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Could Wilma, Alpha Merge to Create a Super Storm?

Posted on 10/22/2005 6:51:32 PM PDT by gusopol3

The atmosphere as of Saturday holds potential for the development of a powerful storm off the Atlantic Seaboard of the United States early next week. While this would be true to some extent without the existence of Hurricane Wilma and the newly-dubbed Tropical Storm Alpha, which represent a great reservoir of tropical warmth and moisture, it only ratchets up the potential. Two players here are key. First, a sharply dipping jet stream will be thrusting southward from central Canada and tapping a cold pool to spin up low pressure south of the Great Lakes Sunday and Monday. The other player, none other than Hurricane Wilma, will pull away from Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula in time for a crossing of the Florida Peninsula Monday. It is Monday night and Tuesday when things could get crazy in the meteorological sense. The strong northeast-trending jet stream will scoop up Wilma, with possible contribution from Alpha, as the low shifts from the Appalachians to the coast. If Wilma were to follow the western edges of its forecast window and begin to draw in the cool low from the west, an explosive deepening could result, culminating in a deep and fully merged storm raging south of Nova Scotia Wednesday. While this is not the most likely scenario, it is one that is in the realm of possibility. This is what could happen Monday night and Tuesday if our Worst Case Scenario came to pass. Heavy, driving rains and gales would pound the Seaboard from North Carolina to southern New England. As the rains spread northwards and the storm tapped the cold pole from the west, rain would turn to heavy wet snow over the inland Northeast. Keep checking back with us at AccuWeather.com Weather Headlines to see what the latest is on this interesting, even serious, weather situation.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: weather
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To: Popman

Yes, one of the storms will be unemployed, and the one that is still storming will outsource customer service to a place where people will assume names that sound American when you call.


61 posted on 10/23/2005 5:51:01 AM PDT by Bernard (You can either deal with your situation or be a liberal about it.)
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To: lmr

The "Perfect Storm" actually happened!! Several years ago around Halloween. No snow though.....


62 posted on 10/23/2005 5:51:51 AM PDT by MrLee
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To: gusopol3
"It's global warming, I tell you..."


63 posted on 10/23/2005 5:56:01 AM PDT by Bon mots
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To: leadpenny
Bumping this thread as Joe Bastardi of AccuWeather is more sure this morning (than he was even yesterday) that Wilma and Alpha will merge, resulting in BAM BAM superstorm that will affect the Northeast tomorrow night into Wednesday.

Joe will get more details up later today but for now, he is saying gale force winds on the mid-Atlantic coast with hurricane force gusts of wind on the New England south coast. He predicts that Alpha will get sucked up by Wilma heading up the coast tomorrow and cause a "rogue" superstorm with heavy "tree-breaking" snows in the Northeast interior all the way down to interior PA.

64 posted on 10/23/2005 7:09:14 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (What Would Howard Roarke Do?)
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To: leadpenny
This is the projected scenario for the marriage of Wilma and Alpha.


65 posted on 10/23/2005 7:56:27 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (What Would Howard Roarke Do?)
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To: MrLee
Once Wilma departs Florida, the story is far from over. Here is latest from Joe Bastardi's blog. I am not permitted to post his blog verbatim as it is subscription only, but I don't think he'll mind me posting this teaser:

SUNDAY 11:15 AM A post on the severe situation along the east coast will be here shortly afternoon, providing I dont get killed doing my leg workout the next half hour. However let me say this. I think ALPHA is going to come out and INTENSIFY tonight and tomorrow. When I see systems whole overall cloud pattern IMPROVES over land, even though the low level center has been disrupted, that is a problem. But more on this later.

I'll post some info from his blog later on today but basically he is calling for a rogue superstorm off the East Coast Monday night through Wednesday which will result in hurricane force gusts of wind on the SE New England Coast and a windswept "tree killing" snowstorm in the interior of New England all the way down to central PA. I live on the edge of the projected rain/snow line and it is currently 42 degrees and overcast where I am right now.

Here is weather map of what is projected to unfold.

66 posted on 10/23/2005 8:30:30 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (What Would Howard Roarke Do?)
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To: lmr

But I think the book/movie was based on a real event.


67 posted on 10/23/2005 8:33:34 AM PDT by FrdmLvr
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To: gusopol3

is this the part of the thread where we start talking about dropping atomic bombs on them to stop them?


68 posted on 10/23/2005 8:35:15 AM PDT by InvisibleChurch (The search for someone to blame is always successful. - Robert Half)
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To: TheLion

Why wouldn't the hurricane just keep going in a straight line? It looks like it ricocets off that land mass and turns to the east. I didn't think they did that.


69 posted on 10/23/2005 8:37:02 AM PDT by FrdmLvr
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To: InvisibleChurch

My latest favorite was: why can't we tow an iceburg to cool down the ocean and air?


70 posted on 10/23/2005 8:38:11 AM PDT by bonfire (dwindler)
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To: SamAdams76
/tinfoil hat on

Well, one thing might be certain.

If these hurricanes are not being stimulated by the big weather machine, they sure are providing statistical datum for any potential adversary to gauge US response time and reaction capacities to such events, if somebody did engage the big weather machine.

/tinfoil hat off .. or at least askew

71 posted on 10/23/2005 8:48:04 AM PDT by Cvengr (<;^))
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To: cavanman

No, not at all... was just trying to lighten the mood a bit, but guess it didn't work very well.


72 posted on 10/23/2005 8:53:41 AM PDT by jacquej
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To: jacquej

Okay, then: these two Freepers walk into a bar…


73 posted on 10/23/2005 9:14:03 AM PDT by solitas (So what if I support an OS that has fewer flaws than yours? 'Mystic' dual 500 G4's, OSX.4.2)
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To: FrdmLvr

I think they are guided by air pressure.


74 posted on 10/23/2005 9:24:54 AM PDT by TheLion
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To: SamAdams76

Wow, I hope that sucker stays out at sea.


75 posted on 10/23/2005 9:25:38 AM PDT by leadpenny
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To: leadpenny
Here is latest snow/rain line projections. I live right on the edge of this (northwest Massachusetts). Currently is it 43 degrees and cloudy here. Last year I could not rake my autumn leaves on account of early snows. I had constant snow cover from November to early April. I think there might be a repeat this year!


76 posted on 10/23/2005 9:33:22 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (What Would Howard Roarke Do?)
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To: SamAdams76
So what you're saying is I should go out and make sure we have plenty of milk and bread...and firewood!

I live in SE PA.)

77 posted on 10/23/2005 9:38:34 AM PDT by Malacoda (Islam = deranged, evil suicide cult)
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To: Malacoda

. . . and T.P.


78 posted on 10/23/2005 9:42:44 AM PDT by leadpenny
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To: SamAdams76

Mid week's gonna be a bear.


79 posted on 10/23/2005 9:44:14 AM PDT by leadpenny
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To: leadpenny
Aw, crap. :)

Seriously, though -- that sort of rain is going to suck. Especially considering that I have to teach a course down at CHOP, and that means an eleven-block hike between Suburban Station and the hospital. And, of course, my beloved Brandywine will flood all over the place...

80 posted on 10/23/2005 9:55:53 AM PDT by Malacoda (Islam = deranged, evil suicide cult)
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