Skip to comments.Terror expert: Qaida WMD attack on US likely soon
Posted on 11/28/2004 7:18:24 PM PST by upbeat5
An al-Qaida attack on the US with non-conventional weapons is virtually "inevitable," and the organization is likely "tying up the knots" for such an attack, Yosef Bodansky, former director of the US Congressional Task Force on Terrorism and Unconventional Warfare, told The Jerusalem Post on Sunday.
"All of the warnings we have today indicate that a major strike something more horrible than anything we've seen before is all but inevitable," he said.
Bodansky, here for the second annual Jerusalem Summit, an international gathering of conservative thinkers, added that "the primary option" for the next al-Qaida attack on US soil would be one that would use weapons of mass destruction.
"I do not have a crystal ball, but this is what all the available evidence tells us, we will have a bang," Bodansky said.
He said that al-Qaida has not carried out a second major attack on the US until now for internal psychological and ideological reasons, but after the reelection of President George W. Bush, it has gotten "the green light" to do so from leading Islamic religious luminaries, as well as from "the elites of the Arab world."
According to Bodansky's reading of Osama bin Laden's mind-set, after the elaborate attacks of 9/11 there was no need for the "bin Ladens of the world" to carry out a second major attack in the US, both because the target audience of the attacks the Arab and Islamic world had gotten the message that America could be penetrated, and because a second attack would necessarily have to be more grandiose.
Following the attacks and the US-led war on terror, a debate started within the operational arm of the organization over the potential use of weapons of mass destruction, Bodansky said.
If, in pre-9/11 days, the theme used by bin Laden was that perpetual confrontation and jihad against the US was the only way to protect Islam, the argument now used is the ability to punish American society, Bodansky said.
"Just as the West was challenging the quintessence of Islam by means of the globalization era, there was a parallel need by Islamic extremists to strike at and hurt the core of American society, this time with weapons of mass destruction," Bodansky said.
A subsequent theological debate emerged within the organization, and its supporters in the Arab world, he said, over whether the mass killing of innocents is permissible.
While bin Laden and his associates argued that by virtue of their participation in US democracy, US citizens were enabling their rulers to fight, other Islamic luminaries contended that this does not permit such massive attacks, Bodansky said. The reelection of Bush in November, he said, was viewed by bin Laden and his cohorts as a decisive answer to this deliberation, with Americans now "choosing" to be the enemies of Islam. In bin Laden's mind-set, he said, the stage was set for a non-conventional attack.
Bodansky said that while there may still be some vestiges of debate and doubt within Islamic circles, he believes that planing for such an attack is finished. "They got the kosher stamp from the Islamic world to use nuclear weapons," he said.
Moreover, Bodansky said that America is losing the war against terrorism, noting the number of recruits bin Laden is able to count on, as his call to arms gains widespread support throughout the Muslim world.
In the pre-9/11 world, Bodansky said, jihadists could count on 250,000 individuals trained and willing to die, and 2.5 million5 million people willing to help them in one way or another. He cited intelligence estimates from this summer that suggest that as many as 500,000-750,000 people are willing and trained to die, 10 million are willing to actively support them, short of killing, while another 50 million are willing to support such a movement financially.
Kosher? I don't think so!
Bodansky is a has been wannabe. His opinion is worth less than the electrons used to publish them.
If something like this happens , it would be worth it to nuke Mecca.
I'm beginning to think that the Netherlands might be onto something.
When will we seal our borders?
Goodbye Mecca, goodbye Medina, goodbye Teheran,....
Of course, one does not get much publicity by stating "Al Qaida attack not likely".
If Bin Laden, or any jihadist had the logistical ability, and not just the will to attack the United States with WMDs, or for that matter in any significant way at all, they would have done so already.
I believe that the worldwide Islamist insurgency is on it's heels, off balance, half deaf, dumb and blind, and unable to deliver anything more significant than videotapes.
For now. They obviously can continue to regroup and work toward improving their capabilities. Meanwhile, we will continue to grind up them and their resources where ever we find them.
I don't know anything about the guy, but I wouldn't be anywhere near Washington on Inauguration Day. If that's not a juicy target I don't know what is.
Lets hope the security guys are on the top of their game.
he's a pessimist, but I wouldn't discount him totally.
Hey, that's my gun, sans the bayonet lug and flash suppressor.
I'm a "Post Ban" biatch....
An unconventional attack would give us the reason we need to use hydrogen bombs to wipe out every muslim country on the face of the earth thus eliminating their source of logistical, tactical, and financial support. As a bonus Iran would cease to be an issue and after the radiation dissipates all muslim oil fields would be ours. This makes one wonder whose side is bin ladin on.
Do a Google search on "Yosef Bodansky".
He's been beating this drum since at least 1999, even saying back then that an AQ nuclear attack was imminent.
Scary! I wish my sister didn't work in downtown.
Well I'm planning on being there. But I'm just a little bit crazy!
Mine has a bayonet and scope. Also have several 20, 30 & 40 round magazines. , and 2 ammo boxes full of .223
maybe part of the fix is that the problem looks un-fixed. that could be. i sure dont know. somethings up.
Actually, we may get a pink horizon from the blast lol, the next best thing to actually being there and no fallout for us.
right on, john!
I like the way you think!
And I AM coming back to haunt you!
LOL if I see any glowing pink ghosts I'll know it's you.
Do we have to wait for another attack or can we just do it on "general principles" ?
Potential threats and subsequent harm from Muslims appear greater today than the threats and harm from the Japanese living in the USA in 1942.
It came with the weapon. $400 for the lot!
I don't have a crystal ball or anything, but there are certain indicators that lead me to believe that there are going to be weather changes within the next few weeks.
Whoa, that's a great deal! Also, I don't see what the deal was with the bayonet lugs anyway. Hell, I'd rather be stabbed than shot...
Stab. lift, twist. Messy and painful.
Dream on. A President who will not allow his military to flatten mosques is never going to carry out such a final plan. And we have had ample reason to do it already. Ample. Iran should have been flattened on 9/12. They are the worldwide center of terrorism. It has been rumored that Bin Laden is living there.
"If Bin Laden, or any jihadist had the logistical ability, and not just the will to attack the United States with WMDs, or for that matter in any significant way at all, they would have done so already."
I agree completely with your assessment.
This article is just propaganda. Pure and simple.
I don't think I would be telling the world what kind of toys I have.
I agree with your post that Bodansky seems to be underestimating our security awareness. But he also is underestimating the response by the Arab Muslim nations themselves. Although they are not aligned with us, they are aware of the consequences of American retaliation if they are seen as part of another attack on the U.S. I think the correct computer term is "Falluja-ification."
I get the impression that Syria is "more cooperative" than previously. Also, the Saudi's are closer with us on the issue of security. Certainly they're not in our camp, but they aren't blatantly supporting the terrorists as they were before, in fact, they are arresting them. Pakistan is also doing a better job.
All the previous factors, except illegal immigration, are being addressed well.
The only thing that supports Bodansky's position is the Arab Muslim's Wahabi-ism and the related rabid, anti-civilization irrationality that comes with it. I see them flailing in a low tech way, not leading a sophisticated attack at this time.
I guess we can "blame" our increased preparedness on Bush, and maybe Bodansky's just plugging a soon to be published book, or trolling for speaking engagements.
Has it already been 3 months since the last time they said an attack was imminent?! My how time flies.
The threat is credible, although there have always been doom-sayers and always will be.
I will never understand what those radical's problem is? We only hate them because they hate us.
We had better pray that they don't get a nuke into NA. If that ever happens, the world will be a crappy place to live for a few decades.
In God we trust.
Btw, do they allow FreeRepublic in the afterlife...?