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Hurricane/TS Katrina Live Thread, Part II
NHC - NOAA ^ | 26 August 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 08/25/2005 11:51:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Katrina is emerging into the very warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico early this morning after making landfall in SE Florida, then tracking SW. Thus far, she is well ahead of schedule, leaving at least four fatalities in her wake, and well over 1 million without electricity.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida

Images:


Key West Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Excellent South FL radar loop

Tampa Bay Long Range Radar Loop

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: florida; hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; tropical; weather
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1 posted on 08/25/2005 11:51:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: aberaussie; Alas Babylon!; Alia; alnick; Amelia; asp1; Bahbah; balrog666; blam; blueberry12; ...

Katrina emerging from SW Florida into the hot bath Gulf of Mexico

2 posted on 08/25/2005 11:53:59 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse; Howlin


Good Lord, look at the wide spread.


3 posted on 08/25/2005 11:56:42 PM PDT by onyx (North is a direction. South is a way of life.)
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To: onyx

Rain!


4 posted on 08/25/2005 11:57:30 PM PDT by Howlin (The answer is NO, no baby yet!)
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To: Howlin

It'll have to move 50-60 miles west, for me to get any rain and we need rain badly!


5 posted on 08/25/2005 11:59:36 PM PDT by onyx (North is a direction. South is a way of life.)
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To: onyx; Howlin

y'all are welcome to the rain :)


6 posted on 08/26/2005 12:01:19 AM PDT by Gabz (USSG Warning: portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
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To: NautiNurse
Wow...nothing ever happens here. Just riots, fires, floods, earthquakes and the occasional shuttle landing in the wee hours of the morning. I feel left out. *pout*

Seriously though, hope you all are safe & dry. Best wishes and God bless.

7 posted on 08/26/2005 12:01:20 AM PDT by Prime Choice (E=mc^3. Don't drink and derive.)
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To: Howlin; Prime Choice

I'm thinking I may need to do some laundry and other little storm prep chores (just because) while the weather is still clear.


8 posted on 08/26/2005 12:04:32 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Gabz

We're you here earlier when the FNC reported that parts of the Miami area had already had over a foot of rain?


9 posted on 08/26/2005 12:05:02 AM PDT by onyx (North is a direction. South is a way of life.)
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To: onyx; Howlin; rodguy911

When was the last time anyone heard from rodguy911?


10 posted on 08/26/2005 12:06:14 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse


I didn't see him on any of the storm threads today or tonight.


11 posted on 08/26/2005 12:08:06 AM PDT by onyx (North is a direction. South is a way of life.)
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To: onyx
Tropical Storm Katrina Intermediate Advisory Number 10b

Statement as of 3:00 am EDT on August 26, 2005

 
...Center of Katrina emerges off the southwestern coast of Florida
over the Gulf of Mexico...
...Heavy rains and tropical storm force winds continue over extreme
southern Florida and the Florida Keys...

 
a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for all the Florida Keys
and Florida Bay from Dry Tortugas northward...along the East Coast
of Florida from Florida City northward to Deerfield Beach...and
along the Gulf Coast of Florida from Longboat Key south and
eastward to south of Florida City.

 
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for portions of the Florida
West Coast from north of Longboat Key to Anclote Key.  A tropical
storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible
within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 3 am EDT...0700z...the center of Tropical Storm Katrina was
located near latitude 25.3 north...longitude 81.3 west or about 45
miles south-southeast of Marco Island Florida...and about 60 miles
north-northeast of Key West Florida.

 
Katrina is moving toward the west-southwest near 11 mph.  A turn
toward the west is expected later this morning.

 
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph with higher gusts.  Gradual
re-strengthening is expected now that Katrina has emerged over the
Gulf of Mexico... and Katrina could regain hurricane status later
today.

 
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 85 miles from the
center.

 
Estimated minimum central pressure is  990 mb...29.23 inches.

 
Storm surge flooding of 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels...
can be expected along the West Coast of Florida in areas of onshore
flow south of Venice and in Florida Bay.  Storm surge should
gradually decrease this morning along the East Coast of Florida.

 
Katrina is expected to produce a significant heavy rainfall event
over southern Florida and the Florida Keys. Total rainfall
accumulations of 6 to 10 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15
to 20 inches are possible.

 
Isolated tornadoes are possible today over extreme southern Florida
and the Florida Keys.

 
Repeating the 3 am EDT position...25.3 N... 81.3 W.  Movement
toward...west-southwest near 11 mph.  Maximum sustained winds... 70
mph. Minimum central pressure... 990 mb.

 

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
5 am EDT.

 
Forecaster Knabb

12 posted on 08/26/2005 12:09:22 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

Last I heard on the Weather Channel, FPL ( Florida Power And Light ) reported 2.4 million people without power. Sounds like the Democrats.

What a storm projection. It looks more like a wild guess. I still don't believe the storm is going to take the sharp north turn they think it will.


13 posted on 08/26/2005 12:10:15 AM PDT by Hillarys Gate Cult
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To: NautiNurse

Katrina is moving toward the west-southwest near 11 mph. A turn
toward the west is expected later this morning.




Now, help me here... where will that prediction hit?


14 posted on 08/26/2005 12:11:53 AM PDT by onyx (North is a direction. South is a way of life.)
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To: Hillarys Gate Cult
Was a tough call this morning to make the early, circuitous trek home. What I see now--no regrets.
15 posted on 08/26/2005 12:15:35 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: onyx
Now, help me here... where will that prediction hit?

Was laughing with another passenger on the flight home tonight about one of the tracks early this morning that showed a due west path across FL into the GOM, then a 90º sharp turn due north.

Katrina would have spilled her guts turning on a dime like that.

16 posted on 08/26/2005 12:20:06 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: onyx

Yes - I heard that.........

I still have FNC on for background noise - and listening to the earlier taped reports are hilarious.......I mean really - 5 hour old hurricane updates .....LOL!!!!!!!


17 posted on 08/26/2005 12:21:46 AM PDT by Gabz (USSG Warning: portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
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To: Gabz

My husband made me turn off the tv --- so he can sleep, but the grandfather clock keeps waking him every half hour, so I am trying to type quietly.

Try the weather channel. I think they're less apt to repeat old updates...lol.


18 posted on 08/26/2005 12:23:38 AM PDT by onyx (North is a direction. South is a way of life.)
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To: Howlin

Talk to us - PLEASE........the 3 hours is about (or already) up!!!!!!!!!!


19 posted on 08/26/2005 12:24:56 AM PDT by Gabz (USSG Warning: portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
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To: onyx

Hubby went to bed hours ago....he's gonna have a fit when he figures out how late I stayed up ....which he will be able to do with no trouble just by my reaction to him telling me I have to get up to go to PT :)


20 posted on 08/26/2005 12:26:45 AM PDT by Gabz (USSG Warning: portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
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To: NautiNurse

West Virgina? Tuesday?


21 posted on 08/26/2005 12:27:16 AM PDT by countrydummy
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To: Gabz; Howlin


She's on the phone right now... I anticpate the baby might hhave been born.


22 posted on 08/26/2005 12:28:13 AM PDT by onyx (North is a direction. South is a way of life.)
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To: countrydummy

Looks like you'll have the rain by Tues night. Depends upon how strong she gets in the Gulf too.


23 posted on 08/26/2005 12:29:10 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: onyx; Gabz; NautiNurse; Mo1; Amelia

7 pounds 14 ounces.....born at 2:47...healthy!

1 hour and 45 minutes after they left the house!


24 posted on 08/26/2005 12:31:18 AM PDT by Howlin (The answer is NO, no baby yet!)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks!


25 posted on 08/26/2005 12:33:27 AM PDT by countrydummy
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To: Howlin


Glory Be, Grandma. :)


26 posted on 08/26/2005 12:35:26 AM PDT by onyx (North is a direction. South is a way of life.)
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To: Howlin

Congratulations!


27 posted on 08/26/2005 12:36:10 AM PDT by MEG33 (GOD BLESS OUR ARMED FORCES)
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To: Howlin

Congratulations!


28 posted on 08/26/2005 12:37:22 AM PDT by Sammie42
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To: Howlin

Awwwww :)


29 posted on 08/26/2005 12:37:23 AM PDT by countrydummy
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To: Howlin

WONDERFUL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


30 posted on 08/26/2005 12:37:35 AM PDT by Gabz (USSG Warning: portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
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To: Howlin

I've been monitoring this thread....

YAHOO!

Congrats!


31 posted on 08/26/2005 12:37:56 AM PDT by hoagy62 (Revolution is now the only option....)
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To: Howlin

And you MIGHT want to change thy tagline....:)


32 posted on 08/26/2005 12:39:16 AM PDT by hoagy62 (Revolution is now the only option....)
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To: Howlin

Congratulations Howlin!! Give Momma and the new baby a kiss!


33 posted on 08/26/2005 12:39:25 AM PDT by BigSkyFreeper (Liberalism is a form of insanity)
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To: onyx; Gabz; All

That's Mimi......and she makes 5 under 5!

I'm going home here in a minute...............see you all later!

Thanks, everybody!


34 posted on 08/26/2005 12:40:21 AM PDT by Howlin (The answer is NO, no baby yet!)
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To: Howlin

Time for a tag line change!

Congratulations on the birth of a new granddaughter.


35 posted on 08/26/2005 12:40:49 AM PDT by Sally'sConcerns
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To: Howlin

Goodnight, Grandma - now i can go to bed :)


36 posted on 08/26/2005 12:42:33 AM PDT by Gabz (USSG Warning: portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
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To: Howlin

Congrats on the new addition!


37 posted on 08/26/2005 12:44:10 AM PDT by JennysCool (Non-Y2K-Compliant)
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To: Howlin
Fabulous! She's a Mommy machine ... congratulations and much health and joy!

PS .. that weather reader on TWC never learned how to say "str" words ... she says "shtr .. as in shtrong and shtrange .. what is that?? I am such a petty language snob ;) ..

38 posted on 08/26/2005 12:45:23 AM PDT by STARWISE (GITMO IS TOO GOOD FOR THESE TRAITORS -- SEND THEM ALL TO EGYPT FOR QUESTIONING.)
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To: Howlin
7 pounds 14 ounces.....born at 2:47...healthy!

Woo Hoo!

Congrats ...

I just hope being born during a hurricane isn't a sign of things to come ... you did say she was having a girl, right?? .. *L*

39 posted on 08/26/2005 12:46:35 AM PDT by Mo1 (Hey Cindy ... tell us again why Our Country is not worth fighting for)
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To: Howlin
Great news! Congratulations!

here's an old lady smoking a cigar for you...
;o)


40 posted on 08/26/2005 12:47:04 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse; Howlin

You're BAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

goodnight everyone - stay safe.........


41 posted on 08/26/2005 12:54:45 AM PDT by Gabz (USSG Warning: portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
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To: Hillarys Gate Cult
Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Map GOM is hot!
42 posted on 08/26/2005 1:12:06 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Howlin; MeekOneGOP
Couldn't sleep, came online and found

7 pounds 14 ounces.....born at 2:47...healthy! 1 hour and
45 minutes after they left the house!

Congratulations Howlin!!

43 posted on 08/26/2005 1:41:52 AM PDT by bd476
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To: Howlin

Congratulations!

44 posted on 08/26/2005 1:52:48 AM PDT by WestVirginiaRebel (Idiots and the Internet don't mix, no matter how hard Michael Moore tries.)
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To: aberaussie; Alas Babylon!; Alia; alnick; Amelia; asp1; Bahbah; balrog666; blam; blueberry12; ...

Heads up FL Gulf Coast FReepers: Katrina wasted no time regaining hurricane strength after emerging into the GOM.

45 posted on 08/26/2005 1:56:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: bd476; Howlin

WooHooo!!!


46 posted on 08/26/2005 1:56:45 AM PDT by Jet Jaguar
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To: All
Hurricane Katrina Advisory Number 11

Statement as of 5:00 am EDT on August 26, 2005

 
...Katrina regains hurricane status over the Gulf of Mexico...

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for all of the Florida Keys
and Florida Bay from Dry Tortugas northward... along the East Coast
of Florida from Florida City northward to Deerfield Beach... and
along the Gulf Coast of Florida from south of Florida City westward
and northward to Longboat Key.  A Tropical Storm Warning means that
tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area
within the next 24 hours.

 

A tropical storm watch is in effect for portions of the Florida
West Coast from north of Longboat Key to Anclote Key.  A tropical
storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible
within the watch area... generally within 36 hours.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 5 am EDT...0900z...the center of Hurricane Katrina was located
near latitude 25.3 north... longitude 81.5 west or about 50
miles... 85 km... north-northeast of Key West Florida.

 
Katrina is moving toward the west near  5 mph... 7 km/hr... and this
motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours... with a
slight increase in forward speed.

 
Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph... 120 km/hr... with higher
gusts.  Katrina is a category one hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
scale.  Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours.

 
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to  25 miles... 35 km...
from the center... and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 85 miles... 140 km.

 
Estimated minimum central pressure is  987 mb...29.15 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...
can be expected along the West Coast of Florida in areas of onshore
flow south of Venice... and in Florida Bay.  Storm surge should
continue to decrease this morning along the East Coast of Florida.

 
Katrina is expected to produce additional rainfall of 5 to 8 inches
over extreme southern Florida and the Florida Keys.  Isolated storm
total amounts of 15 to 20 inches are possible.

 
Isolated tornadoes are possible today over southern Florida and the
Florida Keys.

 
Repeating the 5 am EDT position...25.3 N... 81.5 W.  Movement
toward...west near  5 mph.  Maximum sustained
winds... 75 mph.  Minimum central pressure... 987 mb.

 
Intermediate advisories will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 7 am EDT and 9 am EDT followed by the next complete
advisory at 11 am EDT.

 
Forecaster Knabb

47 posted on 08/26/2005 1:57:18 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Howlin
Congratulations, Howlin!

My only grandchild, Teegan, will turn 2 tomorrow, the 27th. Aren't they great?

48 posted on 08/26/2005 2:05:22 AM PDT by IrishRainy
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To: rodguy911; Elle Bee

Please check in with us when you can, FL Keys FRiends.


49 posted on 08/26/2005 2:06:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Howlin
(The answer is NO, no baby yet!)

-----

Congrats ............. time for a little change.

50 posted on 08/26/2005 2:15:50 AM PDT by beyond the sea ("I was just the spark the universe chose ....." --- Cindy Sheehan (barf alert))
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