Posted on 03/07/2006 5:43:35 PM PST by Richard from IL
The following is a letter I wrote which will be published in the Winnetka Talk on Thursday. I sent it to Dave Dierson and he included it in his daily summary yesterday.
First, this assertion has been put forth in previous state wide races and was disproved. In 1998, the ethically challenged Carol Moseley-Braun was running for reelection to the Senate. In the primary race, the establishment argued that Peter Fitzgerald was too conservative to win in the fall. Only a moderate, Lolita Didrickson, could win. Yet Fitzgerald won the election.
Second, conservatives have been told to support moderates lest Democrats be elected. They have done this only to see the Republican adopt the Democrat’s position. For example, in 1994, a conservative challenger to Edgar in the primary was told to pull out lest he help Dawn Clark Netsch. Edgar attacked Netsch for her proposed tax increase. Two years later, Edgar proposed an almost identical tax increase. What did conservatives get for their support of Edgar?
Third, Topinka is too radical on social issues for conservatives. You may respond that where else will they go. They will either not vote for governor or will vote for a third party. I have always voted for the Republican candidate in statewide races. However, I will not vote for Topinka and estimate that 30%-40% of conservatives will act in the same way. Thus, Topinka is the worst possible Republican candidate. She is the only one who will lose the base. If you lose the base, you can’t win.
Take as an example FDR’s court packing bill. Representative Hatton Sumners of Dallas, chairman of the House Judiciary Committee, responded by saying, "Boys, here's where I cash in." Bill Clinton’s election led to the Democrat’s loss of congress in 1994 when he governed to the left of the stands he took in his 1992 campaign. In the same way, nominating Topinka may split the party. Moderates call on conservatives to support moderates while they feel no compunction to support conservatives. Thus, they snubbed Peter Fitzgerald and made his decision to not run for reelection understandable. I think that the Illinois Republican leaders underestimate the depth of conservative anger towards the leadership and towards this unacceptable gubernatorial candidate who is being foisted on us.
While Blago is in a weak position, it is not even close to where Carol Mostly-Fraud was in 1998.
Blago for all his faults, hasn't been scurrying off to Africa to dine with dictators.
I don't like Topinka, but I'll vote for her if she is the nominee, biting my tongue.
Who are you supporting for governor?
Judy from IL
Here is my take on the current candidates.. Gidwitz I can handle.. Don't support him, but will vote for him in the general election.. Brady yes.. Obie Yes.. Martin is not going to win but I won't vote for him.. Topinka wins, leaving Illinois is looking a lot better.. I'm with RWR8189 I have to vote for her biting my tongue.. I don't think that Illinois can handle another 4 years of Blago..
I am right there with you, Richard. I'm embarrassed of her--the woman turns my stomach on all counts.
Great letter.
I'm torn between Obie and Brady for the primary's. I don't like the fact that i might have to hold my nose on Nov 02 and vote for Topinka.
Hi Judy,
I'm for Oberweis. Brady's a good man, but he's polling less than 10%. Oberweis is the only conservative who has a chance to beat JBT.
Thank you. I'll look forward to hearing more as the year unfolds.
Judy
I'm torn between holding my nose and voting for Topinka or leaving Illinois..
The circus came to town when the red-headed clown brought in Ambassador Keyes, shunned Sen Fitzgerald, and winked at- and cut deals with- Osama-bama by way of the combine. Yes, I'll vote for any Rep in the general, but I will require Pepcid, Kaopectate, Pepto-Bismal, and a bicarb to get through the primaries.
Oberweis is tanking fast, and his numbers will soon follow. He's not made it above 17% this whole time and people know him.
Brady is gaining momentum with endorsements and highest possible ratings from groups like Citizens for Life, the Illinois Center Right Coalition, State Rifle Association, and a laundry list of others.
We HAVE to have somebody that can win downstate Democrats in November and that won't be someone as divisive as Oberweis has become. Brady is our only chance as conservatives.
Watch this next week: It will soon become clear that this is a race between Moderates and Conservatives and the conservative that can win is Brady.
I'm not voting for Topinka regardless. Voting for the unethical Ryan won us the governorship but destroyed the party long term. After all, what's the point of getting a Republican elected if have liberal principles? It would just dilute what it means to be a Republican.
"Obie Yes"
Yes what? Throw him off the edge of the earth? The guy is an embarassment. It's sad how low this campaign has become b/c of him.
Bill Brady is the only candidate with class and has been showing it all through the campaign.
My vote is with Brady. It's Oberweiss who should be bowing out.
Amen Frustrated. Brady also has support of some GOP organizations and IL gun people and newspapers such as the Champaign's News-Gazette.
I think that Oberweiss is done for - toast. He has turned this race into a definite embarassment and I hope that he runs away like Carol Mosley Braun.
Go Brady Go!
I support Brady in the primary.. What I meant to say is that if Obie wins the Primary, I will vote for him.
The problem is that if JBT became governor, it would strengthen the combine's hold on the IL Republican Party.
I think if Judy wins the Primary, the Dems win again. Conservative voters - probably about in the 20% range will leave the office blank at the general election if Judy wins.
I personally like Judy but her views and mine are very different.
Titans, do you have a more recent poll? No one else seems to in IL. I haven't seen one since about mid-February and it's now mid-March (almost). I don't think that Brady is in the single digits.
Brady also has a STRONG grass roots campaign where the others do not. Oberweiss IS tanking. If there are polls (recent, past few days) to say that he's not, please post the link so we can see it.
I believe that Brady will pull the upset of the year and that Looserweiss has lost support. His negativity has turned off many of the undecided voters AND have turned them on to Brady.
Looserweiss has made a mockery of the process and should bow out now to give a true class act a chance.
Goodbye Looserweiss and hello Governor Brady
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