If America invades Iran: Price of oil per barrel will approach $150, warns Iranian diplomat

http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2005\10\27\story_27-10-2005_pg7_36 ^

[oceanagirl]

To all of you who believe that any Iranian actions would be short lived,

I thought about that, too, and believe me, I hope that you are right. The thing that gives me pause is the war game scenario in the Gulf in which the military officer commanding the defending forces did serious damage to the invaders with extremely creative, low-tech methods.

I don't think that the Iranians are stupid, and you can be sure that their best minds have been working on this for years. I think that they could cause many more problems than currently contemplated, although I believe that we will prevail in the end.

I also wonder whether such an attack would ignite Shiite Arabs living in the oil producing regions of Iraq, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia to sabotage on the oil fields and processing areas.

If we should take Syria, we might be able to begin rejuvenating pipelines to Israel and to the Mediterranean through Syria. There might also be the possibility of vehicular transport of crude or refined products. That is if sabotage could be curtailed.

There are many, many variables here, and I believe that the U.S. must contemplate all scenarios.

[jec41]

Do the Iranians really have that much control over prices?

They have the second largest oil reserves in the world.

[BlackVeil]

but make no mistake that at the very least Russia will help ensure it ...

Insightful. The role of Russia has been forgotten by most commentators, but they have strategic interests in the region - always did.

[longtermmemmory]

translation: Iran's thug cult knows they will loose.


they have an educated populace that WANTS them gone.

[hope]

No...The are trying to get ahead in the propaganda war.

[Capt. Tom]

Definition: Oil production figures for the year 2002.

Amount
1. Saudi Arabia 8.711 million bbl/day (2001 est.)
2. Russia 7.286 million bbl/day (2001 est.)
3. Iran 3.804 million bbl/day (2001 est.)
4. Mexico 3.59 million bbl/day (2001 est.)
5. Norway 3.408 million bbl/day (2001 est.)
6. China 3.3 million bbl/day (2001 est.)
7. Canada 2.738 million bbl/day (2001 est.)
8. Kuwait 2.27 million bbl/day (2003 est.)
9. Nigeria 2.256 million bbl/day (2001 est.)
10. Iraq 2.2 million bbl/day; note - prewar production was 2.8 million bbl/day (January 2004 est.)
11. Brazil 1.561 million bbl/day (2001 est.)
12. Algeria 1.52 million bbl/day (2001 est.)
13. Indonesia 1.451 million bbl/day (2001 est.)
14. Libya 1.429 million bbl/day (2001 est.)
15. Oman 963,800 bbl/day (2001 est.)
16. Qatar 864,200 bbl/day (2001 est.)
17. Egypt 816,900 bbl/day (2001 est.)
18. Kazakhstan 798,200 bbl/day (2001 est.)
19. Angola 742,400 bbl/day (2001 est.)
20. India 732,400 bbl/day (2001 est.)
21. Australia 731,000 bbl/day (2001 est.)
22. Malaysia 690,000 bbl/day (2003 est.)
23. Colombia 614,400 bbl/day (2001 est.)
24. Ecuador 421,200 bbl/day (2001 est.)
25. Denmark 346,200 bbl/day (2001 est.)

[El Gato]

In an invasion scenario this woul be a very short term threat.

Even in a bombing campaign scenario, the Sunburns, or at least their targeting systems, wouldn't last long either. Even a guy in fishing boat with a radio to call in the targets is not going to be there for long.

Of marginally more concern would be the Kilo subs the Iranians got from the Russians. It's not a good area for sub hunting, especially diesel electrics on batteries... but then they have to come up before long, at least to snort their diesels to recharge those batteries, and when they do, Orion will be waiting.

[Jalapeno]

We have been planning the invasion of Iran ever since the Shah was kicked out in the Carter years, probably before that.

[sgtbono2002]

Scvrew them ragheads , drop the big one on them. If the rest want some we have plenty.

[penowa]

The voice of the Teheran gov't may be right on this one - $ 150/barrel oil. What they don't seem to realize is that's because their oil along with their country might be glowing for 150 yrs. since we're a bit shorthanded when it comes to putting boots on the ground and would be forced to use what's left in the inventory.

[TET1968]

"Hmm...$150/gal to drop the hammer on a few of those arrogant SOB's? There must be a negative side to this..."

A free Iraqi people, like America who gave them their freedom, has a responsibility to support an Iranian revolution.
Not even Tom Clancy could have envisioned American, Isralie and Iraqi jets bombing the crap out of Iran.

[Toespi]

Precisely, they won't be selling much oil will they? Fortuntely because of our President, we own a country in the Middle East, we are Iran's neighbors and we own an oil rich country.

[SierraWasp]

Like your handle!

Don't you think this is the kind of crappola were gonna continue to get from Iran for being so tender and kind to Iraq and staying so far away from outright taking enough oil to actually finance their liberation from a tyrant???

I mean Iran has been sticken their oily finger in our eye ever since Jimmy Carter floundered and fumbled everything to do with the middle east... geeze!!! This is getting really and disgustingly serious!!! Something is going to have to be DONE that supercedes endless, useless and dishonest diplomacy!!!

[tubebender]

When I come back as the King/Queen of this great Republic I will appoint you Ambassador to Oz and Keeper of the Ashes of Jimma

[uncbob]

All this is the result of having a militray that has been weakened too much and a foreign policy under Clinton and Carter that got us here

[NickatNite2003]

I agree...time to bite the bullet...take the medicine
as it is...

[SierraWasp]

No way, Jose!!! I don't want anythin ta do with that creepy lil peanut farmin Commie!!! Pssssssss on 'em!!! (don't give him no raincoat, neither!)

[A CA Guy]

Iran is one country where I wouldn't mind us going in, cleaning out and using their oil fields to pay ourselves back.

[NickatNite2003]

Death to Khamenei!
DEath to the Mullahs!
Death to Khamenei!
Death to the Mullahs!
Death to Khamenei!
DEath to the Mullahs!
Death to Khamenei!
Death to the Mullahs!
Death to Khamenei!
DEath to the Mullahs!
Death to Khamenei!
DEath to the Mullahs!

[NickatNite2003]

Another thing is Libyias production is about
to dramatically ramp up, now that it is free
to buy new equipment, enter into deals with big
oil companies, develop their oil fields, many
who have lain undeveloped since the 80's...