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The Rural War
NY Times ^ | July 20, 2005 | ROBERT CUSHING and BILL BISHOP

Posted on 07/20/2005 1:08:09 PM PDT by neverdem

WHICH American communities pay the highest price for the war in Iraq? A look at the demographics of soldiers killed reveals that Iraq is not the war of any one race or region. Rather, it is rural America's war.

Altogether, a nearly equal percentage of Americans aged 18 to 54 live in counties with a million or more inhabitants as live in counties of 100,000 or fewer. And yet, of the soldiers who have died in Iraq, 342 came from densely populated counties while 536 came from smaller ones. Derived from Pentagon and census data, this chart shows the Iraqi war death rates for every 100,000 people ages 18 to 54 by the size of their county's population.

The difference is visible not just in the size of a soldier's county of origin, but also in its location. Counties disconnected from urban areas tend to have higher death rates, regardless of population size. Small rural counties have a death rate nearly twice that of counties that have the same population but happen to be part of metropolitan areas.

Why should this be? It's not that Iraqi insurgents are singling out rural soldiers, or that commanders are putting them at particular risk. Rather, the armed forces themselves must be disproportionately drawn from rural communities - a fact not immediately discernible from recruitment data, which report the race, age and education of recruits, but not their home counties.

This is above all an economics story. Military studies consistently find that a poor economy is a boon to recruiting. The higher rate of deaths from rural counties likely reflects sparse opportunities for young people in those places.

When the Iraq war memorials go up in years to come, these monuments to heroism and sacrifice will be found less often in thriving urban centers...

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: District of Columbia; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: death; demographics; dying; iraq; kiademographics; population; urbanareas
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May God have mercy and bless them all.


1 posted on 07/20/2005 1:08:16 PM PDT by neverdem
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To: neverdem

It could be that urban soldiers tend to have more street smarts, and in a war that is being fought in the streets that is a material advantage to survival.


2 posted on 07/20/2005 1:10:34 PM PDT by thoughtomator (Abortion kills liberals)
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To: neverdem
The city dwellers are a mostly mix of cowardly wimps and semi-civilized thugs.

Neither are willing or able to step up and do the job of defending America.

3 posted on 07/20/2005 1:11:20 PM PDT by BenLurkin (O beautiful for patriot dream - that sees beyond the years)
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To: neverdem

I'm sure the New York Times really gives a damn that rural people are dying.


4 posted on 07/20/2005 1:12:22 PM PDT by AzaleaCity5691 (The enemy lies in the heart of Gadsden)
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To: neverdem

They are recycling this stuff again.


5 posted on 07/20/2005 1:13:04 PM PDT by Bahbah (Something wicked this way comes)
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To: neverdem

Could it be that rural counties are more conservative and patriotic?


6 posted on 07/20/2005 1:14:33 PM PDT by Between the Lines (Be careful how you live your life, it may be the only gospel anyone reads.)
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To: Bahbah
Probably a similar story ran during the Vietnam War, knowing the Times.
7 posted on 07/20/2005 1:16:22 PM PDT by Sybeck1 (chance is the “magic wand to make not only rabbits but entire universes appear out of nothing.”)
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To: neverdem
This is above all an economics story.

I don't suppose they are seeking to balance things out by sending money out from NYC to sparsely populated counties, are they?

I hope the graph for total active duty personnel looks roughly the same as the death rate graph or they've drawn the wrong conclusion.

8 posted on 07/20/2005 1:16:28 PM PDT by siunevada
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To: Between the Lines

"Could it be that rural counties are more conservative and patriotic?"

Tell him what he wins, Johnny!


9 posted on 07/20/2005 1:16:58 PM PDT by L98Fiero
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Comment #10 Removed by Moderator

To: thoughtomator
It could be that urban soldiers tend to have more street smarts, and in a war that is being fought in the streets that is a material advantage to survival.

Utter nonsense. Read the Art of War by Machiavelli. The best soldiers come from the countryside. The worst from the city. When I was drafted, I met a hick from the hills of Kentucky. He wore coke bottle glasses which made him look helpless as any other four-eyed wimp I met growing up in the city. At the rifle range, I watch him constantly hit 300 meter targets. It turns out that hillbillies know how to shoot, hunt, and survive.

11 posted on 07/20/2005 1:18:38 PM PDT by LoneRangerMassachusetts (Some say what's good for others, the others make the goods; it's the meddlers against the peddlers)
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To: ChenangoShooter.308

Good bet.


12 posted on 07/20/2005 1:18:46 PM PDT by BenLurkin (O beautiful for patriot dream - that sees beyond the years)
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To: BenLurkin

Granted it's not like you are talking to a New Yorker or anything, but I am a city dweller and so I do take offense to the comment you have made above.

Now, as for this whole issue of rural v urban

It's a NYT smokescreen to try and raise a sort of rural populism to their cause that the left assembled from 1880-1950

It ain't gonnna happen this time around though, so their efforts are being wasted.


13 posted on 07/20/2005 1:18:48 PM PDT by AzaleaCity5691 (The enemy lies in the heart of Gadsden)
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To: neverdem

This is nothing more than the usual bull@#%* way of trying to drive a wedge by using class warfare. This time it's thinnly disguised. Rural soldiers, sailors, airmen, and Marines have allways been the majority as long as I've been on active duty. So what?!!! Who cares?!!! That is just the way it is. We have an all volunteer force, these just happen to be the people that chose to volunteer and serve their country, and 99.9% of them do it honorably!!! The NY Times needs to STFU and fix itself!!


14 posted on 07/20/2005 1:19:19 PM PDT by sean327 (All men are created equal, then some become Marines!)
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To: ChenangoShooter.308

I'd say your answer is most probably correct.


15 posted on 07/20/2005 1:19:50 PM PDT by spetznaz (Nuclear tipped ICBMs: The Ultimate Phallic Symbol.)
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To: AzaleaCity5691
Do they have cities in Alabama?

JUST KIDDING!!!

16 posted on 07/20/2005 1:19:58 PM PDT by BenLurkin (O beautiful for patriot dream - that sees beyond the years)
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To: ChenangoShooter.308

Actually, rural recruits will tend to gravitate towards the army, for whatever reason, where recruits from more populated areas will gravitate towards the other branches.


17 posted on 07/20/2005 1:21:25 PM PDT by AzaleaCity5691 (The enemy lies in the heart of Gadsden)
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To: BenLurkin
You forgot the ones with criminal records.
18 posted on 07/20/2005 1:21:44 PM PDT by dts32041 ( Dear Senator Durbin, I am not an Illinois Nazi. (US ARMY RET))
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To: sean327

Rural soldiers=White Boys that join the infantry to fight.

Urban soldiers=Minority kids that join the military to get out of the inner city hell hole.

Also, how many inner city utes are eligible for service with criminal records?


19 posted on 07/20/2005 1:22:07 PM PDT by IGOTMINE (Front Sight. Press. Follow Through. It's a way of life.)
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To: neverdem
When the Iraq war memorials go up in years to come, these monuments to heroism and sacrifice will be found less often in thriving urban centers than in lagging rural communities.

While the author feigns concern for rural communities, this statement shows his bias for urban areas.

20 posted on 07/20/2005 1:24:59 PM PDT by Between the Lines (Be careful how you live your life, it may be the only gospel anyone reads.)
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To: neverdem
Invidious comparison placemarker.
21 posted on 07/20/2005 1:25:22 PM PDT by headsonpikes ("The U.S. Constitution poses no serious threat to our form of government.")
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To: neverdem

Red Counties - Blue Counties


22 posted on 07/20/2005 1:25:23 PM PDT by Lexington Green (Welcome to Sherwood Forest.)
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To: Sybeck1
The Vietnam war was fought by soldiers and marines who were in some part draftees. The dispersed the death rate demographically more. The gripe during Vietnam was that the rich were not dying; in some part perhaps true, though National Review published a study to the contrary.

Comparisons with Vietnam are really not accurate. That was a war against a tough enemy who were causing hundreds of dead/wounded per month. In September 1968, there were over 2100 dead.

The terrorists who occasionally are blowing things up in no way compare to the NVA. This is in large measure why we can get away with occupying the country with a volunteer force where the gals are serving in uniform while "George P" is at law school.

23 posted on 07/20/2005 1:29:04 PM PDT by Meldrim
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To: IGOTMINE

Ok, this post is full of stereotypes that I don't even know if I should dignify this with a response, but alas I will

First, despite what a bunch of morons with their own various reasons would have you believe, the word "urban" is not synoynmous with "minorities".

Urban is simply a description given to a certain type of organization of society, namely that of the focus city of any given metropolitan area.

And for the belief that rural soldiers would always be European-American, to this I say

Macon County, AL approximately 24,000 residents. 85% black
Issaquena County, MS approximately 2,200. 62% black


And, if you want to really get rural

Kenedy County, TX, approximately 400 people, 79% hispanic.


24 posted on 07/20/2005 1:29:09 PM PDT by AzaleaCity5691 (The enemy lies in the heart of Gadsden)
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To: neverdem

Better and faster medical care.


25 posted on 07/20/2005 1:29:37 PM PDT by Lady Jag (Honor - Dignity - Courage - Loyalty)
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Comment #26 Removed by Moderator

To: neverdem
This is above all an economics story. Military studies consistently find that a poor economy is a boon to recruiting. The higher rate of deaths from rural counties likely reflects sparse opportunities for young people in those places.

Wanna bet that the original story concept or assignment was to prove that it was poor blacks who were bearing a disproportionate burden by acting as cannon fodder, and that the reporters and editors were miffed that the data did not support their preconceptions? No doubt they were then faced with the typical New York Times dilemma - do we resort to the outright lie and go ahead with the original story line even though it is not supported by the facts, or do we huddle for a few moments and devise a different way to spin the facts in a way that is still calculated to do maximum damage by portraying the United States as a land of limited opportunity and no hope...

27 posted on 07/20/2005 1:38:05 PM PDT by The Electrician ("Government is the only enterprise in the world which expands in size when its failures increase.")
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To: neverdem


whatta farce! since when have urban "intellectuals" given a damn about rural people?


28 posted on 07/20/2005 1:39:50 PM PDT by ken21 (it takes a village to brainwash your child + to steal your property! /s)
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To: The Electrician

Uh, I hate to bust your bubble, but there are many of poor blacks in rural counties. For example, the Black Belt of Alabama, and the general region of the Mississippi Delta. I don't think the argument can be made that Lowndes County is somehow a pillar of urban sophistication by any means.


29 posted on 07/20/2005 1:41:36 PM PDT by AzaleaCity5691 (The enemy lies in the heart of Gadsden)
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To: Between the Lines

Exactly!!! The NYT would NEVER think of this. Class warfare is the only warfare the Times is familiar with personally. How very ignorant.


30 posted on 07/20/2005 1:41:45 PM PDT by SoDak
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To: AzaleaCity5691
You are correct. In addition, the dead have been disproportionally white and "hispanic"...whatever that means. The Army is actually quite concerned about the lack of black combat arms officers and currently force branches minority officers into the artillery, infantry and armor.

As an aside, since you seem to be fluent regarding demography, is there a major urban area aside from Salt Lake City where the average young man is likely to be white?

31 posted on 07/20/2005 1:42:21 PM PDT by Meldrim
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To: neverdem
Shouldn't every NY Times story open with the following:

We at the New York Times Company know nothing about the military other than that we loathe it. From deep within that cocoon of ignorance we offer the following half-baked nonsense:

32 posted on 07/20/2005 1:42:47 PM PDT by Dilbert56
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To: Meldrim

Nashville and Jacksonville immediately come to mind.


33 posted on 07/20/2005 1:49:58 PM PDT by AzaleaCity5691 (The enemy lies in the heart of Gadsden)
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To: Meldrim

One addition, according the the U.S Census Bureau, Kennedy County is majority white.

If you want to go for "white" in the traditional sense of "white", the correct term is European-American.


34 posted on 07/20/2005 1:51:16 PM PDT by AzaleaCity5691 (The enemy lies in the heart of Gadsden)
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To: AzaleaCity5691

I only did ten years in the Corps...most of that in the infantry. I can only tell you what I saw, which was white kids join for adventure, most inner city minority kids join to get job skills.


35 posted on 07/20/2005 1:53:34 PM PDT by IGOTMINE (Front Sight. Press. Follow Through. It's a way of life.)
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To: neverdem

Why are they using counties? Many cities or urban areas cover several counties. If scan counties listed by pop in 2000 you'll find a lot of cities in the 500,000 to 1 million category which might explain the dip in the deaths. (http://www.census.gov/population/cen2000/phc-t29/tab03a.pdf)


36 posted on 07/20/2005 1:59:00 PM PDT by cosine
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To: IGOTMINE

Hate to burst your bubble, but there are whites in the "inner city"

Being white doesn't automatically mean you are rural or suburban, just as being black doesnt automatically mean you live in a housing project in the ghetto.

All inner city means is downtown, and area immediately adjacent to downtown. Someone else said this about their city and the same goes for mine, most of the problems you see here are in the areas just outside the "inner-city", basically, the middle to outer city.


37 posted on 07/20/2005 2:00:56 PM PDT by AzaleaCity5691 (The enemy lies in the heart of Gadsden)
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To: Between the Lines
"When the Iraq war memorials go up in years to come, these monuments to heroism and sacrifice will be found less often in thriving urban centers than in lagging rural communities.
While the author feigns concern for rural communities, this statement shows his bias for urban areas"

Not only that, The NY Lies displays enormous ignorance of reality. Funny how I can dig up this data in 5 mins work on the Internet but a "professional journalists" who is PAID to do it, couldn't.

http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/surveymost New York's Current Unemployment rate? 5%

South Dakota 4%

http://data.bls.gov/PDQ/servlet/SurveyOutputServlet

Alabahma 4.4%

http://data.bls.gov/PDQ/servlet/SurveyOutputServlet

Massachusets 4.8%

Wyoming 4 %

http://data.bls.gov/PDQ/servlet/SurveyOutputServlet

California 5.3%

http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/surveymost
38 posted on 07/20/2005 2:03:50 PM PDT by MNJohnnie ( Iraq is a Terrorist bug hotel, Terrorists go in, they do not come out.)
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To: Dilbert56
Not only that, The NY Lies displays enormous ignorance of reality. Funny how I can dig up this data in 5 mins work on the Internet but a "professional journalists" who is PAID to do it, couldn't.

http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/surveymost New York's Current Unemployment rate? 5%

South Dakota 4%

http://data.bls.gov/PDQ/servlet/SurveyOutputServlet

Alabahma 4.4%

http://data.bls.gov/PDQ/servlet/SurveyOutputServlet

Massachusets 4.8%

Wyoming 4 %

http://data.bls.gov/PDQ/servlet/SurveyOutputServlet

California 5.3%

http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/surveymost
39 posted on 07/20/2005 2:04:44 PM PDT by MNJohnnie ( Iraq is a Terrorist bug hotel, Terrorists go in, they do not come out.)
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To: The Electrician
"Wanna bet that the original story concept or assignment was to prove that it was poor blacks who were bearing a disproportionate burden by acting as cannon fodder, and that the reporters and editors were miffed that the data did not support their preconception" Not only that, The NY Lies displays enormous ignorance of reality. Funny how I can dig up this data in 5 mins work on the Internet but a "professional journalists" who is PAID to do it, couldn't.

http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/surveymost New York's Current Unemployment rate? 5%

South Dakota 4%

http://data.bls.gov/PDQ/servlet/SurveyOutputServlet

Alabahma 4.4%

http://data.bls.gov/PDQ/servlet/SurveyOutputServlet

Massachusets 4.8%

Wyoming 4 %

http://data.bls.gov/PDQ/servlet/SurveyOutputServlet

California 5.3%

http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/surveymost
40 posted on 07/20/2005 2:05:53 PM PDT by MNJohnnie ( Iraq is a Terrorist bug hotel, Terrorists go in, they do not come out.)
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To: MNJohnnie

Alabama does not belong on this list, because it's not comparable to any of the states on this list.

I think unemployment in Mobile County is in the 5% range, but I know in the county just to the north of us, it is above 15%


41 posted on 07/20/2005 2:10:10 PM PDT by AzaleaCity5691 (The enemy lies in the heart of Gadsden)
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To: AzaleaCity5691
Alabama does not belong on this list, because it's not comparable to any of the states on this list.

I think unemployment in Mobile County is in the 5% range, but I know in the county just to the north of us, it is above 15%

Funny, the official statistics do not agree with that statement. So I guess I would have to go with the official statistics which show an even standard equally applied to all states, rather then anecdotal information that is unprovable. The point still stands plus this has been written about before, primarily Rural, (for Bush states) are economically out performing primarily Urban (for Kerry) states. The nonsensical assertion by the NY Lies of "triving urban areas" is not supported when an equal data standard is equally applied Rural vrs Urban.
42 posted on 07/20/2005 2:16:15 PM PDT by MNJohnnie ( Iraq is a Terrorist bug hotel, Terrorists go in, they do not come out.)
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To: IGOTMINE; All
Rural soldiers=White Boys that join the infantry to fight. Urban soldiers=Minority kids that join the military to get out of the inner city hell hole. Also, how many inner city utes are eligible for service with criminal records?

I wonder what those 'inner city utes' who are in Iraq right now fighting would reply to your post. I also wonder if you would have the guts to go up to them and ask them if they were there trying to escape 'inner city life.'

Not only is your brush stroke too wide, your logic is also atrophied. And not only that, but you make it seem as if the 'white boys' are joining the military for patriotic reasons, while the 'black kids' are hiking a ride. I wonder how many of your 'white boys' joined the armed services due to college money, and how many 'inner city utes' joined the military due to it being the only option available.

I also wonder if you would be able to differentiate, were you to look at the spilt blood from brave soldiers downed in Iraq, which was from a 'white boy' (patriotic and all), and which was from a 'black kid' (escaping from the ghetto). After all you must have some methodology of differentiating between patriot's blood and ghetto-escapee blood, huh?

43 posted on 07/20/2005 2:17:55 PM PDT by spetznaz (Nuclear tipped ICBMs: The Ultimate Phallic Symbol.)
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To: neverdem

IMHO, the only real issue here, is the Times scents what it percieves as a potential Red State wedge it's trying to develop for Ms. Hillarhea.......


44 posted on 07/20/2005 2:18:39 PM PDT by mo
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To: AzaleaCity5691
Uh, I hate to bust your bubble, but there are many of poor blacks in rural counties.

What bubble is that? Nothing that you have stated contradicts anything in my post. Did you read the article? It specifically states, "A look at the demographics of soldiers killed reveals that Iraq is not the war of any one race or region.".

Do you doubt for a moment that if the data showed poor black soldiers dying at a disproportionate rate the NY Times would not have run with that as the focal point of the article?

45 posted on 07/20/2005 2:27:19 PM PDT by The Electrician ("Government is the only enterprise in the world which expands in size when its failures increase.")
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To: MNJohnnie

Urban does not necessarily mean for Kerry and rural doesn't necessarily mean for Bush.

George Bush carried Harris County, TX.
George Bush lost Jim Hogg County, TX.

Someone enlighten me, which county is rural and which is urban

George Bush also carried Duval County, FL. Anyone familiar with that area knows that Duval County is coextensive with the City of Jacksonville.

I would also be willing to bet that Bush carried Miami proper.

Now, as for the idea that the Dakotas and Wyoming can be compared to Alabama.


The most populous county in Alabama has 660,000 residents.
The most populous county in South Dakota has 150,000 residents.
The most populous county in Wyoming has 84,000 residents.

Alabama has 3 metropolitan areas with more than 500,000 residents, and one of those has a population of over 1,000,000.

Neither Wyoming or South Dakota have a metro area approaching 500,000 much less 1,000,000.




46 posted on 07/20/2005 2:31:03 PM PDT by AzaleaCity5691 (The enemy lies in the heart of Gadsden)
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To: The Electrician

Let me explain something to you.

The story says that rural soldiers are dying at a disproportionate rate. Rural is not a category defined by race. Let me explain something to you, if a soldier from rural Macon County is killed, there is a 8 in 10 chance that the soldier will be black.


47 posted on 07/20/2005 2:34:18 PM PDT by AzaleaCity5691 (The enemy lies in the heart of Gadsden)
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To: spetznaz

The bottom line is that minorities TEND to gravitate toward support MOS's. They don't do as much of the dying.


48 posted on 07/20/2005 2:43:43 PM PDT by IGOTMINE (Front Sight. Press. Follow Through. It's a way of life.)
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To: thoughtomator
No, it could not be.

Kids raised up in rural America are more likely to be inculcated with a love of God, family and country and the knowledge that some things, and some people, are worth dying to protect.

A lot of great American Soldiers, Sailors, Airmen and Marines have come from town, but as a percentage of the overall population, it's the rural kids who answer their contry's call.

49 posted on 07/20/2005 2:45:47 PM PDT by Mr. Lucky
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To: IGOTMINE
I know what you were trying to say ....it is the way you said it. You basically insinuated that white recruits were in it for patriotic reasons, while minorities (particularly blacks) were in it for selfish reasons. Which is just not true. For one look at the number of rural blacks (by the way there are more rural blacks than inner city blacks, FYI) versus how many 'inner city utes' join the armed services. What inner city life are those ones trying to escape? You'd be surprised how many blacks do not live in the inner city, sir. Most do not. And it would be interesting to compare the numbers of southern blacks who join the military versus inner city blacks. That would also add water to your theory. And even if we were to purely concentrate on the inner city utes, and let's say we have a bunch who signed up to avoid ghetto life (yep, going to war to escape being shot in the suburbs ....but anyways ...), why is their signing up any different from those who do so to get a free ride in college? Is one more 'patriotic' than the other?

You talked about the bottom line ....well, the bottom line is that anybody who joins the armed services ....be they inner city Whites or rural Blacks (believe it or not both exist), or whether they did so because they always wanted to be a soldier, or it was for scholarship money, or because their uncle as a marine, or even because of something they watched on 9/11 that got them on their feet .....all of those people are serving their nation. And I doubt any of them need someone saying all urban recruits are black kids trying to escape ghetto life.

50 posted on 07/20/2005 3:04:53 PM PDT by spetznaz (Nuclear tipped ICBMs: The Ultimate Phallic Symbol.)
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