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What If The Sun Was To Go Out?
MadSci Network ^ | February 24, 1997 | Joseph Spitale, Grad student Planetary Science/Applied Math, Lunar and Planetary Laboratory

Posted on 12/11/2004 11:15:46 AM PST by SamAdams76

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To: RightWhale
Here's a quick Wikipedia summary:

"The solar neutrino problem was a major discrepancy between measurements of the neutrinos flowing through the Earth and theoretical models of the solar's interior, lasting from the mid-1960s to about 2002. The discrepancy has since been resolved by new understanding of neutrino physics, requiring a modification of the Standard Model of particle physics."

Sounds like we're safe for a good while.
81 posted on 12/11/2004 12:13:15 PM PST by clyde asbury (I'm Not Being Rude. You're Just Insignificant.)
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To: spinestein
I thought this scenario called for an instant "outage", by the time the epistellar Sun sheds its outer shell of plasma, the Earth will be little more than a burning cinder. Then the freezing would be no fun to watch.
82 posted on 12/11/2004 12:14:01 PM PST by eagle11
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To: SamAdams76

What would happen if the sky fell? My goodness gracious.....what would we do?


83 posted on 12/11/2004 12:15:51 PM PST by bert (Don't Panic.....)
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To: Semper Paratus

If the sun went out, it would certainly make it easier for the Democrats to win the recount in Washington state.


84 posted on 12/11/2004 12:18:25 PM PST by Verginius Rufus
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To: bert

If the sun went out I seriously doubt we'd last 6 months. More likely it will "hiccup" and incinerate us one day.


85 posted on 12/11/2004 12:30:25 PM PST by Williams
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To: RightWhale; JenB
As Rightwhale mentions in post 39:

There was some cafeteria speculation a couple years ago that the sun has already gone out. It is dark inside and the surface is glowing from residual heat. Won't be long until we notice, maybe a few thousand years.

This is not just cafeteria speculation but a current topic of debate among astrophysicists, particularly trying to find explanations why there are fewer neutrinos being detected from the sun than are predicted by the prevalent theories.  A paper on the University of Toronto Physics web site raises this possibility:

There are two possible explanations for the solar neutrino deficit.  The first, and simplest, is that the sun is producing fewer neutrinos than we think. One dramatic possibility is that the sun has stopped burning at its core and is already in the final phases of the stellar life cycle. Fortunately for us, it would still take several million years before the energy output of the sun would be noticeably reduced.

Note that they say it would "still take several million years" for us to notice the change.

Another possibility is that the sun's nuclear fusion is cyclical and that we are going through a "downtime" in solar fusion.  Whether it is permanent or not, the possibility exists that the sun has already 'gone out.'

By the way, my favorite SF story about the sun messing up, in my mind, is Larry Niven's "Inconstant Moon," which was made into an episode of the revived Outer Limits TV show.  In this case it's a massive solar flare event which occurs while Los Angeles is on the far side of the Earth from the sun.  He does a great job speculating about the first telltales and then the growing affects of the event.  His characters are a bit less convincing (which is typical of his stories) but still fun.

 

86 posted on 12/11/2004 12:37:25 PM PST by Phsstpok (Whenever you find you are on the side of the majority, it is time to reform - Mark Twain)
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To: freedumb2003

Fritz Leiber's story "A Pail of Air" is closer. In it, the Earth is ripped out of orbit by a passing star, and the air freezes into layers of different gasses. A few people survive.

The name of the story comes from an everyday activity -- going outside to bring in buckets of frozen oxygen.

Jack


87 posted on 12/11/2004 12:39:56 PM PST by JackOfVA
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To: SamAdams76

None of this matters anyway. The budget deficit is going to kill us all long before the sun disappears. *end sarcasm*


88 posted on 12/11/2004 12:40:14 PM PST by spinestein (Intolerance will not be tolerated !)
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To: SamAdams76

I seem to remember that the sun will, at some point, go out. But before that happens it will expand and we'll all become crispy critters. I think I'll just not worry about it, I'm going to hop back over to the thread where they are worrying about the state of Alabama having "Heart of Dixie" on their car license tags!


89 posted on 12/11/2004 12:42:24 PM PST by pepperdog
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To: SamAdams76
What If The Sun Was To Go Out?

Would that be the Ft. Lauderdale Sun-Sentinal or the Chicago Sun-Times? Frankly, I could care less if either were to go out of business.

-PJ

90 posted on 12/11/2004 12:43:22 PM PST by Political Junkie Too (It's still not safe to vote Democrat.)
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To: SamAdams76

Why would someone even think of this must less write a paper on it? I've got the answer in 2 words "We're DOOMED".


91 posted on 12/11/2004 12:48:27 PM PST by Ditter
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To: Larry Lucido
If you cored the Earth quickly, you wouldn't need to jump. The air rushing in to fill the vacuum would sweep you along, until you hit the magma which was also sucked into the void.
92 posted on 12/11/2004 12:49:30 PM PST by A.J.Armitage (http://calvinist-libertarians.blogspot.com/)
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To: SamAdams76

What would happen if I asked a theoretical question?


93 posted on 12/11/2004 12:51:49 PM PST by southernnorthcarolina (I'm from so far back in the woods, even the Episcopalians handle snakes.)
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To: SamAdams76
What If The Sun Was To Go Out?

The Democrats would blame Bush.

Seriesly-it would be bad...

94 posted on 12/11/2004 12:55:48 PM PST by Jim Noble (FR Iraq policy debate begins 11/3/04. Pass the word.)
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To: JenB
Run out of fuel. But that causes an entirely different chain of consequences.

First, core contraction as pressure at the core falls. That allows ignition of elements beyond hydrogen. Helium burning would then support a larger, more tenuous sun - a red giant - with a higher power output but for a much shorter period of time than hydrogen burning. Eventually that too runs out, and the same repeats.

The next to trigger is carbon burning, and after that it goes very fast. The final elements up to iron (the most stable nuclei) take only days. When it is all gone, assuming the mass isn't enough to ignite the energy consuming trans-iron elements, you have only gravitional collapse pushing temperature up.

The sun shrinks to a white dwarf, stabilizing there as Pauli exclusion pressure counteracts infalling weight. It then takes millions of years for the resulting fusionless but white hot star remnant to cool off by radiation.

The sun needs fusion to maintain its state and to prevent gravitational collapse, but not to be hot. Infall of matter - shrinkage - can release plenty of additional energy. And the interior of dense, white hot bodies do not exactly cool off in an instant.

As for the scientist's musings, photosynthesis drives earth life by capturing about 0.5% of sunlight energy that hits the earth. Total human energy use is a fraction of that amount, about one quarter of it last I checked. We would have a substantial amount of energy from existing sources, for a while. But not enough to maintain the biosphere (it is less than currently does, and plants have very low mechanical efficiency, and we'd have no easy way of pumping our own power into them, rapidly).

On the other hand, given enough warning time there is plenty we could do. Fission energy release is basically unlimited - the amount of uranium in the earth's crust would suffice to replace solar power for millions of years, if we had access to it (which is a matter of capital for extraction etc). With enough lead time and capital, any power source can be used to feed plants e.g. in hydroponic tanks under UV light.

The total biosphere and thus population we can support is set by our income, not the form in which is arrives. Free sunlight is a huge "gift" portion of our income. But one kind can replace another - with adapation costs (thus net income reduction) and lead time.

95 posted on 12/11/2004 12:58:02 PM PST by JasonC
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To: Larry Lucido
What if you cored the earth from pole to pole, then jumped in the hole - what would happen?

Assuming that all the hot stuff didn't come erupting out the hole? You'd fall back and forth for a long time before stopping near the core.

96 posted on 12/11/2004 1:10:33 PM PST by Max in Utah (By their works you shall know them.)
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To: carlr

Yeah, it'll be rough for me to deal with a population explosion, I'm still dealing with the aftereffects of running out of oil back in 1980.


97 posted on 12/11/2004 1:16:02 PM PST by mhx
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To: Phsstpok
.....fewer neutrinos being detected from the sun than are predicted by the prevalent theories.

Could the diparity be suppresion of the minirity neutrinos?

Is Karl Rove and Diebold behind this?

Sorry. I've spent too much time lurking over at DU.

98 posted on 12/11/2004 1:17:59 PM PST by OSHA (Actual DUer - I am so proud and excited! Let the recount and Inauguration of President Kerry begin!)
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To: southernnorthcarolina

"What would happen if I asked a theoretical question?"

You'd have the makings of a theoretician joke:

A guy was walking along the street one night, when he came upon a man--a theoretical physicist--on his hands and knees under a street light, searching the street. The fellow asked him what he was looking for, and the theoretician replied, "I'm looking for my car keys." Being a helpful sort, the fellow started searching, too.

After a time he asked, "Are you sure you lost them here?"

"Of course not" replied the theoretician. "But at least there's light here."


99 posted on 12/11/2004 1:28:14 PM PST by Larry Lucido
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To: Larry Lucido

And, no, I'm not an antitheorentite!


100 posted on 12/11/2004 1:29:24 PM PST by Larry Lucido
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