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Skip to comments.Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VIII
Posted on 08/29/2005 2:47:45 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Category 4 Hurricane Katrina is approaching landfall in Eastern Louisiana. At 4:00AM EDT the storm's center was about 90 miles south of New Orleans.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Lake Ponchartrain Real Time Water Level
Wind Speed Data
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Mobile Long Range Radar Loop
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Cut and Paste:
Fully-linked version of the live feeds (just in case a few people don't want to first open up WMP to cut-and-paste) -
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast
.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518 WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans via WESH-TV/DT Orlando - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38843.asx
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VII
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VI
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
|Category||Wind Speed||Barometric Pressure||Storm Surge||Damage Potential|
|< 39 mph
< 34 kts
|39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
|74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
|28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
|4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
|Minimal damage to vegetation|
|96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
|28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
|6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
|Moderate damage to houses|
|111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
|27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
|9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
|Extensive damage to small buildings|
|131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
|27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
|13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
|Extreme structural damage|
|Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
|Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
|Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
|Catastrophic building failures possible|
Just curious, I wonder about the nuke powerplant in Taft, LA which is in the storms path. I m surprized the Media hasn't glommed onto this.
For another hurricane link try www.hwn.org. Lower traffic than official govt. sites.
Better than several hours ago, for sure.
Yeah, we need to get someone to get out there to clean the lens off. Maybe Shep Smith can hop the Charles St. Streetcar and do us a favor :)
That's a lot of people, but still far fewer than the numbers I was hearing yesterday.
Not the best way to advertise a language course if you ask me. BA-RAT-TOE
Air Force recon has been investigating Katrina this morning and has reported some mechanical problems which has prevented making a complete assessment of the intensity in the northeast quadrant. However...flight-level winds of 132-134 kt have been reported in the southeast quadrant...while NOAA Doppler radar velocities from WFO Slidell exceeding 123 kt have been observed in the northeast quadrant between 12000-16000 ft. These wind values would support at least 125 kt surface winds. Although the central pressure has continued to increase and is now 915 mb...this would usually support about 145 kt surface. The initial intensity of 130 kt is a blend of these values.
The initial motion is 360/13. Katrina is moving northward around the western periphery of a large-scale mid- to upper-level ridge located over the Florida Peninsula and extending northwestward across the southeastern United States. The combination of the strong ridge and an approaching mid-level trough from the west should act to keep Katrina moving generally northward for the next 12 hours or so. By 24 hours...the hurricane is expected to turn northeastward as a stronger trough lifts out the system and transitions it into an extratropical low over the Great Lakes region. The official forecast track is just a little to the left of the previous track and is similar to the NHC model consensus.
Some fluctuations in intensity are possible right up until landfall occurs. However...it appears that Katrina will make landfall as a category 4 hurricane later this morning. The cloud pattern in satellite imagery has eroded on the west side due to dry air entrainment...and the eyewall has opened up to the south and southwest in radar imagery. However...the water remains quite warm underneath the center...and convection can easily redevelop and the eyewall close off again before landfall occurs. Some disruption of the circulation will occur once the center moves over southeastern Louisiana. However...the forecast track keeps the eye close enough to warm water near the Louisiana and Mississippi coasts. The upper-level outflow pattern remains quite impressive and even contains a rare 200 mb indraft anticyclone to the east near Tampa Bay. The combination of the outflow regime and the close proximity to warm water may be enough to keep Katrina a major hurricane when it reaches the Louisiana-Mississippi border area this afternoon. Just because Katrina is no longer a catgeory 5 hurricane does not mean that extensive damage and storm surge flooding will not occur. This is still an extremely dangerous and potentially deadly hurricane!
I saw an article that they had shut down an LA nuke plant in anticipation of the storm.
Nice website--if only I had seen it 20 minutes ago...
Shep is making me nervous. He is talking like NO has "dodged" the mother0fallstorms. I wish he wouldn't talk that way, for he might make Momma Nature want to show him who is boss...
I do hope he is right, but worry that he might be wish-casting.
Is he in NO?
Every little bit helps.
Said the same thing one the last thread.
Oops Drudge link Nuke Plant Shut Down is broken