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Early Line On Fall Vote: Unpredictable [Chris Shays: “Republicans will pay a penalty."]
The Hartford Courant ^ | January 2, 2006 | By DAVID LIGHTMAN

Posted on 01/02/2006 5:28:38 AM PST by johnny7

Volatile Issues - Iraq, Bush's Standing, Economy - Could Steer Election

WASHINGTON -- Keep an eye on gasoline prices, President Bush's popularity and progress in Iraq. Each could jolt this fall's congressional contests in what looks like one of the most unpredictable nonpresidential elections in a long time.

In recent mid-terms, incumbents usually coasted - 98 percent of House members were re-elected in 1998, and 96 percent won in 2002. This year, though, Democrats see the rare chance to make the election a nationwide referendum on Bush, the Republican-led Congress and the war, and they have been relentless in pushing that agenda. "The Republican Congress has spent all of its time and energy catering to special interests, not seeing to the priorities of the American people," said Rep. Rahm Emanuel, D-Ill., chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. "The 2006 elections will be about the American people choosing change over the status quo and choosing a new direction over the same old special interest-driven agenda that has gotten us to where we are today."

(Excerpt) Read more at courant.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 109th; 2006; rinoshays; shays

1 posted on 01/02/2006 5:28:39 AM PST by johnny7
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To: johnny7

It seems that just before every election we are treated to the same prediction - "The nation is turning to the left" or "The times they are a-changing." Just wishful thinking for the Dems!


2 posted on 01/02/2006 5:35:33 AM PST by onevoter
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To: johnny7

Democrats will be sending memos to the NYT's to print how high gas prices could hurt Republican campaigns... The stories should hit the news stands in late September, giving the terrorists, Iran, and Venezuela time to adjust their output or to attack oil infrastructure to reduce output in order to raiser prices.


3 posted on 01/02/2006 5:37:14 AM PST by coconutt2000 (NO MORE PEACE FOR OIL!!! DOWN WITH TYRANTS, TERRORISTS, AND TIMIDCRATS!!!! (3-T's For World Peace))
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To: johnny7

If the election is, as the MSM says, "unpredictable," you can bet the Republicans are going to pick up seats. Again.


4 posted on 01/02/2006 5:37:42 AM PST by Reactionary (The Liberal Social Order is a Hedonistic Idiocy)
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To: onevoter

They DO love their circle-jerks!


5 posted on 01/02/2006 5:38:24 AM PST by johnny7 (“Iuventus stultorum magister”)
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To: onevoter
The blue states will get bluer, the red states redder with each election cycle in the foreseeable future. Red states win more electoral votes, game over.
6 posted on 01/02/2006 5:50:27 AM PST by quantim (The Senate proves itself daily as the flagrant flaw in the Constitution.)
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To: johnny7

You have to wonder why Shays doesn't just resign and move to Quebec.


7 posted on 01/02/2006 5:50:33 AM PST by Chi-townChief
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To: coconutt2000

You hit the nail on the head. The real challenge will be the media. Note how Bush gets bad marks for a strong economy.

I don't like that the phrase "domestic spying" is allowed to go unchallenged. We need to start calling it "terrorist spying."

The media is the major enemy.


8 posted on 01/02/2006 5:53:07 AM PST by Patriot from Philly
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To: Chi-townChief

His manner is more suited for Brokeback Mountain.


9 posted on 01/02/2006 5:53:47 AM PST by johnny7 (“Iuventus stultorum magister”)
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To: johnny7
Can anyone out there tell me the difference between a Christopher Shays and a Christopher Dodd?

IMHO, Both Shays and the Republican party would be better off if he switched parties. And took about 3/4 of that northeast liberal bunch with him.
10 posted on 01/02/2006 6:09:31 AM PST by Long Distance Rider
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To: johnny7
Can anyone out there tell me the difference between a Christopher Shays and a Christopher Dodd?

IMHO, Both Shays and the Republican party would be better off if he switched parties. And took about 3/4 of that northeast liberal bunch with him.
11 posted on 01/02/2006 6:10:39 AM PST by Long Distance Rider
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To: Long Distance Rider

Dodd is a fighter... Shays is a milquetoast.


12 posted on 01/02/2006 6:16:26 AM PST by johnny7 (“Iuventus stultorum magister”)
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To: johnny7
"The Republican Congress has spent all of its time and energy catering to special interests, not seeing to the priorities of the American people," said Rep. Rahm Emanuel, D-Ill., chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee

I'll bet Rahm just can't see the irony in this statement.

13 posted on 01/02/2006 6:18:17 AM PST by CaptRon (Pedecaris alive or Raisuli dead)
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To: onevoter

I agree 100%! Every election cycle is the same. Dems going to do well Republicans in trouble. Conservatives too far to the right in trouble. The morning after the election the MSM can only say not again I thought we spun everything perfect for the Dems too. Republicans gain seats.


14 posted on 01/02/2006 6:24:46 AM PST by badgerbengal (close the border and open fire.)
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To: johnny7

You can read these types of junk stories almost any day of the year. I say "almost" because the only exception is the day after election day when the Pubbies gain once again and the Rats lose as usual.


15 posted on 01/02/2006 6:31:13 AM PST by BlueYonder
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To: johnny7

Well, if the Nation is about to turn left, RINO Shays has certainly positioned himself for the change. I used to think he was one of the dumbest members of Congress, though there is so much competition today, that may no longer be the case. In any event, both his IQ and his politics will fit well on the other side of the aisle.


16 posted on 01/02/2006 6:57:42 AM PST by blau993 (Labs for love; .357 for Security.)
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To: blau993

I get tired of things like this "The Republican Congress has spent all of its time and energy catering to special interests." There are no interests other than special interests, and my interests are the most special to me.


17 posted on 01/02/2006 7:02:22 AM PST by ClaireSolt (.)
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To: BlueYonder
So what is the dem platform this time. In 2000 it was "I'm not Clinton. I'm my own man. Whaaa Whaaa." Then in 2002 it was "The 2000 election was stolen." In 2004 it was "I'm not Bush and by the way Bush lied and stole the 2000 election." I'm predicting more of the same.

There is one hope for the dems and Dean mentions it from time to time. The only way is to run as a republican. Dean wants the candidate to run pro-gun, soften on abortion rights and support religion. Basically the complete opposite of their platform. Fortunately this is so foreign to most dems they can't pull it off. Just think back to the hunting picture of Kerry in 2004.
18 posted on 01/02/2006 7:11:05 AM PST by Dutch Boy
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To: blau993

Shays has run out of 'wigglin-room in CT... it's electorate has become even more liberal and he will get the boot come election time.


19 posted on 01/02/2006 7:20:23 AM PST by johnny7 (“Iuventus stultorum magister”)
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To: johnny7

There is this WOT and Iraq that will dog Democrats in the voting booth - it is a well documented fact that Democrats would rather run than fight. It is also a well documented fact that Democrats/Socialists are anti-American. Some how I don't think those two (there are others) values will stand them in a good light, too many Americans love their country and support the WOT.


20 posted on 01/02/2006 7:27:29 AM PST by yoe
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To: yoe
There is this WOT and Iraq that will dog Democrats in the voting booth

To a point... but Kerry got 49M votes WITHOUT a clearly defined policy on the WOT or Iraq's part in it. The MSM will continue to confuse the poorly-informed voter enough to keep the Dems a viable party.

21 posted on 01/02/2006 7:46:43 AM PST by johnny7 (“Iuventus stultorum magister”)
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To: badgerbengal

Yep! The late-not so great MSM predicted in 1994 that the most Republicans could pick up in the house would be 2 to 6 seats. This was the night before the election. The Repubs picked up 54 seats, causing Peter Jennings to scold the citizens that we couldn't afford to have the country run by a bunch of angry two year olds pitching a tantrum--how well those words apply to today's DNC.

vaudine


22 posted on 01/02/2006 8:07:10 AM PST by vaudine
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To: Reactionary

The Democrats will not pick up seats (only a few based on local issues) because of their behaviour concerning national security. They have publicly said they would withdraw troops (lose yet another war), impeach President Bush, get rid of the patriot act, raise taxes and treat terrorism as a law enforcement problems (as Clinton did thus laying the groundwork for 9-11). I don't like what the Republicans do sometimes, but I despise the Democrats and would not consider voting for one.


23 posted on 01/02/2006 8:15:22 AM PST by bronxboy
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To: Patriot from Philly
I don't like that the phrase "domestic spying" is allowed to go unchallenged. We need to start calling it "terrorist spying."

Every time you hear someone talking about "spying" just ask them: What part of "If Al Qaeda is calling, we want to know why" don't you understand?

24 posted on 01/02/2006 8:24:53 AM PST by McGavin999 (If Intelligence Agencies can't find leakers, how can we expect them to find terrorists?)
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To: Patriot from Philly

Just ask the liberals about "ABLE DANGER" if you want to counter their unfounded accusation of domestic spying...


25 posted on 01/02/2006 8:27:05 AM PST by Just mythoughts
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To: johnny7
"Democrats want to nationalize the races. Republicans want to localize them," Rothenberg said.

I read the article to this point and knew it was blather. national security and national income taxes are issues the Republicans own, and the ones effecting outcomes more than anything else post-9/11. The economy is up there, too, and it will do well most of the year, I think.

Who do youhave to know to become a worthless political analyst these days?

26 posted on 01/02/2006 8:28:42 AM PST by TheGeezer
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To: johnny7
Democrat Voter Fraud is being planned and orchestrated as we speak.. on a much wider scale.. How do I know?.. Why NOT.?. Republicans universally seem to care less..

Its getting more frequent every election and in your face..
The FBI sleeps.. Sedition has become an item on the democrat party platform..
The FBI snores....

27 posted on 01/02/2006 8:37:24 AM PST by hosepipe (CAUTION: This propaganda is laced with hyperbole..)
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To: All

Lots of talk here about it happening or not happening. I don't like this. In 2004 we energized to defeat Kerry.

We must do the same, now, for GOP candidates nationwide or we will sit and watch House impeachment hearings on TV, dominating TV time each day in 2007. If you want that, let the Democrats take the House. If you don't, find out what you can do to help GOP candidates in non-safe districts nationwide.

Remember the Texas Strike Force . . . how it mobilized Texans to travel to other areas of the country where there were states in danger of going Dem. We must do something of this sort if we don't want to have those impeachment hearings.


28 posted on 01/02/2006 8:55:54 AM PST by Owen
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To: TheGeezer
The economy is up there, too, and it will do well most of the year, I think.

The economy is going gang-busters... except in MA, CT, ME, VT, RI... all bastions of the socialist-left. All the business impediments they've placed on the private-sector have come home to roost.

29 posted on 01/02/2006 8:56:35 AM PST by johnny7 (“Iuventus stultorum magister”)
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To: johnny7
Actually, the Mass. economy is doing fairly well, thanx to almost 2 decades of GOP governorship. Romney, despite the fact that he is a R.I.N.O. on social issue like baby-killing, is a fiscal conservative, & he's been cutting things like the capital-gains tax. We haven't had a Dem governor since the colossally idiotic and incompetent socialist, Dukakis.
30 posted on 01/02/2006 1:57:56 PM PST by TimeLord
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To: TimeLord

The MA economy is stagnant at best.


31 posted on 01/02/2006 2:02:15 PM PST by johnny7 (“Iuventus stultorum magister”)
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