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Nominal vs. Real News(A LARGE dose of reality from George Will!)
Newsweek ^ | Aug. 29 - Sept. 5, 2005 issue - | George F. Will

Posted on 08/27/2005 5:43:39 AM PDT by kellynla

And regarding news media, begin here: They should not subtract from the public's understanding. Yet subtract they nowadays do with endless headlines and talk about "record" oil and gasoline prices. For example, a recent headline in the Financial Times proclaimed: "New York investors take flight after price of oil hits record high." But the story's fifth paragraph read: "West Texas Intermediate for September delivery settled $1.83 higher at $64.90 a barrel—a new nominal record ..." The real meAnd regarding news media, begin here: They should not subtract from the public's understanding. Yet subtract they nowadays do with endless headlines and talk about "record" oil and gasoline prices. For example, a recent headline in the Financial Times proclaimed: "New York investors take flight after price of oil hits record high." But the story's fifth paragraph read: "West Texas Intermediate for September delivery settled $1.83 higher at $64.90 a barrel—a new nominal record ..." The real meaning of the word "nominal" is: "The headline you just read is rubbish." As was the next day's page-one headline—"Oil price hits $66 for a fourth record of the week"—which was nullified by the story's first words: "Oil prices yesterday broke their fourth consecutive nominal record for the week ..."

(Excerpt) Read more at msnbc.msn.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Editorial; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; Government
KEYWORDS: economy; gasoline; inflation; pricefixing; pricegouging; profiteering; recession; speculation
Still, various voices warn that parts of the economy's improvement are "temporary." Well, yes—isn't everything? During a broadcast 14 years ago, Vin Scully, voice of the Los Angeles Dodgers, said, "Andre Dawson has a bruised knee and is listed as day-to-day." (Pause) "Aren't we all?"


1 posted on 08/27/2005 5:43:40 AM PDT by kellynla
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To: kellynla

The first thing anyone should do with oil prices is to ask, "HOW MUCH ARE THE TAXES?" and subtract that. The second thing one should do is to ask, "WHY ISN'T ANYONE TALKING ABOUT REPEALING THOSE TAXES?" if oil prices are "too high." It's the one measure we can take to immediately bring pump prices down by 20-25%.


2 posted on 08/27/2005 5:58:22 AM PDT by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of news)
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To: kellynla

if you're talking about "today's dollars" compared to "constant dollars" it would be interesting to figure out how much of that inflation was due to energy cost, above or below its share in the economy.

My family can afford as much gas as we could twenty years ago - it just hurts to put money in the Arabs' pockets so we are definitely trying to conserve.


3 posted on 08/27/2005 6:06:39 AM PDT by heartwood
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To: LS

The second is "Why are we drilling and refining more here?" After all, the prices are claimed high due to unrest in the middle east, Nigeria and Venezuela. We don't handle refining at the capacity that is needed.

IMHO - The energy bill should have contained two(2)items. Authorization for a dramatic increase of US oil drilling and authorization to allow a dozen new US based refineries. The more I hear about the actual bill it's just more feel good tripe that doesn't address the issue.

A second bill would address alternative energies. Not one dollar would be spend developing an energy that couldn't be used by a very large number of people. What good is an alternative fuel if it can be used by only 50 people? Alternative energies, for transportation purposes, need to be national or at a minimum regional. Without a distribution infrastructure and product to use it even a great fuel is simply a folly.


4 posted on 08/27/2005 6:14:43 AM PDT by Dutch Boy
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To: heartwood

Actually, the US puts proportionately more into Hugo Chavez's pocket, but there's no material difference between the two sets of brutal thuggery and jackassery gone amok.

When can we drill in Alaska?

More importantly, when can we let oil refineries be profitable again? The spike related to the explosion of the refinery that represented a loss of 30% of the US consumption. While speculation swirls around foul play, the reality is that nowhere is the US doing anything to undo the harm of the intolerance of the overregulators and envirocrats.


5 posted on 08/27/2005 6:20:35 AM PDT by saveliberty ("The mystery of government is not how Washington works but how to make it stop." - PJ O'Rourke)
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To: kellynla

Arent the prices we hear about, futures prices?
And how far out is that contract?


6 posted on 08/27/2005 6:20:56 AM PDT by ThreePuttinDude
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To: LS; PhiKapMom

Taxes--now there's a sore spot for Oklahomans. They're wanting to add five cents a gallon to what we're already paying, to fund road and bridge work.

That's bad enough, but here's the rub: we've passed bills like this before and are paying through the nose (tax-wise--note our gas prices are lower than the national average), yet very little of the money we pay actually goes to roads and bridges. The state legislature manages to get their hands into the till, and the money goes almost anywhere BUT roads and bridges.

This latest hike is advertised as being impervious to till-robbing, but excuse me if I don't quite trust these thieves. For one thing, they keep using the term "lockbox," which brings up all kinds of Gore-y memories...

I image each state is using gasoline sales to help line their pockets. It's no bloody wonder the price of gas is so high.


7 posted on 08/27/2005 6:21:43 AM PDT by MizSterious (Now, if only we could convince them all to put on their bomb-vests and meet in Mecca...)
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To: LS
I would pay an additional ten even twenty cents a gallon in taxes if the federal income tax were repealed.
Think of a world with no federal income tax, walls at both ends of the borders, nuclear/desalination/electrical generating plants on all coasts, oil drilling in ANWR, all Muslims & illegals deported including the incarcerated and no Democrats! LOL
Now that's what I'm talkin' about! :-]
Happy Saturday!
8 posted on 08/27/2005 6:23:43 AM PDT by kellynla (U.S.M.C. 1st Battalion,5th Marine Regiment, 1st Marine Div. Viet Nam 69&70 Semper Fi)
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To: kellynla
Kelly Kelly wake up

you're having a euphoric dream, stop it now....

9 posted on 08/27/2005 6:26:04 AM PDT by ThreePuttinDude
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To: heartwood

"My family can afford as much gas as we could twenty years ago - it just hurts to put money in the Arabs' pockets so we are definitely trying to conserve."

well we can blame the "envirowackos" and the clowns in DC for that...
we could be energy self sufficient if some the regs on nuclear, oil drilling and refining were lifted.

But there hasn't been a new refinery built since 1976.


10 posted on 08/27/2005 6:28:22 AM PDT by kellynla (U.S.M.C. 1st Battalion,5th Marine Regiment, 1st Marine Div. Viet Nam 69&70 Semper Fi)
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To: heartwood
"it just hurts to put money in the Arabs' pockets so we are definitely trying to conserve."

Especially hard, considering the fact that ever time we gas up, we fund a terrorist organization.

11 posted on 08/27/2005 6:28:43 AM PDT by sageb1 (This is the Final Crusade. There are only 2 sides. Pick one.)
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To: MizSterious

Isn't it odd? When the guvvament has to pay more, they can't be responsible to cut costs to absorb the increased bills. But when we change our behavior to be able to pay our own bills because of increased overhead, the guvvament just can't stand it and has to demand more money that it didn't earn and that it is not competent or willing to spent fruitfully.

"Question not compassionate. Hand over paycheck."

The craziest part is that the more that they do, the more that revenues long term will drop. There's more political capital in going through the motions of helping even though the net effect is to flush the golden goose down the toilet and to wonder why there are no more golden eggs, and for pete's sake, can someone please call a plumber?


12 posted on 08/27/2005 6:35:22 AM PDT by saveliberty ("The mystery of government is not how Washington works but how to make it stop." - PJ O'Rourke)
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To: ThreePuttinDude

"Arent the prices we hear about, futures prices?
And how far out is that contract?"

I don't trade crude futures but the current crude prices usually hit the gas stations within a month.
Gas station owners pay COD on deliveies, so when they have to pay more today then the increase is passed on to you today.
But gas stations only make a dime a gallon.

What I have done is cut down on my driving, checked out http://www.gasbuddy.com for the cheapest priced gas and bought oil stocks(might as well profit from the high prices. LOL)


13 posted on 08/27/2005 6:36:19 AM PDT by kellynla (U.S.M.C. 1st Battalion,5th Marine Regiment, 1st Marine Div. Viet Nam 69&70 Semper Fi)
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To: ThreePuttinDude
:-]
14 posted on 08/27/2005 6:37:11 AM PDT by kellynla (U.S.M.C. 1st Battalion,5th Marine Regiment, 1st Marine Div. Viet Nam 69&70 Semper Fi)
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To: ThreePuttinDude

BTW, take heart, the prices historically decline the Tuesday after the Labor Day holiday weekend...but how much they will decline is anybody's guess.


15 posted on 08/27/2005 6:40:32 AM PDT by kellynla (U.S.M.C. 1st Battalion,5th Marine Regiment, 1st Marine Div. Viet Nam 69&70 Semper Fi)
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To: kellynla

"The whole idea of our government is this: If enough people get together and act in concert, they can take something and not pay for it." -- P.J. O'Rourke - A Parliament of Whores


"Giving government money and power is like giving car keys and whiskey to a teenage boy" - P.J. O'Rourke


16 posted on 08/27/2005 6:42:07 AM PDT by saveliberty ("The mystery of government is not how Washington works but how to make it stop." - PJ O'Rourke)
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To: sageb1
Imho, it all gets back to the media and the perceptions they spew. Same with deceptive polls. I see it coming to a head in the near future.

As their influence has waned, they more frequently revert to rigged poll questions that jive with their pre-determined agenda.

I don't trust anything they report. Zero. nada. nothing.

17 posted on 08/27/2005 6:43:57 AM PDT by chiller (DONE: Gore, taxes, terrorism,Kerry, Old Media. TO DO: Judges, Tort, IRS, Soc.Sec.,borders..)
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To: kellynla
Nice Scully reference.

Wouldn't it be nice if the Dodgers gave Vinnie the chance to call just one more championship season before he goes?

(...good luck with that...)

18 posted on 08/27/2005 6:44:48 AM PDT by RichInOC (I'm a Dodger fan. I've been waiting for another championship since 1988. Patience, my ass.)
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To: saveliberty

"Giving government money and power is like giving car keys and whiskey to a teenage boy" - P.J. O'Rourke

Nuff said...


19 posted on 08/27/2005 6:45:37 AM PDT by kellynla (U.S.M.C. 1st Battalion,5th Marine Regiment, 1st Marine Div. Viet Nam 69&70 Semper Fi)
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To: RichInOC

"Wouldn't it be nice if the Dodgers gave Vinnie the chance to call just one more championship season before he goes?"

Well it won't happen this year and we were verrrrry lucky in '88! LOL

Spoken from a guy who bleeds "Dodger Blue!"

Semper Fi,
Kelly


20 posted on 08/27/2005 6:49:17 AM PDT by kellynla (U.S.M.C. 1st Battalion,5th Marine Regiment, 1st Marine Div. Viet Nam 69&70 Semper Fi)
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To: kellynla
As I say..."good luck with that"...

[sigh...]

21 posted on 08/27/2005 6:53:57 AM PDT by RichInOC (I'm a Dodger fan. I've been waiting for another championship since 1988. Patience, my ass.)
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To: heartwood
My family can afford as much gas as we could twenty years ago - it just hurts to put money in the Arabs' pockets so we are definitely trying to conserve.

Democrats want your dollars in their(arabs) pockets because Democrats don't believe in drilling for oil in America.

22 posted on 08/27/2005 6:55:17 AM PDT by CROSSHIGHWAYMAN
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To: RichInOC

I remember hearing Vince doing the Dodgers when Wally Moon was hitting them over the Chinese Pagoda, and Kofax stringing together no hitters.

I remember lazy warm afternoons in my room scoring games to the Midwestern twang on my second hand radio.

When is Vince Scully's 50th anniversary with the Dodgers? How old is he anyway?


23 posted on 08/27/2005 7:36:06 AM PDT by patriciaruth (They are all Mike Spanns)
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To: kellynla
Fuming drivers should remember that the cost of a gallon of gasoline also contains a cost of government—18.4 cents federal tax and an average of 25.6 cents state taxes. So the cost of the gallon is what the pump tells you—minus about 44 cents.

My point exactly.

FINDING DEAL$ ON GA$OLINE:
(A work in progress. Please FReepmail other suggestions)


12 Month National Average for Regular Unleaded by AAA.com


Gas prices could fall with a TAX CUT, too!


24 posted on 08/27/2005 7:46:44 AM PDT by martin_fierro (Casey Sheehan died so mommy could freely act the jackass)
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To: RichInOC

"This quote introduced Dodgers fans in Brooklyn to "Vince" Scully in the 1950 Dodger Yearbook:

"Third and youngest member of the Dodger airlanes trio (with Red Barber & Connie Desmond) is Vince Scully, a 1949 Fordham University graduate who in his closing college days covered Ram football, basketball and baseball games over the school station after lettering for two years as an outfielder on the diamond. Vince is 23, single, makes his home in New York."

So Vin has been doing the Dodger thing for 55 years. And he's 78 years old now.


25 posted on 08/27/2005 7:47:02 AM PDT by patriciaruth (They are all Mike Spanns)
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To: kellynla
When I was a teenager, and turned 16 I got a part time job. As soon as I saved enough money, I bought a car.

I was making minimum wage which in 1953 and 1954 was 50 cents an hour. Gasoline was 29.9 cents a gallon.

A gallon of gasoline cost 58.9 percent of an hours wages. In other words at minimum wage I had to work about 36 minutes to earn a gallon of gasoline.

Today minimum wage is $5.15 and gasoline is #2.56. At minimum wage todays worker has to work 30 minutes to pay for a gallon of gasoline.

Gasoline is cheaper today than it was in 1953 and 1954.

No one thought gasoline was overpriced at 30 cents a gallon. Back then my 1948 Mercury got 16 miles to the gallon. Today my Lincoln Town car gets 22.5 miles to the gallon.

The fifties were boom years. There were plenty of good jobs and plenty of goodies to buy.. We thought gasoline was cheap.

26 posted on 08/27/2005 8:02:28 AM PDT by Common Tator
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To: heartwood

if you're talking about "today's dollars" compared to "constant dollars" it would be interesting to figure out how much of that inflation was due to energy cost, above or below its share in the economy.



Energy has been fairly constant since the bad Carter years. We still have quite a way to go ($90/barrel) to get there.

The larger issue is energy is a much smaller part of household expense than in the past, as is food. We have more discretionary dollars.


27 posted on 08/27/2005 8:08:10 AM PDT by KeyWest
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To: Common Tator

My Town Car gets 23 to 25 mpg depending on the kind of driving I'm doing. When I get passed by an "eco friendly" hybrid, screaming its' guts out on an uphill grade while my old Lincoln is just loping along, I like to reflect that I'm using less fuel, being more environmentally responsible, and riding in luxury at the same time.


28 posted on 08/27/2005 8:17:24 AM PDT by NaughtiusMaximus (The liberals promised to move to Canada but they lied . . . bwaaaaah.)
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To: kellynla
How many people realize that the US government makes big bucks when the price of oil goes up?

For every barrel of oil produced on federal land, the feds get 1/8 of it, offshore as in the Gulf of Mexico, they get 1/6 of it.

At today's price of $65.00 a barrel, the feds make $7.80 for each barrel from land production, offshore production, $10.40 for every barrel of oil produced.

Federal gasoline tax is at 18.4 cents per gallon.

Ever wonder what your state tax is on gasoline & diesel? For some states you had best be sitting down when read.

http://66.102.7.104/search?q=cache:AcdRVTL_9hUJ:www.gaspricewatch.com/usgastaxes.asp+federal+gasoline+tax+rate&hl=en

Neato eh? First the feds take royalties on oil produced from "OUR" public lands, then sell the oil, and tax us another 18.4 cents a gallon, on gasoline refined from "OUR" oil.

Ever wonder how much profit an oil company makes on a gallon of gasoline?

http://www.conocophillips.com/newsroom/other_resources/energyanswers/oil_profits.htm

Note that when oil companies were making 7 cents on a gallon of gasoline, combined, fed and (some) state government were raking in over 50 cents per gallon.


It is damned odd, with the royalties and taxes paid into government coffers from oil sales and fuel taxes, one would think the government would be the #1 proponent for increasing domestic production. But no, our politicians must love paying other countries to produce that which we could do ourselves. Perhaps it is some perverse kind of welfare payment to the world at large. One thing for sure, I understand none of it at all.
29 posted on 08/27/2005 8:27:52 AM PDT by Ursus arctos horribilis ("It is better to die on your feet than to live on your knees!" Emiliano Zapata 1879-1919)
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To: Dutch Boy
On your first point, we should immediately lift all bans against offshore drilling anywhere; and Congress should pass a law taking discretion over such cases out of the hands of the judiciary.

Alternatives are fine, but no one every got anywhere with the feds backing a technology: when the tech is ready, we won't have to "fund" alternative fuels, anymore than the government had to fund John D. Rockefeller's kerosene, which drove whaling out of business.

30 posted on 08/27/2005 10:16:29 AM PDT by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of news)
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To: MizSterious

Here in Ohio we refer to the little ornage cones as the "State Flower of Ohio," because they bloom every spring and stay all year. Nothing ever seems to get fixed.


31 posted on 08/27/2005 10:17:31 AM PDT by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of news)
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To: kellynla
At this point, I would go along with a national sales tax if the first thing that happened was a constitutional amendment banning ALL income taxes, state and local.

However, I'm still a fan of the "flat" tax: a) we already have the infrastructure; b) it's very simple, and c) businesses aren't put in the position of being tax collectors (even more than they are now).

As for gas taxes, I've always advocated user fees---you drive, you get a bill. Toll roads are fine. We are getting to the point where bar codes could indeed result in you getting a bill each month for your total highway use, and if the bill isn't paid, a device inside the car shuts it down until the government turns it on again. (I know, lots of problems, but you get my drift: it's unfair for non-users to pay anything but a tiny nominal tax---to cover ambulances, fire trucks, and so on) to use roads they don't drive on).

32 posted on 08/27/2005 10:21:25 AM PDT by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of news)
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Comment #33 Removed by Moderator

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To: wildweezel
Nope. The ONLY, and quickest, way to adjust "price at the pump" is taxes. And I remember a time in the late 1960s when there were virtually NO gas taxes. Don't tell me about gas taxes, when here in OH we pay about $.60 PER GALLON of taxes.

It is utterly irrelevant whether they have "increased" or not. The fact that they were EVER 1/3 of a gallon of gas is outrageous.

35 posted on 08/30/2005 7:56:52 AM PDT by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of news)
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Comment #36 Removed by Moderator

To: wildweezel

I repeat, the quickest way to adjust prices, nationwide, is to eliminate taxes. Sure, prices in the Gulf Coast today will---and should---go way up. That's called supply and demand, not "greedy oil barons." Your anger is misdirected, and smacks of liberal class envy.


37 posted on 08/30/2005 8:50:40 AM PDT by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of news)
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Comment #38 Removed by Moderator

To: wildweezel

Well, I certainly agree with that. But I always go to the source---and the quickest way to reduce any price is to eliminate the taxes.


39 posted on 08/30/2005 9:36:23 AM PDT by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of news)
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Comment #40 Removed by Moderator

To: wildweezel
No, because in your scenario in a few months gas would be 90 cents because you'd still have the gas tax. You can't escape the fact that the single LARGEST COMPONENT of the cost of a gallon of gas is NOT profit (very small) but taxes.
41 posted on 08/30/2005 10:01:03 AM PDT by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of news)
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Comment #42 Removed by Moderator

To: wildweezel

Uh huh. Keep on hating "big oil." Just what we need.


43 posted on 08/31/2005 5:39:33 AM PDT by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of news)
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Comment #44 Removed by Moderator

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