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Iranian Alert - March 4, 2005 - Images Show Iran Heavy-Water Plant Nearly Complete
Regime Change Iran ^ | 3.4.2005 | DoctorZin

Posted on 03/04/2005 4:54:33 PM PST by DoctorZIn

Top News Story

Images Show Iran Heavy-Water Plant Nearly Done-ISIS

Fri Mar 4, 2005 03:57 PM ET

By Louis Charbonneau

VIENNA (Reuters) - New satellite images show a heavy water plant in Iran, intended to supply a research reactor that could eventually produce plutonium for one atomic bomb a year, is nearly complete, a U.S. think-tank said on Friday.

The photos of the plant in Arak, 150 miles south of Tehran, were taken in February by the U.S. commercial satellite firm DigitalGlobe and provided to Reuters by the Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS), a U.S. think-tank.

"Adjacent to the reactor construction site (in Arak) is the heavy water production plant, which is almost completed and is anticipated to supply the necessary heavy water for the heavy water reactor," ISIS said in an analysis of the imagery.

While there is nothing illegal about the plant, the news that it is nearly done will likely deepen U.S. suspicions that Iran wants heavy-water technology to get plutonium for bombs.

On Thursday, Western diplomats close to the U.N. nuclear watchdog said Iran had already laid the foundations for the 40-megawatt heavy-water research reactor at Arak, despite calls by the European Union and the United Nations to scrap the project.

Heavy-water reactors can be used to produce significant amounts of bomb-grade plutonium, which can then be extracted from the spent fuel by a process known as reprocessing.

"No evidence of any reprocessing facilities can be seen in the satellite images," ISIS said in its analysis of the imagery.

David Albright, who heads ISIS and was formerly a U.N. weapons inspector, said he had also seen photographs of what appeared to be steam coming out of the Arak heavy water plant.

"We think they have been testing it," Albright said.

The Arak heavy-water production plant, along with the Natanz uranium enrichment plant, was revealed by the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI) in August 2002, an exile group that described it as part of a secret nuclear weapons program.

Iran, which denies wanting to produce anything but electricity with its atomic facilities, later declared the Natanz and Arak sites to the U.N.'s International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).

Washington sided with the NCRI view, accusing Tehran of pursuing weapons under cover of a civilian atomic program.

Iran has not been ordered by the EU to halt the heavy-water production plant, but ISIS analyst Corey Hinderstein said the plant had no purpose other than to supply the future research reactor -- which Iran has been urged not to build.

A Daily Briefing of Major News Stories on Iran:

Bush Hopes Iran Policy Shift Will Advance U.S. Goals - Reuters

The Persian Puzzle - Michael A. Ledeen, New York Sun

Mullah Power: Iran Sends Killers Abroad To Silence - Dissent - James Rupert, Newsday

Rice: Iran Shows No Interest in European Deal - VOA News

France: A Nuclear Proliferator? - Lt. Col. Gordon Cucullu, FrontPageMagazine.com

U.S. May Aid Iran Activists - Sonni Efron and Mark Mazzetti, LA Times

U.S. Wants Guarantees on Iran Effort - Robin Wright, The Washington Post

Iran Resists EU Nuclear Deal - Aresu Eqbali, Agence France-Presse

Potemkin Nonproliferation - Henry Sokolski, The National Review Online

Iran wants to widen atomic machine tests-diplomats - Louis Charbonneau, Reuters

Iran threatens to end nuclear treaty with EU - Iran Focus

DoctorZin's Thoughts on "A Shift in US Policy" towards Iran:

Is there a shift in US policy towards Iran?

If so, the President may be getting more out of the deal than most think.

Many of us watching these developments feel President Bush may be making a strategic move aimed at bringing the EU3/Iran negotiations to an end, sooner rather than later. Time is important here as the Iranians are daily getting closer to their goal of a nuclear bomb.

If President Bush joins the EU3 and offers possible WTO membership and other trade benefits for an end to Iran's nuclear uranium enrichment programs, it will force Iran to respond to the offer.

Iran has consistently said that it will NEVER give up these programs.

If Iran surprises the US and offers to end the programs Condi has made it clear that we will demand verification of compliance. Again, this is something Iran is almost certainly not willing to agree to.

For weeks now, Condi has been in discussions with EU3 leaders as to what constitutes failure of the negotiations, and what actions would they jointly take if this occurs. It appears that President Bush is willing to make concessions, if EU3 makes a few as well.

Thus, I would expect that if we learn that the President is making these trade concessions it is because he has privately obtained an agreement with the EU3 regarding what constitutes a failure of the negotiations and what our joint efforts will be as a result.

If so, the US and EU3 will stand united in the next phase of bringing the Iranian threat to an end.



TOPICS: Extended News; Foreign Affairs
KEYWORDS: alqaedaandiran; alsadr; anniversary; armyofmahdi; axisofevil; axisofweasels; ayatollah; azadi; binladen; bush43; china; cleric; democracy; elbaradei; eu; freedom; freedomdeficit; germany; humanrights; iaea; impendingapocalypse; impendingarmageddon; insurgency; iran; iranianalert; iranpolicy; iraq; irgc; iri; islam; islamicrepublic; japan; journalist; kazemi; khamenei; khatami; letsroll; moqtadaalsadr; mullahs; muslims; persecution; persia; persian; persians; persianvote; politicalprisoners; protests; rafsanjani; regimechangeiran; revolutionaryguard; rumsfeld; russia; satellitetelephones; shiite; southasia; southwestasia; studentmovement; studentprotest; terrorism; terrorists; us; vevak; wot; zawahiri

"If you want on or off this Iran ping list, Freepmail DoctorZin

1 posted on 03/04/2005 4:54:42 PM PST by DoctorZIn
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To: Pan_Yans Wife; fat city; freedom44; Tamsey; Grampa Dave; PhiKapMom; McGavin999; Hinoki Cypress; ...
Join Us At Today's Iranian Alert Thread – The Most Underreported Story Of The Year!

"If you want on or off this Iran ping list, Freepmail DoctorZin”

2 posted on 03/04/2005 4:57:02 PM PST by DoctorZIn (Until they are Free, "We shall all be Iranians!")
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To: DoctorZIn
Thank you so much for your thoughts on what is going on with the US and Iran. I really love these daily Iran threads, and appreciate all your hard work putting them together.

Time is running out for empty talk however. I don't trust the EU one bit. But Dubya has said that Iran will NOT have a nuke, and I believe he meant what he said. I'll end my post with a comment from your opening article:

David Albright, who heads ISIS and was formerly a U.N. weapons inspector, said he had also seen photographs of what appeared to be steam coming out of the Arak heavy water plant.

"We think they have been testing it," Albright said.

3 posted on 03/04/2005 5:46:52 PM PST by Reborn
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To: DoctorZIn
Heavy-water reactors can be used to produce significant amounts of bomb-grade plutonium, which can then be extracted from the spent fuel by a process known as reprocessing.

This is the plant that concerns me, and I am all for using and and all means necessary to take out this heavy-water plant.
4 posted on 03/04/2005 9:51:58 PM PST by GarySpFc (Sneakypete, De Oppresso Liber)
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To: DoctorZIn
This thread is now closed.

Join Us At Today's Iranian Alert Thread – The Most Underreported Story Of The Year!

"If you want on or off this Iran ping list, Freepmail DoctorZin”

5 posted on 03/05/2005 4:56:58 AM PST by DoctorZIn (Until they are Free, "We shall all be Iranians!")
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