Skip to comments.Urgent Katrina Update: New NHC Forecast Direct Hit on New Orleans as a CAT 4
Posted on 08/26/2005 8:03:22 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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there may be congestion, but the road network is good enough that it can be evacuated really quickly if need be. With 10-15hrs notice on severe storm warning, evacs on the causeway, I59, I55 and US190 to the north, Airline Hwy and I-10 to the west as well as I-10 to the east, and that town can quickly become a ghost town.. those that can't or won't will be in deep doo-doo, but many more will evac if given the order, they're stubborn there, not foolish. But evacuation for that city is not a problem the infrastructure is there to quickly vacate..
I have family there. They are evacuating and I advise all others to clear out as well.
I thought most of the production in the state was in between Lafayette and Lake Charles....
holy crap!!! Based on current dollar value and price growth, that puts regular unleaded at $3.25 a gallon!!!!
Crude dropped $1.50 to $66 in the last 15 minutes Friday, setting up a nice buying opportunity Sunday night in the futures (Oct contract)
For that reason, gasoline supplies might be affected with the Labor Weekend rapidly approaching... The Mississippi [state of] Gulf Coast has refineries that might be shut in as well... And there are oil refineries North of New Orleans as well (at least North in terms of running along the Mississippi).
I once flew into Venice (South of New Orleans), but that was in the 1970's. I imagine the facilities you are talking about are North and East of Venice. And I am not familar with those...
Maybe Hurricane Katrina's legacy is that this storm might help to push gasoline prices nationwide over $3 a gallon.
..your family is very wise to leave!
Travel mercies for all in it's path!
Hello! Prayers lifted for those in the path.
Hugs to you, dear FRiend.
My company is evacuating its rigs and platforms now. And it doesn't look like it will be a false alarm this time.
Eastern US Weather is the better of the two. By far. I meant to mention that when I posted the links.
I rode out 4 major hurricanes in NC in th 1990's and it was exciting!
NGP, on the other hand, shows Katrina making her way inland near Biloxi. The NGP model doesn't show the storm as tightly wrapped as the GFS model however. As a result, the windfield is pronouncedly dispersed over a greater area compared to the GFS model. Despite peak sustained winds projected to be merely 70 KTS, they'll extend all the way to Pensacola (and perhaps as far as Panama City), albeit significantly attenuated there. While NGP projects the storm to be centered over Jackson by sundown Monday, 40 KT winds will still be pummeling the Gulf coast to at least Mobile (and possibly as far E as Pensacola) even so winds over Jackson will be a mere 20 KTs sustained.
Nevertheless, and all that notwithstanding, at least 1" of rain per hour for the duration and area mentioned can be expected at a minimum Local areas of heavier rainfall is to be expected as squall lines move through the area. I wouldn't expect rainfall to be more than 1 1/2" per hour in any one particular area for any significant amount of time. While it may rain the equivalent of 3"/hr for about 10 minutes, it'll return back to the normal expected rate of 1" per hour. And that's going to go on for at least 12 hours (proably 18).
Looks like you guys are going to get a little wet down there (if 1 1/2' of water falling out of the sky in 1/2 a day can be called "getting a little wet").
ping to #93
Au revoir vous flânez mal.
Awwww shucks. As a sensitive lout I was going to send our new guest waterwings and a snorkel.
That was terribly thoughtful of you.
And so it begins (even if she is late):
(Slidell) KASD 290109Z AUTO 04012KT 10SM -RA FEW001 SCT016 25/23 A2963 RMK AO2 P0001
(New Orleans Intl) KMSY 290115Z 04021G26KT 10SM -RA SCT015 BKN046 OVC070 27/24 A2958 RMK AO2 PK WND 04032/0059 P0001
(Mobile) KMOB 290056Z AUTO 06013KT 9SM -RA FEW042 SCT075 SCT110 27/23 A2968 RMK AO2 RAB01 SLP046 P0000 T02670233 TSNO
(Pensacola) KPNS 290102Z 08011G21KT 9SM -TSRA SCT035 BKN049 BKN100 29/23 A2967 RMK AO2 TSB0056RAB02 TS S MOV N OCNLLTGCCCG P0000
(Apalachicola) KAAF 290106Z AUTO 11019G28KT 3SM -RA BR FEW016 SCT030 SCT036 27/26 A2975 RMK AO2 PK WND 10028/0057 P0007 TSNO
Strongest winds so far are reported by KMSY (21Kts out of 040 gusting to 26) with a close second at KAAF (19Kts out of 110 gusting to 28). You see how the winds accelerate out of Slidell (by almost doubling velocity in that short distance). From here on out its going to get interesting.
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