Skip to comments.American Politics In The Networking Era
Posted on 02/25/2005 12:55:54 PM PST by q_an_a
On the surface, the 2004 election looked very much like the 2000 election. George W. Bush was again running against a liberal Democrat who had spent much of his career in the Senate and who had clinched his nomination by early victories in Iowa and New Hampshire. In November, 47 of the 50 states and the District of Columbia voted for the candidate of the same party as they had in 2000. Only three states switched, New Hampshire to the Democrats, Iowa and New Mexico to the Republicans. Bush won again, this time without a court battle. Republicans ended up with majorities in both houses of Congress. But in many ways, the 2004 campaign was very different from 2000. It produced a different kind of politics, a politics that reflects the character of the post-industrial, networking age we live in.
(Excerpt) Read more at nationaljournal.com ...
This is a great article, but it's typical of Michael Barone, the best political numbers cruncher in the country. Looks like Bush and Rove have poised the Republicans to be the majority party for the next generation. Fascinating stuff.
"In 2004, the adjusted NEP figures showed party identification at 37 percent Republican and 37 percent Democratic. This is in contrast to the Democrats' 39 percent-to-35 percent edge in 1996 and 2000 and their much larger party-identification advantages in the 1970s and 1980s. This was the first election in which Republicans achieved parity in party identification since the invention of random-sample polling in the 1930s. In other words, this was the most-Republican electorate any American under age 80 has ever seen. It was also a conservative electorate; 34 percent identified themselves as conservative versus 21 percent who said they were liberal. That's a 5-percentage-point increase since 2000 in the number of self-identified conservatives."
This is a very well researched article..Well worth the read..
I picked out only one of many encouraging bits of information to copy..Thank you for posting this!
Barone is my absolute favorite. He was one of the few who not only kept his cool election night, but could back up that cool with hard statistics. Brilliant man that is able to cite the evidence that backs up the assertion I've been making this was a historic victory of greater consequence than Bush, Rove, Mehlman, GOP have been given credit for.
I look forward to the whole piece.
All of you make good points about MB and the reason I posted it was it has too much good stuff not to be able to make a comment. From the growth of party ID to the nubmer of people in "WalMart" country that Melhman sold on voting this is a good article to read, disgest and write-blog about.