Skip to comments.Charles Krauthammer: After al Qaeda [China-led anti-American block ]
Posted on 01/21/2005 8:24:24 AM PST by TolikEdited on 01/21/2005 10:32:27 AM PST by Admin Moderator. [history]
Where are we? At this midpoint of the Bush administration, engaged as we are in conflict throughout the world, are we winning?
The great democratic crusade undertaken by this administration is going far better than most observers will admit. That's the good news. The bad news is a development more troubling than most observers recognize: signs of the emergence, for the first time since the fall of the Soviet empire, of an anti-American bloc anchored by Great Powers.
(Excerpt) Read more at townhall.com ...
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Always brilliant - the estimable Charles Krauthammer - who understands history and anticipates the future with clarity.
I wish he had addressed the part that the European Union might aspire to occupy in this realignment.
Bump for later...
for President in 08. He gets it!
Russia and China will never be allies. Russia has nothing but space; China has nothing but people. That is a fundamental fact that Russia must face, deal with, or be buried.
This is why I think Bush is thinking about a new association of democracies as a post-cold war architecture that can act as a counterweight and magnet, otherwise Bush's inaugural speech has been characterized by Peggy Noonan as "mission inebriation":
"My own 2 cents speculation is that Bush is laying the foundation for some kind of association among democracies that is more effective than the U.N., that will not be intimidated if necessary by China's huge population (25% of the globe) with their coming exertion of economic and military influence, and that this lessens the prospects that one democracy can be played off against another in dealing with North Korea and Iran and even Russia if Putin goes authoritarian."
..."If Al Qaeda saw that they could not isolate the U.S. among Muslims but would be facing this larger association of democracies of which Afghanistan and hopefully soon Iraq would be part of, this might make the dreams of a global Caliphate appear hopelessly utopian and marginalize the little following they would have left. If would also support the democratic movement inside of Iran because they would not want to be left out."
It's time to can the Woodrow Wilson diplomacy and return to the Theordore Roosevelt diplomacy....
and it should start with retaking the Panama Canal at the first excuse we get.
Excellent article. Whether it's Krauthammer, or VDH, the clarity of thought is a great way to start the day.
I must raise two questions. First, if Japan is still our ally, wouldn't they feel the need to militarize themselves to check China?
The Sino-Cuban and -Iranian coalitions may not work as well as they would like. Fidel is about to be gone, and I doubt Cuba will remain communist after his demise. Iran is bubbling underneath the surface. I believe the Mullahs' days are numbered. So my second question is wouldn't a post-mullah Iran and a post-Castro Cuba actually work in our favor?
Real men don't whine.
Yes but we have many in this Country that would rather go along to get along, than fight for our Freedom.
Now that's an interesting thought.
Real men don't whine.
Oh, boy, Charles K. reminds us what time it is.
I love and admire this Pulitzer Prize winner!...
Not long ago, weren't we told that the US was turning toward Asia and disengaging from Europe? Just before 9/11, I recall seeing a spate of articles about the rise of Asia/markets/economic power, etc.. and European fears that the US was turning its back on them.
we should beware of Chinese-inspired Islamist "distractions" that will force us to divert money and resources away from watching THEM.
Charles Krauthammer - is simpy THE BEST
Charles Krauthammer - is simply THE BEST
And the struggle for power after his death may well make Cuba a worse communist hell-hole than it already is.
Don't forget that the most active dissidents and their families have emigrated.
I am NOT certain, but I believe Japan is still very restricted militarily under agreements with us after WWII.
Even if they wanted to , I don't think they could do anything about the
I agree with you completely about Cuba... old Fidel is getting kinda long in the tooth...and I can't see those folks staying communist once he dies.
It may be a little too late - forces are in play right now. We need to be much more viligent.
The good doctor may get some important things correctly, but he doesn't get the Second Amendment. No, thank you.
I've been thinking the same things but Charles Krauthammer says it so much better. Keep your eye on the China/Iran allienace. China gets oil and Iran gets cheap consumer goods plus nuclear and military technology.
This is very dangerous for our MidEast oil supply.
Huh? China is not running out of space, and isn't particularly densely populated. They are resource hungry however.
at least some people are starting to understand China, that they are an enemy of the US. now if only more people would understand how they are using so-called "free trade" as a weapon against the US economy, we might have a better chance at taking them on before our industrial and technology base dissappears.
They are running out of space that is not desert wasteland. They are packed in cheek by jowl in the relatively small habitable areas of their admitedly huge country. And there are millions of acres of howling wilderness just across the border.</p>
Krauthammer was right in his article until he typed the above sentences.
And in those sentences he goes fatally astray. What Krauthammer has done is fall into the current propaganda trap of the global left-wing news media.
Part of that "trap" is to think that the entire West is united. It is not. The West is at war with itself.
Pause and let that sentence sink in for a moment; the West is at war with itself.
What Krauthammer fails to consider is that it was *not* the U.S. that interfered in the Ukraine's election; it was France and Germany. They interefered in that election for a variety of reasons including installing a leader (Yushchencko) who immediately caused Ukraine's troops to be withdrawn from Iraq. Germany depends upon energy imports through Ukrainian pipelines for 75% of its domestic power. Now after their successful coup has installed Yushchenko in the Ukraine, Germany is no longer held hostage to Russian energy contracts that flowed through the Ukraine's pipelines. Russia's leverage over Germany is now gone.
In the meantime, France is now enticing the Ukraine to join the EU-only military (which excludes the U.S.) to further increase European power (at the expense of Russia).
But while Krauthammer fails to grasp such geopolitics, make no mistake that Vladimir Putin comprehends them.
So to Krauthammer, because of his intellectual blinders, he sees only that narrow perspective of a Cold War that continues on, West versus East.
But to Putin and Bush, the war that rages is against Islamic fundamentalism on the one hand, and that smolders via the new EU-super-state on the other.
It's no accident that France and Germany opposed the Iraq War. It's no accident that they have formed an EU-only military (which is now the main power-broker in Bosnia). It's no accident that they installed their own puppet in the Ukraine, either. Nor is it an accident that they are forming an enlarged EU with a single currency and Constitution.
This is a *classic* European powerplay, a move that is revisited time and again throughout their entire history.
...Next post: Krauthammer and China.
...And China is also developing much larger relationships (financially, politically, socially) with the U.S. (e.g. Wal-Mart), Britain, Taiwan, Japan, Australia, Canada, South America, etc.
In other words, China has not yet made its decision on which side it will finally choose.
China is fighting Islamic radicalism in its remote Xinjiang province even as we speak. That's the same enemy being fought by Russia in Chechnya and the U.S. in Iraq and Afghanistan (a border nation of China's).
So China *shares* a common enemy with the great world Powers of India, Russia, and the U.S. That's hardly a recipe for going to war *against* the U.S. or India, and even Krauthammer manages to see that China is exploring better ties with Russia. Hmmm...
China's newfound prosperity is due to its largest customer: the U.S.
Going to war against the U.S. wound *end* that prosperity.
This is not to say that China will 100% choose our side, but it is to say that China has viable incentives to choose our side.
China is at a cross-roads junction. It might choose to side with the terrorists, or China might choose to side with the U.S.
In the short-term, the smart money says that China will continue to straddle the fence. Some moves will be seen as hostile to the U.S., other moves will be seen to favor the U.S.
China simply hasn't decided to decisively choose one side or the other.
Bumping your last thesis.
China has had a severe problem with violent Chinese Islamofascists for years. Shortly after 9/11, the Chinese Islamofascists blew a fast food outlet and other targets.
I remember reading a while back about the number of Chinese now able to afford cars and how there is no infrastructure to support this -- they lack everything from roads to gas stations.
What do you think of Russia becoming a major supplier of petroleum to China? And of the Chinese embracing the twenty first century sacred cow - the private automobile?
Once again it seems as though Pakistan is going to be a key player. Kerry's questioning of Condi on a subject she refused to address in an open session. Kerry did everything but turn to the cameras and say directly to our enemies, "Please, for the sake of the Democratic Party- take out Musharaf so I can look like a statesman and run again in 08".
Same ole, same ole. China will continue to make some moves that are favorable to the U.S. (e.g. cars, contracts, capitalism), and that are unfavorable (e.g. threatening Taiwan, Iranian oil, etc.).
China simply has not *yet* chosen sides in the new power struggle/war(s).
You could exclude information from a debate and make the case that China is either our inevitable ally or certain foe, in fact.
But it is simply too early to tell. China could turn out to be *either* friend or foe; she simply hasn't decided yet.
Senator Kerry and most Democrats are puerile. There are good reasons why such intellectual children are not in chrage of the world's economic, social, and military super-power.
Now, Pakistan plays a role in the current global power struggle, but it is not central. Pakistan has had elections before; it will have them again. Pakistan has embraced technology, education, and capitalism before; it can embrace them again.
For his part, Musharaff is even sharper than the old Assad, Sr. of Syria...but Musharaff has chosen our side, and that will buy Pakistan all the time that it needs to get back to democratic elections (lamentations from children like Senator Kerry aside).
Big deal. They need oil too. So is France and the EU.
We have a closer relationship to the virulently anti-american state of Saudi Arabia.
Old World great powers have been hoping that we would crash and burn ever since 1789. Joke 'em if they can't take a ____!
Big stick baby! :=)
We need to plan to deal with both. It's a tough row to hoe.