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Iranian Alert - June 20, 2005 - The coming coup
Regime Change Iran ^ | 6.20.2005 | DoctorZin

Posted on 06/20/2005 7:38:05 PM PDT by DoctorZIn

Top News Story

Editor: Myself A weblog on Iran, technology and pop culture, by Hossein Derakhshan

The coming coup

Iranian blogger,

Things are really getting nasty here. After Karrubi's unbelievably blunt letter to the Supreme Leader, everything is suddenly changing. All non-fundamentalists are rallying behind Rafsanjani. Many are talking about a possible coup by Sepah and Basij after Friday's second round results.

It's also rumoured (now confirmed ) that Eqbal and Aftab, pro-reform newspapers, were seizes in the printing house last night after they published full text of the letter.

Karrubi for the first time has publically challenged the Supreme Leader and has accused his son of paving the way for an unexpectedly high vote for Ahmadinejad.

As for my own self, I've been advised to stay in Tehran for a couple of more days. But I have to attend a conference in London on Wednesday and if I can't get there by then, it'll be a huge risk staying in Iran.

Stay tuned.
Hoder is perhaps the most famous Iranian blogger. He is an Iranian journalist whose newspaper was shutdown by the regime. He moved to Canada, began blogging and has been a supporter of the reformist movement. He is currently in Iran to witness the vote. He provides a glimpse into the reformist mind in Iran.

He is also reported:
According to ISNA , Saeed Mortazavi, chief prosecutor of Tehran, has released a warning for people who use SMS to spread news, views, and jokes for or against candidates, usually against the fundamentalist candidate, "Mahmoud Ahmadi Nejad":

Those who don't comply "will be prosecuted and their phones will be seized," the note reads.

A Daily Briefing of Major News Stories on Iran:

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To: AdmSmith

"many people resent the alleged opulence of Mr Rafsanjani and his family"

Yes they do. But I don't believe resentment of his wealth is enough of a deterrent to give them the desire to vote for a return to the last century as far as women's rights, and other social mores.

(btw - I think the unemployment rate is much worse than 12%)

41 posted on 06/22/2005 7:11:41 AM PDT by nuconvert (No More Axis of Evil by Christmas ! TLR) [there's a lot of bad people in the pistachio business])
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To: nuconvert; freedom44; F14 Pilot
We have different opinions on this, in my opinion it is a real difference between the shark and the former intelligence operative in Iraq (stationed in Kirkuk).
42 posted on 06/22/2005 7:17:25 AM PDT by AdmSmith
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To: AdmSmith

"We have different opinions on this,"

Yes, we do. ;~ )

43 posted on 06/22/2005 7:19:45 AM PDT by nuconvert (No More Axis of Evil by Christmas ! TLR) [there's a lot of bad people in the pistachio business])
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To: nuconvert

Another poll

Agency poll puts Ahmadinezhad ahead in Iran election runoff
Jun 22, 2005, 15:10 GMT
Text of report by Iranian Fars News Agency web site

The results of a poll conducted by Iranian Students Polling Agency (ISPA) on 21 June was announced today - at 1430 local time [1000 gmt] - in provinces of Tehran, Zanjan, Central, Ardabil, Kordestan, Hamedan, Esfahan, Gilan, Kohkiluyeh va Buyerahmad, Khorasan Razavi, West Azarbaijan and Chaharmahal va Bakhtiyari.

From 3,435 people who were contacted in these 12 provinces, 1,500 said they would vote for Mahmud Ahmadinezhad (45 per cent) while 1,302 said they would cast their ballots for Akbar Hashemi-Rafsanjani (39.15 per cent) - putting the Ahmadinezhad ahead in the race. Some 633 voters (12.9 per cent) in these provinces are still undecided.

The report says that 62.6 per cent of those who participated in this poll said that they would definitely take part in the election. Another 11.4 per cent said that they might vote on Friday [24 June].

The poll indicates that Ahmadinezhad is ahead in provinces of Esfahan, Ardabil, Zanjan, Central, Khorasan, Chaharmahal va Bakhtiyari, Kohkiluyeh va Buyerahmad, West Azarbaijan and Hamedan. And Rafsanjani is ahead in provinces of Kordestan, Gilan and Tehran.

Source: Fars News Agency web site, Tehran, in Persian 1330 gmt 22 Jun 05

44 posted on 06/22/2005 8:46:46 AM PDT by AdmSmith
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To: nuconvert

I was wrong, TSE is not trading tomorrow thursday. Today
the main section was up, this implies that Rafsanjani will win, (but the simple average fell, so...)
Wednesday's close at Tehran Stock Exchange
Tehran, June 22, IRNA

Iran-Stock Exchange
More than 65,037,000 shares, worth rls 314.076 billion, were traded at the Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) on Wednesday.

On the TSE, the gainers outnumbered the gainers 81 to 56, while 12 stockbroker companies were in a state of no-loss-no-gain.

The 413-issue benchmark broader topix index, the key barometer of all indices, rose on Wednesday's close by 71.6 points to 12,495 points compared to the Tuesday's close.

The index for the main section listings went up by 77.5 points to 12,428 points, that for the second section listings by 37.5 points to 11,484 points, that for the industry index by 43.4 points to 9,465 points, that for the average weighted index of 50 companies by 6.3 points to 930 points, that for the turnover and Price Index by 282 points and that for the capital index by 12.9 points at the TSE's Wednesday close.

The index of the simple average index fell by 104.4 points to 22,118 points.

45 posted on 06/22/2005 3:00:43 PM PDT by AdmSmith
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To: AdmSmith

And that last (real) paragraph packs quite a bit into one long sentence. ;~ )

46 posted on 06/22/2005 3:06:13 PM PDT by nuconvert (No More Axis of Evil by Christmas ! TLR) [there's a lot of bad people in the pistachio business])
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