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Florida dike may not survive next hurricane
Waterbury Republican-American ^ | May 3, 2006 | associated press

Posted on 05/03/2006 9:07:07 AM PDT by Graybeard58

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To: rottndog

Actually we kinda want it fail. Retake Fl bay from New York.


41 posted on 05/03/2006 10:14:43 AM PDT by WorkerbeeCitizen (I think - therefore I am conservative)
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To: Graybeard58

So where will Janet Reno move?


42 posted on 05/03/2006 10:15:30 AM PDT by AD from SpringBay (We have the government we allow and deserve.)
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To: Graybeard58

At first I thought this was a encouraging (for me) prognosis for Janet Reno.

I've lived in Florida since 1992. I moved to Florida as the factory that I worked for in Ohio moved to Mexico. I entered the field of Insurance Adjusting two months prior to Hurricane Andrew.

Last October Hurricane Wilma gave people in the towns surrounding Lake Okeechobee quite a scare. It was only a category two, when it was over the lake. There were several people with the Army Core of Engineers staying at the same hotel where I was deployed, in West Palm Beach. There was no significant damage to the dike. However, there was a 16 foot storm surge. General consensus amongst the Army Core on Engineers is that the dike could not sustain a Cat 4 hit.

Personally I adjusted several large (arox. 25) claims surrounding the lake in Clewiston and Okeechobee. Needless to say the home owners were very intimidated, fearing a breach during the storm.

There is a simple preparedness drill in Florida: Run from the water and hide from the wind. Personally I would evacuate if I lived near the lake.


43 posted on 05/03/2006 10:23:19 AM PDT by highbottom
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To: VRWCmember

Totally depends on how you view the significance of the outcome. If you were having elective ocular surgery and had a 1 in 6 chance of coming away from it blind due to a complication, most would agree that it is a high chance and unacceptable. If you were already blind and had a 1 on 6 chance to see again after a corrective procedure, many would call that a low chance.


44 posted on 05/03/2006 10:23:26 AM PDT by Kirkwood
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To: VRWCmember
You have a one in six chance of losing Russian roulette. Would you play one round for, say, a million dollars?

We meet a hot little sweetie in a bar who wants to be the mint on your pillow but you find that there's a one in six chance that you'll contract an extremely painful disease from the encounter, would you go ahead anyway?

45 posted on 05/03/2006 10:26:11 AM PDT by Tanniker Smith (I didn't know she was a liberal when I married her.)
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To: Tanniker Smith; highbottom; Kirkwood

I'm not saying that one-in-six odds equals a longshot, or even an acceptable risk for something with catastrophic outcomes. That said, the use of the term "high chance of failing" to describe something that is estimated at 16.67% is just poor writing.


46 posted on 05/03/2006 10:34:29 AM PDT by VRWCmember
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To: Graybeard58

"Herbert Hoover"

Is that the famous President, Hoobert Heever?


47 posted on 05/03/2006 10:39:01 AM PDT by Rebelbase ("truth is not invalidated by suppression"--nicmarlo)
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To: TET1968

That recalls the old (and juvenile) line, "How do you make a hormone?"


48 posted on 05/03/2006 10:41:45 AM PDT by MainFrame65
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To: MplsSteve

I spent a day at Belle Glade Jr. High back in in the early 70's. The thing I still remember was the numerous go-carts and mini-bikes parked at the bike racks.

Did you ever seen the cane fields burning at night? It's something to see miles and miles of flames as your driving down the highway.


49 posted on 05/03/2006 10:45:09 AM PDT by Rebelbase ("truth is not invalidated by suppression"--nicmarlo)
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To: Graybeard58

Not another story about Janet Reno . . . .


50 posted on 05/03/2006 11:14:22 AM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (http://auh2orepublican.blogspot.com/)
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To: highbottom

Run from the water ...
Living in Florida ( St. Lucie County) I can tell you finding high ground can be a challenge. Especially if you have lacked foresight and eliminated the fireant mounds in your yard.


51 posted on 05/03/2006 12:15:08 PM PDT by lastchance (Hug your babies.)
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To: lastchance

"Finding high ground (in Florida) can be a challenge."

When driving up I-95 from Miami I noticed where a very tall landfill had been smoothed over and covered with grass. Perhaps Florida could use its trash to build a series of elevated shelter areas for flood disasters. This has been done in Bangladesh where tropical typhoons running up the Bay of Bengal have drowned tens and hundreds of thousands of people at one time. Apparently, these artificial hills have saved lives in recent years.


52 posted on 05/03/2006 10:50:02 PM PDT by gleeaikin
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To: Graybeard58

boy you think the media is enlightened about lesbians and then they write a story about a failing dyke. </sarcasm>


53 posted on 05/03/2006 10:54:44 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man
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To: gleeaikin
...use its trash to build a series of elevated shelter areas...

Why not just hide inside a toxic waste container? They're well built and float too!

54 posted on 05/03/2006 11:03:26 PM PDT by JoeSixPack1
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To: JoeSixPack1

Florida is already building these landscaped hills, I just don't know exactly how they plan to use them. They exist, but for what purpose. Elevated evacuation sites could be a good use.


55 posted on 05/03/2006 11:57:14 PM PDT by gleeaikin
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To: gleeaikin

Landscaped hills?? It's garbage. It turns to compost.

Read this slowly: It's Unfit for habitation.


56 posted on 05/04/2006 12:04:26 AM PDT by JoeSixPack1
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To: VRWCmember
I'm not saying that one-in-six odds equals a longshot, or even an acceptable risk for something with catastrophic outcomes. That said, the use of the term "high chance of failing" to describe something that is estimated at 16.67% is just poor writing.

I disagree, as many other posters already have.

A "high chance" is relative, not absolute. It's not like "high chance" starts at, say, 50.0001%. In the context of the article, it's quite clear that what is meant is, "a chance high enough that it poses an unacceptable level of risk, given the enormous cost of a failure", or "a chance of disaster too high to gamble on without taking action to lower it", or "a high chance compared to the odds which we would consider prudent", etc.

If I had a 1 in 100 chance of dying tomorrow, I'd certainly consider that a "high chance" compared to what it *ought* to be.

57 posted on 05/04/2006 12:05:29 AM PDT by Ichneumon (Ignorance is curable, but the afflicted has to want to be cured.)
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To: weegee

my thoughts exactly---the "Lumbering Behemoth". But, hell, she will probably survive everything.


58 posted on 05/04/2006 12:07:37 AM PDT by willyboyishere
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To: JoeSixPack1

Do you really think it is wise to evacuate to New Orleans?


59 posted on 05/04/2006 4:49:45 AM PDT by lastchance (Hug your babies.)
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