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The GOP Could Lose in '06 - Have congressional Republicans lost their way? ~ John Fund
Opinion Journal ^ | October 3, 2005 | John Fund

Posted on 10/03/2005 3:37:30 AM PDT by Elle Bee

The GOP Could Lose in '06


Have congressional Republicans lost their way?

With Rep. Tom DeLay's forced departure as majority leader, Newt Gingrich says, the Republican Party stands at a crossroads as important as any it has faced since nominating Ronald Reagan for president in 1980. "It must decide if it is going to be a party that fundamentally reforms government or one that merely presides over existing institutions and spends more money," he says. Which path the GOP now takes may determine not only how much damage it suffers in next year's elections but also whether it can hold the White House in 2008.

(Excerpt) Read more at opinionjournal.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Editorial; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 109th; 2006; arrogance; blindness; elections; gop; spendspendspend
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1 posted on 10/03/2005 3:37:30 AM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: Elle Bee; 4CJ
With Rep. Tom DeLay's forced departure as majority leader, Newt Gingrich says, the Republican Party stands at a crossroads as important as any it has faced since nominating Ronald Reagan for president in 1980. "It must decide if it is going to be a party that fundamentally reforms government or one that merely presides over existing institutions and spends more money," he says

As I've repeated since 2001, Mrs. Clinton has been set up to resume power for the oligarchy!

W is set up to be taken down by these totally bogus gas prices, which is gearing us towards a recession, combined with a change of power at the top of the Fed Reserve in 2006 with Dr. Greenspan's departure.

Newt--

2 posted on 10/03/2005 3:47:29 AM PDT by NameItClaimIt (Birkenstocks, Subarus, and Tree-hugging)
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To: Elle Bee

They don't call the GOP the stupid party for nothin'.


3 posted on 10/03/2005 3:59:41 AM PDT by jjm2111 (99.7 FM Radio Kuwait)
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To: jjm2111
I think the party mascot, Feckless the Elephant, says it all

The party of Lincoln also includes Chris Shays, Arlen Specter, Olympia Snow and John McCain

We need not look beyond our own tent to find the enemy

.

4 posted on 10/03/2005 4:05:49 AM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: jjm2111

I wouldnt call the GOP stupid, but I would certainly call its politicians cowardly. They havent the courage to stand up when they are right and they havent the courage to defend themselves. Its hard for me to understand what happens when a politicians gnads shrink.


5 posted on 10/03/2005 4:29:42 AM PDT by sgtbono2002
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To: Elle Bee

Fair weather friends...

The GOP is set to win a few more Democrat seats in 2006. The fundamental political climate in our country hasn't changed any in the past few months. By next year's elections, 2005 will be a distant memory for most voters, and only the high lights will be remembered, if inaccurately.

Katrina - People are going to remember the hurricane hit and that FEMA messed up (even if they didn't). They'll also remember that other states were hit and none of the devolved to the level of Louisiana's New Orleans. They'll remember the outrageous $250B spending bill proposed by Louisiana's legislators, for just their state. Essentially Louisiana is saying, "screw every body else, we want the biggest slice of the pie."

Rita - People are going to remember the President's leadership during the hurricane, and how the effects of the hurricane were mitigated by excellent cooperation between all levels of government; and then they're going to contrast that to Katrina and Louisiana. Something fishy there.... government doesn't alter itself in a short span of a few weeks, so nothing really different could've changed in FEMA between Katrina and Rita.

Iraq - By this time next year Iraq will have a constitution. Violence will probably be on the downslide, and we will probably be withdrawing troops as more Iraqi forces become 100% independent combat ready. The President will be proven correct in his policy, and people will remember that... many of them will claim to have never doubted the President, and will vote for someone who supports a strong and proactive foreign policy.

Korea - By this time next year, we will probably have Korea by the balls. The multilateral talks will probably have succeeded in gaining major concessions as this winter wears on. North Korea is bad shape in regards to food and medicine and winters there are probably horrendous.

Iran - Iran will still be on the horizon, but successes in Iraq will take the edge of the voters in our country, and people will be more likely to favor the President's position against Iran.

I don't expect any terrorist attacks on our soil in the next year, or the year after that. Al Qaeda's financial and communication network suffered serious blows after 9/11. The Feds are getting a data mining facility up and running and they're probably going to be catching more cells on our domestic soil as time continues, and people are alert for the odd behavior and report that to the FBI. While the Feds may be restricted from profiling, we aren't.

2006 will be another victory for Republicans, and it will start during this next session of Congress, where the issues near and dear to our hearts will be pushed to the top of the agenda. The conservative appointments to the Supreme Court being one, and tax and social security reform being second. I expect to see these reforms on the docket this session, and any filibustering by Democrats will only ensure their electoral defeat next year November.


No, nothing has really changed in our country. Not yet at least.


6 posted on 10/03/2005 4:31:47 AM PDT by coconutt2000 (NO MORE PEACE FOR OIL!!! DOWN WITH TYRANTS, TERRORISTS, AND TIMIDCRATS!!!! (3-T's For World Peace))
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To: Elle Bee

Naysayer Newt. Is he related to Hillary Chameleon?


7 posted on 10/03/2005 4:35:40 AM PDT by PGalt
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To: coconutt2000

I agree wit all of your points. I just wish the GOP would do more to counter the media..


8 posted on 10/03/2005 4:37:53 AM PDT by cardinal4 (No more catchy taglines-The Left just plain sucks...)
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To: coconutt2000

As a matter of fact, if you look at the districts around the country it's easy to see us picking up 3 4 or 5 Congressional seat, net. In the senate we will pick up 2 or 3 and probably a net plus 2. These people should get out of Washington DC once in a while.


9 posted on 10/03/2005 5:17:51 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (The quisling ratmedia: always eager to remind us of why we hate them.)
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To: Elle Bee

Pork, Border and Gas prices. I don't see Republicans winning anything.


10 posted on 10/03/2005 5:23:36 AM PDT by dalebert
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To: Elle Bee
Have congressional Republicans lost their way?

Based upon our RINO President's picks for SCOTUS, I would say that REPUBLICANS have lost their way. Disgusting.
11 posted on 10/03/2005 5:24:56 AM PDT by safisoft (Give me Torah!)
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To: Elle Bee

The problem is that we have too many RINOs and former Democrats, not enough leadership.




One of Bush's biggest mistakes was in selecting someone for the VP slot who will not succeed him. If he'd picked an heir, we would not be hearing the sound of a toilet flush.


12 posted on 10/03/2005 5:39:00 AM PDT by Brilliant
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To: Elle Bee


13 posted on 10/03/2005 5:40:31 AM PDT by looky hear
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To: Elle Bee

"It must decide if it is going to be a party that fundamentally reforms government or one that merely presides over existing institutions and spends more money,"

I think we already have that answer. Neither party can be trusted to hold down spending.


14 posted on 10/03/2005 6:12:15 AM PDT by Blood of Tyrants (G-d is not a Republican. But Satan is definitely a Democrat.)
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To: Elle Bee

I totally agree with Mr Fund's analysis ecept fot one thing. I do not think the GOP will lose the House in '06.
I thought they would hold both Senate and the House, but I am now starting to think they they may lose the Senate. Too many Conservatives will either sit this one out or vote third party.
In '08, I believe they will lose both the Senate and the Presidency, but maybe hold the house by a very slim margin and by '10 and no later than '12 the Democrats are back in control of everything.
So Bush better get everything done he can between now and November 2006.


15 posted on 10/03/2005 6:42:47 AM PDT by Bar-Face (The Embassy helicopter is warming up.)
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I have been saying this all along... the GOP will lose heavily in 2006.


16 posted on 10/03/2005 6:45:30 AM PDT by oolatec
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To: Elle Bee

My question about the party is: what happened to the Contract with America? It was winner and as long as the Republicans seemed to honor it they won but it seems to be a thing of the distant past.


17 posted on 10/03/2005 6:47:50 AM PDT by engrpat
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To: Elle Bee


18 posted on 10/03/2005 6:49:10 AM PDT by looky hear
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To: Elle Bee

Charle's Cook is much more election savvy than Fund. He thinks it would be extremely difficult for the Dems to win back the House in 06.


19 posted on 10/03/2005 6:50:27 AM PDT by zook
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To: zook

Now, hold on, I didn't mean the guy who cooks for Charles! Dumb typo alert!


20 posted on 10/03/2005 6:51:17 AM PDT by zook
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To: Elle Bee
Have congressional Republicans lost their way?

Did they ever know the way?

21 posted on 10/03/2005 6:51:38 AM PDT by TBP
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To: coconutt2000
Exactly right. Lemme repeat my record for 2002 and 2004 House and Senate races: I got the House about right; I nailed the Senate in BOTH elections with 2 exceptions (Thune in 2002---which was by a few hundred votes and Coors in 2004, which was close). My record is far better than Larry Sabato.

And I predict that the GOP will slightly extend its margin in the House (1-2) and pick up a Senate seat, maybe two.

22 posted on 10/03/2005 7:04:35 AM PDT by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of news)
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To: NameItClaimIt

I can't figure out from what you posted if that is what you are saying or what Newt is saying. Either way, I agree with one of you.


23 posted on 10/03/2005 7:11:05 AM PDT by penowa
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To: NameItClaimIt
G. H. W. Bush.
W. J. Clinton
W. J. Clinton
G. W. Bush
G. W. Bush
H. R. Clinton
H. R. Clinton
J. E. Bush [Jeb]
J. E. Bush
C. V. Clinton (Chelsea]
C. V. Clinton

No pattern there at all.

It would have helped if GHW or GW had had a spine, or if GW had even VETOED some legislation, instead of rubber stamping CFR etc. Two stealth picks to the court don't help. W proved he's no Reagan. Reagan had a spine, was hated by dims, and almost killed for his beliefs. W is good friends with Kennedy and Clinton.

But you nailed it, gas prices artificially up thanks to dems, along with myriad other "bad" events blamed on W [as if he were God and controlled hurricanes], unimaginable socialized programs, and NOW the Dims want to been seen as the party of fiscal responsibility? 'pubbies have already alienated millions of true conservatives, Christians etc - what genius swapped them for Hispanic votes with schemes of amnesty?

The media knocks conservatives every chance they get and set up H. Clinton as the saviour via the 'West Wing', I think we'll see more 3rd party candidates next election cycle. PS. IMHO, most decisions will now be 6-3 or 7-2. I changed my name for a reason.

24 posted on 10/03/2005 7:22:03 AM PDT by 4CJ (Tu ne cede malis!)
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To: 4CJ

Wow, this is a defeatist whiny thread.


25 posted on 10/03/2005 7:43:17 AM PDT by ottersnot (Kill a commie for your mommie....Johnnie Ramone. American Rocker and patriot)
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To: penowa
"I can't figure out from what you posted if that is what you are saying or what Newt is saying. Either way, I agree with one of you."

My "Newt--" was a tip of the hat to him. For you and I and our children the next Chairman of the Federal Reserve will be ex potentially more important to us than the next Supreme Court--in the real world...

26 posted on 10/03/2005 8:30:00 AM PDT by NameItClaimIt (Birkenstocks, Subarus, and Tree-hugging)
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To: 4CJ
And HGW was VPOTUS, and before that head of the CIA...

In a dream world Newt would make his comeback =-(

27 posted on 10/03/2005 8:36:38 AM PDT by NameItClaimIt (Birkenstocks, Subarus, and Tree-hugging)
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To: sgtbono2002

Ok, you're right, the GOP is cowardly. But it is also stupid. Why does GWB consistently push and expound FDR/LBJ style big government when it has been shown not to work? Whose votes is he buying? Not the base, that's for sure.


28 posted on 10/03/2005 9:30:15 AM PDT by jjm2111 (99.7 FM Radio Kuwait)
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To: engrpat

My question about the party is: what happened to the Contract with America? It was winner and as long as the Republicans seemed to honor it they won but it seems to be a thing of the distant past.







The GOP leadership lost its nerve following the government shut down that was a result of the confrontation between the House GOP and the Clinton Administration over the "Contract With America" agenda.


29 posted on 10/03/2005 10:49:34 AM PDT by rob777
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To: Elle Bee

Personally, I'm getting tired of gritting my teeth and banging my head against the wall.


30 posted on 10/03/2005 3:28:47 PM PDT by nosofar
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To: ottersnot
Wow, this is a defeatist whiny thread.

We're venting. It's very therapeutic. :)

31 posted on 10/03/2005 3:34:28 PM PDT by nosofar
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Comment #32 Removed by Moderator

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