Posted on 04/12/2006 12:45:38 PM PDT by george wythe
There is another factor to be considered in the CA 50 House race. Brian Bilbray is the Republican nominee for the special election, but Eric Roach, Howard Kaloogian, Bill Morrow and the other Republicans who lost the special primary are all still running for the nomination in the regular June 6 GOP primary for the November 2006 election. So they can't rally around Bilbray without undermining their own chances of being the nominee in the general election. So chances are, Bilbray may still be battered by negative ads for the next two months. This gives Francine Busby a shot.
Hmmm...I didn't know that, I hadn't considered it. That is a problem. I hope one or more of them drops out. Kaloogian should be the first, the fiasco on the picture has made him unviable. Even though I'm not a big fan of Bilbray, I'd actually rather them all drop out, and I think there will be significant pressure for them to do just that.
Still, in the end, I'd have to say we'll win this. If the dems see finishing .07% ahead of Kerry when the former R from that district is in leg irons, the GOP base is fractured and they have the national mood at their back, as a positive thing, we have little to fear.
Got that right. If the Republican don't shape up, I'll be voting 'Libertarian' come November.
A plausible outcome could be Bilbray wins the special election, but loses the primary. Thus making him a mere interim Congresscritter.
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