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LIVE THREAD: HURRICANE KATRINA (Cat 1)
NOAA-NHC ^ | 24 August 2005 | NOAA-NHC

Posted on 08/24/2005 6:20:56 AM PDT by NautiNurse

The twelfth tropical storm of the 2005 hurricane season is named Katrina. The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
TD 12 Track Forecast Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: florida; hurricane; hurricanekatrina; india; katrina; katy; tropical; weather
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Heads up Florida...and the GOM...


1 posted on 08/24/2005 6:20:58 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: aberaussie; Alas Babylon!; Alia; alnick; Amelia; asp1; Bahbah; balrog666; blam; blueberry12; ...

Meet Tropical Storm Katrina

2 posted on 08/24/2005 6:22:11 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse
Other info posted here, including "Katrina and the Waves" joke.
3 posted on 08/24/2005 6:23:03 AM PDT by Izzy Dunne (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line.)
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To: NautiNurse
Thanks for posting this news about Katrina. Great name for a major storm building from a tropical depression in my opinion. LOL ! . . . I used to date a Katrina many years ago. There are great storm tracking links on the site below. Also, there are live web cams to view the storm when it comes ashore. Look in the left margin. Live Web Cams and Storm Trackers
4 posted on 08/24/2005 6:28:33 AM PDT by ex-Texan (Mathew 7:1 through 6)
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To: ex-Texan

Under "Other Resources" check out the Florida East Coast Surf Reports--lots of surf cams


5 posted on 08/24/2005 6:32:37 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

Is this the end of the world?

Another storm for the media to hype.


6 posted on 08/24/2005 6:32:39 AM PDT by bluebeak
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To: NautiNurse

The models take it inland between NO and Pensacola as a decent sized cane. Someone there must have really pissed off the big guy upstairs to have these canes keep hitting the same 150 mile stretch of coast....LOL.


7 posted on 08/24/2005 6:32:53 AM PDT by ContemptofCourt
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To: bluebeak
This could develop into a formidable storm in the GOM.
8 posted on 08/24/2005 6:33:46 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: ContemptofCourt

A couple of the models have it raking up the FL Gulf Coast


9 posted on 08/24/2005 6:34:37 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

Ain't August grand??????????


10 posted on 08/24/2005 6:34:46 AM PDT by Gabz (USSG Warning: portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
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To: NautiNurse

dang


11 posted on 08/24/2005 6:35:16 AM PDT by tiredoflaundry (9-11 Commission - The largest CYA Operation in history!)
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To: Gabz

Hey--glad you checked in...I am heading OOT in a few hours. Due back in Friday night--if I can get home. I'll be out of pocket until evening hours until then.


12 posted on 08/24/2005 6:36:08 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse
I'll be out of pocket until evening hours until then.

We won't hold this storm without you :)

13 posted on 08/24/2005 6:37:36 AM PDT by Bahbah (Air America: kids-for-kilowatts)
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To: NautiNurse

Gotcha!!!!!!!!!!

Safe travelling - especially on the return trip. I saw your comment on the other thread about the skyline on Friday........boy do I have memories of that bridge :)


14 posted on 08/24/2005 6:38:43 AM PDT by Gabz (USSG Warning: portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
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To: NautiNurse

Just don't rain here in East Tennessee on Friday.


15 posted on 08/24/2005 6:44:47 AM PDT by Tennessee_Bob ("Nac Mac Feegle! The Wee Free Men! Nae king! Nae quin! Nae laird! We willna be fooled again!")
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To: NautiNurse

http://www.weather.com/weather/map/32765?name=southeastradar2100mile_large_animated&day=1

Not very impressive so far... Thursday evening here should be interesting if it strengthens.


16 posted on 08/24/2005 6:51:35 AM PDT by poobear (Imagine a world of liberal silence.)
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To: ContemptofCourt

It's all those Damn Yankees moving here! They draw them 'canes cause they all suck!.......Ft. Walton Beach is now West Destin!......


17 posted on 08/24/2005 6:58:06 AM PDT by Red Badger (Want to be surprised? GOOOOGLE your own name. Want to have fun? GOOOOGLE your neighbor's......)
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To: tiredoflaundry

Deja Vu all over again.............repeat as necessary........


18 posted on 08/24/2005 6:59:54 AM PDT by Red Badger (Want to be surprised? GOOOOGLE your own name. Want to have fun? GOOOOGLE your neighbor's......)
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To: NautiNurse

We're DOOOOOMMMEDD! Thanks for another update!


19 posted on 08/24/2005 7:04:37 AM PDT by The South Texan (The Democrat Party and the leftist (ABCCBSNBCCNN NYLATIMES)media are a criminal enterprise!)
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To: bluebeak
Is this the end of the world? Another storm for the media to hype.

Earlier in the yer the media was hyping how early storms were forming and that this would be the worst huricanne season on record. Then it semed that there were no storms for a while. Are we still on trck for the worst season?

20 posted on 08/24/2005 7:05:08 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: NautiNurse
The storm's just full of hot air.


21 posted on 08/24/2005 7:07:10 AM PDT by July 4th (A vacant lot cancelled out my vote for Bush.)
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To: Izzy Dunne
Florida won't be Walking on Sunshine eh? LOL
22 posted on 08/24/2005 7:08:36 AM PDT by tutstar (OurFlorida.true.ws)
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To: NautiNurse
Great stuff NautiNurse you couldn't ask for more, looks like a slow mover, this one.
23 posted on 08/24/2005 7:08:41 AM PDT by rodguy911 (Time to get rid of the UN and the ACLU and all Mosques in the US,UK.)
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To: 1Old Pro
Then it semed that there were no storms for a while. Are we still on trck for the worst season?

Potentially, yes, in terms of number of named storms, number of hurricanes, number of intense hurricanes.

However there's no guarantee of what will be hit; the ability to forecast storm numbers is very good, the ability to forecast how many of those hit the US is basically nonexistent.

24 posted on 08/24/2005 7:09:52 AM PDT by Strategerist
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To: Red Badger

You guys got it made up there, you should see what S. Fla. has turned in to.


25 posted on 08/24/2005 7:10:41 AM PDT by rodguy911 (Time to get rid of the UN and the ACLU and all Mosques in the US,UK.)
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To: July 4th

OH nooooo it's a chris matthews groupie, do not look at her face!!


26 posted on 08/24/2005 7:11:50 AM PDT by rodguy911 (Time to get rid of the UN and the ACLU and all Mosques in the US,UK.)
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To: NautiNurse

BRING IT ON!


27 posted on 08/24/2005 7:20:54 AM PDT by Fawn (Being a FREE COUNTRY doesn't mean EVERYTHING'S FOR FREE!!!!!!!)
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To: NautiNurse
That's my humble forecast, given there is a strong high pressure system over the western GOM that should keep Katrina easterly.

Jim Cantore is now in SE Florida, but I'll bet he'll be in the Cedar Key/Appalachicola area in the next couple of days.

28 posted on 08/24/2005 7:22:18 AM PDT by varina davis
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To: Red Badger

In the winter...palm beach county is a parking lot.


29 posted on 08/24/2005 7:22:25 AM PDT by Fawn (Being a FREE COUNTRY doesn't mean EVERYTHING'S FOR FREE!!!!!!!)
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To: JulieRNR21; kinganamort; katherineisgreat; floriduh voter; summer; Goldwater Girl; windchime; ...
Looks like we might be in for some serious rain in the next couple of days.

Click the Florida state flag for pro-gun resources!

30 posted on 08/24/2005 7:24:32 AM PDT by Joe Brower (The Constitution defines Conservatism. *NRA*)
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To: The South Texan

31 posted on 08/24/2005 7:25:15 AM PDT by Pyro7480 ("All my own perception of beauty both in majesty and simplicity is founded upon Our Lady." - Tolkien)
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To: Pyro7480

Is that from a sitcom? I don't watch them so it means nothing to me ...help?


32 posted on 08/24/2005 7:27:30 AM PDT by tutstar (OurFlorida.true.ws)
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To: tutstar
Watch the commercial that pic is from here.
33 posted on 08/24/2005 7:31:17 AM PDT by Pyro7480 ("All my own perception of beauty both in majesty and simplicity is founded upon Our Lady." - Tolkien)
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To: rodguy911

Lived in Margate in 77-81. Left there for here. Been here ever since. Even a hurricane can't make me leave. Erin, Opal, Ivan, and Dennis, plus many TS and tornadoes. Pure white sands and real people.......


34 posted on 08/24/2005 7:31:18 AM PDT by Red Badger (Want to be surprised? GOOOOGLE your own name. Want to have fun? GOOOOGLE your neighbor's......)
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To: Red Badger

Deja Vu all over again.............repeat as necessary........


35 posted on 08/24/2005 7:32:19 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: 1Old Pro
Earliest "K" named storm since they started keeping records, so possibly yes.

FWIW, the long range models are predicting a few other hurricanes popping up in the next 14 days, so the tropics could get interesting.

36 posted on 08/24/2005 7:32:48 AM PDT by ContemptofCourt
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To: tutstar

FedEx commercial. We're doomed!!


37 posted on 08/24/2005 7:37:12 AM PDT by clintonh8r (Liberals preach comity and practice calumny.)
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To: Red Badger

Where on the Gulf coast are you? We have a place in Apalachicola.


38 posted on 08/24/2005 7:39:31 AM PDT by clintonh8r (Liberals preach comity and practice calumny.)
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To: NautiNurse

Katrina Kaif?

39 posted on 08/24/2005 7:41:51 AM PDT by CarrotAndStick (The articles posted by me needn't necessarily reflect my opinion.)
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To: Gabz

Ain't August grand??????????

No!!!!!!!


40 posted on 08/24/2005 7:44:03 AM PDT by RipSawyer (Acceptance of irrational thinking is expanding exponentiallly.)
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To: rodguy911; All
Tropical Storm Katrina Advisory Number 4

Statement as of 11:00 am EDT on August 24, 2005

...Depression strengthens into Tropical Storm Katrina over the
central Bahamas...
...Hurricane Watch and Tropical Storm Warning issued for Florida...

 
at 11 am EDT...1500z...a Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane
Watch have been issued for the Southeast Florida coast from Vero
Beach southward to Florida City. This replaces the tropical storm
watch.  A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are
possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

 
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the central and
northwest Bahamas.  A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical
storm conditions are expected within the warning area within the
next 24 hours.

 
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the middle and upper
Florida Keys from west of the Seven Mile Bridge northward to south
of Florida City.  A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm
conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36
hours.

 
A watch or warning may be required for Lake Okeechobee later today.
A Hurricane Warning may be required for portions of the northwest
Bahamas later today.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 11 am EDT...1500z...the center of Tropical Storm Katrina was
located near latitude 24.7 north... longitude 76.7 west or about 50
miles... 80 km... east-southeast of Nassau and about 230 miles...
375 km...east-southeast of southeast coast of Florida.

 
Katrina is moving toward the north-northwest near  8 mph
...13 km/hr. A gradual turn toward the northwest at a slightly
slower forward speed is expected to occur later today. This motion
should bring the center through the central and northwest Bahamas
later today and tonight.

 
Earlier reports from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft
indicated maximum sustained winds had increased to near  40 mph...
65 km/hr...with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast
during the next 24 hours.

 
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to  70 miles
...110 km...mainly east of the center.

 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb...29.71 inches.

 
Due to its slow forward speed...Katrina is expected to produce a
significant heavy rainfall event over the central and northwest
Bahamas...and South Florida... with total rainfall accumulations of 
6 to 12 inches and isolated maximum amounts of 15 to 20 inches
possible.

 
Storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...
along with large and dangerous battering waves... can be expected
near the center in areas of onshore winds in the Bahamas.

 

Repeating the 11 am EDT position...24.7 N... 76.7 W.  Movement
toward...north-northwest near  8 mph.  Maximum sustained
winds... 40 mph.  Minimum central pressure...1006 mb.

 
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National 
Hurricane Center at 2 PM EDT followed by the next complete 
advisory at 5 PM EDT.

 
Forecaster Stewart

41 posted on 08/24/2005 7:46:30 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

Hmmmm. I guess I'd better watch this one.


42 posted on 08/24/2005 7:47:07 AM PDT by blam
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To: clintonh8r

Ft. Walton Beach.........aka West Destin!........


43 posted on 08/24/2005 7:48:01 AM PDT by Red Badger (Want to be surprised? GOOOOGLE your own name. Want to have fun? GOOOOGLE your neighbor's......)
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To: blam

Hope you enjoyed your brief respite.


44 posted on 08/24/2005 7:48:11 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse
You know, I'm a horrible person.

I keep hoping for a good Northeast hurricane to hit the east coast.

I had a ball wading through the Brandywine during Hurricane FLoyd.

45 posted on 08/24/2005 7:50:07 AM PDT by Malacoda (*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~* ! *~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*)
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To: RipSawyer

Sorry, forgot to add the sarcasm tag :(


46 posted on 08/24/2005 7:52:11 AM PDT by Gabz (USSG Warning: portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
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To: NautiNurse
Five day forecast has it heading right for Pensacola.

Just what they need.

47 posted on 08/24/2005 7:54:25 AM PDT by dirtboy (Drool overflowed my buffer...)
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To: NautiNurse
"Hope you enjoyed your brief respite."

Yup. I finally got the big Live Oak cleaned up from Cindy.

48 posted on 08/24/2005 7:54:34 AM PDT by blam
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To: NautiNurse
That was one heck of a nice job. Thanks.



49 posted on 08/24/2005 7:55:35 AM PDT by G.Mason
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To: NautiNurse
Just saw an update from WFOR-TV Miami - they've said that Katrina is expected to strengthen rapidly, and could (very realistically) become a minimal hurricane before a Dade/Broward landfall late Thursday.

WFOR's noon news will be streamed (via WMP) at http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live.

Jim Cantore is on Miami Beach (where else!), and keeps emphasizing that storms in that area of the Bahamas at this time of year have a history of getting really strong, really fast.

The point that the local forecasters here (Glenn Burns at WSB-TV, Kirk Mellish at WSB Radio and Flip Spiceland & Paul Ossman at WXIA-TV) are pointing out is that current models have Katrina emerging into the Gulf and strengthening into a significant storm by midday Sunday. They are saying that the models have the storm hanging a right once it enters the Gulf and heading back toward the Mobile-Pensacola-Panama City zone...again.

And the Cape Verde season is just starting...

50 posted on 08/24/2005 7:56:27 AM PDT by mhking (The world needs a wake up call gentlemen...we're gonna phone it in.)
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