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"18-Year Old Expert Interviewed On Foreign Policy and Security"
Milnet.com ^ | November 13, 2004 | Ryan Mauro/Milnet.com

Posted on 11/13/2004 10:19:42 PM PST by Blindboy16

MILNET: Those In The Know Interview with Ryan Mauro

This briefing asks questions of the first analyst we have interviewed, Ryan Mauro, Ryan is a knowledgeable geo-political analyst in the commercial field (www.WorldThreats.com) whose expertise was recognized quite early in life...

How would you interpret apparent U.S. Intelligence Community failures in light of information on WMD in Iraq?

Intelligence on Iraq, as well as most foreign countries, was flawed. I do not think anyone can look at the present situation and be completely satisfied. Recognizing that, I have been amazed at some of the analysis regarding the WMD.

First off, most people don't know that banned missiles and chemical weapons from the Iran-Iraq War have been found. Most people don't know that very small quantities of biological weapons have been found. Most people don't know--and this I find most disturbing--that even if no WMD "stockpiles" are found, the Duelfer report basically confirmed Saddam Hussein was able to produce-on-demand.

Personally, from my studies, as can be seen on WorldThreats.com and my forthcoming book, I believe that the WMD stockpiles Saddam Hussein possessed are in other countries--mainly Syria but also Iran, Lebanon and probably Libya. I have spoken with sources who have seen Israeli satellite photos confirming that in the months before the war, convoys were seen being sent into Syria from Iraq. Syrian defectors have confirmed the existence of Iraqi WMD in Syria, and Israeli intelligence as well as American Army Intelligence seems to be onboard with the theory.

Duelfer and Kay both said themselves that if this theory was true (and they confirmed they had "evidence" but not "proof" that the theory was true) it would explain the WMD situation inside Iraq...

(Excerpt) Read more at milnet.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Foreign Affairs; Government; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New Jersey; Unclassified; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: 18; baghdad; banned; biological; chemical; concepts; damascus; defense; destruction; eighteen; expert; foreign; guerilla; holy; ideology; insurgency; interviewed; iran; iraq; jihad; mass; mauro; nuclear; osama; policy; ryan; saudiarabia; saudis; security; syria; tactical; teenager; teens; tehran; terrorism; terrorist; threats; un; unitednation; usama; war; weapon; wmd; wmds; world

1 posted on 11/13/2004 10:19:44 PM PST by Blindboy16
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To: Blindboy16

THANKS.

SENT TO MY EMAIL LIST.


2 posted on 11/13/2004 10:27:09 PM PST by Quix (PRAY 4 PRES BUSH'S SAFETY; SPECTER OFF COMMITTEE; TROOPS; GOD'S PROTECTION)
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To: Blindboy16
Please tell me this posting about a "knowledgeable geo-political analyst in the commercial field " at the age of 18, who started at age 11 is a joke?

I'm sorry, I don't care how many books you have read or more likely, movies and "news channels" you have watched, doesn't make you an analyst.

It did make me laugh though!
3 posted on 11/13/2004 10:56:33 PM PST by Nova Reservist
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To: Nova Reservist

Do you believe prodigies exist? Thank God we've got one in Intel!


4 posted on 11/13/2004 10:59:57 PM PST by Californiajones ("The apprehension of beauty is the cure for apathy" - Thomas Aquinas)
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To: Nova Reservist

And Nova -- what special training does the CIA do today for their "analysts" who couldn't seem to figure out anything in past ten years? This kid could probably run the CIA with his level of understanding.


5 posted on 11/13/2004 11:02:34 PM PST by Californiajones ("The apprehension of beauty is the cure for apathy" - Thomas Aquinas)
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To: Californiajones

What is this... Ender's Game stuff?


6 posted on 11/13/2004 11:04:25 PM PST by GeronL (http://images7.fotki.com/v125/photos/2/215708/780411/reow-vi.jpg?1100155138)
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To: Nova Reservist

His analysis was spot on. Everything he said was consistant with my knowledge of the situations and he added a couple of things I had not heard.

He is not spouting the stupidity coming out of the mainstream media, but actually using things like the Kay and Duelfer reports.

I think I'd Rather read his book than the NYT on these issues. That is the real test, not his age.

DK


PS If you meet a 19 year old MD, you may want to listen to him.


7 posted on 11/13/2004 11:12:08 PM PST by Dark Knight
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To: Blindboy16
Thanks for the GREAT article. This kid obviously knows about how Cuba has been helping the mullahs keep control of the pro democracy forces in Iran by using their powerful Russian built satellite jammers to jam pro democratic TV out of the US. (I think Cuba is doing this from the former Soviet SIGINT or the current Chinese SIGINT facilities at Lourdes or Bejucal, Cuba).

Smart kid. If I was Condi Rice, I'd hire him NOW.
8 posted on 11/13/2004 11:14:25 PM PST by Californiajones ("The apprehension of beauty is the cure for apathy" - Thomas Aquinas)
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To: GeronL

What is Ender's Game stuff?


9 posted on 11/13/2004 11:15:29 PM PST by Californiajones ("The apprehension of beauty is the cure for apathy" - Thomas Aquinas)
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To: Californiajones
LOL

Ender's Game was a sci-fi novel, they taught children to be warriors...

10 posted on 11/13/2004 11:20:11 PM PST by GeronL (http://images7.fotki.com/v125/photos/2/215708/780411/reow-vi.jpg?1100155138)
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To: GeronL

Oh. Being female and all, I was late to the sci fi party. Only discovered Philip Dick in the past few years.


11 posted on 11/13/2004 11:36:39 PM PST by Californiajones ("The apprehension of beauty is the cure for apathy" - Thomas Aquinas)
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To: Californiajones

Smart kid. If I was Condi Rice, I'd hire him NOW.

Born November 14, 1954 in Birmingham, Alabama, she earned her bachelor's degree in political science, cum laude and Phi Beta Kappa, from the University of Denver in 1974; her master's from the University of Notre Dame in 1975; and her Ph.D. from the Graduate School of International Studies at the University of Denver in 1981.

A prodigy in her own right, Condi got her BA at age nineteen.

12 posted on 11/14/2004 12:03:42 AM PST by sinanju
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To: Californiajones

The Ender's series is fantastic, especially for kids.


13 posted on 11/14/2004 12:41:12 AM PST by cwd26
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To: Blindboy16
Excellent interview, excellent analysis..

I don't care what his age is, I agreed with every analysis he made..
Some of the points he made are ones I have come to believe after alot of reading various sources.

14 posted on 11/14/2004 2:06:43 AM PST by Drammach (Freedom; not just a job, it's an adventure..)
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To: Blindboy16

Ryan is 18? Time to arrange a four years of geopolitical training, beginning with six months at Fort Benning.


15 posted on 11/14/2004 7:36:16 AM PST by Meldrim
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To: Nova Reservist

Hey newbie, got an axe to grind? You sure were quick to beat up that interviewee. What's your agenda?


16 posted on 11/15/2004 7:23:08 AM PST by GOP_1900AD (Stomping on "PC," destroying the Left, and smoking out faux "conservatives" - Take Back The GOP!)
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To: GOP_1900AD
no agenda whatsoever, it was posted and I made some comments. Don't look at me for someone who will defend the CIA or especially the MSM for their analysis or success rate.

I'm just not overly impressed with those without some real world experience. Foreign Policy discussions whether by academicians or other analyst's that aren't grounded in experience gained in foreign lands isn't as credible as that gained from being on the ground seeing and hearing for yourself.

While his analysis was overall OK, I wouldn't put him in the category of a prodigy. I think if he gets out some in the real world, he'll probably be that much better. And yes, experience at Ft. Benning would be invaluable.
17 posted on 11/15/2004 10:44:43 AM PST by Nova Reservist
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