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Arctic Ice Cap 'Will Disappear Within The Century'
The Telegraph (UK) ^ | 9-29-2005 | Roger Highfield

Posted on 09/28/2005 6:27:13 PM PDT by blam

Arctic ice cap 'will disappear within the century'

By Roger Highfield, Science Editor
(Filed: 29/09/2005)

The Arctic ice cap is on track to disappear within a century, according to a study published yesterday.

The satellite survey by the US National Snow and Ice Data Centre (NSIDC), and the space agency Nasa reveals that for the fourth consecutive year there has been "a stunning reduction" in Arctic sea ice at the end of the northern summer, placing species such as polar bears at risk.

The reduction in ice levels places Arctic wildlife at risk

The survey recorded the lowest sea-ice extent yet seen - 2.06 million square miles on Sept 19 - 20 per cent below the mean average September sea-ice extent from 1978 to 2001.

That is the equivalent of 500,000 square miles - an area about twice the size of Texas.

This year "will almost certainly surpass 2002 as the lowest amount of ice cover in more than a century", said Julienne Stroeve, of the Centre. If current rates of decline in sea ice continue, the summertime Arctic could be ice-free well before the end of this century.

A recent assessment of trends throughout the past century indicates that the current decline also exceeds past low ice periods in the 1930s and 1940s.

From 1979 until 2001, the rate of September decline was slightly more than 6.5 per cent a decade. In 2002, the trend steepened to 7.3 per cent and is now approximately 8 per cent.

Walt Meier, of NSIDC, said: "Having four years in a row with such low ice extents has never been seen before in the satellite record. It indicates a downward trend, not just a short-term anomaly."

Cooler winter temperatures allow the sea ice to "rebound" after summer melting. But with the exception of May 2005, every month since December 2004 has set a new record low ice extent for that month. The winter recovery of sea ice extent in the 2004-05 season was also the smallest observed by satellites.

"Even if sea ice retreated a lot one summer, it would make a comeback the following winter, when temperatures fall well below freezing," said Florence Fetterer, of NSIDC. "But in the winter of 2004-05, sea ice didn't approach the previous wintertime level."

Compared to the past half century, average surface air temperatures from January until August 2005, were up to 3C (5.4F) warmer than average across most of the Arctic Ocean. Since 2002, satellite records have also revealed that springtime melting is beginning unusually early north of Alaska and Siberia.

This summer, the Northwest Passage was open except for a 60-mile swath of scattered ice floes, a far cry from earlier centuries when expeditions were lost as their crews tried to beat through thick ice. The Northeast Passage, north of the Siberian coast, was ice-free from Aug 15 until Sept 28.

The Arctic may be caught in a feedback loop caused by global warming. As sea ice melts there is less to reflect the sun's radiation back into space and experts fear that the downward trend is reaching a point from which the ice will not recover.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: arctic; cap; century; disappear; ice; will; within
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1 posted on 09/28/2005 6:27:14 PM PDT by blam
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To: blam

Will that make it easier to drill for oil there? :p


2 posted on 09/28/2005 6:28:06 PM PDT by bahblahbah
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To: blam

Well good! I'm sick and tired of these long, cold winters up here. Tell those folks to call me when I'm sitting here at -50 and colder, with snow up to the windowsills. Seriesly, global warming is my friend. ;)


3 posted on 09/28/2005 6:29:36 PM PDT by Chena (I'm not young enough to know everything)
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To: blam

Whole new market for refrigerators.


4 posted on 09/28/2005 6:29:49 PM PDT by Zuben Elgenubi
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To: blam

Clear sailing!


5 posted on 09/28/2005 6:29:56 PM PDT by operation clinton cleanup
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To: bahblahbah
Will that make it easier to drill for oil there? :p

Practically my first thought, too. :)

6 posted on 09/28/2005 6:30:10 PM PDT by Recovering_Democrat (I am SO glad to no longer be associated with the party of Dependence on Government!)
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To: blam

Or, maybe it won't.


7 posted on 09/28/2005 6:30:12 PM PDT by Larry Lucido
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To: blam

The elusive NW Passage will be found.
Canada and USSR will be neighbors.


8 posted on 09/28/2005 6:30:33 PM PDT by golfisnr1 (Democrats are like roaches, hard to get rid of.>)
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To: blam
Nonsense. Not enough data to go on to draw this conclusion. Seeing how this is happening on both Mars and Pluto the assumption that man made global warming is the cause is just more Dogma spewed out by the Church of Junk Science. Sunspots cycles. Get over yourselves Ecofreaks. The universe does NOT revolve around you.
9 posted on 09/28/2005 6:30:47 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Don't get stuck on stupid now, reporters)
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To: blam
A similar article here.
10 posted on 09/28/2005 6:30:56 PM PDT by Izzy Dunne (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line.)
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To: blam

Get ready for more sightings of these in your town


11 posted on 09/28/2005 6:31:56 PM PDT by msnimje (Hurricane KATRINA - An Example of Nature's Enforcement of Eminent Domain)
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To: blam

OK, so the ice caps melt.

So what?

It wouldn't be the first time.


12 posted on 09/28/2005 6:33:33 PM PDT by A Balrog of Morgoth (With fire, sword, and stinging whip I drive the RINOs in terror before me.)
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To: blam

Does this mean that Santa Clause is a goner?


13 posted on 09/28/2005 6:34:03 PM PDT by NavyCaptain
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To: blam; Happy2BMe; Memother; chesty_puller; Bigun; JohnHuang2; mhking; 68-69TonkinGulfYachtClub; ...
Arctic Ice Cap 'Will Disappear Within The Century'

Better lose the jacket too !

Don't know about ya'll but i'm buying stock in boats and life jackets !

What a load of excrement
14 posted on 09/28/2005 6:34:06 PM PDT by ATOMIC_PUNK (secus acutulus exspiro ab Acheron bipes actio absol ab Acheron supplico)
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To: blam

Everybody wants to be a psychic. A bunch of Miss Cleos.


15 posted on 09/28/2005 6:35:18 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (We Gave Peace A Chance. It Didn't Work Out. Search keyword: 09-11-01.)
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To: blam

How are these elite "scientists" able to detect "global warming" while enduring such significant brain freeze?


16 posted on 09/28/2005 6:36:13 PM PDT by G Larry (Honor the fallen and the heroes of 9/11 at the Memorial Site.)
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To: blam

Ice caps melt. Sea level goes up. My house in central Florida is now ocean front property.

Sweet!


17 posted on 09/28/2005 6:38:01 PM PDT by Gator61
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To: blam
. If current rates of decline in sea ice continue, the summertime Arctic could be ice-free well before the end of this century.

"Having four years in a row with such low ice extents has never been seen before in the satellite record. It indicates a downward trend, not just a short-term anomaly."

This is meaningless garbage. If I hold my head under water for 15 minutes, I will drown. Satellite photos are available for how many climate cycles? Since this excites the environmentalist youth, I guess we know just how good our high school science courses really are.

18 posted on 09/28/2005 6:39:06 PM PDT by JimSEA
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To: blam

psst author of article: Next time you visit Yosemite National Park, those granite walls were carved by ice. Ice retreats...ice moves forward. It's part of the cycle of life on the planet. Get over it. Take a ride over Yosemite falls and go away.


19 posted on 09/28/2005 6:39:11 PM PDT by lexington minuteman 1775
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To: A Balrog of Morgoth

"So what?"


Not to suggest that it's happening but if it did, New York, Miami, LA, San Francisco and others would look like New Orleans does today.


20 posted on 09/28/2005 6:39:48 PM PDT by cripplecreek (Never a minigun handy when you need one.)
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To: blam

Northwest passage bump.


21 posted on 09/28/2005 6:39:56 PM PDT by 359Henrie
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To: Gator61
I hate to disappoint, but when floating ice melts, the liquid level does not change.
22 posted on 09/28/2005 6:41:11 PM PDT by Atlas Sneezed (Your FRiendly FReeper Patent Attorney)
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To: blam
Arctic ice cap 'will disappear within the century'

Good. I never liked it anyway.

23 posted on 09/28/2005 6:41:35 PM PDT by Jorge (Q)
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To: blam

So this means trade routes between North America and Asia can take advantage of the new ice-free zone?


24 posted on 09/28/2005 6:42:16 PM PDT by Junior (Some drink to silence the voices in their heads. I drink to understand them.)
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To: blam

Give me a B,Give me an S


25 posted on 09/28/2005 6:43:03 PM PDT by Boazo (From the mind of BOAZO)
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To: A Balrog of Morgoth

Believe it or not this may trigger a new ice age. Open water in the arctic ocean will cause the gulf stream to pump warm water into the arctic ocean which will increase snowfall over the northern latitudes.


26 posted on 09/28/2005 6:43:31 PM PDT by muskah
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To: blam

And if it keeps cooling off like it has since this afternoon, we'll all be dead in couple weeks.


27 posted on 09/28/2005 6:44:16 PM PDT by Monti Cello
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To: cripplecreek
if it did, New York, Miami, LA, San Francisco and others would look like New Orleans does today.


First, melting floating ice doe not affect sea level. Second, even if Antarctic or Greenlandic ice melted, I have a hunch that NYC and Miami would get around to building a few levees over the century in which the rise occurred. And they would be able to afford it, as long as the world economy had not been hobbled by Kyoto-like restrictions.
28 posted on 09/28/2005 6:44:24 PM PDT by Atlas Sneezed (Your FRiendly FReeper Patent Attorney)
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To: NavyCaptain

Our number one mission now...is to save Santa. If we have to relocate him...where? Could we set up a secret base of operations at the SuperDome...since it is vacant for the next couple of years? He needs plenty of secure operating grounds...and lots of grazing areas for his raindeer.


29 posted on 09/28/2005 6:44:51 PM PDT by pepsionice
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To: Beelzebubba

Whatever you say.


30 posted on 09/28/2005 6:45:30 PM PDT by cripplecreek (Never a minigun handy when you need one.)
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To: blam
Water expands when it is frozen. That's why ice cubes float in your scotch. If the ice cap melts the sea level will not increase but the ice cap's volume will decrease. therefore, there will be more beachfront property and Nawlin's might not be below sea level!!!

Polar Bears are adaptable and the tree line will move north so there will be more ply wood for home building. With more growing seasons due to the axis tilt the ptamigans will mate more and moose will eat more and moose turd production will increase significantly!

Unfortunately the melt will effect the pingos! But not Freeper pings!

Pingos

31 posted on 09/28/2005 6:46:06 PM PDT by Young Werther
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To: NavyCaptain

"Does this mean that Santa Clause is a goner?"

You mean George Bush killed Santa???


Oh NOOOOOOOOO


32 posted on 09/28/2005 6:46:32 PM PDT by Syntyr (From West Houston Galleria/Memorial area! Locked and Loaded)
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To: muskah
Believe it or not this may trigger a new ice age. Open water in the arctic ocean will cause the gulf stream to pump warm water into the arctic ocean which will increase snowfall over the northern latitudes.

So you mean the ice cap will naturally restore itself? Cool.

33 posted on 09/28/2005 6:46:50 PM PDT by Monti Cello
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To: bahblahbah

Well by then I'll be about 140 years old so it might be okay, old people like the heat. :P


34 posted on 09/28/2005 6:47:01 PM PDT by TheForceOfOne (It was a village of idiots that raised Hillary to Senator status.)
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To: blam

The poles are shifting and in 100 years or so, many European and East Asian countries will be covered by ice up to 1000 feet and more in spots. (/ArtBell)



35 posted on 09/28/2005 6:47:10 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ... "To remain silent when they should protest makes cowards of men." -- THOMAS JEFFERSON)
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To: bahblahbah
Will that make it easier to drill for oil there? :p

No. That will make it 'wetlands'!

36 posted on 09/28/2005 6:47:21 PM PDT by airborne (My hero - my nephew! Sean is home! Thank you God!)
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To: blam
The Arctic ice cap is on track to disappear within a century, according to a study published yesterday.

The world is on track to freeze by next month, at the rate that the temperature has dropped in the last hour.

37 posted on 09/28/2005 6:47:29 PM PDT by Rodney King (No, we can't all just get along.)
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To: blam

that'll teach banks to lend 100 year mortgages on the coast


38 posted on 09/28/2005 6:48:02 PM PDT by wardaddy (TOM DELAY IS MY HERO.....AUSTIN TEXAS GRAND JURY CAN KISS MY ASS)
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To: blam

I wonder if these are the same people who were predicting in the 1970s, with absolute certainty, that an Ice Age was coming. I wonder if any of these Kyoto-bots even remember that.


39 posted on 09/28/2005 6:48:18 PM PDT by Lizavetta
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To: Rodney King

We're looking at under 40 degrees for tomorrow night.


40 posted on 09/28/2005 6:50:06 PM PDT by cripplecreek (Never a minigun handy when you need one.)
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To: Beelzebubba

I've said that before, too. What apparently is the cause for concern is the land-locked ice, like on Greenland. But I still don't think there's enough to cause a scenario like "Waterworld."


41 posted on 09/28/2005 6:50:45 PM PDT by Marauder (The height of hypocrisy: Members of congress upset because someone lied to them.)
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To: Rodney King

lol....same logic exactly

and next may the world will be on track to self immolate by August 06


42 posted on 09/28/2005 6:50:46 PM PDT by wardaddy (TOM DELAY IS MY HERO.....AUSTIN TEXAS GRAND JURY CAN KISS MY ASS)
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To: TheForceOfOne

Oh well, in the immortal words of the Liberals favorite economist John Maynard Keynes, " In the long run, we're all dead."


43 posted on 09/28/2005 6:50:52 PM PDT by appleharvey
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To: Gator61
You have a problem if and only if Antarctica's ice melts. Arctic sea ice can melt without raising ocean levels ~

Best bet for me, though, is to have all the ice melt ~ I will live about a block and a half from Chesapeake Bay in that case, with a magnificent view!

44 posted on 09/28/2005 6:51:25 PM PDT by muawiyah (/ hey coach do I gotta' put in that "/sarcasm " thing again? How'bout a double sarcasm for this one)
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To: blam
Now liberal junk science can churn out another disaster flick flatly to contradict the winter wonderland of "The Day After Tomorrow" and the nuclear winter that was bound to follow "The Day After" when Jason Robards started losing his hair. :-( Not to worry, however! There really is no contradiction - because the next ice age will occur precipitously AFTER global warming starts to flood the world's coastlines - the day BEFORE the day after tomorrow. The Discovery Channel featured a documentary that predicted a 10-year turn of events, so there! And let us not forget the Southern Hemisphere and ask - what good are they?!;-) I'm on pain medication of sorts right now so please ignore me. How's my spelling?:-0
45 posted on 09/28/2005 6:51:51 PM PDT by albertp (Malice in Blunderland, The Wizard of Odd, Gullible's Troubles! Steal the wealth, spread the poverty.)
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To: airborne
They specifically said the arctic so there won't be any land underneath.
46 posted on 09/28/2005 6:52:05 PM PDT by bahblahbah
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To: MNJohnnie
My thought exactly! The last four years out of only 27
they see a reduction of 20 percent on a satellite survey.
Which satellite(s)?

I guess it's time to buy some cheap beach-front property
in Macon! /sarc

47 posted on 09/28/2005 6:52:39 PM PDT by higgmeister (In the shadow of The Big Chicken)
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To: A Balrog of Morgoth

'zackly. 'shappened before.


48 posted on 09/28/2005 6:52:51 PM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks (Troubled by NOLA looting ? You ain't seen nothing yet.)
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To: bahblahbah
They specifically said the arctic so there won't be any land underneath.

That won't matter to the environmental whackos!

49 posted on 09/28/2005 6:54:38 PM PDT by airborne (My hero - my nephew! Sean is home! Thank you God!)
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To: blam

I bet Polar Bear steaks are good eatin'.


50 posted on 09/28/2005 6:55:00 PM PDT by Fester Chugabrew
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