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N.Korea May Carry Out Nuclear Test by June-Kyodo(preparation since March,plutonium device)
Kyodo News ^ | 04/30/05

Posted on 04/29/2005 11:11:00 PM PDT by TigerLikesRooster

N.Korea May Carry Out Nuclear Test by June - Kyodo

Fri Apr 29,10:13 PM ET

TOKYO (Reuters) - The United States has warned the International Atomic Energy Agency that North Korea has been preparing to carry out an underground nuclear test since March and could go ahead as early as June, Kyodo news agency said on Saturday.

The report, which quoted diplomatic sources in Vienna, came a day after the chief U.S. negotiator to stalled talks on Pyongyang's nuclear ambitions said Washington believed North Korea might be trying to harvest material for a nuclear bomb from a shut-down reactor.

According to the sources, who said the information was obtained by satellite photos and from within North Korea, Pyongyang was preparing to test a small-scale plutonium device.

The United States had called on China to urge North Korea to halt its preparations, but there were no signs that Beijing had done so, the sources said.

Japanese officials were unavailable for comment.

Last week, following a similar report, a senior U.S. administration official said that Washington had seen no evidence that North Korea was preparing for a nuclear weapons test, although it had seen "lots of stuff suggesting interesting activity."

On Friday, U.S. Assistant Secretary of State Christopher Hill told reporters in Seoul that a North Korean plutonium reactor at Yongbyon had been shut down for close to three weeks and there could be an operation under way to reprocess nuclear material.

The shutdown and the possibility of a nuclear test were of great concern to nations trying to persuade Pyongyang to abandon its nuclear programs through six-party talks, he added.

In February, North Korea said it possessed nuclear weapons and was withdrawing from the talks, in which the United States, Japan, Russia, China and the two Koreas have taken part.

The last round took place in June 2004, and repeated efforts to restart the talks have failed.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: nknukes; nkorea; northkorea; nuke; pakistan; plutonium; proliferation; satellite; test; underground
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I can infer from the article that N. Koreans are digging an underground site somewhere in N. Korea for their first nuclear test, which was observed by U.S. spy satellites. Digging takes time. They estimate that the work is complete by June. So the nuke is ready to go anytimes after June. Kim Jong-il is preparing for gala celebration on Aug. 15. Visitors in Pyongyang recently noticed busy practice sessions for shows they would put on the celebration. It is said to be at least one of the biggest so far.

So their plan is to set off the nuke, and celebrate 'the power of fatherland.'

1 posted on 04/29/2005 11:11:01 PM PDT by TigerLikesRooster
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To: TigerLikesRooster; AmericanInTokyo; OahuBreeze; yonif; risk; Steel Wolf; nuconvert; MizSterious; ...

Ping!


2 posted on 04/29/2005 11:11:36 PM PDT by TigerLikesRooster
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To: TigerLikesRooster

I guess it doesn't matter now if I run my credit cards up


3 posted on 04/29/2005 11:29:19 PM PDT by wildcatf4f3
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Hmm...

We know where, we know about when and should be able to narrow down the when even closer...

Now, If I were a "strategerizer", I'd think about targeting the entire area of the test with a few MIRVs (or something a little more high tech) . Good chance of taking out a big chunk of their nuclear bomb program infrastructure and personnel..... and blame it on a test gone wrong.


4 posted on 04/29/2005 11:35:20 PM PDT by LegendHasIt
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To: TigerLikesRooster
"Japanese officials were unavailable for comment."

They were too busy preparing launch codes...

5 posted on 04/29/2005 11:36:09 PM PDT by endthematrix (Declare 2005 as the year the battle for freedom from tax slavery!)
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To: LegendHasIt
If I were a "strategerizer":

Let them test. Show the "world community" that the DPRK broke agreements and is rogue. We've been on smear campaign and it's come to realization. Now, the second phase: Unilateral US mandated disarmament. No global test needed, just a few B-2 bombers, some cruise missiles and a President to stand up at the UN to declare that the, "US has again rescued the world from tyranny."
6 posted on 04/29/2005 11:45:08 PM PDT by endthematrix (Declare 2005 as the year the battle for freedom from tax slavery!)
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To: endthematrix
"Japanese officials were unavailable for comment."

They were too busy preparing launch codes.

Along with S.Korea and Tawain. Lets see....That should complete the circle of Nuke capable countries surrounding China......I dont think they want that....!

7 posted on 04/29/2005 11:47:54 PM PDT by Jay Howard Smith (Retired(25yrs)Military)
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To: Jay Howard Smith
I don't prescribe to the idea that NK is taking orders from Beijing. The Don King twin is a crazy authoritarian. No one pushes him around. I think the Chicoms have a love-hate relationship with him though. They love the antagonism of the US but the brinkmanship is nail biting, for sure!
8 posted on 04/29/2005 11:57:16 PM PDT by endthematrix (Declare 2005 as the year the battle for freedom from tax slavery!)
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To: endthematrix
"US has again rescued the world from tyranny."

... And let the liberals cry.

9 posted on 04/30/2005 12:03:15 AM PDT by SpottedBeaver
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To: LegendHasIt
Re #4

I have an impression that Bush knows a lot more than he let on. I think U.S. pretends that it is kept mostly in the dark about what goes on in N. Korea. A typical poker move.

10 posted on 04/30/2005 12:03:59 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Excellent insight. Bush is a poker player through-and-through, close to the vest and largely unreadable. It must drive our enemies nuts.


11 posted on 04/30/2005 12:24:21 AM PDT by Rembrandt_fan
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To: endthematrix

This would be a dangerous game. If the DPRK really has nukes - who tells us that they use it in the way we are thinking of? It is probably much easier to smuggle a nuclear warhead into a big city in America and detonate it there than shooting it with a ICBM. Kim Jong Il is probably working on 3-4 warheads at the same time. If the USAF would bomb their nuclear facilitys, they could respond with a nuclear terror strike. We wouldn't even know who the terrorist was (Osama?, Kim Jong Il?, al-Sarkawi?, Chirac? (huhu) etc. etc. etc). Not very funny. It is probably better and more effective to eliminate the "dear" leader through a good sniper or some poison in his coffee. If he and his offspring are wiped out, freedom will find a way.

BTW - those links about north Korea are much funnier than their dammed nukes:

http://www.kdvr.de (Sorry - in German but exremly dumb)
http://www.korea-dpr.com/ (The long loading times are a real eperience - must be a top-of-the-line server of their own production)


12 posted on 04/30/2005 12:30:47 AM PDT by Atlantic Bridge (O tempora! O mores!)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Maybe Kim Jung-il will stand really close to it to get a better look at the explosion! ;-)


13 posted on 04/30/2005 12:58:54 AM PDT by SubMareener (Become a monthly donor! Free FreeRepublic.com from Quarterly FReepathons!)
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To: Atlantic Bridge
Re: This would be a dangerous game.

Yes it is. And the US has been painting the Chia Pet leader into a corner ever since the nuke program came out. Covert assassination of world leaders is not going to happen. US air strikes against WMD to protect the region (and the US) is the administration's current line of planning.
14 posted on 04/30/2005 1:13:18 AM PDT by endthematrix (Declare 2005 as the year the battle for freedom from tax slavery!)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

This whole affair reminds me of Beijing Opera. Maybe because stylized, ancient and masked. With really strange music, hey!!!


15 posted on 04/30/2005 1:24:41 AM PDT by Iris7 (A man said, "That's heroism." "No, that's Duty," replied Roy Benavides, Medal of Honor.)
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To: Iris7
Re #15

Beijing always prides itself as a master of tangled intrigues. The trouble is that they could get caught in it, and the whole thing could blow up in their face. They would like to think that they are in a driver seat until the last minute. Russians show the similar tendency.

It is the common trait of old empires. They have their grand vision and the mastery of byzantine intrigues over many centuries. They tend to think that they can always work their way to imperial glory via their mastery of intrigues.

Let the Chia Bastard light the fuse and make the tangled web ensnare China, who may be the bigger player than N. Korea in this game, so they deserve it.

16 posted on 04/30/2005 1:41:52 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster
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To: TigerLikesRooster
Can we send Madeline Albright to ground zero as our representative?

Just hoping.

17 posted on 04/30/2005 2:42:36 AM PDT by Jimmy Valentine (DemocRATS - when they speak, they lie; when they are silent, they are stealing the American Dream)
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To: LegendHasIt

"Now, If I were a "strategerizer", I'd think about targeting the entire area of the test with a few MIRVs (or something a little more high tech) . Good chance of taking out a big chunk of their nuclear bomb program infrastructure and personnel..... and blame it on a test gone wrong."

Funny, I thought about a case of Ebola in Damascus and blame it on Saddams WMD program that moved to Syria.





18 posted on 04/30/2005 5:08:56 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (Liberal Talking Point - Bush = Hitler ... Republican Talking Point - Let the Liberals Talk)
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To: TigerLikesRooster
There's a lot of suspicion that one of the bombs Pakistan tested in 1998 was a North Korean weapon. After the first test, Pakistan did another one with much lower yield a couple of days later at a site far away from the first. There were reports that the second test was done under AQ Khan's instructions and that it was a plutonium device (Pakistan's nuke program was Uranium based).

We need to get direct access to A.Q.Khan and squeeze his nuts hard to get enough information and proof to blast South Korea and China out of their denial shell.

19 posted on 04/30/2005 9:24:58 AM PDT by Saberwielder
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To: TigerLikesRooster
Lots of points to make when talking about NK,

- We have no credibility anymore about anyone's WMD program. NK will -have- to test first -before- anyone believes us. Thanks to the full and complete collapse of our intelligence agencies.

- If we do a post test strike, millions of NK troops will flood the Republic of South Korea within hours, realizing the Grand Unification the Great NK Eraser Head has been espousing for so long.

- If we try to eliminate the Great Eraser Head himself...see the point directly above.

- If we try a preemptive strike...see the point two points above.

- Under no circumstance will China allow us to exercise -any- military option on their side of the pond.

- Our military is so depleted that we couldn't intervene, invade or influence Bingo Night at St Ellen's Cathedral.

In the case of NK. We have no chips on the table. We don't even have a poker hand to play. Blame whoever you wish, but that's where we are at right now.
20 posted on 04/30/2005 9:26:24 AM PDT by Milwaukee_Guy (Don't hit them between the eyes. Hit them right -in- the eyes!)
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