control of the Senate and the House. I feel that control of the Executive Branch plus House and Senate is a good way of removing "jobs" for Democrats in Washington DC and with the federal government. That in turn forces career democrats, and those who are part of the Democratic "brain trust" and the campaign managements and campaign leaders of that party to find other lines of work.
The Republicans need to destroy the ability of the Democratic Party to find partronage jobs for its workers at the federal level. If we can do that then future campaigns will be much easier. It is a worthy goal.
I am content with what our founders set up and believe we should allow the states to determine how those EVs split out as they are.
The real key is faith, education and reason. That has always been the case. A good dose of that was applied this year to overcome the opposition. We must continue it, expand it and sustain it.
Amen...and the Mile High state was a part of that.
1. Much is made by the Dems of thier reocrd turnout against Bush. From what I've seen of the numbers, something like 85% of their increase came in the blue states, where they won't be worth a pfennig in electoral votes..
2. Even better..2008 is the LAST presidential election this decade..then we have a census, and re-apportionement, and there's a strong probability of another 7-10 shit in EVs from Blue states to RED states....That makes the electoral college math for the dems very, very, hard..
Exactly right. The New Society has created modern day reservation, in amny ways like the Indian reservations, in our inner cities. It's time to get folks OFF THE RESERVATION...across the board.
We are indeed proud of the Gem State!
Huh? We keep winning elections. Don't see it.
2008 will be another critical test. I believe the left will not learn from this experience or change...they will be hardedned by it and even be worse in 2008 I am afraid.
Either way, we must continue the work and lengthen our own stride.
Now is the time to analyze lessons learned from this campaign, organize, poll, canvas neighborhoods, and get ready. The democrat party has been severely wounded (again) and there's nothing more dangerous than a wounded animal (some might argue an ex-wife is).