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Scientist warned of tsunami danger 15 years ago
Todayonline ^ | January 6, 2005 | Unknown

Posted on 01/07/2005 9:00:17 AM PST by HarleyD

SOME 15 years ago, a top scientist warned in a report to the United Nations of the danger of tsunamis hitting the region and called for an early warning system to be set up. But the countries that he spoke to had other priorities and the tsunami warning system never took shape, said Dr George Pararas-Carayannis, a former director of the International Tsunami Information Centre.

In an interview yesterday with NewsRadio 93.8, Dr Pararas-Carayannis said he submitted a report to the United Nations Development Programme in the late 1980s highlighting the possibility of tsunamis happening here.

In the report, which followed his fact-finding mission to Indonesia, Thailand, Papua New Guinea and other South-east Asian countries, Dr Pararas-Carayannis highlighted the possibility of a very large earthquake in the sea off Sumatra.

"There was no doubt in my mind that it would happen. The question is when it would happen," he told NewsRadio 93.8.

He was concerned about the tsunamis that would be generated by such an earthquake and proposed an early warning system.

The UN put this in the pipeline to be funded, said Dr Pararas-Carayannis, and he then went around the region to talk to officials about setting it up.

"I tried to convince them and they agreed … but later they forgot about the need. They had pressures, other priorities."

The early warning system that could last week have saved lives was "on the hot burner and it was put on the back burner", he said.

"That upset me because … I knew the hazard was there and it was very real. I was trying to convince them that they have to do something about it." SOME 15 years ago, a top scientist warned in a report to the United Nations of the danger of tsunamis hitting the region and called for an early warning system to be set up.


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: tsunami
As the world rushes billions of dollars in aid and blame God.
1 posted on 01/07/2005 9:00:18 AM PST by HarleyD
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To: HarleyD
The UN put this in the pipeline to be funded,

Gee, I wonder what happened to that money?

2 posted on 01/07/2005 9:03:06 AM PST by rabidralph (Keep your laws off my money.)
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To: HarleyD
But the countries that he spoke to had other priorities and the tsunami warning system never took shape.

Skimming off aid, screwing their own people, and preaching anti-Americanism -- those are the "other" priorities for most of the world.

I'm glad we can help these countries in their time of need. But I wish they'd get their act together a little better, so they are in a position of need less often.

The road to prosperity and maturity is clear -- but few want to take it.

3 posted on 01/07/2005 9:05:56 AM PST by 68skylark
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To: HarleyD
"I tried to convince them and they agreed … but later they forgot about the need. They had pressures, other priorities."

hahah like feeding their grossly over populated countries. This guy is an idiot. He might as well convince the south Americans that cut down rain forests that the reason why they must give up their jobs and the ability to feed their families tonight is because of the lives and trouble it'll save in the future.
4 posted on 01/07/2005 9:06:22 AM PST by tfecw (dolphins are the spawn of evil)
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To: HarleyD

This is dumb. I hearby warn of a Tsunami in the South Atlantic. It is sure to come, the only question is when.


5 posted on 01/07/2005 9:07:52 AM PST by Rodney King (No, we can't all just get along.)
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To: Rodney King

Are you also the former Director of the International Tsunami Center?


6 posted on 01/07/2005 9:18:10 AM PST by subterfuge ("Dems think 'Values' are what you get at WalMart"--subterfuge)
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To: subterfuge
Are you also the former Director of the International Tsunami Center?

No, but I am the Chairman of the Global Internet Tsunami Advisory Council.

7 posted on 01/07/2005 9:19:35 AM PST by Rodney King (No, we can't all just get along.)
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To: Rodney King

Ha ha. Nice Rodney.


8 posted on 01/07/2005 9:22:27 AM PST by subterfuge ("Dems think 'Values' are what you get at WalMart"--subterfuge)
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To: Rodney King; subterfuge

Hmmmm...his creditials seem to support his claim.

http://www.pixi.com/~itmc/Biographical.html


9 posted on 01/07/2005 9:23:46 AM PST by HarleyD
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To: subterfuge

Dr. Pararas-Carayannis' early work pioneered interdisciplinary ways of understanding the tsunami phenomenon using principles of Physics, Mathematics, Optics, Seismology, Oceanography and Meteorology. For example, looking at ionospheric waves and ionospheric disturbances, he proposed a method for measuring earthquake parameters on earth. Using the navigational principle of Loran he devised a unique technique that allowed quick earthquake epicenter determination and the preparation of charts which were used by the Tsunami Warning System in evaluating earthquakes and issuing tsunami warnings. He used light refraction principles from Optics to devise a mathematical computer model for the prediction of tsunami wave arrival and tsunami energy distribution, and prepared the tsunami travel time charts for the Pacific. These predictions became very important to the Tsunami Warning System, with life-saving information passed to Civil Defense organizations throughout the Pacific.

fwiw

http://www.pixi.com/~itmc/Biographical.html


10 posted on 01/07/2005 9:24:17 AM PST by subterfuge ("Dems think 'Values' are what you get at WalMart"--subterfuge)
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To: HarleyD

Let's see now... scientists warned 15 yrs ago of tsunami

and global warming, and over-population, and asteroid strikes, and global cooling, and cancer caused by mother's milk, and...

ppphhbbbttt!


11 posted on 01/07/2005 9:34:08 AM PST by Hard Way (Razor nothin'. I'm firing up Occam's Chain Saw)
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To: Hard Way

Yeah, but listen to them whining now...."Why wasn't there a tsunami warning system in place?"


12 posted on 01/07/2005 9:42:35 AM PST by Feiny (MERRY NEW YEAR!!)
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To: Rodney King

Hmmm. Island + Ring Of Fire= Tidal Wave


13 posted on 01/07/2005 10:20:16 AM PST by satchmodog9 (Murder and weather are our only news)
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To: HarleyD
"The UN put this in the pipeline to be funded, said Dr Pararas-Carayannis, and he then went around the region to talk to officials about setting it up.

"I tried to convince them and they agreed … but later they forgot about the need. They had pressures, other priorities."


If you look at it from Indonesia's' and Sri Lankas' point of view, you have to admit they have a point. They both have lots of people, but very little money. By waiting, they lose 150,000 people, but gain billions in foreign aid and get a free tsunami warning system paid for by foreign tax payers.
14 posted on 01/07/2005 10:29:43 AM PST by monday
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To: subterfuge

Pararas-Carayannis is also the author of one of the papers debunking the whole "East Coast Megatsunami from the Canary Islands" claim.


15 posted on 01/07/2005 10:33:39 AM PST by Strategerist
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