Skip to comments.Schwarzenegger's re - election chances up
Posted on 01/13/2006 4:35:43 PM PST by FairOpinion
A recent poll shows the born-again "moderate" Republican governor has gained back some popularity, especially in the Bay Area, and is now in a dead heat with Democratic competitors.
"Our survey demonstrates that Schwarzenegger's retreat from the more conservative rhetoric and agenda he brandished during the latter part of 2005 has paid off among middle-of-the road voters," said Melinda Jackson, director of the Survey and Policy Research Institute at San Jose State University.
The governor's job performance rating among voters in a Democrat-leaning state has climbed from 36 percent positive and 53 percent negative in September, to 40 percent positive and 51 percent negative this month.
(Excerpt) Read more at insidebayarea.com ...
The RINOs did it first.
Not completely. Not yet.
If Arnold's not re-elected, what do you think the chances of McClintock are for Lt Gov?
GOVERNOR LOSES 19% OF REPUBLICAN BASE
Support for Schwarzeneggers re-election has dropped since September when 36% of voters said they would vote for the governor and 49% said they would vote against him. This reflects the growing disapproval among the governors Republican base, 69% of whom said they would vote to re-elect him in September, versus only 50% now.
Seriously, how can McClintock win if a dem gov gets elected?
Ooops, sorry Marshal, I meant to make that a reply to Fair Opinion.
Read the survey here:
Last I looked, they are separate elections. ;-)
So you'd vote McClintock for Lt Gov and for Gov....a dem?
Or abstain for gov, which means...a dem?
How 'bout getting McClintock to switch races ? It's time for liberals to be out of the Governorship for good.
We haven't had a non-liberal/RINO Governor since George Deukmejian.
I think he's locked into the Lt Gov position...ask Elk Grove Dan
Of course, if Arnold pulled out (very small chance), who knows.
At this point, I am hoping for more choices.
When push comes to shove, I will vote for the most conservative candidate.
Arnold is proving that that does not necessarily mean a Republican.
I have never voted for a democrat before, but Arnold is proving to be no different than them.
"Seriously, how can McClintock win if a dem gov gets elected?"
Real simple, Republicans like me won't vote for Arnold under any circumstances and will vote for McClintock.
"growing disapproval among the governors Republican base"
Is that the Republican base who couldn't bother to turn out and vote for parental notification, and for the "live within our means" proposition, two major conservative ideas?
And they call Arnold RINO?!
What do you call Republicans who vote against spending cuts and against parental notification?
I just could NOT vote dem...ever.
Some on FR are encouraging a dem vote for Juan Vargas down here in Chula Vista against Bob Filner, but Vargas is still hard core dem.
How dare Arnold demostrate Republican ideas! He didn't demostrate many but to hear liberals tell it you would think he was as far right as a person could get. I need to get out of this state, soon!
And 90% of the California voters will NOT vote for McClintock no matter what. So guess who is going to get elected? Certainly NOT McClintock.
Will you just abstain for gov then?
I just can't see facilitating a dem gov.
Someone should step up to compete in the Republican primary. A moderate Republican would get the support of conservatives (about 35% of the Republican Party and 15% of the electorate), a support that Schwarzenegger couldn't overcome.
A Republican moderate would be competitive in the general election because of the weakness of the Democrat opponent. Both conservative Democrats and all but blindly loyal Republicans are realizing the damage that Schwarzenegger and his Democrat allies in the Legislature have done to the state's finances. By design, The 2006-2007 budget won't be finalized before the primary. They red ink and liberal giveaways would wipe out any chance Schwarzenegger might have, in spite of CAGOP support.
Where do you get the nerve to make such an outrageously false claim like that, bud ?
If you have your way Arnie will be defeated. By your side, demoncraps.
For a conservative to NOT vote, IS EQUAL to voting Democrat. It's painfully obvious.
Of course, if people just PRETEND to be conservatives... to bamboozle other conservatives into not voting so a Dem can get elected, all of a sudden it all makes sense, doesn't it?
"Where do you get the nerve to make such an outrageously false claim like that, bud ?"
Where do YOU get the nerve to make such an outrageously false claim like that, bud ?" claims such as McClintock has an actual chance of getting elected governor in CA.
I look at history and demographics of CA. There are NO Republicans in a single state electected office, with the exception of Arnold. Please explain in detail what reasoning lead YOU to make claims that a conservative could get elected governor in CA?
Once again you are making a fool of yourself.
See my post 23.
(D) or (R)ino Arnold = Same Leftist Target with only slight difference in mode of transporation to get there.
I have yet to find a conservative in OC who plans to vote again for your man Arnold the Magnificent.
The outlook is not good. He won't win without conservatives. Of course with his hard charge leftward, he may pick up enough flotsam and jetsam to make up the difference.
I see the Governor's Office has extended your contract to continue flacking for Arnold.
The republican base turned out, I really get tired of hearing this sh**. WE, the republicans of CA turned out to vote but we were defeated by the Dems who outnumber us. The red counties all voted for the props, including Orange country. If every republican in CA had turned out the props would still have been defeated.
The dems mounted a massive campaign and had the props defeated before the election was held. Blame the Unions and other liberal organizations for the lies and BS told about all the props. Don't blame the republican base, you might as well blame us for not winning the state for Bush in both his elections.
WE ARE OUT NUMBERED, what part of there are more dems than republicans in CA don't you understand?
All of you whiners need to understand that until we somehow get all the welfare queens and other entitlement people to vote republican we are not going to win in CA.
I understand the frustration of not wanting to support Arnold anymore.
But I could never let my precious vote, or non vote, elect a dem.
Other than Arnold, who won in unusual and rare circumstances, what reasoning leads you to make claims that a liberal Republican can elected to a statewide office in CA?
The CAGOP has adopted the attitude of paternal wisom. As the politcal elite at the top of the foodchain, they know what's best for the faithful. They don't consider their untenable positions to be outrageous, they're simply wise and we, the electorate, had better understand that or they will withdraw that elite wisdom.
Recommended reading (from this week only!)
"The republican base turned out"
NOT true. There was a much lower turnout in conservative areas.
And I might add, feigning to be a conservative.
It may be too soon to tell.
Arnold has never been nominated and elected under California's usual process. Besides, Arnold is not a Republican (a check-box, does not, a partisan make). Arnold has never been nominated by Republicans in any election.
Bill Simon, Jr. - 3,169,801 (42%) Governor
Bruce McPherson - 3,094,392 (42%) Lieutenant Governor
Keith Olberg - 3,070,879 (42%) Secretary of State
Tom McClintock - 3,273,028 (45%) Controller <-----
Greg Conlon - 2,914,138 (41%) Treasurer
Dick Ackerman - 2,920,752 (40%) Attorney General
Gary Mendoza - 2,998,243 (42%) Insurance Commissioner
McClintock was the HIGHEST vote getter for the Republicans in the state for the 2002 election, losing by all of 16,000 votes out of 5.8 million in that race after being outspent by a fortune. Stop posting liberal DU/RINO lies and propaganda and get your FACTS straight, FO.
See post 31.
ROFL! Maybe 90% of your little hate-McClintock crowd, but polls for the last two years have proven you wrong.
Where, oh, where, do you get this cr@p? [Never mind... don't answer that]
For those not familiar with this CAGOP red herring, the partisan statistics from the November election, supporting any claim about partisan participation, are yet to be publish by the CASoS.
THAT was exactly my point, when I said that with the exception of Arnold, NO Republicans have been elected to a statewide office.
So the Republicans keep running ultraconservatives with zero charisma and they keep losing. Then they do it again and again.
"Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. "
That kind of elitism ain't going on just in California. Of course, those same elites prefer liberal Democrats to right-of-center Republicans in office, anyhow. Perhaps it is time to form our own party for the people, how 'bout calling it the REPUBLICAN party ? ;-)
Who are these ultraconservatives, oh delusional one ? Oh, wait... you mean McClintock, the HIGHEST VOTE GETTER FOR THE REPUBLICANS IN 2002 ?
California's tax revenues are surging ahead of expectations, giving an election-year jolt to the state budget and providing more money for public schools, health services and higher education, according to a budget proposed Tuesday by Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger. The governor, a Republican, revealed a $125.6 billion spending plan for the 2006-2007 fiscal year that does not raise taxes while providing a 7 percent boost in spending over this fiscal year.
The plan also marks the first time in several years that the state projects enough tax revenue to cover spending without significant borrowing, a reversal from budget deficits that reached into the billions before Schwarzenegger took office.
Among its highlights, the governor's spending plan:
Does not raise taxes.
Reduces the state's structural deficit by more than two-thirds, from $16.5 billion when Schwarzenegger took office in 2003 to $4.7 billion in the next fiscal year.
True, they turned out in numbers to be expected. The DEMS outnumber us, remember that, keep repeating it to yourself and maybe you will get it. Also, people(republicans) are not pleased with Arnolds performance, a republican should hold to republican values. I am tired of Arnold lovers trying to tell us that the republican base is causing his problems. Arnold is causing Arnolds problems, period.
I don't get the impression that you are so much pro-Arnold as you are pro-progress, which no dem will EVER provide.
Just keep doing what we're doing. Everytime a CAGOP shill like FairOpinon shows up on a conservative form, treat them to an exorcism.
Sooner or later the electorate will figure out that the king has no clothing and we'll toss the bumbs out.
In the meantime, keep flashing your wooden cross in the face of these shills.
And in true liberal (and Gray Davis) fashion, he is proposing to use those dollars to fund recurring state social programs, including 1/2 Billion for his Prop 49 After-school-programs (Government Babysitting).
Also, whatever you do, don't suggest that FairOpinon read the LAO report. She might melt. We'd only be left with her ruby slippers.