Skip to comments.Pandemic Preparedness
Posted on 02/14/2006 5:00:06 AM PST by Judith Anne
THE ARRIVAL OF avian flu in Africa means that the bird epidemic is officially out of control. None of the methods used against it so far -- mass vaccination of poultry flocks in China, mass bird slaughter across Southeast Asia -- has prevented wild birds from spreading the H5N1 virus across the globe, to Italy, Greece, Bulgaria and Azerbaijan, as well as Siberia and Indonesia. The flu has probably been killing birds in Africa for many months and will probably not be stopped: In poor countries with weak or nonexistent veterinary controls, where chickens are the only source of protein and no compensation for farmers for loss of their livestock is likely, it will be impossible to enforce either mass vaccinations or mass slaughter
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
My ping list may or may not be out of date...if you were pinged and didn't want to be, I'm sorry. If you were not pinged and wanted to be, I'm sorry. I'm not going to be able to keep the list up anymore, but I hardly every use it.
Prayer needed. It's looking like a more realistic event every day.
Ammo, canned food, ammo, Bibles, ammo, firewood, ammo, baby wipes, ammo, generator... It's kind of like getting ready for hurricane season.
Thanks for the ping!
Could be a long season.
You're welcome, Joe.
Yeah, a 6-18 month hurricane.
Preparing for a Pandemic- Medical Advice
Did I mention lots of prayer? And more prayer. I suppose we better have some major league healing anointing too!
A vaccine cannot be developed until it mutates into a form which is highly human to human transmissible (and thus has a lower pathogenicity). If and when that happens, the virus will have already spread worldwide (est. around 7 weeks once the reqd mutation has taken place). It takes at least 6 months to make a vaccination from the final mutated strand. There is a book titled "The Great Influenza" by John Barry about the 1918 pandemic. There were two groups that were able to avoid the pandemic. One was a military base on an island that imposed a strict quarantine. The other was a small town in Colorado that did the same thing. All deliveries to the town had to be left outside of the town. If you couldn't effectively quarantine yourself and caught it, then the most effective treatment was bed rest until at least 2 weeks after the symptoms had passed. It's eyeopening to see how all of the governmental levels seemed to collapse, like Katrina, when faced with such a problem.
I expect it will first show up in South America if and when it makes it into this hemisphere, or coming down the Pacific flyway from the Aleutians.
So far, human to human contagion does not appear to have developed (Thank God), but the effects on domestic and wild fowl could be devastating.
A vaccine cannot be developed until it mutates into a form which is highly human to human transmissible (and thus has a lower pathogenicity).
There is no guarantee that lower pathogenicity must accompany higher transmissibility. None whatsoever. Some viruses do change that way, but others do not.
I think the WHO and CIDRAP are now saying that limited h2h transmission has occurred--h2h, but not h2h2h etc.
You think you have enough ammo? LOL!
I reload, so "I need more target ammo" is a great excuse to get out of watching figure skating.
you forgot gas for the generator ... unless yours runs on some other source :)
Bump to save my spot,thank you Judith Anne.
What's a matter with figure skating:)
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