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Skip to comments.Hurricane Ophelia Live Thread
Posted on 09/08/2005 1:46:25 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Ophelia is churning off the Florida Atlantic coast.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track Graphics, Satellite
Ophelia Track Forecast Archive
Buoy Data SE Florida
Storm Floater IR Loop
Melbourne FL Long Range Radar Loop
Melbourne Experimental Radar may experience delays or outages
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Ophelia Wind Field Graphic
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
|Category||Wind Speed||Barometric Pressure||Storm Surge||Damage Potential|
|< 39 mph
< 34 kts
|39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
|74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
|28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
|4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
|Minimal damage to vegetation|
|96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
|28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
|6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
|Moderate damage to houses|
|111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
|27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
|9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
|Extensive damage to small buildings|
|131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
|27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
|13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
|Extreme structural damage|
|Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
|Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
|Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
|Catastrophic building failures possible|
When did she upgrade?
Hurricane Ophelia update...
...Ophelia becomes the seventh hurricane of the season...still not moving...
At 5 PM EDT...2100z...the Tropical Storm Warning is extended southward to Sebastian Inlet Florida.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the East Coast of Florida from Sebastian Inlet northward to Flagler Beach. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours.
A tropical storm watch is in effect for the northeast Florida coast from north of Flagler Beach to Fernandina Beach. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area within the next 36 hours.
Interests elsewhere in northern and central Florida...and the southeastern United States coast...should monitor the progress of this system.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 5 PM EDT...2100z...the center of Hurricane Ophelia was located near latitude 28.6 north... longitude 79.5 west or about 70 miles east-northeast of Cape Canaveral Florida.
Ophelia is stationary and a slow northeastward motion may occur over the next 12 to 24 hours.
National Weather Service Doppler radar and Air Force hurricane hunter observations indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph...with higher gusts. Ophelia is a category one hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Some increase in strength is forecast during the next 24 hours.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles... 30 km... from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles...130 km.
The Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft reported a minimum central pressure of 985 mb...29.09 inches.
Ophelia is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches across portions of central and northern Florida.
Repeating the 5 PM EDT position...28.6 N... 79.5 W. Movement ...Stationary. Maximum sustained winds... 75 mph. Minimum central pressure... 985 mb.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 8 PM EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 11 PM EDT.
When Ophelia hits a predominitely white section of Florida or Georgia and FEMA is quicker to respond the Revs Jackson and Sharpton will shout "AHA!"
DIMS: "Don't cry for me Kyoto!"
Here we go!
I understand she's giving parts of Florida a good drenching. How is it where you're at?
Thanks much! Please keep me on your PING list.
yes.. AHA! republicans are more prepared them dems (duh)
Can you add me to your ping list? Thanks!
Yeah, they'll never consider it's because they have an organized, intelligent, Governor.
Time for location taglines!
Nary a drop over Tampa Bay, although notable increased cloudiness this afternoon as the storm grew. Air is remarkably still.
Actually, it is not going anywhere for 4-5 days.....
OY! Enough already, Lord! Please let this be the last one this year, and don't let it do damage to people and homes. The sand can be replaced.
Is it too early for a beer? ;-)
Oh Man! Been to a friend's funeral this morning, I could use some sunshine.
The sharks (MSM and JJ, Sharpton, Oprah) all waiting to see how JEB BUSH handles emergency, then blame W for how quick they got out to Florida.
I was just watching the local TV and they were showing all the local government employes who were in place ready to do whatever it is they do during and after the hurricane lands. You will note that this is Florida and not Louisiana.
can i be added to the ping list too? i've been following your threads since last year, you do an awesome job! - fellow tampa bay resident here (Land O Lakes actually)
Well I surely hope thats not the case. The longer she spins the meaner she will get!
Goodness. Another hurricane. Ophelia ... you're breaking my heart ...
Wesley Chapel here
We have a good breeze blowing here, but dry.
DIMS: "If Jeb doesn't make his people suffer like Blanco, then we know something is up. We will not be satisfied until a large amount of non-minorities die in FL."
This thing has killed our weather for several days now. Drenching rains off and on. Cloud cover 100%. No rain for a few hours now though.
Volusia county has already opened a shelter in Deland. Tropical storm force winds are forecast for right along the coast.
Indeed- the lovely Emily & I are keeping an eye on this one. Just noticed the very large pecan tree overhanging my workshop is stone dead, and I'll bet the local tree service guy is swamped now.
I saw some pictures of pretty significant beach erosion on the east coast.
Reminds me of Hurricane Elena, which sat in the Gulf, off the coast and just churned, caused all kinds of coastal problems without even making landfall in our area.
Nope, go ahead and I'll join you.
I just can't bear to imagine another hurricane.
Present. Go east Ophie.
Don't envy you at all with a stalled hurricane planted off the coast. Annoying, indeed.
OK...where's this b!tch goin'???
You find the cutest animated graphics!
Nauti, Once again you're on the ball. Thanks.
She's a couch potato at the moment. Just sittin' and feedin'.
"Please let this be the last one this year, and don't let it do damage to people and homes"
A local weather anchor was opining about how "close" we were to the end of the alphabet, and when we run out of letters, the next would be Hurricane Alpha.
Overkill, of course. But it did have a discomfiting Biblical ring to it.
Thanks, thats what I do when I don't sleep well at night. I "borrow" graphics.
Hell, I had 3 hurricanes come over my house last year. Where is my $6,000 debit card FEMA.
Keep us posted Nauti, I have been watching it all day and it seemed disorganized compared to yesterday and wham suddenly its a Cat 1. Jacksonville weather guy says it will move east and loop, but beyond next Tuesday they just don't know. Guess I can hold my breath till I turn blue? LOL!
Satellite links are at the top of the thread, under Images. You might also try the Navy Page above that for a still image.