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Pandemic Preparedness
Washington Post ^ | February 13, 2006 | Editorial

Posted on 02/14/2006 5:00:06 AM PST by Judith Anne

THE ARRIVAL OF avian flu in Africa means that the bird epidemic is officially out of control. None of the methods used against it so far -- mass vaccination of poultry flocks in China, mass bird slaughter across Southeast Asia -- has prevented wild birds from spreading the H5N1 virus across the globe, to Italy, Greece, Bulgaria and Azerbaijan, as well as Siberia and Indonesia. The flu has probably been killing birds in Africa for many months and will probably not be stopped: In poor countries with weak or nonexistent veterinary controls, where chickens are the only source of protein and no compensation for farmers for loss of their livestock is likely, it will be impossible to enforce either mass vaccinations or mass slaughter

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society
KEYWORDS: avianflu; avianinfluenza; birdflu; h5n1; pandemic; preparedness
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Well, sooner or later....
1 posted on 02/14/2006 5:00:06 AM PST by Judith Anne
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To: 2ndreconmarine; Fitzcarraldo; Covenantor; Mother Abigail; EBH; Dog Gone; ...

Note:

My ping list may or may not be out of date...if you were pinged and didn't want to be, I'm sorry. If you were not pinged and wanted to be, I'm sorry. I'm not going to be able to keep the list up anymore, but I hardly every use it.


2 posted on 02/14/2006 5:03:11 AM PST by Judith Anne (Thank you St. Jude for favors granted.)
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To: Judith Anne

Prayer needed. It's looking like a more realistic event every day.


3 posted on 02/14/2006 5:11:45 AM PST by Shery (S. H. in APOland)
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To: Judith Anne

Ammo, canned food, ammo, Bibles, ammo, firewood, ammo, baby wipes, ammo, generator... It's kind of like getting ready for hurricane season.


4 posted on 02/14/2006 5:14:42 AM PST by ovrtaxt
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To: Judith Anne

Thanks for the ping!


5 posted on 02/14/2006 5:15:53 AM PST by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly.)
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To: ovrtaxt

Could be a long season.


6 posted on 02/14/2006 5:16:56 AM PST by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly.)
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To: Smokin' Joe

You're welcome, Joe.


7 posted on 02/14/2006 5:19:08 AM PST by Judith Anne (Thank you St. Jude for favors granted.)
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To: ovrtaxt

Yeah, a 6-18 month hurricane.


8 posted on 02/14/2006 5:20:22 AM PST by silverleaf (Fasten your seat belts- it's going to be a BUMPY ride.)
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To: Judith Anne

Preparing for a Pandemic- Medical Advice
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/1572275/posts


9 posted on 02/14/2006 5:22:46 AM PST by silverleaf (Fasten your seat belts- it's going to be a BUMPY ride.)
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To: silverleaf

Did I mention lots of prayer? And more prayer. I suppose we better have some major league healing anointing too!


10 posted on 02/14/2006 5:23:11 AM PST by ovrtaxt
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To: Judith Anne

A vaccine cannot be developed until it mutates into a form which is highly human to human transmissible (and thus has a lower pathogenicity). If and when that happens, the virus will have already spread worldwide (est. around 7 weeks once the reqd mutation has taken place). It takes at least 6 months to make a vaccination from the final mutated strand. There is a book titled "The Great Influenza" by John Barry about the 1918 pandemic. There were two groups that were able to avoid the pandemic. One was a military base on an island that imposed a strict quarantine. The other was a small town in Colorado that did the same thing. All deliveries to the town had to be left outside of the town. If you couldn't effectively quarantine yourself and caught it, then the most effective treatment was bed rest until at least 2 weeks after the symptoms had passed. It's eyeopening to see how all of the governmental levels seemed to collapse, like Katrina, when faced with such a problem.


11 posted on 02/14/2006 5:31:13 AM PST by LowRecoil
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To: sneakers

bump


12 posted on 02/14/2006 5:33:46 AM PST by sneakers
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To: ovrtaxt

BLOAT


13 posted on 02/14/2006 5:35:04 AM PST by gridlock (eliminate perverse incentives)
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To: Judith Anne
I have been following the spread, along migratory bird flyways, much like we speculated about a year ago.

I expect it will first show up in South America if and when it makes it into this hemisphere, or coming down the Pacific flyway from the Aleutians.

So far, human to human contagion does not appear to have developed (Thank God), but the effects on domestic and wild fowl could be devastating.

14 posted on 02/14/2006 5:37:00 AM PST by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly.)
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To: LowRecoil
You make some excellent points, and thank you, but I do have one area where we may disagree.

A vaccine cannot be developed until it mutates into a form which is highly human to human transmissible (and thus has a lower pathogenicity).

There is no guarantee that lower pathogenicity must accompany higher transmissibility. None whatsoever. Some viruses do change that way, but others do not.

15 posted on 02/14/2006 5:42:10 AM PST by Judith Anne (Thank you St. Jude for favors granted.)
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To: Smokin' Joe
So far, human to human contagion does not appear to have developed (Thank God), but the effects on domestic and wild fowl could be devastating.

I think the WHO and CIDRAP are now saying that limited h2h transmission has occurred--h2h, but not h2h2h etc.

16 posted on 02/14/2006 5:44:11 AM PST by Judith Anne (Thank you St. Jude for favors granted.)
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To: ovrtaxt

You think you have enough ammo? LOL!

I reload, so "I need more target ammo" is a great excuse to get out of watching figure skating.


17 posted on 02/14/2006 5:46:07 AM PST by redgolum ("God is dead" -- Nietzsche. "Nietzsche is dead" -- God.)
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To: ovrtaxt

you forgot gas for the generator ... unless yours runs on some other source :)


18 posted on 02/14/2006 6:01:41 AM PST by cinives (On some planets what I do is considered normal.)
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To: Judith Anne

Bump to save my spot,thank you Judith Anne.


19 posted on 02/14/2006 6:12:29 AM PST by fatima (Just say it if it is for love-have no regrets.)
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To: redgolum

What's a matter with figure skating:)


20 posted on 02/14/2006 6:16:27 AM PST by fatima (Just say it if it is for love-have no regrets.)
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