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Threat Matrix: Daily Terror Threat - June 2006

Posted on 06/01/2006 7:04:43 PM PDT by nwctwx

:::FreeRepublic's Threat Matrix:::
Al-Qaeda's Long March to War
(Full Story)

In recent weeks, media reports from both Iraq and Afghanistan have suggested the appearance of a slow evolution of the Islamist insurgents' tactics in the direction of the battlefield deployment of larger mujahideen units that attack "harder" facilities.

These attacks are not replacing small-unit attacks, ambushes, kidnappings, assassinations and suicide bombings in either country, but rather seem to be initial and tentative forays toward another stage of fighting.

Karzai Condemns U.S. Troops Using Gunfire

Taliban Kill, Kidnap Dozens of Afghan Police

US Sends More Troops into Iraq

Where does Karzai go from here?

Kabul Comes Undone

Thread Thirty-Seven
Click for Color Code Information
Threat Matrix HTML designed by: Ian Livingston

TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: afghanistan; canada; globaljihad; gwot; iran; iraq; islamists; jihad; smyrna; somalia; taliban; terror; terrorism; threat; threatmatrix; torontocell; waronterror; wot; zarqawi; zarqawikilled
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To: Rushmore Rocks

U.S. warns of possible terror threats to Americans in China
The Associated Press, June 9, 2006


The U.S. government warned Friday of possible terrorist threats to American interests and places where Americans gather in China, particularly in major cities.

The notice, posted on the Web site of the U.S. Embassy in Beijing and transmitted by e-mail to American citizens, said the warning was based on unconfirmed information.

It said American interests in Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou may be at higher risk, along with restaurants, places of worship, schools and other places where Americans gather.

Embassy spokeswoman Sheila Paskman said the possible threats were specific to China and not part of a larger regional or worldwide alert.

"This is China-specific," she said, declining to elaborate.

Americans were not being urged to alter their travel plans or normal business, she said.

"This particular notice is simply asking people to be aware of threats," she said.

Although China has battled sporadic violence from separatist Muslims in its northwestern province bordering Central Asia, the country has largely escaped terrorism by international groups.

The United States has issued similar alerts previously and Friday's follows the killing of Iraq's most-wanted terrorist, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, by a U.S. airstrike.

In November, the embassy warned of a possible terrorist threat against luxury hotels in Beijing. It retracted that warning a day later, saying Chinese authorities concluded the source of the information was not credible.

581 posted on 06/09/2006 6:24:08 AM PDT by Velveeta
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To: drymans wife

The way his head shot was framed in the picture, I thought it looked as though we had the "head for head".

582 posted on 06/09/2006 6:43:42 AM PDT by Velveeta
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To: Velveeta

That was my first thought too. Was just hoping someone
else noticed.

583 posted on 06/09/2006 6:51:12 AM PDT by drymans wife (They is nothing like the mind of a TM;'er)
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584 posted on 06/09/2006 7:55:10 AM PDT by Godzilla (You are just jealous that the Voices speak to me.)
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To: Cindy; All


585 posted on 06/09/2006 8:03:46 AM PDT by freeperfromnj
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To: Cindy

Yep...I have seen Berg quite a few times since yesterday as well. IMHO...he is getting as much MSM face time as possible...just like get publicity for his own causes (running for a political office in Berg's case)...and they both make me ill because they are getting this MSM time based on the deaths of their children.

586 posted on 06/09/2006 8:53:21 AM PDT by all4one (Remembering our soldiers..past and present...not just on Memorial Day...but everyday)
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To: Mossad1967

Thanks for the heads-up Mossad. It is always great to hear from you. I always keep our "behing the scenes" people in my prayers. Most of their accomplishments are such, that they will never be known. Blessings to you and yours as well.

587 posted on 06/09/2006 9:10:00 AM PDT by all4one (Remembering our soldiers..past and present...not just on Memorial Day...but everyday)
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To: Cindy; Velveeta; Rushmore Rocks; LucyT; Godzilla; freeperfromnj; jerseygirl; Oorang; ...
Record Meteorite Hit Norway (6/7/06)

The map shows the meteorite's direction of fall (the arrow) and the possible impact area over Troms and Finnmark counties.

As Wednesday morning dawned, northern Norway was hit with an impact comparable to the atomic bomb used on Hiroshima. Peter Bruvold witnessed the meteorite streaking across the night sky.

At around 2:05 a.m. on Wednesday, residents of the northern part of Troms and the western areas of Finnmark could clearly see a ball of fire taking several seconds to travel across the sky.

A few minutes later an impact could be heard and geophysics and seismology research foundation NORSAR registered a powerful sound and seismic disturbances at 02:13.25 a.m. at their station in Karasjok.....

Link to Full Article

FBI: Mich. Girl Held in Jordan on Way Home (6/9/06)

DETROIT (AP) -- A 16-year-old girl who flew to the Middle East to see a man she met on was detained in Jordan and was headed home Friday, an FBI spokesman said.

U.S. officials persuaded Katherine Lester to take the return flight from Amman, FBI Special Agent Robert Beeckman said from the agency's Detroit office.

Katherine had disappeared from her home in Gilford, in eastern Michigan, on Monday and apparently planned to visit a man whose MySpace account describes him as a 25-year-old from Jericho, said Tuscola County Undersheriff James Jashinske.....

Link to Full Article

Hmmmmm....with a few posts this past week on AQ recruiting women...this story caught my eye.

588 posted on 06/09/2006 9:16:50 AM PDT by all4one (Remembering our soldiers..past and present...not just on Memorial Day...but everyday)
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To: all4one; tmp02; Oorang; drymans wife; MamaDearest; nwctwx; Domestic Church; Rushmore Rocks; ...
Special Terrorism Summary - The Death Of Al Zarqawi

Given that we’ve had a day to revel in the death of an earthly expression of evil, lets put the events into perspective and context to see how this reflects upon the US’s WOT.

The Beginning of the End
The coalition forces have had a special task force of special operations units from all branches of the US service, British, Iraqi and even possibly Israeli Mossad and Jordanian help. Initial successes against AQ in Iraq forced Al Zarqawi to the western areas adjacent to Syria. With the fight continuing to go bad, he chose to return to the Bagdad area to better manage and control attacks against Coalition and Shia targets. To maintain his high profile as the leader of AQ in Iraq, he was forced to move constantly from safehouse to safehouse.

Al Zarqawi’s leadership started to hit the rocks a little over a year ago when Iraqi insurgents who were allied to him, started to oppose the overwhelming number of foreign jihadists coming into Iraq and taking over the campaign. Former Baathists and Sunni leaders were getting the picture that a new Iraqi government was the way to go and the quickest way to get the coalition forces out of the country. It was during the series of elections leading up to today’s Iraqi government that Al Zarqawi began to try to start a Sunni – Shia civil war. While there were many Shia willing to mix it up (Sadr being one of them), the Shia leadership has managed to restrain their populace. Sunni terror leaders soon began to recognize the folly of picking a fight with the Shia, whom severely outnumber them. Civilian tips to Coalition and Iraqi forces began to increase and more and more terrorists were thwarted (captured or killed). Success built upon success and soon intelligence networks were enhanced, providing even more actionable tips and info.

Al Zarqawi didn’t help his cause very much. Beginning with his attacks in Jordan on hotels, including a wedding reception, his Iraqi hosts began to sour even more on him. Eventually, one main jihadist organization actually announced that he was replaced as overall commander. Whether this was an internal PR effort to stop the increasing friction between indigenous Iraqi insurgents and AQ is not sure. What is certain is that he lost a lot of support by the populace and intelligence tips increased substantially. This wealth of intel permitted the special operations forces to begin to tighten the net around Al Zarqawi.

After a period of laying low, Al Zarqawi began to send out public messages again, via audio and video tapes and written media. These seemed to be in conjunction with increased messages from OBL and Ayman al-Zawahri. It seems that it was also during this time frame that Al Zarqawi began to move his operations back into the Bagdad area from the western proviences.

Over the past 6 – 8 months, special operations forces continued to close in. During this time period many senior AQ-Iraq leaders were captured and killed. Intelligence was also obtained from the raids of safehouses which permitted further targeting and tracking of individuals close to Al Zarqawi. With the loss of experienced lieutenants, those selected to replace them were more careless and brutial. With the slaying of innocents in marketplaces, hijacking of school buses and murder of children, public support vaporized for Al Zarqawi and other foreign jihadists, increasing actionable intelligence.

End Game
Al Zarqawi worked repaint himself as the public leader of the insurgency in Iraq. This effort was apparently supported by OBL himself, who declared that Al Zarqawi was a ‘prince’ of AQ. The attacks against the Shia increased significantly and more directly. Al Zarqawi was suspected of being behind the attack on the Shia shrine earlier this year.

In a remarkably prophetic observation, the following was posted Wednesday, June 7th at
June 7, 2006: The relationship between terrorist leader Abu Musab al Zarqawi and and the mainline al Qaeda leadership continues to deteriorate. Zarqawi's recent audio messages have not only attacked the U.S. and the Shia-dominated government in Iraq, but also Iran. He's even claiming that the U.S., Iran, and Shia in general, are in cahoots to destroy Islam. He has also called for continued attacks against Shia.

Except for his verbal attacks on the U.S. and the Iraqi government, he is almost totally distanced himself from the central leadership. Other al Qaeda leaders have been trying to down play anti-Iranian and anti-Shia rhetoric, and have been strongly discouraging attacks on civilians.

Given that Zarqawi has become a loose cannon and that his actions are handicapping Al Qaeda's efforts, it seems reasonable to expect that an accident may befall him at some point in the near future. If handled right it can be made to look like he went out in a blaze of glory fighting American troops or that he was foully murdered. Either way, al Qaeda gets rid of a problem and gains another "martyr."

Initial press releases from Iraq indicated that intelligence leading to Thursday’s event came from within Al Zarqawi’s organization. This may be part of the final targeting. However, additional targeting information apparently came from Jordan through the interception of communications between Al Zarqawi and family in Jordan. Additionally, intelligence was tracking his spiritual mentor who’s movements further confirmed Al Zarqawi’s location. Intelligence was converging and late Wednesday, June 8th, Al Zarqawi was physically observed entering the safe house is Baqouba is 35 miles northeast of Baghdad.

The Strike
News reports have made it clear that with the 100% confirmation of Al Zarqawi’s presence in the safe house (aka ALPHA WHISKEY ROMEO – Allah’s waiting room), two F-16s dropped 500 lb bombs. Current news reports relate that Al Zarqawi was still alive when Coalition troops reached the building, but died shortly thereafter. We can rest assured that Al Zarqawi did not die a quick, painless death. Death was likely the result of over pressure caused by the explosion. Normal air pressure is 17 lbs per square inch, a bomb generates thousands of times that. As the pressure wave hit Al Zarqawi, two main body cavities were affected – the lungs and sinuses. The chest collapsed on the lungs, essentially ripping them from the arteries feeding blood to and from the heart. The sinuses too collapsed, resulting in the swelling of the face. Starved of oxygenated blood and bleeding to death internally, Al Zarqawi could only lay and wait.

After mumbling something indistinguishable and short, he tried one last time to try to get away by rolling off the stretcher. However, his time ran out and he died a short time thereafter.

Follow Through
Coalition forces have conducted 39 raids late Thursday and early Friday based on information gleaned from searches in the hours after Abu Musab al-Zarqawi's death. These raids were reported targeted the many lieutenants and leaders that were being tracked in an effort to ultimately locate al-Zarqawi's. These raids are providing a treasure trove of intelligence that will permit even more specific strikes against AQ in Iraq.

Aftermath and Future
Friday, Al-Jazeera network broadcast a video by al-Qaida No. 2 Ayman al-Zawahri. The tape apparently was made before the announcement Zawahri states “ God bless the prophet of Islam in Iraq, the persistent hero of Islam, the Holy Warrior Abu Musab al-Zarqawi".

The death of Al Zarqawi will have a complex effect on the insurgency in Iraq. He was increasingly being pushed out of the leadership and scorned by the locals. As a figure head, he was great for recruiting jihadists and is already considered a martyr by Hamas and Palestinians. Replacement by someone with similar charisma, expertise and experience will be difficult.
Therefore, direct impacts will be to a degree minimal. However, it is the intelligence bounty seized in the aftermath that is already ripping apart the internals of AQ-Iraq. This will severely cripple AQ’s future operations as leaders and cells have to go to ground to avoid detection and capture/death while they regroup.
Short term violence will spike as revenge attacks take place. However, these will lack coordination, OPSEC and focused targeting, exposing more of AQ infrastructure. Filling this void will be the Iraqi nationalist insurgents. However, they continue to be more inclined to begin to work with the government, especially since it appears that the Sunni, Shia and Kurd elements are working together. Talks have been in progress with some of these insurgent groups already.

589 posted on 06/09/2006 9:27:05 AM PDT by Godzilla (You are just jealous that the Voices speak to me.)
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To: Cindy; Rushmore Rocks; Velveeta; All
Just one last article on Berg.

WILMINGTON -- Long before the sun came up Thursday, Michael Berg began answering the same question he would be asked all day long: What does he think of the death of terrorist leader Abu Musab al-Zarqawi?

Berg, 61, is the father of Nicholas Berg, whose beheading by al-Zarqawi's soldiers May 7, 2004, was depicted in a graphic and widely distributed video. A year after their son's death, Berg and his wife, Suzanne, moved to Wilmington from West Chester, Pa.

Berg's personal connection to al-Zarqawi put him in high demand with reporters Thursday morning. They found him at the Ninth Ward home of his congressional campaign manager, John Atkeison.

By 9 a.m., television crews were milling around Atkeison's front porch, their satellite trucks idling on the narrow streets. Orange electrical cords snaked across the sidewalk, up the concrete steps, under the aluminum screen door and into Atkeison's house.

If they didn't know Berg, his comments may have surprised them.

Inside, Berg stood in front of Atkeison's bookcase, where one of his campaign posters was taped to a shelf lined with books about global climate change, spirituality and politics. Berg had been talking to reporters since one awakened him at 4:37 a.m. with a phone call to tell him of al-Zarqawi's death.

As he talks, campaign helper Madeline Perri arrives with bags of bagels, napkins and coffee cups. Her job, she explains, is to keep everyone fed.

" Atkeison steps onto his tiny front porch where reporters and their crews have set up cameras and microphones for Berg's next appearance. He tapes a campaign sign on the pillar behind the spot where Berg is supposed to stand.

"This has to be in every shot or you're going to be cut off," Atkeison tells the crews. "Everybody clear? And I'm going to be checking."...

Link to Full Article

590 posted on 06/09/2006 9:32:52 AM PDT by all4one (Remembering our soldiers..past and present...not just on Memorial Day...but everyday)
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To: Mossad1967

God bless them all!

591 posted on 06/09/2006 9:59:38 AM PDT by JellyJam (Best headline ever: "The Painful Truth: All the World Terrorists Are Muslims!")
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To: Godzilla

Thanks for the ping.

592 posted on 06/09/2006 11:28:04 AM PDT by Labyrinthos
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To: neosgirl

Hi Neosgirl.

Yep, he's dead.

Zawahiri has a new tape.


Have a great weekend.

593 posted on 06/09/2006 12:31:47 PM PDT by Cindy
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To: Velveeta

Thanks, Vel.

Sadly, the only thing my husband will point out in this article is.........."Americans were not being urged to alter their travel plns or normal business." He is still planning on leaving in the morning. He and our son travel alot for our business, but always use caution and stay aware of their surroundings.

I appreciate your pinging me to the article.

594 posted on 06/09/2006 12:42:46 PM PDT by Rushmore Rocks
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To: all4one; Godzilla

Thanks for the pings. Always appreciated.

595 posted on 06/09/2006 12:44:33 PM PDT by Rushmore Rocks
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To: LucyT; devolve; ntnychik; Smartass; Seadog Bytes; bitt; Boazo; JustPiper; La Enchiladita
Photobucket - Video and Image Hosting

596 posted on 06/09/2006 12:45:56 PM PDT by potlatch (Does a clean house indicate that there is a broken computer in it?)
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To: potlatch

Good one. I would laugh if it weren't so true.

597 posted on 06/09/2006 12:55:18 PM PDT by Rushmore Rocks
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To: Rushmore Rocks

Thanks Rushmore, there were plenty more but I had to edit those ones!

598 posted on 06/09/2006 12:58:26 PM PDT by potlatch (Does a clean house indicate that there is a broken computer in it?)
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To: nwctwx

I was thinking the same thing. Who was assassinated right before 9/11?

599 posted on 06/09/2006 1:00:12 PM PDT by texpat72 (<><)
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To: texpat72

Ahmed Shah Massoud was killed on 9/9/01, by al Qaida/Taliban. They wanted him out of the picture as he was keeping the Northern Alliance afloat in Afghanistan.

600 posted on 06/09/2006 1:06:42 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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