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Flu shot supply grows, demand withers
Billings Gazette ^ | December 13, 2004 | WILLIAM C. MANN

Posted on 12/13/2004 1:11:10 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife

SEATTLE - Rod Watson had to cancel 1,000 flu-shot clinics in four states when the national vaccine shortage cut off his supply two months ago.

Now Watson has flu shots aplenty - and he can't give them away.

"My biggest fear is I'm gong to end up with a lot of serum, and there's a national shortage," said Watson, president of Prevention MD, a medical screening and immunization company. He offers $20 flu shots Monday through Friday at his Seattle-area office.

Public health officials in California, Colorado and other states have voiced similar fears. Some are relaxing the rules to offer shots to more people.

In October and November people stood in line for hours to get one of the precious few flu shots. But now that more vaccine is available - with a few million more doses expected from British and German suppliers - demand is dwindling.

"It's one of those things like Beanie Babies or something," said Doug McBride, spokesman for the Texas Department of State Health Services. "If you can't get something, you've got more people wanting them."

Supply exceeds demand in some areas, the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention acknowledges. In other areas, people are still desperate for the vaccine. The best way to find a flu shot is to call your local health department, the CDC advises.

The CDC says 98 million people need the vaccine this winter. About 65 million doses will be available in the United States, including a nasal vaccine that's safe only for healthy people.

Public health officials say they hope demand is dwindling because they've reached the people who need flu vaccine the most: babies, the aged and the infirm. But they acknowledge that other factors - from frustration and apathy to simple human nature - might be at work too.

When something is scarce, people naturally want it more. Being told they can't get a desired immunization is an unfamiliar and unwelcome sensation for most Americans.

"Anytime a commodity is scarce, and it is a desired item, demand will increase," Dr. Louis Manza, psychology professor at Lebanon Valley College in Pennsylvania, said in an e-mail.

Some people probably gave up after trying unsuccessfully to get a flu shot, said Mary Selecky, director of the Washington State Health Department and member of a national advisory group on flu vaccine distribution. Recent reports on this flu season's mild start may have convinced others that getting a flu shot wasn't worth the trouble - an impression Selecky is trying to erase.

"It's a mild flu season up to now, but next week could be another story," Selecky said. "As a society we're driven by what's in front of us ... We're having to work a little bit harder so people know that getting a flu vaccine in December and January is still very effective."

David Marks was surprised at how easy it was to get vaccinated at a Seattle grocery store last week. The line in the express checkout lane was longer than the line to get flu shots.

"I just assumed it was going to be hard," said Marks, 44, whose severe asthma puts him in the high-risk group. "I think people have given up."

High-risk groups, as defined by the CDC, are people age 65 and older, adults and children with chronic diseases, babies 6 months to 23 months, pregnant women, nursing home residents, and people who live with children under 6 months of age.

Some state officials are expanding eligibility to younger people, those just over 50. The CDC is encouraging state officials to set their own guidelines based on local needs.

"They know what's best for their community," CDC spokesman Llelwyn Grant said. The federal agency is also working with state and local officials to redirect vaccine to areas where it's most needed for high-risk patients.

Health officials are worried about elderly and infirm people who don't live in nursing homes and who lack the resources to track down a flu shot.

"There are still some real desperate people out there," said Watson, of the Seattle medical company. "We just don't know how to find them."

It's still too soon to tell whether more people will get sick and die this year because of the vaccine shortage. Most years, the peak flu month is actually February, according to the CDC. Public health officials say the silver lining may be that the shortage focused more attention on simple, common-sense ways to stop the spread of the virus - washing your hands, staying home from school or work when you're sick, and avoiding touching your nose, eyes and mouth.

"At the turn of the 20th century, public health was all about teaching people not to spread disease," Selecky said. "Now at the turn of the 21st century, here we are again."


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Crime/Corruption; Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2004electionbias; bushsfault; dnctalkingpoints; flu; flushots; fluvaccine; health; howtostealanelection; immunizations; kerrycampaign; mediabias; scaringoldpeople
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To: Ditter

Well, it seems to start in the head... move to the lungs then stomach/intestines...


41 posted on 12/14/2004 6:14:59 AM PST by Echo Talon
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To: Echo Talon

Exactly! How the heck did we ever get along before without FLU SHOTS?! I'll take my chances too!


42 posted on 12/14/2004 6:35:37 AM PST by NotJustAnotherPrettyFace (Michael <a href = "http://www.michaelmoore.com/" title="Miserable Failure">"Miserable Failure"</a>)
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To: NotJustAnotherPrettyFace
I don't trust all these "medicines" they try to keep pumping into us... Heck I'm not exactly happy about all the chlorine and fluoride in the drinking water either...
43 posted on 12/14/2004 6:38:53 AM PST by Echo Talon
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To: Echo Talon
I am not a doctor I just have had a lot of personal experience with the flu. It starts with body aches, headache, tight chest moves on to chills and fever and you are down for the count. The phlegm comes on a little later and brings the cough. Often times it leaves you with a bacterial infection in your sinuses or bronchial or lungs. That lung infection is what kills people.

I remember an ad for some flu medication on TV. It started with a child's toy train running around a tract and it said "if this is a cold" then it showed a full sized locomotive roaring by " then this is the flu".
44 posted on 12/14/2004 6:43:13 AM PST by Ditter
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To: Ditter

I know I was hospitalized twice for Pnumonia after taking a Flu shot... as you can tell its been a long time since I have been sick... I havent had a flu shot in about 10 years


45 posted on 12/14/2004 6:48:04 AM PST by Echo Talon
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To: Mo1

" But it's always those dang family gatherings where I always end up catching something"

I have found the herb Echinacea helps me tremendously. It strengthens the immune system. I take two capsules a day for a week before holiday gatherings. Quit soon after for a week or so, then 2 weeks on again. Can't take it all the time.

I have even begun taking it after onset and it helps.


46 posted on 12/14/2004 6:49:58 AM PST by IamConservative (People with courage and character always seem sinister to the rest.)
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To: Echo Talon

Whatever works for you my freeper friend. ;9)


47 posted on 12/14/2004 6:52:01 AM PST by Ditter
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To: Mo1

" But it's always those dang family gatherings where I always end up catching something"

I have found the herb Echinacea helps me tremendously. It strengthens the immune system. I take two capsules a day for a week before holiday gatherings. Quit soon after for a week or so, then 2 weeks on again. Can't take it all the time.

I have even begun taking it after onset and it helps.


48 posted on 12/14/2004 6:55:58 AM PST by IamConservative (People with courage and character always seem sinister to the rest.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

But two months ago everyone was going to get the Flu because of President Bush. ABC, NBC, CBS, CNN, MSNBC, The NY/LA Times, Washington Compost, and John Kerry told me so.


49 posted on 12/14/2004 7:00:26 AM PST by The South Texan (The Democrat Party and the leftist (ABCCBSNBCCNN NYLATIMES)media are a criminal enterprise!)
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To: Ditter
yep, I decided never to get another Flu shot after my second stay in the hospital, getting breathing treatments and I don't know what they call it but they have you lay on your stomach and they beat on your back for like 15 minutes to breakup the infection in the lungs(hurts like hell) after that torture I decided to take my chances and so far so good.
50 posted on 12/14/2004 7:05:40 AM PST by Echo Talon
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To: Mo1

No kidding. I was remarking on this the other week.

What happened to the big flu shot scare? Pfft. Same thing that happened to stem cell hysteria.


51 posted on 12/14/2004 7:07:41 AM PST by Lijahsbubbe
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To: Do not dub me shapka broham
Thankfully, my immediate family includes some of the most antisocial people imaginable

Thankfully, mine includes a bunch of obsessive germ freaks who carry hand sanitizers everywhere!

52 posted on 12/14/2004 7:10:18 AM PST by Lijahsbubbe
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To: Lijahsbubbe
Lucky you!
53 posted on 12/14/2004 10:15:47 AM PST by Do not dub me shapka broham (Why did it take me so long to come up with a new tag-line, huh?! What's up with that?)
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